Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.5%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

173 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$35

$7.10K lifetime

Avg / trade

$41

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-25 11:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Politics

57% 37% -$439

Other

41% 43% +$543

Sports

1% 0% -$70

Crypto

0% 60% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	11	$1.4K	1,730	1,730	+0	Yes	+$174	03-08 09:38
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	8	$1.1K	4,165	4,165	+0	Yes	-$615	03-03 18:27
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	7	$763	549	549	+0	No	+$73	04-01 16:54
tesla launches unsupervised full self driving fsd by march 31	4	$647	1,038	416	+622	Yes	+$47	01-22 22:46
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	4	$440	378	378	+0	No	+$17	03-14 21:25
will russia capture all of myrnohrad by february 28	7	$386	254	254	+0	Yes	+$116	02-04 21:04
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026	5	$188	396	396	+0	No	-$172	03-08 22:12
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by february 28	7	$185	555	0	+555	Yes	+$370	02-10 05:43
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	5	$180	479	0	+479	No	-$180	05-07 16:33
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	3	$148	137	137	+0	Yes	+$125	04-08 14:34
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	6	$146	15,905	0	+15,905	Yes	-$146	02-01 04:50
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	2	$128	152	152	+0	No	-$72	04-25 16:20
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	1	$100	152	0	+152	Yes	+$52	08-24 18:30
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?	1	$100	147	0	+147	Yes	+$47	06-23 20:47
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by march 31	1	$95	133	0	+133	Yes	+$38	02-10 05:42
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	5	$89	187	187	+0	No	+$15	04-08 14:34
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	2	$85	171	171	+0	Yes	-$35	04-15 11:40
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	4	$71	421	0	+421	No	-$71	05-15 10:32
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	2	$70	364	0	+364	Yes	+$294	05-16 22:57
will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 31 425	10	$70	417	0	+417	No	-$70	01-30 10:39
will croatia reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120780	2	$60	172	0	+172	No	-$60	07-02 23:53
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	2	$60	42	42	+0	No	$0	01-11 21:00
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	1	$50	71	0	+71	No	+$21	05-16 19:40
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 9 2026	3	$50	217	0	+217	Yes	+$167	03-08 10:49
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	2	$42	39	39	+0	No	+$17	01-17 21:33
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	4	$37	1,135	0	+1,135	Yes	-$37	04-08 14:38
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	3	$32	47	47	+0	No	+$6	01-14 11:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 14:45 UTC	3	$26	31	0	+31	Down	+$5	02-07 14:54
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	4	$21	86	86	+0	Yes	-$21	04-12 19:09
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	2	$21	80	0	+80	No	-$21	08-24 18:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 11:27:18	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x2726e3…
10-25 11:26:47	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	16	66¢	$10	0x07f79c…
10-19 20:30:35	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xf8c6b6…
10-19 20:17:06	Spread: 49ers (-9.5)	49ers	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x5823e1…
08-24 18:32:37	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0x12e747…
08-24 18:30:51	Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0x1cd013…
08-24 18:29:39	Will Elon post "Sam" or "Altman" on X this week?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x41b1f6…
07-27 18:34:07	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0xe6ca4a…
07-02 23:53:31	will croatia reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120780	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xad048c…
06-25 16:37:11	will croatia reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120780	Yes	BUY	135	37¢	$50	0x764f9c…
06-24 19:22:29	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xa7f91c…
06-24 19:22:17	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	Yes	BUY	104	5¢	$5	0xbfaf78…
06-23 20:47:31	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0xf6e129…
05-16 22:57:13	Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0xf00ad6…
05-16 20:16:16	Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x02529b…
05-16 20:13:27	Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	308	6¢	$20	0xa7e8d2…
05-16 19:40:26	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0x90e4f5…
05-15 10:32:29	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x03ce44…
05-07 16:33:53	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	42¢	$30	0x4b70cf…
05-07 16:33:13	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	12¢	$10	0x98d27b…
05-05 10:43:16	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	114	17¢	$20	0x09fd1c…
05-05 10:42:38	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	35¢	$30	0x8f4e80…
05-04 16:02:56	Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x5d0dd7…
05-04 09:39:04	Will Moldova advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x914460…
05-04 09:34:44	Will Israel advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xea86a7…
05-04 09:34:20	Will Sweden advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0xe4dc7a…
05-03 20:12:44	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	213	19¢	$40	0x4d309b…
04-25 16:20:40	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	152	18¢	$28	0xfd02f1…
04-25 14:40:40	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0xad5a4b…
04-25 10:36:30	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	160	38¢	$60	0x9dc180…
04-21 20:48:22	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	36¢	$30	0xf068e7…
04-15 11:40:34	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	SELL	171	15¢	$25	0x78dbb2…
04-14 20:11:02	ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 atm1	Yes	SELL	44	7¢	$3	0x9c5e25…
04-14 19:21:58	ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 atm1	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x4bca33…
04-13 15:14:45	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	38¢	$30	0xc88a46…
04-12 19:09:43	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	86	0¢	$0	0x9c3ad5…
04-12 12:40:13	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xc28b0b…
04-11 21:16:27	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x8f7ed0…
04-09 16:26:05	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x6b6ac9…
04-09 11:24:09	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	39	39¢	$15	0x2fda08…
04-08 16:17:31	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	171	35¢	$60	0x0d0d0e…
04-08 14:38:53	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x9b0deb…
04-08 14:34:35	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	Yes	SELL	187	28¢	$52	0xcaa1ed…
04-08 14:34:17	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	137	100¢	$137	0x53c641…
04-05 21:09:13	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x198244…
04-05 07:49:51	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x27adf6…
04-04 07:19:15	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	129	2¢	$2	0x46d26a…
04-03 18:29:17	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	83	18¢	$15	0x5460ee…
04-02 10:31:07	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x3b9b2d…
04-02 10:27:35	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	427	1¢	$4	0x8c4486…
04-01 16:54:01	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	SELL	517	76¢	$393	0x898fcd…
04-01 14:29:55	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	49	8¢	$4	0x5bd5fb…
04-01 14:21:05	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0xb6a09d…
04-01 13:26:01	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	88	9¢	$8	0x04e88c…
04-01 13:25:39	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0xf88a51…
04-01 13:13:45	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	182	1¢	$2	0xdf01ee…
04-01 13:10:37	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	245	1¢	$3	0x123aad…
04-01 13:09:45	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	SELL	15	78¢	$12	0x12e122…
04-01 12:57:19	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	SELL	62	0¢	$0	0xebf61e…
03-28 10:12:35	will russia capture all of huliaipole by march 31	Yes	BUY	13	11¢	$1	0xe71531…
03-28 10:12:07	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0xf8166b…
03-24 11:24:39	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	496	63¢	$312	0x1082d3…
03-24 11:01:33	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	53	62¢	$33	0x147976…
03-22 21:05:13	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x3b2ebf…
03-22 21:05:03	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xb2daef…
03-22 21:03:13	will russia capture all of huliaipole by march 31	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xda3d9f…
03-21 15:59:25	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	BUY	39	26¢	$10	0x236e68…
03-21 15:58:01	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x8019ab…
03-20 23:18:59	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	Yes	BUY	72	15¢	$11	0xa8e963…
03-15 15:59:25	will russia capture all of rodynske by march 31	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x45a61c…
03-14 21:28:17	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xc48d26…
03-14 21:27:55	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	Yes	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0x46db18…
03-14 21:25:51	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	193	58¢	$112	0xe020f1…
03-14 10:43:27	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	193	58¢	$112	0xf5922d…
03-13 18:48:25	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x092c35…
03-13 15:44:21	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	185	63¢	$117	0xc466fc…
03-09 12:49:53	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0xe7ce66…
03-08 22:12:41	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026	Yes	SELL	396	2¢	$8	0xb12b0e…
03-08 10:50:23	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x294c7e…
03-08 10:49:19	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 9 2026	Yes	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0x93a70e…
03-08 10:48:47	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026	Yes	BUY	58	35¢	$20	0x0849e1…
03-08 10:16:57	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 9 2026	Yes	BUY	51	20¢	$10	0x40f7e4…
03-08 10:04:43	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026	Yes	BUY	176	57¢	$100	0x70beaf…
03-08 09:52:43	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 9 2026	Yes	BUY	106	19¢	$20	0xd9db0a…
03-08 09:43:45	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026	Yes	BUY	132	38¢	$50	0xf6e781…
03-08 09:38:17	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	SELL	1,041	34¢	$349	0xe9bb6c…
03-08 09:27:57	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	724	32¢	$233	0xa0580a…
03-08 09:26:51	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	316	32¢	$100	0x98b8ec…
03-08 09:18:27	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	75	68¢	$51	0x2d8bd9…
03-05 16:02:21	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 5 2026	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x6a4575…
03-05 10:41:59	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 5 748 625	Yes	BUY	93	21¢	$20	0x89ee3d…
03-05 10:41:11	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 5 2026	Yes	BUY	71	20¢	$14	0xf3bd8a…
03-04 22:17:01	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	75	54¢	$40	0x696da0…
03-04 12:11:41	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	100	55¢	$55	0x9b50e6…
03-04 12:03:51	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0xf2777b…
03-03 23:09:59	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	515	68¢	$351	0x6fe2ca…
03-03 20:31:19	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	157	62¢	$97	0xd7f661…
03-03 20:16:49	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	192	49¢	$94	0x6fd3b4…
03-03 19:27:29	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	166	12¢	$20	0x73b3ee…
03-03 18:27:45	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	3,897	0¢	$4	0x52f732…