Milky-Vine — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

-$33.6K

Unrealized P&L

-$8.09K

Hit rate

11.2%

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

165 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$223.4K lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.35K

Open exposure

$16.0K

7 positions

First seen

2026-01-21

last 11-02 00:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Sports

63% 38% -$13,726

Politics

22% 8% -$34,958

Other

15% 52% -$9,417

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+39,230	$5,000	15¢	$5.7K	+$688	07-22 19:15
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+33,225	$8,532	11¢	$3.5K	-$5,043	09-25 14:23
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	+7,750	$5,000	30¢	$2.4K	-$2,636	07-23 16:28
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+34,752	$2,800	5¢	$1.7K	-$1,115	07-28 19:36
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+12,514	$1,682	12¢	$1.6K	-$124	10-04 23:33
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+5,519	$1,100	22¢	$1.2K	+$142	09-10 14:41
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+15	$7	41¢	$6	$0	10-02 18:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$22.3K	14,930	69,347	-54,417	Yes	-$44,314	07-19 23:31
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	6	$22.3K	26,203	60,731	-34,529	No	+$8,950	04-12 18:43
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$21.9K	7,252	63,214	-55,962	No	+$19,350	07-09 18:04
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	4	$17.0K	12,114	12,114	+0	Yes	-$2,968	10-26 23:14
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	1	$16.0K	0	20,513	-20,513	Yes	-$4,513	01-21 18:36
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	5	$11.7K	25,920	0	+25,920	No	-$11,731	10-15 16:46
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$11.6K	74,137	74,137	+0	No	-$3,398	07-06 03:58
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	3	$10.0K	29,721	0	+29,721	No	-$10,000	10-08 23:01
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	5	$8.5K	33,225	0	+33,225	open	—	09-25 14:23
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$8.3K	1,470	58,446	-56,976	No	+$7,950	07-06 03:58
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	8	$7.7K	109,730	123,934	-14,203	No	+$2,181	07-06 03:58
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	2	$5.0K	39,230	0	+39,230	open	—	07-22 19:15
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	1	$5.0K	7,750	0	+7,750	open	—	07-23 16:28
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$5.0K	197,813	197,813	+0	No	-$9	07-07 17:43
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	4	$4.5K	11,183	0	+11,183	No	-$4,534	10-09 00:55
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	3	$4.5K	3,442	3,442	+0	Yes	+$513	11-02 00:06
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	2	$4.0K	6,712	0	+6,712	Spain	-$4,000	07-13 17:14
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$3.7K	83,333	83,333	+0	No	+$1,750	07-06 03:58
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	2	$3.5K	5,849	0	+5,849	No	-$3,500	09-02 18:41
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$3.0K	5,967	5,967	+0	No	-$2,028	07-19 23:31
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$2.9K	5,485	5,485	+0	No	-$78	07-19 23:31
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	3	$2.9K	3,549	3,549	+0	No	-$1,284	08-14 20:06
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	3	$2.8K	34,752	0	+34,752	open	—	07-28 19:36
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	1	$2.5K	3,846	0	+3,846	open	—	08-28 20:32
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	6	$2.5K	2,652	2,652	+0	No	-$1,334	08-12 04:01
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	1	$2.4K	3,664	0	+3,664	No	-$2,448	11-02 00:07
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	1	$1.7K	12,514	0	+12,514	open	—	10-04 23:33
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	3	$1.2K	3,651	0	+3,651	No	-$1,168	04-28 21:05
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	1	$1.1K	5,519	0	+5,519	open	—	09-10 14:41
Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?	1	$1000	1,416	0	+1,416	No	-$1,000	08-14 22:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 00:07:06	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,664	67¢	$2,448	0xd91c3f…
11-02 00:06:25	Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,442	73¢	$2,513	0x6af591…
11-01 01:18:55	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	30¢	$7	0x70f9a1…
10-28 19:02:56	Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x27ffc8…
10-27 22:00:57	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	80¢	$9	0x456a0c…
10-26 23:14:35	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x181d3a…
10-26 22:11:51	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x1d75a1…
10-23 22:22:41	Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	769	13¢	$100	0x14e7fe…
10-23 22:21:05	Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x8a6a02…
10-22 10:53:18	Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0x8efac6…
10-15 16:46:04	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x179ce1…
10-14 14:58:42	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x5cba73…
10-13 21:32:06	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x7fc8e2…
10-12 19:48:54	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0x5cfe96…
10-09 00:55:27	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	114	30¢	$34	0xfe9c89…
10-08 23:01:53	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13,129	36¢	$4,727	0x066664…
10-08 23:01:23	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	17,582	28¢	$5,000	0x2de2ee…
10-04 23:33:01	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	12,514	13¢	$1,682	0x6734ea…
10-02 18:12:41	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	15	44¢	$7	0xb2a634…
09-25 14:23:45	Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	94	34¢	$32	0x9e4593…
09-10 14:41:07	Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	5,519	20¢	$1,100	0x00c58b…
09-05 17:23:45	Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	5,451	28¢	$1,500	0x170da4…
09-02 18:41:42	Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	11,630	26¢	$3,000	0xefbdfd…
09-02 18:41:06	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,538	65¢	$1,000	0xc4dd42…
09-01 23:53:25	Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	8,000	25¢	$2,000	0xe83e05…
09-01 23:51:54	Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	8,050	25¢	$2,000	0x5caee6…
08-28 20:32:51	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	3,846	65¢	$2,500	0xfe8a55…
08-16 20:01:34	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,310	58¢	$2,500	0x4a3feb…
08-15 15:48:46	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,071	47¢	$500	0xfcbf65…
08-15 04:55:12	Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,714	58¢	$1,000	0xeeac7e…
08-15 03:31:06	Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,728	58¢	$1,000	0xf68dd5…
08-14 22:55:52	Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?	Yes	BUY	1,416	71¢	$1,000	0xe5f28d…
08-14 20:06:27	Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,549	23¢	$816	0xcc0145…
08-12 04:01:22	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	SELL	2,652	21¢	$560	0x39e00f…
08-12 03:13:25	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	769	65¢	$500	0xe7a1c0…
08-12 03:06:34	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	188	63¢	$118	0x0a62ff…
08-12 02:55:57	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	527	76¢	$400	0x74eb0c…
08-12 02:55:42	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	989	76¢	$750	0x354d2a…
08-12 02:55:24	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	179	70¢	$125	0xc2cfce…
08-07 03:48:42	Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,789	62¢	$1,100	0x1d4cce…
08-06 00:51:57	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	6,042	41¢	$2,500	0xad6fdb…
08-05 22:29:09	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	6,098	41¢	$2,500	0x2e71a3…
08-05 19:28:12	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6,051	41¢	$2,500	0x307753…
08-05 03:58:36	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,948	38¢	$1,500	0xacd45d…
08-04 16:56:45	Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,760	57¢	$1,000	0xf6ec93…
07-28 19:36:35	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	3,488	9¢	$300	0x7c5f22…
07-27 01:23:24	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	16,978	9¢	$1,500	0xa94cd0…
07-24 20:17:37	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	14,286	7¢	$1,000	0xf0a6f3…
07-23 16:28:33	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	7,750	65¢	$5,000	0x68637a…
07-22 19:15:04	Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	31,515	12¢	$3,920	0xead1d5…
07-22 19:15:04	Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	7,715	14¢	$1,080	0x24001a…
07-19 23:31:40	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	5,967	8¢	$472	0xbdcc09…
07-19 23:31:33	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	5,485	26¢	$1,422	0x0d4b1f…
07-19 23:31:24	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	12,106	58¢	$7,030	0xfe6cef…
07-19 23:31:12	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	8,621	100¢	$8,612	0x63e358…
07-17 00:02:53	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	12,106	83¢	$10,000	0x3244f8…
07-17 00:02:19	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	5,485	27¢	$1,500	0xc7418a…
07-17 00:02:10	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	5,967	42¢	$2,500	0xb0a8e9…
07-15 22:10:13	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	8,621	58¢	$5,000	0xf733c1…
07-13 17:14:41	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	2,510	60¢	$1,500	0x7beb83…
07-13 05:05:49	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	4,202	59¢	$2,500	0xc219fa…
07-09 18:04:28	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	31,607	32¢	$10,059	0xe2fcdd…
07-07 17:43:37	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	183,966	1¢	$2,319	0x41a3aa…
07-07 17:29:17	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	13,847	1¢	$175	0xa39b4b…
07-06 20:21:07	Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	50,000	0¢	$150	0x0ad67a…
07-06 20:20:58	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 extra time	Yes	SELL	53	38¢	$20	0x88a7ab…
07-06 20:20:43	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 extra time	Yes	SELL	265	37¢	$98	0x720650…
07-06 19:02:01	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 extra time	Yes	BUY	319	31¢	$100	0xe0505c…
07-06 03:58:44	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	83,333	3¢	$2,750	0x4d1934…
07-06 03:58:34	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	52,285	5¢	$2,510	0x536c54…
07-06 03:58:23	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	60,727	12¢	$7,591	0xc4a76d…
07-06 03:58:14	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	74,137	6¢	$4,097	0xd7187c…
07-06 03:58:01	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	58,446	14¢	$8,117	0xaa2a22…
07-06 03:57:53	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	31,607	33¢	$10,544	0x3b4e7e…
07-06 02:36:14	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 goals raul jimenez gte1	Yes	SELL	766	100¢	$765	0x1d29ce…
07-06 01:56:11	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 goals raul jimenez gte1	Yes	BUY	766	26¢	$200	0x5431f8…
07-05 21:52:07	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	17,428	4¢	$732	0x957802…
07-05 21:46:43	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	23,238	3¢	$734	0x0821ee…
07-05 21:46:02	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	Norway	SELL	398	74¢	$295	0x6dedc8…
07-05 21:45:13	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	30,983	3¢	$949	0x3d778e…
07-05 21:36:59	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	Norway	BUY	76	33¢	$25	0xf3f9ec…
07-05 20:36:43	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	Norway	BUY	323	31¢	$100	0x958987…
07-01 19:41:31	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	Senegal	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0xff550c…
07-01 17:50:31	Will England win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	SELL	179	93¢	$166	0x6f33b2…
07-01 16:14:40	Will England win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x1be1a9…
06-30 02:37:14	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 team to advance	Netherlands	SELL	169	82¢	$139	0xdecbc5…
06-30 01:12:22	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 team to advance	Netherlands	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0xbcebd2…
06-29 18:18:34	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	Brazil	SELL	144	71¢	$102	0x81dad0…
06-29 17:57:37	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	Brazil	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0x27e059…
06-27 04:28:20	Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	370	27¢	$100	0x4f19ab…
06-25 20:31:50	Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	50,000	0¢	$150	0x154ad7…
06-24 20:18:05	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	SELL	128	92¢	$118	0xa8bea8…
06-24 18:40:29	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	128	39¢	$50	0x938104…
06-23 04:45:43	Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	SELL	132	84¢	$111	0x244691…
06-23 04:42:50	Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	132	38¢	$50	0x040e67…
06-23 00:44:01	Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	SELL	250	62¢	$155	0xe6698e…
06-23 00:01:25	Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0xa12f9a…
06-22 04:35:50	Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x442acc…
06-21 22:51:46	Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	345	10¢	$34	0x9a586f…
06-21 22:21:58	Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	345	29¢	$100	0xa4c531…