Chilly-Mood — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$177

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.2%

Resolved (90d)

141

Trades (90d)

250

7,254 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$3.55K

$285.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-22

last 11-09 00:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 119 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 55% -$4,244

Other

1% 34% -$33

Politics

0% 0% -$22

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 20:30 UTC	7	$16.6K	8,809	8,767	+42	Down	+$494	03-30 20:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 15:40 UTC	3	$7.2K	3,671	3,664	+7	Down	+$60	04-03 15:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 08:10 UTC	2	$5.7K	2,894	2,885	+9	Down	+$121	04-08 08:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 15:20 UTC	4	$4.9K	4,034	4,000	+34	Up	+$2,942	03-27 15:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 17:30 UTC	5	$2.6K	2,281	2,271	+10	Up	+$1,859	03-28 17:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 16:15 UTC	5	$2.4K	1,394	1,381	+13	Down	+$350	03-27 16:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 15:15 UTC	3	$2.2K	2,572	1,669	+903	Down	+$121	03-27 15:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 10:30 UTC	4	$2.2K	1,356	1,340	+16	Down	+$416	03-27 10:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 15:25 UTC	2	$2.2K	2,225	2,193	+32	Up	+$386	03-27 15:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 19:30 UTC	5	$2.2K	8,676	0	+8,676	Up	-$2,165	03-27 19:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 15:50 UTC	5	$2.1K	11,433	817	+10,615	Down	-$923	03-27 15:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 15:35 UTC	5	$1.9K	3,174	3,148	+25	Down	+$299	03-27 15:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 16:15 UTC	4	$1.7K	1,409	1,384	+25	Down	+$351	03-30 16:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 14:00 UTC	3	$1.7K	1,379	1,309	+71	Down	+$966	04-08 14:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 06:20 UTC	3	$1.5K	841	834	+7	Down	+$193	03-28 06:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	16	$1.3K	956	956	+0	Down	+$314	05-05 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	13	$1.2K	716	716	+0	Down	+$80	05-05 21:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 11:35 UTC	8	$1.2K	1,578	820	+759	Up	-$182	03-31 11:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 05:25 UTC	4	$1.1K	606	600	+6	Down	+$81	04-04 05:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 17:20 UTC	8	$1.1K	1,320	1,306	+14	Down	+$127	03-26 17:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 18:20 UTC	8	$1.1K	904	891	+13	Down	+$106	03-27 18:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	11	$1.1K	702	702	+0	Down	+$81	05-05 21:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	11	$1.0K	573	573	+0	Down	+$49	05-05 20:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 15:20 UTC	4	$967	700	688	+12	Down	+$407	03-30 15:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 11:45 UTC	3	$961	767	756	+12	Down	+$98	03-29 11:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 17:45 UTC	4	$925	912	901	+11	Down	+$315	03-28 17:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 16:55 UTC	6	$913	615	601	+14	Down	+$85	03-31 16:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 18:20 UTC	7	$909	810	797	+14	Down	+$107	03-26 18:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 17:00 UTC	3	$886	517	507	+10	Down	+$128	04-03 17:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 18:35 UTC	7	$880	1,476	1,365	+111	Down	-$3	03-28 18:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 00:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	9	87¢	$8	0x37530e…
11-09 00:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xb9f02f…
11-08 23:51:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	SELL	23	61¢	$14	0xcf01b1…
11-08 23:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x52994a…
11-08 23:48:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xeb357a…
11-08 23:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	22	77¢	$17	0x1f8b9d…
11-08 23:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x3aaff0…
11-08 23:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xc16f30…
11-08 23:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0xe8aee4…
11-08 23:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x5bb031…
11-08 23:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	12	59¢	$7	0x724ef2…
11-08 23:25:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xdc6cdb…
11-08 23:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xaa1c77…
11-08 23:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x4febbb…
11-08 23:16:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x4ef3dd…
11-08 23:10:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0xb382ef…
11-08 23:09:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x9ae66c…
11-08 23:08:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	19	43¢	$8	0x454399…
11-08 23:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xa7aed6…
11-08 23:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	754	3¢	$25	0x06478e…
11-08 23:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	250	10¢	$25	0x77c39b…
11-08 22:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	200	69¢	$139	0x9252b7…
11-08 22:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xb518ee…
11-08 22:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x87e3e3…
11-08 22:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xc2dacc…
11-08 22:46:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xbe120c…
11-08 22:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	9	82¢	$7	0xfd9888…
11-08 22:45:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x09b650…
11-08 22:44:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x90af60…
11-08 22:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x4367db…
11-08 22:36:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	28	34¢	$9	0x94c167…
11-08 22:35:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x353a1e…
11-08 22:32:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x327e09…
11-08 22:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xbd443c…
11-08 22:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xb1a022…
11-08 22:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	293	48¢	$142	0x3471fa…
11-08 22:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	293	34¢	$100	0x3db6e4…
11-08 22:17:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	50	78¢	$39	0x4e86e0…
11-08 22:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x21dc0c…
11-06 15:12:13	Will the lowest temperature in Amsterdam be 2°C on November 6?	Yes	SELL	12	89¢	$11	0xa358e4…
11-06 07:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x052b62…
11-06 04:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xa536c5…
11-06 04:46:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x261a8a…
11-06 04:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x6027d7…
11-06 04:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	34	88¢	$30	0x9c2550…
11-06 04:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x2777bb…
11-06 04:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x3e47b9…
11-06 04:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa471c3…
11-06 04:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x5121ee…
11-06 04:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xf40b5e…
11-06 04:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xfdb0c7…
11-06 04:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0xa944a5…
11-06 04:10:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x90739b…
11-05 22:18:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	9	76¢	$7	0xcb143e…
11-05 22:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xfe4a27…
11-05 21:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xb75972…
11-05 21:54:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2,339	0¢	$5	0x56ed62…
11-05 21:51:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x46af6e…
11-05 21:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xb193d2…
11-05 21:38:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	120	48¢	$58	0xade1da…
11-05 21:38:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	120	51¢	$61	0x04a42d…
11-05 21:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	89	34¢	$30	0x29850e…
11-05 21:36:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0x8c73cf…
11-05 21:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	68	49¢	$33	0x71a764…
11-05 21:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0x12c4de…
11-05 21:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xe0c384…
11-05 21:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	438	6¢	$25	0x4504a9…
11-05 21:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0x35eb6b…
11-05 21:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xcd2d27…
11-05 21:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x0969eb…
11-05 21:27:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	11	73¢	$8	0xe8b68f…
11-05 21:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x72ec1d…
11-05 18:36:30	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on November 5?	Yes	SELL	16	86¢	$13	0x023d9a…
11-05 18:04:24	Will the lowest temperature in Amsterdam be 2°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x730992…
11-05 18:03:46	Will the lowest temperature in London be 7°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x032edd…
11-05 18:03:10	Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 18°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x992f55…
11-05 15:35:57	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	1,177	0¢	$5	0xad2e4c…
11-05 14:16:24	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on November 5?	Yes	SELL	19	87¢	$16	0x21a7a2…
11-05 08:19:04	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 4°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	678	1¢	$5	0x3ba2cd…
11-05 04:10:43	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 4°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	582	1¢	$5	0x209c94…
11-04 18:34:34	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xa16c0c…
11-04 18:34:01	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x06bc95…
11-04 18:33:30	Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xcbc715…
11-04 15:39:33	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 5°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	88	6¢	$5	0x0ea0e1…
11-04 10:48:07	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 0°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	37	90¢	$33	0xe9f94e…
11-04 10:18:57	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x4ebae8…
11-04 10:17:15	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 5°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x92f96e…
11-03 18:16:34	Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x6f35c5…
11-03 18:16:12	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 4°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x1f4d57…
11-03 18:15:48	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 0°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	37	13¢	$5	0x69a177…
11-02 20:43:03	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on November 4?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x20a9b9…
11-02 18:27:24	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 6°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x24dae0…
11-02 18:27:01	Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xd6ad0c…
11-02 18:26:34	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 4°C or below on November 3?	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x572859…
11-01 19:24:10	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on November 2?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x77beac…
11-01 19:23:48	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 4°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xf32ee1…
11-01 19:23:24	Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x12e82e…
10-31 18:41:15	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 6°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xa8b71c…
10-31 18:40:48	Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xec6a81…
10-31 18:40:22	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 3°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x2f0047…