Realized P&L
-$24.5K
Unrealized P&L
-$14.3K
Hit rate
43.6%
Resolved
43
Trades
161
lifetime
Volume
$218.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.36K
Open exposure
$44.7K
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-21
last 10-27 22:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 27 days
Categories
Sports
64% 38% -$13,726
Politics
20% 0% -$1,334
Other
15% 52% -$9,417
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +25,920 $11,731 32¢ $8.4K -$3,307 10-15 16:46
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +29,721 $10,000 28¢ $8.2K -$1,827 10-08 23:01
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +39,230 $5,000 12¢ $4.9K -$96 07-22 19:15
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +33,225 $8,532 12¢ $4.2K -$4,379 09-25 14:23
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +5,849 $3,500 58¢ $3.4K -$78 09-02 18:41
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +11,183 $4,534 30¢ $3.4K -$1,123 10-09 00:55
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +7,750 $5,000 34¢ $2.6K -$2,404 07-23 16:28
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +3,442 $2,000 70¢ $2.4K +$392 08-15 04:55
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +34,752 $2,800 6¢ $2.0K -$767 07-28 19:36
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +3,846 $2,500 44¢ $1.7K -$808 08-28 20:32
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +12,514 $1,682 13¢ $1.6K -$55 10-04 23:33
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +5,519 $1,100 22¢ $1.2K +$142 09-10 14:41
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,386 $500 38¢ $520 +$20 05-30 22:43
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? Yes +785 $102 16¢ $122 +$20 10-23 22:22
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +100 $14 15¢ $15 +$0 10-22 10:53
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +11 $9 80¢ $9 $0 10-27 22:00
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +15 $7 43¢ $7 $0 10-02 18:12
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +19 $7 32¢ $6 -$1 10-13 21:32