Feisty-Battleship — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.3%

Resolved

Trades

234

lifetime

Volume

$14.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$62

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-16

last 06-09 05:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

46% — —

Other

29% 0% $-2

Sports

21% 100% +$1

Crypto

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	7	$1.2K	637	637	+0	open	—	05-26 16:37
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	7	$765	387	387	+0	No	+$0	03-28 23:45
will annual inflation increase by 2pt8 in march	5	$703	363	363	+0	open	—	03-22 00:30
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	5	$673	349	349	+0	open	—	03-18 05:20
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	10	$666	743	743	+0	open	—	04-06 22:36
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	5	$657	405	405	+0	open	—	06-07 01:06
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	8	$642	680	680	+0	No	+$0	04-27 01:22
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	11	$480	405	405	+0	open	—	05-28 02:59
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	2	$423	503	503	+0	open	—	06-09 05:41
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	3	$388	197	197	+0	open	—	06-05 13:28
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	3	$387	197	197	+0	open	—	06-04 23:21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	5	$385	381	381	+0	open	—	06-05 19:49
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	4	$385	287	287	+0	open	—	06-08 16:52
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	7	$380	522	522	+0	open	—	05-27 22:31
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	3	$363	188	188	+0	open	—	06-06 15:26
will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	8	$360	515	515	+0	open	—	03-26 04:45
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	5	$359	305	305	+0	open	—	04-21 13:17
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	2	$350	178	178	+0	open	—	04-07 18:10
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$347	182	182	+0	open	—	05-19 16:42
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	2	$347	176	176	+0	open	—	04-25 21:17
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$346	179	179	+0	open	—	04-27 09:09
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$346	181	181	+0	No	+$1	04-26 22:36
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$346	177	177	+0	open	—	04-26 16:00
will matt fitzpatrick win the 2026 masters tournament	7	$328	344	343	+1	open	—	03-23 15:37
Trump out as President by April 30?	3	$317	161	161	+0	open	—	04-09 21:43
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	10	$317	636	636	+0	open	—	05-19 18:49
Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	4	$316	163	163	+0	open	—	03-25 12:56
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	4	$314	159	159	+0	open	—	05-20 10:03
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	3	$313	161	160	+1	open	—	03-27 19:43
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$270	307	307	+0	Yes	$-0	04-24 12:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 05:41:07	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	SELL	503	42¢	$211	0xba92e2…
06-09 01:39:00	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	BUY	503	42¢	$211	0xa68cb3…
06-08 16:52:39	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	SELL	201	67¢	$135	0x1cdd6b…
06-08 16:52:39	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	SELL	86	67¢	$58	0x0f4072…
06-08 15:19:55	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	BUY	110	67¢	$74	0xc24703…
06-08 15:19:55	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	BUY	177	67¢	$119	0x65422f…
06-08 00:57:43	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	SELL	302	5¢	$16	0x45eff5…
06-07 22:12:13	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	BUY	302	5¢	$14	0x48d6b3…
06-07 01:06:27	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	47	81¢	$38	0xc6477d…
06-07 00:01:37	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	119	81¢	$97	0xe7028c…
06-06 20:24:00	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	166	81¢	$135	0xba443e…
06-06 15:26:51	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	140	96¢	$135	0xda0003…
06-06 15:26:51	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	48	96¢	$46	0x05ff1c…
06-06 14:05:22	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	188	97¢	$182	0x509956…
06-06 01:57:46	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	117	78¢	$91	0x3762fb…
06-05 23:27:46	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	BUY	117	78¢	$91	0xecbab1…
06-05 19:49:07	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0xdae119…
06-05 18:35:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	373	50¢	$186	0x2c04c3…
06-05 16:42:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	51¢	$17	0xb5bc3c…
06-05 16:42:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	174	51¢	$89	0x2a1df7…
06-05 16:42:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	174	51¢	$89	0x1850ec…
06-05 13:28:42	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	107	98¢	$105	0x2d771c…
06-05 12:10:21	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	90	99¢	$89	0x1e453c…
06-05 09:50:48	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	197	98¢	$193	0x87bd48…
06-05 06:12:10	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	239	81¢	$194	0x3e8e63…
06-05 03:32:34	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	239	81¢	$194	0xf668d8…
06-04 23:21:04	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	197	98¢	$194	0xf9320d…
06-04 19:37:07	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x98e344…
06-04 19:37:06	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	188	98¢	$185	0xb84782…
06-04 17:42:30	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	SELL	649	4¢	$29	0xac09e6…
06-04 13:38:55	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	BUY	649	5¢	$31	0x3e3247…
06-01 02:33:01	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	84	1¢	$1	0xddc6d6…
05-30 08:45:46	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xf52504…
05-30 01:25:37	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x55c417…
05-29 15:55:17	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0x724b78…
05-29 15:36:48	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	76	1¢	$1	0xbc3d50…
05-29 01:54:54	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	188	1¢	$2	0x61ea72…
05-29 01:54:54	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	164	1¢	$2	0x3172bf…
05-29 01:54:54	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	104	1¢	$1	0x021740…
05-29 00:43:30	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	640	1¢	$7	0xd20047…
05-28 10:33:02	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	166	28¢	$46	0xb21163…
05-28 09:01:22	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	47	28¢	$13	0xd64be6…
05-28 09:01:22	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	119	28¢	$33	0x066721…
05-28 02:59:30	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	42	85¢	$36	0x12ad24…
05-28 02:58:46	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	140	87¢	$121	0x4f6f97…
05-28 00:03:02	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0x9eb076…
05-28 00:02:29	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0x236182…
05-28 00:02:27	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0xb5593e…
05-28 00:02:24	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	166	90¢	$149	0xfd2a92…
05-28 00:02:24	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$6	0x0e6c60…
05-27 22:31:24	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	318	12¢	$39	0xa215a4…
05-27 18:51:55	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	318	12¢	$38	0x4b283e…
05-26 16:37:26	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	221	96¢	$213	0x4d8b8a…
05-26 16:37:26	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0x0689ae…
05-26 15:24:31	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	228	96¢	$219	0x416dee…
05-26 04:36:26	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	230	94¢	$217	0x37bd6e…
05-26 02:35:39	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	230	96¢	$221	0x225db7…
05-25 21:06:34	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	53	74¢	$39	0x9dd276…
05-25 21:06:34	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	19	74¢	$14	0x6c615b…
05-25 18:59:41	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	132	76¢	$100	0xa62210…
05-25 16:00:06	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	122	73¢	$89	0x34b9bf…
05-25 16:00:06	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	82	73¢	$60	0x241117…
05-23 08:58:58	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	8	41¢	$3	0xc19f4b…
05-23 08:57:32	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	215	40¢	$86	0x4d8d49…
05-23 06:57:50	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	105	31¢	$33	0x75d398…
05-23 06:57:50	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	118	31¢	$37	0x25376d…
05-21 14:24:19	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	39	2¢	$1	0xd0ca98…
05-21 14:24:19	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	119	2¢	$2	0x55544e…
05-21 12:30:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	158	2¢	$3	0x5b061d…
05-20 10:03:10	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	SELL	93	99¢	$92	0x939d87…
05-20 10:03:10	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	SELL	66	99¢	$65	0x72885b…
05-20 05:41:33	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0xaaddeb…
05-20 05:41:33	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	BUY	103	98¢	$101	0x63ecf0…
05-20 03:38:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	257	4¢	$11	0x02ac44…
05-20 01:02:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	258	4¢	$11	0x11dc3d…
05-19 18:49:23	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	97	1¢	$1	0x6bf934…
05-19 18:49:23	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	91	1¢	$1	0x2eeaab…
05-19 16:48:13	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	138	2¢	$3	0x3b8d56…
05-19 16:48:13	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x265583…
05-19 16:42:51	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	182	95¢	$173	0x1f26e5…
05-19 14:30:02	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	182	96¢	$174	0xecea20…
05-17 05:04:15	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	78	98¢	$76	0x405f6f…
05-17 05:04:15	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	75	98¢	$73	0x3b417b…
05-17 01:28:41	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	153	98¢	$149	0xe9ee6e…
05-17 00:22:02	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	137	2¢	$3	0x3f0765…
05-17 00:22:02	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	158	2¢	$3	0x166110…
05-16 21:32:34	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	295	2¢	$5	0x8ef886…
05-16 02:21:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0x575028…
05-16 02:21:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	108	98¢	$106	0x52eaca…
05-16 00:54:58	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x1b965c…
05-15 22:21:26	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0xd23c34…
05-15 22:21:26	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	63	98¢	$62	0xbb7139…
05-15 12:12:51	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	240	2¢	$6	0xda5b4f…
05-15 10:17:58	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	161	2¢	$4	0xea5918…
05-15 10:17:58	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	79	2¢	$2	0xb0f685…
05-15 04:30:04	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	179	98¢	$175	0x3e0bac…
05-15 02:13:13	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	179	97¢	$174	0xed6fad…
04-27 09:09:34	Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	179	97¢	$173	0x6aa1c6…
04-27 09:08:48	Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	179	97¢	$173	0x030ddb…
04-27 01:22:00	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	86	89¢	$76	0xdca693…