Chilly-Mood — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.20K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.5%

Resolved

3,364

Trades

7,138

lifetime

Volume

$283.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$40

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-22

last 10-25 19:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 106 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 55% -$4,152

Other

1% 33% -$30

Politics

0% 0% -$22

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 20:30 UTC	7	$16.6K	8,809	8,767	+42	Down	+$494	03-30 20:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 15:40 UTC	3	$7.2K	3,671	3,664	+7	Down	+$60	04-03 15:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 08:10 UTC	2	$5.7K	2,894	2,885	+9	Down	+$121	04-08 08:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 15:20 UTC	4	$4.9K	4,034	4,000	+34	Up	+$2,942	03-27 15:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 17:30 UTC	5	$2.6K	2,281	2,271	+10	Up	+$1,859	03-28 17:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 16:15 UTC	5	$2.4K	1,394	1,381	+13	Down	+$350	03-27 16:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 15:15 UTC	3	$2.2K	2,572	1,669	+903	Down	+$121	03-27 15:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 10:30 UTC	4	$2.2K	1,356	1,340	+16	Down	+$416	03-27 10:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 15:25 UTC	2	$2.2K	2,225	2,193	+32	Up	+$386	03-27 15:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 19:30 UTC	5	$2.2K	8,676	0	+8,676	Up	-$2,165	03-27 19:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 15:50 UTC	5	$2.1K	11,433	817	+10,615	Down	-$923	03-27 15:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 15:35 UTC	5	$1.9K	3,174	3,148	+25	Down	+$299	03-27 15:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 16:15 UTC	4	$1.7K	1,409	1,384	+25	Down	+$351	03-30 16:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 14:00 UTC	3	$1.7K	1,379	1,309	+71	Down	+$966	04-08 14:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 06:20 UTC	3	$1.5K	841	834	+7	Down	+$193	03-28 06:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	16	$1.3K	956	956	+0	Down	+$314	05-05 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	13	$1.2K	716	716	+0	Down	+$80	05-05 21:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 11:35 UTC	8	$1.2K	1,578	820	+759	Up	-$182	03-31 11:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 05:25 UTC	4	$1.1K	606	600	+6	Down	+$81	04-04 05:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 17:20 UTC	8	$1.1K	1,320	1,306	+14	Down	+$127	03-26 17:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 18:20 UTC	8	$1.1K	904	891	+13	Down	+$106	03-27 18:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	11	$1.1K	702	702	+0	Down	+$81	05-05 21:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	11	$1.0K	573	573	+0	Down	+$49	05-05 20:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 15:20 UTC	4	$967	700	688	+12	Down	+$407	03-30 15:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 11:45 UTC	3	$961	767	756	+12	Down	+$98	03-29 11:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 17:45 UTC	4	$925	912	901	+11	Down	+$315	03-28 17:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 16:55 UTC	6	$913	615	601	+14	Down	+$85	03-31 16:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 18:20 UTC	7	$909	810	797	+14	Down	+$107	03-26 18:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 17:00 UTC	3	$886	517	507	+10	Down	+$128	04-03 17:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 18:35 UTC	7	$880	1,476	1,365	+111	Down	-$3	03-28 18:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 19:12:33	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x8916e2…
10-25 19:11:48	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 7°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xc280cd…
10-25 19:11:24	Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x03b945…
10-24 20:42:02	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 24?	Yes	SELL	24	97¢	$23	0x9458ac…
10-24 19:42:59	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x09b2e0…
10-24 08:28:20	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0xef5079…
10-23 08:49:54	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 24?	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x3ee03a…
10-16 05:27:25	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on October 17?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xaec0d8…
10-16 05:26:54	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 70-71°F on October 17?	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x069c06…
10-14 11:30:49	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on October 14?	Yes	BUY	46	22¢	$10	0x304066…
10-09 09:07:16	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 10?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xf722ca…
10-09 09:06:57	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on October 9?	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xa5c1b8…
10-09 06:32:31	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x18cb6d…
10-09 06:31:42	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x4d43ea…
10-06 05:26:31	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on October 5?	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x75d97a…
10-05 06:03:53	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on October 5?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x3e5312…
10-05 06:02:59	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 5?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x97af60…
10-05 06:02:08	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xc210ce…
10-03 08:33:38	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 3?	Yes	BUY	34	15¢	$5	0x5f6565…
10-03 08:31:09	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x464da7…
10-01 22:24:48	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 1?	Yes	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x2f7bd3…
10-01 11:08:17	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x3710d6…
10-01 09:15:47	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xc13116…
10-01 09:15:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x31e8a2…
09-30 11:09:59	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on September 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x300190…
09-30 08:41:29	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on September 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x93614b…
09-30 08:41:15	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on September 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xf32e9c…
09-30 08:40:59	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on September 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xc58ee2…
09-24 21:19:12	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on September 24?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xd1af35…
09-24 06:44:50	Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 89 km/h or below in September?	No	SELL	23	97¢	$22	0x26e527…
09-23 20:40:47	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on September 24?	Yes	BUY	49	19¢	$9	0x7ec66f…
09-17 15:34:45	Will Seattle have less than 1 inch of precipitation in September?	Yes	BUY	77	22¢	$17	0x00a727…
09-16 12:39:01	Will Seattle have less than 1 inch of precipitation in September?	Yes	BUY	56	35¢	$20	0x2b1f8a…
09-16 12:38:16	Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in September?	Yes	BUY	111	18¢	$20	0x181bb9…
09-16 08:10:39	Will NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in September?	Yes	BUY	60	17¢	$10	0xc8120b…
09-15 21:38:16	Will Seattle have less than 1 inch of precipitation in September?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xa9ccf4…
09-15 18:34:18	Will Seattle have between 1 and 1.5 inches of precipitation in September?	Yes	BUY	31	33¢	$10	0xb54c41…
09-15 18:33:25	Will Seattle have less than 1 inch of precipitation in September?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x9e6457…
09-11 11:48:31	Will the Rhine River return to normal levels before September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	269	3¢	$9	0xf33099…
09-11 08:55:07	Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 89 km/h or below in September?	No	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0xc66fc0…
09-07 20:02:03	Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on September 7?	No	BUY	73	7¢	$5	0x2e3a86…
09-07 14:01:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 7?	No	BUY	64	8¢	$5	0xf4f5a1…
09-07 10:16:27	Will the Rhine River return to normal levels before September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	68	12¢	$8	0x7c1737…
09-07 06:43:06	Will the Rhine River return to normal levels before September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0xf870c3…
09-05 12:33:52	Will it rain in Seattle, WA on September 4?	No	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x057a1e…
09-01 14:39:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x6fc679…
08-31 13:42:06	Will Seattle have less than 0.5 inches of precipitation in August?	Yes	BUY	68	1¢	$1	0x4a5cf0…
08-30 09:34:04	Will Seattle have less than 0.5 inches of precipitation in August?	Yes	BUY	182	69¢	$125	0x2ea859…
08-29 19:00:00	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 29?	No	SELL	87	98¢	$85	0xd33cbc…
08-29 09:14:52	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 29?	No	BUY	63	55¢	$35	0x51f41a…
08-28 14:14:39	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on August 28?	No	BUY	111	5¢	$5	0xc0cf4d…
08-28 14:01:15	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on August 28?	No	BUY	73	7¢	$5	0xad05a9…
08-28 04:01:27	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 29?	No	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xbb834c…
08-27 18:54:19	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x19fa9c…
08-27 14:50:00	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 27?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x01564d…
08-27 11:58:27	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 27?	Yes	BUY	92	11¢	$10	0xda9b4d…
08-27 06:31:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 27?	No	BUY	49	10¢	$5	0x38eeec…
08-27 05:52:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 27?	No	BUY	109	5¢	$5	0x01c11f…
08-26 14:01:37	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 26?	No	BUY	51	78¢	$40	0xc63d70…
08-26 11:17:18	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 27?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x79b341…
08-26 11:16:18	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 27?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x0092cf…
08-26 08:52:33	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 100-101°F on August 26?	Yes	BUY	84	30¢	$25	0x7c292d…
08-25 22:38:22	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	185	8¢	$15	0x7022ce…
08-25 20:51:16	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	107	14¢	$15	0x85990e…
08-25 17:45:16	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on August 25?	Yes	SELL	55	99¢	$55	0x5428d2…
08-25 14:55:46	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on August 25?	Yes	SELL	76	95¢	$72	0x7776ad…
08-25 14:01:43	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 25?	No	SELL	12	89¢	$11	0xfce565…
08-25 06:30:16	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xb31ca0…
08-25 06:29:48	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	29	18¢	$5	0xb9219f…
08-24 19:26:16	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xf0ad2a…
08-24 19:25:52	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xa7a318…
08-24 16:52:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 16:50 UTC	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xc5bb23…
08-24 16:51:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 16:50 UTC	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xa3bdfd…
08-24 16:49:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xfb82b7…
08-24 16:48:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	18	18¢	$3	0xa8b825…
08-24 16:47:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 16:45 UTC	Up	SELL	24	35¢	$8	0xdd9bcf…
08-24 16:46:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x406895…
08-24 13:13:12	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 24?	No	SELL	74	100¢	$73	0xb7f046…
08-24 11:32:04	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 24?	No	BUY	46	22¢	$10	0xfc07d0…
08-24 10:02:18	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 25?	No	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xffa976…
08-24 10:01:21	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 24?	No	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xf958b9…
08-24 08:53:25	Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 104 km/h or above in August?	Yes	SELL	65	97¢	$63	0x5a6ce7…
08-24 08:53:16	Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 94 to 103 km/h in August?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x630ca2…
08-24 08:53:12	Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 93 km/h or below in August?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x6b26b3…
08-23 06:56:28	Will Atlanta, GA face tornado risk on August 22?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xa6f90e…
08-22 22:04:03	which cities face tornado risk on august 22 2026 atlanta ga	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xfb5697…
08-22 22:02:58	which cities face tornado risk on august 22 2026 chicago il	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x92bb75…
08-22 21:54:43	Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 104 km/h or above in August?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x6e5ac7…
08-22 17:22:06	Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 94 to 103 km/h in August?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xf59d1d…
08-22 17:21:55	Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 93 km/h or below in August?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xe89ef4…
08-22 17:21:33	Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 104 km/h or above in August?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x5d2c42…
08-22 16:34:27	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 22?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x4b3392…
08-22 12:12:51	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 22?	No	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x2221a3…
08-22 12:06:52	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	130	6¢	$8	0xe43ab8…
08-21 18:27:55	dota2 ty ngx 2026 08 21	Nigma Galaxy	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x54b456…
08-21 17:13:55	dota2 ty ngx 2026 08 21	Nigma Galaxy	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x54c0c0…
08-21 16:38:07	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 21?	No	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x3bf5f0…
08-21 16:23:13	Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-07-16?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xcfaa6e…
08-21 15:57:30	dota2 ty ngx 2026 08 21	Nigma Galaxy	SELL	19	64¢	$12	0xc5d8db…
08-21 15:46:06	dota2 ty ngx 2026 08 21	Team Yandex	SELL	21	50¢	$11	0xb14dfe…