Portly-Yahoo — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$887

Unrealized P&L

+$10.4K

Hit rate

42.5%

Resolved

Trades

4,550

lifetime

Volume

$1.38M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$302

Open exposure

$97.2K

9 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-08 23:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

65% 100% +$312

Other

26% 0% $-15

Sports

7% 0% $-1,184

Crypto

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 129 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	-55,000	$-44,365	70¢	$-38775	+$5,590	07-01 19:26
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	+29,884	$25,648	86¢	$25.8K	+$202	06-25 22:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	+10,466	$6,170	99¢	$10.4K	+$4,197	06-29 18:29
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	-9,546	$-9,011	96¢	$-9197	$-186	05-28 04:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	+16,161	$6,008	50¢	$8.0K	+$1,992	07-08 20:00
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	-4,619	$-1,247	58¢	$-2702	$-1,455	06-15 18:45
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	+3,366	$2,188	66¢	$2.2K	+$17	06-30 17:34
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	+145	$122	94¢	$136	+$14	06-06 20:49
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	+4	$1	10¢	$0	$-0	06-09 02:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	60	$90.8K	67,200	39,905	+27,295	open	—	01-24 04:39
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	184	$75.8K	74,875	80,425	-5,550	open	—	02-28 07:32
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	55	$53.8K	5,971	60,971	-55,000	open	—	07-01 19:26
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	76	$47.3K	32,700	32,700	+0	open	—	01-31 00:18
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	168	$41.7K	21,000	24,000	-3,000	open	—	02-18 15:06
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	51	$39.1K	37,884	8,000	+29,884	open	—	06-25 22:48
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	14	$34.3K	35,000	0	+35,000	open	—	02-24 02:08
netanyahu out by march 31 854	25	$32.7K	34,000	0	+34,000	open	—	03-19 04:12
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	58	$28.9K	34,500	34,500	+0	open	—	01-14 22:11
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	30	$28.3K	16,000	16,000	+0	open	—	03-28 06:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	10	$26.7K	14,829	17,868	-3,038	open	—	06-25 17:59
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	113	$26.5K	42,622	15,500	+27,122	open	—	04-02 05:19
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	14	$23.3K	15,700	10,500	+5,200	open	—	04-01 01:52
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	78	$22.6K	50,188	40,063	+10,125	open	—	06-16 06:51
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	13	$21.0K	8,696	12,800	-4,104	open	—	06-17 06:48
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	85	$20.9K	21,000	14,250	+6,750	open	—	07-02 07:05
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	13	$18.5K	9,530	9,530	+0	open	—	02-20 03:09
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	30	$18.2K	17,400	6,200	+11,200	open	—	04-15 18:46
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	25	$18.2K	18,000	1,700	+16,300	open	—	02-04 01:02
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	39	$17.7K	24,429	7,750	+16,679	open	—	07-07 19:27
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	11	$16.1K	16,400	16,400	+0	open	—	02-28 16:57
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	164	$15.9K	13,973	12,773	+1,200	open	—	05-01 01:16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	7	$15.5K	8,000	7,998	+2	open	—	04-30 05:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	47	$15.0K	19,122	8,657	+10,466	open	—	06-29 18:29
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	7	$14.7K	7,500	7,500	+0	open	—	02-25 01:40
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	4	$14.3K	10,500	5,500	+5,000	open	—	06-12 05:30
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	28	$13.6K	8,000	8,000	+0	open	—	04-20 05:18
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	55	$13.4K	20,183	16,608	+3,574	open	—	05-29 19:46
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	16	$13.3K	7,336	7,336	+0	open	—	04-20 02:16
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	39	$13.1K	9,128	9,128	+0	open	—	06-19 20:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-08 23:17:20	will ge vernova gev q2 orders be above 20b 20260707031052773	No	SELL	71	5¢	$4	0x2d9220…
07-08 23:14:01	will ge vernova gev q2 orders be above 20b 20260707031052773	No	SELL	1,029	3¢	$32	0x3f955c…
07-08 23:13:47	will ge vernova gev q2 orders be above 20b 20260707031052773	No	BUY	1,100	97¢	$1,066	0xd34f8b…
07-08 20:00:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	4,883	41¢	$2,002	0x14669a…
07-08 02:23:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	4,883	37¢	$1,807	0x83f958…
07-07 21:22:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	17	37¢	$6	0xc1e3e3…
07-07 21:22:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x5e8254…
07-07 21:22:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x1fd539…
07-07 21:22:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x04fdd9…
07-07 21:17:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	1	37¢	$0	0x65f3f7…
07-07 19:27:56	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	1,860	66¢	$1,237	0xec4779…
07-07 19:16:31	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	1,229	69¢	$845	0xfd3c06…
07-07 18:38:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x769247…
07-07 18:37:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0xb0bee9…
07-07 18:37:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	37	37¢	$14	0x893d66…
07-07 18:37:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	24	37¢	$9	0x1e1e61…
07-07 18:35:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xf20699…
07-07 17:08:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0xd6ae83…
07-07 17:02:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0xb44ed3…
07-07 16:54:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xb71642…
07-07 16:12:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	2,991	37¢	$1,107	0xdfd4e5…
07-07 03:43:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	3,710	38¢	$1,410	0x1ed7c9…
07-07 03:17:40	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	978	74¢	$724	0x35eb15…
07-07 03:06:17	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	2,863	74¢	$2,118	0x3aa852…
07-07 01:37:50	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	2,646	60¢	$1,587	0x92e77f…
07-07 01:37:46	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	604	60¢	$363	0x2db463…
07-07 00:59:01	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	954	27¢	$258	0xeb6915…
07-07 00:58:59	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	2,215	27¢	$598	0x61054f…
07-07 00:58:34	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	526	30¢	$158	0x6341f8…
07-07 00:58:07	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	805	32¢	$258	0x5f58f4…
07-07 00:24:56	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	2,500	63¢	$1,575	0x815288…
07-07 00:21:31	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	1,815	57¢	$1,034	0x4d9ae7…
07-07 00:21:28	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0x60bf2e…
07-07 00:21:26	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	585	57¢	$334	0x111e04…
07-07 00:03:52	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	8,000	74¢	$5,920	0x2e55ef…
07-06 22:39:53	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	1,467	15¢	$220	0x12f692…
07-06 22:39:50	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xc008a2…
07-06 22:39:50	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x578eaf…
07-06 22:39:46	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	1,025	15¢	$154	0x7daefc…
07-06 22:38:35	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	670	15¢	$100	0x8e8e1d…
07-06 22:38:34	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xe9644a…
07-06 22:38:34	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0xbfaa6c…
07-06 22:38:34	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xa7b452…
07-06 22:38:34	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x8e2cf5…
07-06 22:38:34	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x307292…
07-06 22:38:32	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0x087210…
07-06 22:38:31	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x9bb28c…
07-06 22:38:31	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	29	15¢	$4	0x7c0a31…
07-06 22:38:31	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0x1dcad8…
07-06 22:38:22	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	3	15¢	$0	0x5dde46…
07-06 22:38:19	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x64c531…
07-06 22:38:16	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	18	15¢	$3	0xdb74a1…
07-06 22:37:58	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	42	15¢	$6	0xa518cb…
07-06 22:37:53	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xb26bd5…
07-06 22:37:52	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	154	15¢	$23	0x694ec0…
07-06 22:37:52	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0x31ab5e…
07-06 22:37:49	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x305164…
07-06 22:37:47	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	44	15¢	$7	0xbe0064…
07-06 22:37:31	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	800	15¢	$120	0x64cb51…
07-06 21:14:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	1,746	39¢	$681	0x6e559f…
07-06 21:12:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x49dc77…
07-06 21:10:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	656	39¢	$256	0xb593cd…
07-06 21:09:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	164	39¢	$64	0xf20967…
07-06 20:53:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	164	39¢	$64	0x0d59dd…
07-06 20:53:04	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523	Yes	BUY	5,000	91¢	$4,550	0x8fe961…
07-06 20:49:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x940f65…
07-06 20:48:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	22	39¢	$9	0x10e513…
07-06 20:41:56	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523	Yes	BUY	3,500	92¢	$3,220	0x1ef29e…
07-06 20:38:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	194	39¢	$76	0x17d109…
07-06 20:34:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	273	39¢	$106	0xd9078d…
07-06 20:34:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	11	39¢	$4	0x95c976…
07-06 20:33:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	85	39¢	$33	0x4b4dba…
07-06 20:30:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	73	39¢	$28	0x6ba59c…
07-06 20:30:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	1,857	39¢	$724	0x48ca46…
07-06 20:29:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	104	39¢	$40	0x887399…
07-06 20:29:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	4	39¢	$2	0x850f91…
07-06 20:25:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0xd550de…
07-06 20:21:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	33	39¢	$13	0x5d54e7…
07-06 20:21:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	4	39¢	$2	0x4ebd87…
07-06 20:18:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	129	39¢	$50	0x7c2f1a…
07-06 20:18:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x19caa9…
07-06 20:17:05	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xaf068f…
07-06 20:16:53	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x15b0a2…
07-06 20:16:05	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523	Yes	BUY	173	95¢	$165	0x3672b6…
07-06 20:15:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	16	39¢	$6	0xdb75f2…
07-06 20:11:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	3,679	39¢	$1,435	0x246cf6…
07-02 16:16:43	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	Yes	BUY	84	19¢	$16	0x1c3151…
07-02 16:14:43	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	Yes	BUY	3	19¢	$1	0x99cff2…
07-02 15:44:43	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	Yes	BUY	3	19¢	$1	0xb2d207…
07-02 15:44:40	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	Yes	BUY	230	19¢	$44	0x094371…
07-02 15:12:41	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	Yes	BUY	18	19¢	$3	0x9553df…
07-02 14:43:23	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	Yes	BUY	260	19¢	$49	0x33d145…
07-02 07:05:59	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	6,750	87¢	$5,872	0x06c9f6…
07-02 03:39:37	iran successfully targets shipping by july 7 20260629202434611	No	BUY	400	80¢	$318	0x3a7ac9…
07-01 21:16:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	SELL	357	84¢	$300	0xa64deb…
07-01 21:13:26	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	SELL	2	84¢	$1	0xd01ac4…
07-01 21:13:26	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x932950…
07-01 21:00:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	SELL	2	84¢	$1	0xac5733…
07-01 21:00:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x14a08f…
07-01 20:56:55	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	SELL	119	84¢	$100	0x713ccc…