Realized P&L (24h)
+$1
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
28.1%
Resolved (24h)
8
Trades (24h)
18
38 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$82
$155 lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$75
10 positions
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-06 08:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Crypto
41% 59% +$8
Politics
40%
Other
19% 0% $-2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran closes its airspace by May 8? No -33 $-28 94¢ $-31 $-3 05-05 20:49
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026? No -67 $-29 38¢ $-25 +$4 05-04 20:09
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +10 $6 66¢ $6 +$1 05-05 12:00
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 05-05 02:50
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? Yes +26 $4 16¢ $4 +$0 05-05 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down +3 $2 66¢ $2 +$0 05-06 08:26
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? No -1 $-0 67¢ $-0 +$0 05-05 02:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down +6 $2 $0 $-2 05-06 08:00
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? No -0 $-0 76¢ $-0 +$0 05-05 02:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down +3 $2 $0 $-2 05-06 08:21