Chilly-Mood — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$206

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

64.9%

Resolved (90d)

156

Trades (90d)

285

7,294 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$3.81K

$285.4K lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-22

last 11-10 12:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 119 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 55% -$4,318

Other

1% 34% -$33

Politics

0% 0% -$22

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on November 11?	Yes		+48	$10	11¢	$5	-$5	11-10 12:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 20:30 UTC	7	$16.6K	8,809	8,767	+42	Down	+$494	03-30 20:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 15:40 UTC	3	$7.2K	3,671	3,664	+7	Down	+$60	04-03 15:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 08:10 UTC	2	$5.7K	2,894	2,885	+9	Down	+$121	04-08 08:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 15:20 UTC	4	$4.9K	4,034	4,000	+34	Up	+$2,942	03-27 15:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 17:30 UTC	5	$2.6K	2,281	2,271	+10	Up	+$1,859	03-28 17:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 16:15 UTC	5	$2.4K	1,394	1,381	+13	Down	+$350	03-27 16:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 15:15 UTC	3	$2.2K	2,572	1,669	+903	Down	+$121	03-27 15:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 10:30 UTC	4	$2.2K	1,356	1,340	+16	Down	+$416	03-27 10:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 15:25 UTC	2	$2.2K	2,225	2,193	+32	Up	+$386	03-27 15:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 19:30 UTC	5	$2.2K	8,676	0	+8,676	Up	-$2,165	03-27 19:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 15:50 UTC	5	$2.1K	11,433	817	+10,615	Down	-$923	03-27 15:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 15:35 UTC	5	$1.9K	3,174	3,148	+25	Down	+$299	03-27 15:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 16:15 UTC	4	$1.7K	1,409	1,384	+25	Down	+$351	03-30 16:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 14:00 UTC	3	$1.7K	1,379	1,309	+71	Down	+$966	04-08 14:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 06:20 UTC	3	$1.5K	841	834	+7	Down	+$193	03-28 06:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	16	$1.3K	956	956	+0	Down	+$314	05-05 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	13	$1.2K	716	716	+0	Down	+$80	05-05 21:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 11:35 UTC	8	$1.2K	1,578	820	+759	Up	-$182	03-31 11:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 05:25 UTC	4	$1.1K	606	600	+6	Down	+$81	04-04 05:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 17:20 UTC	8	$1.1K	1,320	1,306	+14	Down	+$127	03-26 17:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 18:20 UTC	8	$1.1K	904	891	+13	Down	+$106	03-27 18:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	11	$1.1K	702	702	+0	Down	+$81	05-05 21:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	11	$1.0K	573	573	+0	Down	+$49	05-05 20:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 15:20 UTC	4	$967	700	688	+12	Down	+$407	03-30 15:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 11:45 UTC	3	$961	767	756	+12	Down	+$98	03-29 11:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 17:45 UTC	4	$925	912	901	+11	Down	+$315	03-28 17:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 16:55 UTC	6	$913	615	601	+14	Down	+$85	03-31 16:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 18:20 UTC	7	$909	810	797	+14	Down	+$107	03-26 18:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 17:00 UTC	3	$886	517	507	+10	Down	+$128	04-03 17:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 18:35 UTC	7	$880	1,476	1,365	+111	Down	-$3	03-28 18:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 12:34:07	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on November 11?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x904cd4…
11-10 09:00:58	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on November 11?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x6c7d28…
11-09 17:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xe24daa…
11-09 17:07:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x6629d7…
11-09 17:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xdbd4f4…
11-09 17:06:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xe26e40…
11-09 07:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	43	61¢	$26	0x8dbe74…
11-09 07:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x29674d…
11-09 07:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	76	33¢	$25	0xa91d84…
11-09 07:32:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x125ffe…
11-09 07:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x7b004d…
11-09 07:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x26eb7b…
11-09 07:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x75fe9f…
11-09 07:18:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	SELL	28	73¢	$20	0xd8acf1…
11-09 07:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xdfde42…
11-09 07:15:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x2a83c9…
11-09 07:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	352	1¢	$5	0x29922a…
11-09 07:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x8d069f…
11-09 07:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x2a0d23…
11-09 07:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	SELL	12	65¢	$8	0x2f57c4…
11-09 07:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x621d81…
11-09 06:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	25	62¢	$15	0xc3f3c2…
11-09 06:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xe055f1…
11-09 06:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x2bf322…
11-09 06:52:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x765e24…
11-09 06:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xc17388…
11-09 06:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xd72bc8…
11-09 06:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	SELL	10	76¢	$8	0xe96bc1…
11-09 06:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x5da870…
11-09 06:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	SELL	13	60¢	$8	0x55b42f…
11-09 06:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x9ccc4d…
11-09 06:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x4c9b35…
11-09 06:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0x189669…
11-09 06:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x529d98…
11-09 06:22:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0x89a1ba…
11-09 06:19:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2b2a66…
11-09 06:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xa10178…
11-09 06:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x3b330b…
11-09 05:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x654a26…
11-09 05:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf61722…
11-09 00:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	9	87¢	$8	0x37530e…
11-09 00:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xb9f02f…
11-08 23:51:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	SELL	23	61¢	$14	0xcf01b1…
11-08 23:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x52994a…
11-08 23:48:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xeb357a…
11-08 23:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	22	77¢	$17	0x1f8b9d…
11-08 23:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x3aaff0…
11-08 23:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xc16f30…
11-08 23:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0xe8aee4…
11-08 23:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x5bb031…
11-08 23:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	12	59¢	$7	0x724ef2…
11-08 23:25:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xdc6cdb…
11-08 23:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xaa1c77…
11-08 23:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x4febbb…
11-08 23:16:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x4ef3dd…
11-08 23:10:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0xb382ef…
11-08 23:09:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x9ae66c…
11-08 23:08:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	19	43¢	$8	0x454399…
11-08 23:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xa7aed6…
11-08 23:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	754	3¢	$25	0x06478e…
11-08 23:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	250	10¢	$25	0x77c39b…
11-08 22:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	200	69¢	$139	0x9252b7…
11-08 22:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xb518ee…
11-08 22:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x87e3e3…
11-08 22:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xc2dacc…
11-08 22:46:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xbe120c…
11-08 22:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	9	82¢	$7	0xfd9888…
11-08 22:45:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x09b650…
11-08 22:44:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x90af60…
11-08 22:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x4367db…
11-08 22:36:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	28	34¢	$9	0x94c167…
11-08 22:35:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x353a1e…
11-08 22:32:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x327e09…
11-08 22:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xbd443c…
11-08 22:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xb1a022…
11-08 22:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	293	48¢	$142	0x3471fa…
11-08 22:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	293	34¢	$100	0x3db6e4…
11-08 22:17:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	50	78¢	$39	0x4e86e0…
11-08 22:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x21dc0c…
11-06 15:12:13	Will the lowest temperature in Amsterdam be 2°C on November 6?	Yes	SELL	12	89¢	$11	0xa358e4…
11-06 07:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x052b62…
11-06 04:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xa536c5…
11-06 04:46:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x261a8a…
11-06 04:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x6027d7…
11-06 04:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	34	88¢	$30	0x9c2550…
11-06 04:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x2777bb…
11-06 04:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x3e47b9…
11-06 04:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa471c3…
11-06 04:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x5121ee…
11-06 04:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xf40b5e…
11-06 04:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xfdb0c7…
11-06 04:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0xa944a5…
11-06 04:10:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x90739b…
11-05 22:18:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	9	76¢	$7	0xcb143e…
11-05 22:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xfe4a27…
11-05 21:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xb75972…
11-05 21:54:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2,339	0¢	$5	0x56ed62…
11-05 21:51:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x46af6e…
11-05 21:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xb193d2…
11-05 21:38:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	120	48¢	$58	0xade1da…