Keen-Import — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$76

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.1%

Resolved

Trades

108

lifetime

Volume

$947

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-20

last 06-25 04:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

51% 25% +$18

Politics

49% 100% +$58

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$274	265	265	+0	open	—	04-08 01:19
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	5	$69	90	90	+0	Yes	+$58	05-09 13:22
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	2	$59	417	417	+0	open	—	02-24 21:15
spx up or down on march 10 2026	2	$55	50	50	+0	open	—	03-10 21:56
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	5	$45	390	0	+390	open	—	05-29 22:59
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?	2	$34	70	70	+0	Up	+$26	05-07 17:26
spx up or down on march 13 2026	2	$26	29	29	+0	open	—	03-13 15:57
will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of june from june 23	3	$24	500	0	+500	open	—	06-25 04:19
nvda above 220 on february 27 2026	2	$22	441	441	+0	open	—	02-25 21:43
ndx up or down on march 11 2026	2	$17	18	18	+0	open	—	03-11 19:16
spx up or down on april 8 2026	2	$15	151	0	+151	open	—	04-08 02:26
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	2	$13	45	45	+0	open	—	04-17 19:45
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	03-08 20:41
rut up or down on june 12 2026	3	$13	270	0	+270	open	—	06-12 19:04
will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of june	1	$10	130	0	+130	open	—	06-15 15:43
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $200 Week of May 18 2026?	1	$10	60	0	+60	open	—	05-19 16:35
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 22?	2	$10	80	0	+80	open	—	05-22 14:58
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	1	$10	50	0	+50	open	—	03-24 02:59
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	2	$10	100	0	+100	open	—	06-12 08:28
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	1	$10	50	0	+50	open	—	03-27 14:06
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$10	286	0	+286	open	—	04-02 13:43
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	1	$10	59	0	+59	open	—	02-25 22:23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	1	$10	90	0	+90	open	—	05-18 19:01
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	1	$10	50	0	+50	open	—	04-09 19:47
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	5	$9	60	15	+45	Up	$-1	05-11 17:17
rut up or down on june 11 2026	2	$9	80	0	+80	open	—	06-11 15:24
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$8	354	0	+354	open	—	03-02 21:29
rut up or down on june 23 2026	3	$7	40	0	+40	open	—	06-23 17:53
spy up or down on june 8 2026	2	$7	100	0	+100	open	—	06-08 14:48
amzn up or down on april 21 2026	3	$6	60	0	+60	open	—	04-21 15:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-25 04:19:46	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of june from june 23	Yes	BUY	42	4¢	$2	0xceb8f0…
06-24 16:11:11	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of june from june 23	Yes	BUY	58	4¢	$2	0xabfe84…
06-24 14:59:43	rut up or down on june 24 2026	Down	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x7713a3…
06-24 13:30:31	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of june from june 23	Yes	BUY	400	5¢	$20	0x021354…
06-23 17:53:26	rut up or down on june 23 2026	Up	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0xd0c039…
06-23 17:52:37	rut up or down on june 23 2026	Up	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x5fdb88…
06-23 17:41:08	rut up or down on june 23 2026	Up	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x9f8829…
06-15 15:43:13	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of june	Yes	BUY	130	8¢	$10	0x126dd8…
06-12 19:04:42	rut up or down on june 12 2026	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x4378ab…
06-12 15:22:25	rut up or down on june 12 2026	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x2efb54…
06-12 15:22:09	rut up or down on june 12 2026	Down	BUY	70	8¢	$6	0x31a5cb…
06-12 08:28:49	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	23	10¢	$2	0xae0a5f…
06-12 05:58:55	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	77	10¢	$8	0x693770…
06-11 15:24:45	rut up or down on june 11 2026	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x2a02e0…
06-11 14:37:43	rut up or down on june 11 2026	Down	BUY	30	12¢	$4	0xb81605…
06-09 18:26:58	spx up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xc4c30d…
06-08 14:48:57	spy up or down on june 8 2026	Down	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x4af4b9…
06-08 14:39:42	spy up or down on june 8 2026	Down	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0xc2982a…
05-29 22:59:13	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x18016d…
05-29 16:48:08	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	30	11¢	$3	0x9136a5…
05-29 16:48:08	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	60	11¢	$7	0x2af3ce…
05-28 14:13:02	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	32	15¢	$5	0x2b4f39…
05-28 13:20:43	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	68	15¢	$10	0x7e3025…
05-22 14:58:50	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 22?	Down	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x838c4e…
05-22 13:36:58	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 22?	Down	BUY	30	15¢	$4	0x7123b8…
05-20 15:18:33	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 20?	Down	BUY	42	6¢	$3	0x8d2f6e…
05-20 15:18:28	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 20?	Down	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0x904519…
05-19 16:35:35	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $200 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	17¢	$10	0x0aaaf3…
05-18 19:01:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	BUY	90	11¢	$10	0x244234…
05-14 14:16:18	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xd37195…
05-14 13:45:12	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x677e96…
05-14 13:43:46	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xaae365…
05-12 19:32:55	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0xae3d78…
05-12 19:32:33	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x24d2bf…
05-11 17:41:03	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0xd26fe4…
05-11 17:17:26	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	SELL	15	25¢	$4	0xc8f7cb…
05-11 16:11:11	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x44f604…
05-11 15:44:11	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	30	9¢	$3	0x81c5ef…
05-11 15:42:31	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xdbc6e2…
05-11 15:40:23	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xf8f086…
05-09 13:22:17	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0xa9d204…
05-08 18:31:15	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	41¢	$18	0x82e56d…
05-07 17:26:18	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	SELL	70	43¢	$30	0x975db9…
05-07 16:07:00	Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x26192c…
05-07 13:59:09	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	70	6¢	$4	0x50a81f…
05-05 20:05:16	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xa7a411…
05-05 19:50:02	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x57daa7…
05-05 19:40:24	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	69	6¢	$4	0x892f5f…
04-24 13:39:18	QQQ (QQQ) Up or Down on April 24?	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xc9641a…
04-24 13:33:18	QQQ (QQQ) Up or Down on April 24?	Down	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x65bd48…
04-22 14:46:24	spx up or down on april 22 2026	Down	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0x6c4ee1…
04-21 15:47:58	amzn up or down on april 21 2026	Down	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x67d7a4…
04-21 13:47:54	amzn up or down on april 21 2026	Down	BUY	30	11¢	$3	0xa7e282…
04-21 13:39:54	amzn up or down on april 21 2026	Down	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x75e46f…
04-20 17:12:04	rut up or down on april 20 2026	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x57c5e2…
04-17 19:45:26	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	SELL	45	6¢	$3	0x3f96d9…
04-16 19:17:36	spx up or down on april 16 2026	Down	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0xa0fb90…
04-16 19:03:42	spx up or down on april 16 2026	Down	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x5cea30…
04-16 19:02:44	spx up or down on april 16 2026	Down	BUY	19	15¢	$3	0x63394d…
04-15 14:34:46	spx up or down on april 15 2026	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x2c79f9…
04-14 23:26:00	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xbfc0b5…
04-14 17:07:30	spx up or down on april 14 2026	Down	BUY	76	2¢	$1	0xcdeac8…
04-14 17:01:28	spx up or down on april 14 2026	Down	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x520b7c…
04-14 17:00:54	spx up or down on april 14 2026	Down	BUY	16	2¢	$0	0x6067a4…
04-14 17:00:18	spx up or down on april 14 2026	Down	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x30b9cc…
04-14 16:52:08	spx up or down on april 14 2026	Down	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0x980e53…
04-14 16:10:47	will amzn dip to 232 by april 13 2026	Yes	BUY	40	15¢	$6	0x91f8cb…
04-14 15:53:37	Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x5c8519…
04-14 15:30:09	will meta dip to 610 by april 13 2026	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0xf00d9b…
04-14 15:30:09	will meta dip to 610 by april 13 2026	Yes	BUY	24	14¢	$3	0x839094…
04-14 14:51:19	will meta dip to 600 by april 13 2026	Yes	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0x2145fc…
04-14 14:49:31	will amzn dip to 228 by april 13 2026	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x6238fe…
04-13 14:28:59	msft up or down on april 13 2026	Down	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0xd1b913…
04-09 19:47:01	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0xaab23e…
04-09 19:33:25	msft up or down on april 9 2026	Up	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x6b6010…
04-08 02:26:59	spx up or down on april 8 2026	Down	BUY	101	10¢	$10	0xc2dce5…
04-08 02:22:25	spx up or down on april 8 2026	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x46b7e7…
04-08 02:17:45	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	Yes	BUY	77	6¢	$5	0x28a43c…
04-08 01:19:51	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	265	100¢	$264	0x5acefe…
04-07 14:32:07	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	265	4¢	$10	0x0a7e52…
04-06 15:53:31	spx up or down on april 6 2026	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x06adfe…
04-02 13:43:47	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	286	3¢	$10	0xe35f69…
04-01 19:44:51	spx up or down on april 1 2026	Down	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x1fcd4e…
03-27 14:06:05	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xa8616d…
03-25 14:25:21	rut up or down on march 25 2026	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x2c1172…
03-25 14:24:29	spx up or down on march 25 2026	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xfefce8…
03-24 02:59:49	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x27564e…
03-17 13:50:23	rut up or down on march 17 2026	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x6e724b…
03-17 13:46:41	spx up or down on march 17 2026	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x5036ae…
03-13 15:57:51	spx up or down on march 13 2026	Down	SELL	29	72¢	$21	0xce05db…
03-13 13:57:45	spx up or down on march 13 2026	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x1311f2…
03-11 19:16:33	ndx up or down on march 11 2026	Down	SELL	18	67¢	$12	0xef320c…
03-11 14:06:35	ndx up or down on march 11 2026	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x3af3d7…
03-10 21:56:13	spx up or down on march 10 2026	Down	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xdaebe7…
03-10 17:08:17	spx up or down on march 10 2026	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x3a7e75…
03-08 20:41:37	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0x315449…
03-04 17:44:29	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	161	3¢	$5	0x167204…
03-03 20:41:07	will trump say drone during meetings with chancellor merz	Yes	BUY	77	4¢	$3	0x0cd2c0…
03-03 20:40:27	will trump say too late during meetings with chancellor merz	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x468f68…
03-02 21:29:15	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	167	2¢	$3	0x6b1d11…