Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$287

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

56.8%

Resolved

Trades

394

lifetime

Volume

$15.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$38

Open exposure

$19

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-25 01:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

40% 25% $-55

Crypto

27% — —

Sports

19% — —

Tech

8% — —

Politics

5% 0% $-232

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No		-42	$-13	46¢	$-19	$-6	05-30 02:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 75k in january 2026	27	$1.4K	600	900	-300	open	—	02-01 03:57
nba chi was 2026 04 09	3	$1.4K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-09 02:05
cbb ark arz 2026 03 26 total 164pt5	2	$1.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-27 01:38
will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	16	$951	600	600	+0	open	—	01-31 16:21
will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	9	$911	500	500	+0	open	—	02-15 12:48
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	44	$906	1,105	1,125	-20	open	—	05-14 07:13
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 11?	11	$854	1,000	1,000	+0	Up	+$8	05-11 03:29
nba bos nyk 2026 04 09	13	$837	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-09 04:05
nhl tor nyi 2026 04 09	2	$590	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-09 04:09
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	26	$448	504	384	+120	open	—	04-30 05:52
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by august 31 668 138	4	$374	400	0	+400	open	—	06-25 01:25
US strike on Mexico by March 31?	2	$368	200	200	+0	open	—	02-03 09:10
will a claude mythos model be released by july 31 2026	4	$353	400	100	+300	open	—	06-07 09:28
Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?	16	$350	239	239	+0	open	—	03-01 04:43
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	4	$344	200	600	-400	Yes	$-232	01-22 14:28
will bitcoin dip to 60k in february 2026 394 616	2	$266	300	0	+300	open	—	02-01 07:12
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	9	$265	500	0	+500	open	—	06-01 02:59
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138	8	$240	400	200	+200	open	—	06-25 01:15
will the state of the union be 120 minutes or longer 132	11	$240	300	300	+0	open	—	02-25 03:58
shak quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 26 2026 0pt35	17	$218	206	120	+86	open	—	02-25 00:56
spx up or down on march 24 2026	16	$211	200	200	+0	open	—	03-24 09:41
us announces military support of iran oppostion by march 31	8	$209	166	266	-100	open	—	03-07 21:31
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?	24	$208	500	310	+190	Up	$-44	05-06 07:07
will bitcoin reach 115k in january 2026	2	$195	100	100	+0	open	—	01-20 15:25
spx up or down on march 30 2026	10	$187	200	250	-50	open	—	03-30 08:52
will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026 795 942	9	$184	259	139	+120	open	—	03-04 03:37
will mrbeasts next video get 90 million or more views on week 1 212	13	$176	250	160	+90	open	—	03-25 10:11
Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?	3	$152	100	100	+0	open	—	06-08 01:23
will the state of the union be 130 minutes or longer 839	2	$143	100	100	+0	open	—	02-25 03:04
Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?	5	$136	140	100	+40	open	—	05-18 02:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-25 01:25:40	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by august 31 668 138	Yes	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x480c81…
06-25 01:15:22	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138	Yes	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0x3222f0…
06-25 01:09:07	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138	No	SELL	80	9¢	$7	0x129625…
06-25 01:07:38	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138	No	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0xde8007…
06-25 00:58:38	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by august 31 668 138	Yes	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x3423ed…
06-25 00:56:58	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	No	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0x8ead94…
06-25 00:40:11	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138	No	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xde2b6b…
06-25 00:26:10	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by august 31 668 138	Yes	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x785079…
06-24 16:46:32	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31	No	BUY	89	21¢	$19	0x15d9f8…
06-24 16:40:43	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31	No	BUY	11	21¢	$2	0x3c9cbc…
06-24 08:04:25	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31	No	BUY	99	21¢	$21	0x6dd142…
06-24 08:04:11	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31	No	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x06f45e…
06-08 01:23:00	Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	85¢	$85	0x1d4f71…
06-07 09:28:06	will a claude mythos model be released by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	65	85¢	$55	0x08da95…
06-07 05:50:31	will a claude mythos model be released by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	35	85¢	$30	0x78b5e0…
06-06 05:22:51	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	43¢	$22	0xf88da8…
06-06 04:52:27	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	43¢	$6	0x0a7049…
06-06 04:15:07	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0xa84b96…
06-06 04:15:06	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0xb7aafb…
06-06 04:05:22	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0xe7be36…
06-06 04:05:22	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0x51f839…
06-05 18:02:31	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	159	37¢	$59	0x0626fc…
06-05 17:59:46	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xf99762…
06-05 17:56:24	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	37¢	$0	0x66d960…
06-03 11:32:26	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	64¢	$128	0xea4bc3…
06-03 10:44:59	Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	67¢	$30	0xf98fbf…
06-03 06:43:09	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	30	79¢	$24	0x01e90c…
06-03 04:09:02	Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	67¢	$37	0x38be69…
06-02 13:08:08	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0xd8275e…
06-02 02:46:13	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	28¢	$14	0xb689c5…
06-01 02:59:13	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0xcc69ad…
06-01 01:21:09	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	24¢	$48	0x07fa15…
05-30 02:32:38	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	1	31¢	$0	0x0370b1…
05-29 19:35:16	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	7	78¢	$6	0xa5dd26…
05-29 16:17:29	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xeb7e21…
05-29 13:56:50	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0xfb73b2…
05-29 10:11:21	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x85b30b…
05-29 08:06:00	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x3edb00…
05-29 08:05:58	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xaf026d…
05-29 08:05:44	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	72¢	$16	0x896821…
05-29 08:05:35	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xb324a5…
05-29 08:04:43	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xed8f3c…
05-29 07:49:01	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	14	31¢	$4	0xe0b626…
05-29 07:14:06	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x9f8925…
05-29 07:01:32	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	1	31¢	$0	0x576634…
05-29 05:42:12	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	6	31¢	$2	0x8f4d1e…
05-29 04:46:59	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	16	31¢	$5	0x19a056…
05-20 13:12:08	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0x3fe2a0…
05-20 08:31:54	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0xb2fcca…
05-18 02:49:17	Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?	Yes	SELL	89	94¢	$84	0x477683…
05-18 02:48:17	Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?	Yes	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0x1294b7…
05-14 07:13:45	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	Yes	SELL	31	85¢	$26	0xdeaf1a…
05-14 07:13:44	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	Yes	SELL	124	85¢	$105	0x57307c…
05-14 05:27:48	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	Yes	SELL	121	40¢	$48	0xdb3142…
05-14 05:25:47	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	Yes	SELL	106	40¢	$43	0x9bb81e…
05-14 03:52:43	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	24¢	$24	0x3fc192…
05-13 13:08:31	Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?	Yes	BUY	40	20¢	$8	0x91bb20…
05-12 02:34:22	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x0d9f98…
05-11 20:41:46	Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?	Yes	BUY	90	34¢	$31	0x1ad2fb…
05-11 20:38:13	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	13¢	$0	0xa37598…
05-11 18:03:22	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x53a979…
05-11 18:02:28	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	Yes	BUY	14	13¢	$2	0x8160e5…
05-11 03:34:01	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0xe6e647…
05-11 03:29:21	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	SELL	22	43¢	$9	0x6d80e6…
05-11 03:28:34	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	SELL	200	43¢	$86	0x5be36d…
05-11 03:26:09	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	SELL	200	43¢	$86	0xb410b1…
05-11 03:20:54	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	SELL	200	43¢	$86	0xfffe70…
05-11 03:18:43	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	SELL	210	43¢	$90	0x8fb1c3…
05-11 03:16:02	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	SELL	143	43¢	$61	0x3d6fa7…
05-11 02:41:07	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	SELL	19	58¢	$11	0x142a32…
05-11 02:30:54	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	SELL	8	45¢	$3	0x6d9e4f…
05-11 02:30:54	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	SELL	10	45¢	$5	0x42b42b…
05-11 02:30:53	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	SELL	8	45¢	$3	0x420f5b…
05-11 02:00:24	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	6	57¢	$4	0x76359d…
05-11 01:34:23	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	900	43¢	$388	0x22c3fb…
05-11 01:18:36	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0x819fed…
05-11 01:18:22	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0xe11c05…
05-11 01:18:19	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0xa8a812…
05-10 06:47:39	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	Yes	BUY	27	15¢	$4	0x962671…
05-10 01:23:19	Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xd377e8…
05-08 17:35:05	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	Yes	SELL	88	28¢	$25	0x8ba3fe…
05-08 01:35:20	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	Yes	SELL	35	28¢	$10	0xca0f7d…
05-06 17:20:50	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	Yes	BUY	70	15¢	$10	0xe44eb8…
05-06 15:33:23	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	Yes	BUY	4	15¢	$1	0xc3de84…
05-06 12:15:40	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	SELL	34	10¢	$3	0xddfc43…
05-06 12:15:36	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	SELL	11	10¢	$1	0x59d481…
05-06 12:15:34	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	SELL	11	10¢	$1	0x825a60…
05-06 12:15:34	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	SELL	14	10¢	$1	0x65cfcf…
05-06 12:15:32	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0xb60b60…
05-06 12:15:28	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	SELL	11	10¢	$1	0xda2e36…
05-06 12:15:28	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	SELL	22	10¢	$2	0xaf6e61…
05-06 12:15:28	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0xaa2c13…
05-06 12:15:28	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	SELL	11	10¢	$1	0x604ea6…
05-06 08:50:18	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	23	20¢	$5	0xedb41b…
05-06 08:50:16	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	24	20¢	$5	0x5fc44b…
05-06 08:50:16	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	53	20¢	$11	0x5588eb…
05-06 08:11:36	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	SELL	64	23¢	$15	0x1284c2…
05-06 07:07:52	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x6eebea…
05-06 04:19:30	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0xdf22be…
05-06 04:13:16	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	SELL	16	25¢	$4	0xfa0882…