Afraid-Invite — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

85.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.18K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

$94

1 position

First seen

2026-01-19

last 07-19 09:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

46% — —

Crypto

45% 0% $-5

Sports

8% 100% +$6

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No		+95	$94	99¢	$94	+$0	07-19 09:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	1	$94	95	+95	open	—	07-19 09:16
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	1	$81	81	+81	open	—	05-06 08:01
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	2	$70	71	+71	open	—	03-15 11:16
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	1	$68	68	+68	open	—	04-12 12:58
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 140 159	1	$58	58	+58	open	—	01-19 08:16
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?	1	$51	51	+51	open	—	04-27 07:27
will the price of solana be greater than 130 on february 20	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	02-19 12:56
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	1	$47	47	+47	open	—	06-05 16:42
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	1	$44	44	+44	open	—	03-15 11:16
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	1	$43	43	+43	open	—	01-19 08:15
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 80 99	1	$40	40	+40	open	—	02-12 10:03
elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 240plus	2	$40	40	+40	open	—	03-15 11:15
will solana reach 160 in july 2026	1	$35	35	+35	open	—	07-18 14:17
will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	2	$35	35	+35	open	—	06-05 09:15
will xrp reach 3 in june 2026	1	$31	31	+31	open	—	06-05 09:15
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	1	$30	30	+30	open	—	04-12 12:57
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 580plus	1	$30	30	+30	open	—	03-29 11:21
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	1	$28	28	+28	open	—	02-12 10:04
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 240 259	1	$28	28	+28	open	—	02-19 12:57
nba den sas 2026 04 12	1	$25	30	+30	open	—	04-12 12:55
will bitcoin reach 86k june 1 7 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	06-05 08:57
Lakers vs. Thunder	1	$20	23	+23	Thunder	+$3	05-06 07:58
nba sac por 2026 04 12	1	$20	21	+21	open	—	04-12 12:56
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 580plus	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	03-29 11:21
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 460 479	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	01-19 08:16
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$17	17	+17	open	—	04-12 12:53
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 580plus	1	$16	16	+16	open	—	02-12 10:03
will baidu have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$16	16	+16	open	—	02-12 10:01
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	1	$13	13	+13	open	—	03-29 11:21
will mistral have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$12	12	+12	open	—	02-12 10:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 09:16:12	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	95	98¢	$94	0x9bf4d4…
07-18 14:17:43	will solana reach 160 in july 2026	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xe0b9f4…
07-18 14:17:36	will solana dip to 30 in july 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x1974f0…
07-18 14:17:18	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xf4e834…
06-05 16:42:16	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	47	99¢	$47	0xdde388…
06-05 09:15:21	will xrp reach 3 in june 2026	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x557fe4…
06-05 09:15:01	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x73b421…
06-05 08:57:54	will bitcoin reach 86k june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf8fa3d…
06-05 08:55:36	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x3ea22b…
06-05 08:36:13	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x79e051…
05-06 08:01:34	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0xacda88…
05-06 08:01:14	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x74c162…
05-06 07:58:30	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0xc01932…
05-06 07:58:24	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x41d42c…
05-06 07:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x2d3364…
04-27 07:27:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0xa3cda5…
04-12 12:58:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0x8db4ac…
04-12 12:57:47	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xd4b908…
04-12 12:56:17	nba sac por 2026 04 12	Trail Blazers	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x7717fe…
04-12 12:55:53	nba den sas 2026 04 12	Spurs	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0xc804ee…
04-12 12:53:53	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xb8eb6a…
03-29 11:21:28	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 580plus	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x2e50a3…
03-29 11:21:16	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 580plus	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1c85eb…
03-29 11:21:02	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x76fa60…
03-15 11:16:19	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x64e2a4…
03-15 11:16:03	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x23bc26…
03-15 11:15:47	elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 240plus	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x273eb2…
03-15 11:15:41	elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 240plus	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xebb78b…
03-15 11:15:27	will zai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 189	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xc11a4b…
03-15 11:15:15	nba det tor 2026 03 15	Pistons	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xf6c515…
03-15 11:15:03	nba gsw nyk 2026 03 15	Knicks	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x52644b…
02-19 12:57:34	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 240 259	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x95aad5…
02-19 12:57:08	will the price of solana be less than 40 on february 20	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x319305…
02-19 12:56:52	will the price of solana be greater than 130 on february 20	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x3907be…
02-12 10:04:23	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xf02412…
02-12 10:04:05	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 100 119	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x211e52…
02-12 10:03:57	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 80 99	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xecd9b9…
02-12 10:03:47	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 580plus	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x4e7106…
02-12 10:03:35	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 580plus	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x70ca45…
02-12 10:01:57	will mistral have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xc7cfec…
02-12 10:01:43	will baidu have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x2a4222…
01-19 08:16:24	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 140 159	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0xa8778e…
01-19 08:16:12	elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 460 479	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xbba597…
01-19 08:15:56	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x3d03f6…
01-19 08:15:38	will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0xb699fe…