Chilly-Mood — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.44K

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

76.5%

Resolved

3,501

Trades

7,395

lifetime

Volume

$285.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-22

last 11-15 08:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 124 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 55% -$4,367

Other

1% 34% -$54

Politics

0% 0% -$22

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on November 16?	Yes		+67	$6	7¢	$4	-$2	11-15 08:31
Will the lowest temperature in London be 4°C on November 15?	Yes		+5	$2	0¢	$0	-$2	11-14 18:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 20:30 UTC	7	$16.6K	8,809	8,767	+42	Down	+$494	03-30 20:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 15:40 UTC	3	$7.2K	3,671	3,664	+7	Down	+$60	04-03 15:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 08:10 UTC	2	$5.7K	2,894	2,885	+9	Down	+$121	04-08 08:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 15:20 UTC	4	$4.9K	4,034	4,000	+34	Up	+$2,942	03-27 15:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 17:30 UTC	5	$2.6K	2,281	2,271	+10	Up	+$1,859	03-28 17:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 16:15 UTC	5	$2.4K	1,394	1,381	+13	Down	+$350	03-27 16:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 15:15 UTC	3	$2.2K	2,572	1,669	+903	Down	+$121	03-27 15:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 10:30 UTC	4	$2.2K	1,356	1,340	+16	Down	+$416	03-27 10:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 15:25 UTC	2	$2.2K	2,225	2,193	+32	Up	+$386	03-27 15:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 19:30 UTC	5	$2.2K	8,676	0	+8,676	Up	-$2,165	03-27 19:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 15:50 UTC	5	$2.1K	11,433	817	+10,615	Down	-$923	03-27 15:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 15:35 UTC	5	$1.9K	3,174	3,148	+25	Down	+$299	03-27 15:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 16:15 UTC	4	$1.7K	1,409	1,384	+25	Down	+$351	03-30 16:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 14:00 UTC	3	$1.7K	1,379	1,309	+71	Down	+$966	04-08 14:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 06:20 UTC	3	$1.5K	841	834	+7	Down	+$193	03-28 06:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	16	$1.3K	956	956	+0	Down	+$314	05-05 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	13	$1.2K	716	716	+0	Down	+$80	05-05 21:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 11:35 UTC	8	$1.2K	1,578	820	+759	Up	-$182	03-31 11:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 05:25 UTC	4	$1.1K	606	600	+6	Down	+$81	04-04 05:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 17:20 UTC	8	$1.1K	1,320	1,306	+14	Down	+$127	03-26 17:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 18:20 UTC	8	$1.1K	904	891	+13	Down	+$106	03-27 18:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	11	$1.1K	702	702	+0	Down	+$81	05-05 21:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	11	$1.0K	573	573	+0	Down	+$49	05-05 20:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 15:20 UTC	4	$967	700	688	+12	Down	+$407	03-30 15:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 11:45 UTC	3	$961	767	756	+12	Down	+$98	03-29 11:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 17:45 UTC	4	$925	912	901	+11	Down	+$315	03-28 17:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 16:55 UTC	6	$913	615	601	+14	Down	+$85	03-31 16:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 18:20 UTC	7	$909	810	797	+14	Down	+$107	03-26 18:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 17:00 UTC	3	$886	517	507	+10	Down	+$128	04-03 17:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 18:35 UTC	7	$880	1,476	1,365	+111	Down	-$3	03-28 18:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-15 08:31:23	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on November 16?	Yes	BUY	21	10¢	$2	0x46220d…
11-15 08:27:16	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on November 16?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xe06b97…
11-15 07:36:49	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 4°C on November 15?	Yes	SELL	6	97¢	$5	0xdf70c7…
11-15 07:36:31	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on November 16?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xe03cd8…
11-14 18:47:52	Will the lowest temperature in London be 4°C on November 15?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xe5d32f…
11-14 18:47:26	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 4°C on November 15?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x5c5de3…
11-14 16:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x00ed29…
11-14 16:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x4d9237…
11-14 16:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x15e7cc…
11-14 16:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x1b5b84…
11-14 16:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xacde73…
11-14 12:13:47	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on November 14?	Yes	SELL	12	90¢	$11	0x703569…
11-14 11:06:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x81f79c…
11-14 11:04:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xa8fb73…
11-14 10:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x5e4cdf…
11-14 10:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x50d6b5…
11-14 10:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x2366e7…
11-14 05:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x3553dd…
11-14 05:41:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x1f21bc…
11-14 05:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x79c219…
11-14 05:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0xe8c13c…
11-14 05:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x26b7db…
11-14 05:32:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xc1724c…
11-14 05:29:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x07bf8f…
11-14 05:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x952498…
11-13 22:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x4446b7…
11-13 21:41:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0xf7fee0…
11-13 21:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xdbebba…
11-13 21:34:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xebf5db…
11-13 21:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	8	81¢	$6	0xc9e187…
11-13 21:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xcfaf7e…
11-13 21:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0x172461…
11-13 21:25:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0xabbff9…
11-13 21:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x25703d…
11-13 20:54:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xef9625…
11-13 20:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x343232…
11-13 20:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x9f2e15…
11-13 20:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	88¢	$5	0xb6ece6…
11-13 20:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x5eec76…
11-13 20:39:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xdafc15…
11-13 20:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x9d68c4…
11-13 20:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xbc88ff…
11-13 20:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x793822…
11-13 20:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x824a9f…
11-13 20:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x3c9f31…
11-13 20:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xdc9217…
11-13 20:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xc8a39b…
11-13 20:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xa8b66e…
11-13 20:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x0a18d9…
11-13 20:18:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x25c4aa…
11-13 20:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x315030…
11-13 20:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x278355…
11-13 20:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xf29fc8…
11-13 20:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xbd4d0b…
11-13 20:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x726f60…
11-13 20:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x00f624…
11-13 20:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x195261…
11-13 20:04:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xcbafe2…
11-13 20:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x5a037a…
11-13 19:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	76¢	$3	0xe9e28d…
11-13 19:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x25ee82…
11-13 19:52:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	15	37¢	$5	0xef9b72…
11-13 19:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x4d34a7…
11-13 19:49:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x4813df…
11-13 19:47:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x90164d…
11-13 19:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x65ae70…
11-13 19:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x411293…
11-13 19:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xf42978…
11-13 18:17:30	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on November 14?	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x5361b9…
11-13 18:17:12	Will the lowest temperature in London be 0°C on November 14?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x1fecfc…
11-13 18:16:55	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 1°C on November 14?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x817d3c…
11-12 18:16:24	Will the lowest temperature in London be 1°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xdea26b…
11-11 18:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xad1e9b…
11-11 18:17:13	Will the lowest temperature in London be 4°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x519766…
11-11 18:16:54	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on November 12?	Yes	BUY	39	13¢	$5	0x7fb857…
11-11 18:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x3b9264…
11-11 18:02:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x9b23f1…
11-11 18:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xea6031…
11-11 17:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xa4f91f…
11-11 17:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	4	88¢	$3	0x4b63ee…
11-11 17:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x3bb9b7…
11-11 17:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x25ff93…
11-11 17:47:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x4ae35e…
11-11 17:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	85¢	$2	0x30c418…
11-11 17:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xa9f6d8…
11-11 17:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	4	73¢	$3	0x2478bb…
11-11 17:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xec8a53…
11-11 17:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xde9e0f…
11-11 17:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	19	11¢	$2	0xe80e44…
11-11 17:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x5e2889…
11-11 17:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x4614bb…
11-11 17:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xf20775…
11-11 17:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	4	95¢	$3	0x3e3202…
11-11 17:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xd56ffe…
11-11 16:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x1f9e01…
11-11 16:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xe67db4…
11-11 16:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x7f5f41…
11-11 16:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x5ec3e2…
11-11 16:26:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x316506…
11-11 16:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	12	80¢	$10	0xfd5576…