Married-Bamboo — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

35.1%

Resolved

Trades

178

lifetime

Volume

$6.62K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$37

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-14 14:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 47 days

Categories

Other

42% 33% -$6

Politics

27% 35% -$2

Sports

16% 43% -$1

Crypto

12% 50% +$0

Tech

4% 67% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-14).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
russian strike on a nato member by march 31	6	$240	124	124	+0	No	$0	02-20 14:41
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	4	$170	86	86	+0	No	$0	01-31 07:03
trump out as president by march 31	4	$159	81	81	+0	No	$0	03-27 14:49
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$155	78	78	+0	No	$0	04-10 12:17
Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$136	69	69	+0	No	+$0	05-07 15:08
Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be less than $200B at market close on IPO day?	4	$132	67	67	+0	No	-$2	05-26 15:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	4	$128	64	64	+0	No	$0	06-02 11:35
nicols maduro released from custody by january 9 2026	2	$92	46	46	+0	No	$0	01-06 14:07
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	2	$92	46	46	+0	No	$0	01-07 14:37
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$89	45	45	+0	No	+$0	01-11 13:30
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be between 440m and 480m by january 31	2	$89	44	44	+0	No	+$0	01-13 12:09
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	2	$89	45	45	+0	No	$0	01-14 11:54
will khamenei leave iran by jan 31 322	2	$88	45	45	+0	No	-$1	01-18 14:14
will solana reach 210 in january 2026	2	$87	44	44	+0	No	+$0	01-20 15:04
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	2	$87	45	45	+0	Yes	$0	01-19 13:03
will israel nuke iran by january 31	2	$86	43	43	+0	No	$0	01-23 16:09
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to no prison time?	2	$84	44	44	+0	No	$0	01-28 13:45
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	2	$83	45	45	+0	Yes	-$1	02-01 14:20
will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	2	$81	41	41	+0	No	+$0	02-03 14:47
will bad bunny perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	3	$81	41	41	+0	Yes	$0	02-04 13:45
will claude 5 be released by february 14 2026 449	2	$81	41	41	+0	No	+$0	02-09 14:59
Will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	2	$81	41	41	+0	Yes	$0	02-06 15:14
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$80	43	43	+0	No	-$1	02-15 16:24
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	2	$79	41	41	+0	No	+$0	02-17 15:59
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	2	$79	40	40	+0	No	$0	02-27 15:00
Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$79	40	40	+0	No	+$0	02-28 12:35
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$79	40	40	+0	No	+$0	03-04 12:07
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	2	$79	40	40	+0	No	$0	03-06 15:13
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$79	40	40	+0	No	$0	03-08 15:10
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$79	40	40	+0	No	$0	03-09 12:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 14:00:25	Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	34	94¢	$32	0x2a4ed7…
06-14 13:53:27	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x65f0ea…
06-12 03:17:09	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0xb82286…
06-12 03:09:30	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0x9786f6…
06-10 12:51:06	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x44a532…
06-10 12:46:31	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0xa09b9c…
06-09 00:57:03	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xd9226b…
06-09 00:54:16	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	33	98¢	$32	0x8077e2…
06-03 14:02:47	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	33	98¢	$32	0xdf7555…
06-03 13:30:51	Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x59214b…
06-02 11:37:31	Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xf069df…
06-02 11:35:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x642af7…
06-01 14:39:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xb498d7…
06-01 14:36:58	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x2703a1…
05-31 00:16:21	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x570b0b…
05-31 00:14:22	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	No	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0xd049e0…
05-29 15:57:00	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xed141b…
05-29 14:30:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0x80d475…
05-28 15:45:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x0a8103…
05-28 15:40:06	Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0xa38d69…
05-26 15:04:21	Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x9a9344…
05-26 15:01:14	Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be less than $200B at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	33	97¢	$32	0x273641…
05-26 14:00:15	Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be less than $200B at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xe307ae…
05-26 13:54:21	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x82f886…
05-24 14:28:37	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x5d9abb…
05-23 15:22:39	Will Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x7de2c8…
05-23 15:17:43	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	34	99¢	$33	0x502d20…
05-22 18:32:57	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	34	98¢	$33	0xa4e3dc…
05-22 18:30:07	Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be less than $200B at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	34	98¢	$33	0x71d3c3…
05-21 16:31:18	Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be less than $200B at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xa5dc4e…
05-21 16:25:32	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0xb6b471…
05-21 00:00:17	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0xaea048…
05-20 23:58:37	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x43574e…
05-20 00:12:01	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xe2a8d0…
05-20 00:09:29	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	35	98¢	$34	0x63a705…
05-18 23:17:24	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0xd4f5e8…
05-18 23:16:05	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	35	97¢	$34	0x0b8321…
05-18 00:02:13	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	BUY	35	97¢	$34	0xc58a08…
05-15 00:10:08	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xfc37b3…
05-14 23:07:18	Will Yoon Sang-hyun win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0xda110a…
05-13 00:32:40	Will Yoon Sang-hyun win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xf25a3f…
05-13 00:31:27	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0xd042ff…
05-12 00:10:50	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x15f33f…
05-12 00:09:21	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x676280…
05-10 14:16:54	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x835856…
05-10 13:56:04	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0x5724d5…
05-08 15:25:47	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0xcda0f1…
05-08 15:24:36	Will Stripe’s market cap be $140B or greater at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x5237e2…
05-07 15:10:58	Will Stripe’s market cap be $140B or greater at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x2a3695…
05-07 15:08:10	Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	35	99¢	$34	0x626d0a…
05-04 15:48:46	Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0x623095…
05-04 15:42:16	Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	34	98¢	$34	0xd4f843…
05-03 23:49:20	Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0xb8cd24…
05-03 23:43:08	Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x9a0e18…
05-02 14:53:52	Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x2bb79c…
05-02 14:47:44	Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x6def6e…
05-01 15:18:26	Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x87e375…
05-01 15:15:18	Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0x83e96e…
04-29 12:23:28	Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0x7a6aa9…
04-29 12:20:36	Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0xe568e9…
04-28 15:20:08	Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0xaf1603…
04-28 15:17:12	Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x9f4cf6…
04-27 14:40:34	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x89d2a5…
04-26 15:18:06	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x2628ca…
04-24 15:55:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x023bd1…
04-23 14:06:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x311ca8…
04-23 12:58:54	Will NVIDIA dip to $136 in April?	No	SELL	38	92¢	$35	0x0fdeb1…
04-21 15:11:06	Will NVIDIA dip to $136 in April?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xcc5d19…
04-21 15:06:38	Will Google dip to $220 in April?	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0xac01c4…
04-19 00:37:26	Will Google dip to $220 in April?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xeeed90…
04-16 13:40:28	Will Solana reach $160 in April?	No	SELL	39	99¢	$38	0xd8525c…
04-15 13:07:20	Will Solana reach $160 in April?	No	BUY	39	99¢	$38	0x283e7c…
04-15 13:03:46	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x3d46c5…
04-13 12:17:39	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x6ade2e…
04-13 12:12:21	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x65db98…
04-10 12:19:45	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xa4c328…
04-10 12:17:43	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	39	99¢	$38	0xa77627…
04-09 14:08:09	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x20ff44…
03-30 14:21:35	crude oil all time high by march 31	No	SELL	39	99¢	$39	0x135c78…
03-29 10:29:08	crude oil all time high by march 31	No	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0x1645f4…
03-29 10:27:32	will trump visit greenland by march 31	No	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0xc4ff06…
03-27 14:50:39	will trump visit greenland by march 31	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x1fe99b…
03-27 14:49:13	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0x9d976b…
03-26 13:41:39	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xbb95d5…
03-26 13:28:19	will trump cut off trade with spain	No	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0x063556…
03-25 14:55:39	will trump cut off trade with spain	No	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0x412212…
03-25 14:53:33	will jean michel aulas win the 2026 lyon mayoral election	No	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0xa196cb…
03-23 13:57:53	will jean michel aulas win the 2026 lyon mayoral election	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x3b260f…
03-23 13:53:49	Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0x15c6a3…
03-22 14:31:17	Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$39	0x19ddb5…
03-20 15:12:03	will akron win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x93f553…
03-20 14:39:53	will the momentum movement momentum win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0xe14437…
03-19 13:23:29	will the momentum movement momentum win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x6c90f1…
03-18 11:39:57	Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0x615d45…
03-16 14:12:59	Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x51c2a6…
03-14 14:42:21	will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	No	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0x7d8910…
03-13 13:00:35	will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x347f7b…
03-13 12:57:39	will meituan have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 469	No	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0x970a76…
03-12 12:35:59	will meituan have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 469	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x591032…
03-12 12:33:59	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0x028c13…