Noisy-Floodplain — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$305

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.0%

Resolved (30d)

207

Trades (30d)

630

9,459 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$5.69K

$58.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-15

last 10-31 16:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 225 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 48% +$3,748

Other

4% 46% +$153

Politics

0% 0% -$1

Sports

0% 50% -$17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 137 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-14 16:45 UTC	546	$1.4K	1,607	1,307	+300	Up	-$33	03-14 16:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	31	$1.2K	2,260	0	+2,260	Up	+$1,100	09-15 11:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	33	$922	2,250	0	+2,250	Up	-$922	09-15 11:57
SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-14 20:00 UTC	31	$843	1,534	0	+1,534	Up	+$691	10-14 23:57
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-24 20:00 UTC	14	$832	1,531	0	+1,531	Up	+$699	09-24 23:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	34	$831	1,530	0	+1,530	Up	+$699	09-08 23:59
SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-21 04:00 UTC	22	$735	1,050	0	+1,050	Up	+$315	09-21 07:52
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-15 20:00 UTC	24	$704	1,000	0	+1,000	Down	+$296	08-15 23:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 11:45 UTC	35	$691	1,500	0	+1,500	Down	-$691	08-29 11:54
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-29 08:00 UTC	34	$662	1,510	0	+1,510	Down	+$848	08-29 11:56
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:55 UTC	31	$555	1,534	0	+1,534	Up	-$555	10-14 23:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 23:55 UTC	14	$517	1,531	0	+1,531	Up	-$517	09-24 23:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	32	$453	1,500	0	+1,500	Up	-$453	09-08 23:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-15 05:45 UTC	31	$341	980	0	+980	Up	+$639	08-15 05:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 05:55 UTC	25	$320	980	0	+980	Up	-$320	08-15 05:58
XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-26 04:00 UTC	11	$301	343	0	+343	Down	+$42	08-26 07:59
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 08:00 UTC	12	$267	450	0	+450	Down	+$183	08-25 11:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 01:00 UTC	9	$265	450	0	+450	Down	-$265	10-04 01:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 22:05 UTC	2	$263	217	217	+0	Up	+$63	07-10 22:06
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-08 08:00 UTC	11	$241	450	0	+450	Up	+$209	08-08 11:59
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 07:45 UTC	22	$229	1,050	0	+1,050	Up	-$229	09-21 07:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	16	$223	492	0	+492	Down	+$269	09-05 06:58
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 05:10 UTC	35	$215	452	0	+452	Down	-$215	04-03 05:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	21	$215	492	0	+492	Down	-$215	09-05 06:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 20:40 UTC	16	$192	302	0	+302	Down	-$192	04-04 20:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 23:55 UTC	13	$188	260	0	+260	Down	+$62	09-30 23:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	14	$181	250	0	+250	Down	+$69	04-29 00:14
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 18:55 UTC	59	$176	180	111	+69	Up	-$7	02-20 19:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 01:10 UTC	9	$174	450	0	+450	Down	+$276	10-04 01:13
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-15 23:45 UTC	24	$173	1,000	0	+1,000	Down	-$173	08-15 23:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 16:59:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x34e3b6…
10-31 16:59:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x129438…
10-31 15:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x61c387…
10-31 15:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x5eae25…
10-31 15:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	43¢	$2	0x2cead5…
10-31 15:27:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xae9125…
10-31 15:27:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x6194ec…
10-31 15:27:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x4c1746…
10-31 15:27:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x9a01ec…
10-31 10:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xa210ea…
10-31 10:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x6a2977…
10-30 22:58:43	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x10e62c…
10-30 22:58:43	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x0c3fc8…
10-30 22:58:28	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x2258d5…
10-29 19:57:43	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0x977c41…
10-29 19:57:42	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	91¢	$16	0x73b5e9…
10-29 19:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x0a223a…
10-29 19:57:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x21ced2…
10-29 16:42:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x8e13f3…
10-29 16:42:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0x7c77a4…
10-29 16:42:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0x4807d4…
10-29 16:42:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x5e34eb…
10-29 16:42:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0x21feb7…
10-29 16:42:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x407ba7…
10-29 00:57:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x73f65b…
10-29 00:57:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xb1c1b6…
10-29 00:57:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xade641…
10-29 00:57:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0xacab58…
10-27 22:28:15	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xf8d3e2…
10-27 15:41:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x364bd5…
10-27 15:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0xbb6bc5…
10-27 15:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x344a09…
10-27 02:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	26¢	$2	0xc124bd…
10-27 02:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x1db2a0…
10-27 02:13:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xdb49a8…
10-25 18:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0xfb371b…
10-25 18:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0x8900a9…
10-25 18:58:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0xb41dda…
10-25 18:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	59¢	$30	0x564c08…
10-25 18:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	33	51¢	$17	0x01636c…
10-25 18:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xd545c8…
10-25 18:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x980196…
10-25 18:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x9250f5…
10-25 18:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0x42fd27…
10-25 18:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x249443…
10-25 18:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x045bed…
10-25 18:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	33	40¢	$13	0x95b1a6…
10-25 18:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	33	47¢	$15	0x3962cd…
10-25 18:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0x90697d…
10-25 18:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0x54e61e…
10-25 18:55:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xf75593…
10-25 18:55:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x96da0c…
10-25 18:55:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x2cb7a3…
10-25 18:55:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x02b69c…
10-25 18:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xb04f19…
10-25 18:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x851123…
10-25 18:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x850c49…
10-25 18:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1820a1…
10-25 18:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	76¢	$4	0xfcff15…
10-25 18:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0xb7bc64…
10-25 18:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x8fd564…
10-25 18:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	36	19¢	$7	0x780783…
10-25 18:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xfc2377…
10-25 18:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	41	70¢	$29	0xa0bf34…
10-25 18:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	24	27¢	$7	0x17fd62…
10-25 18:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	22	47¢	$11	0xda20b5…
10-25 18:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	23	56¢	$13	0xd84ec7…
10-25 18:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0x8f6542…
10-25 18:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0x8c626e…
10-25 18:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x67fbbf…
10-25 18:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0x597fc7…
10-25 18:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	47¢	$1	0x24feaa…
10-25 18:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	56¢	$10	0xecdcf8…
10-25 18:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$4	0xcd2ac6…
10-25 18:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	18	46¢	$8	0x96cb48…
10-25 18:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	13	46¢	$6	0x3fe630…
10-25 18:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0xdcbb66…
10-25 18:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xbceb88…
10-25 18:43:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x738420…
10-25 18:43:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x70043f…
10-25 18:43:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x44fea4…
10-25 18:43:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x0409c5…
10-25 17:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0xbf569a…
10-25 17:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	64¢	$32	0x2c6be2…
10-25 17:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	40	28¢	$11	0xbe6a4f…
10-25 17:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	34	69¢	$23	0x8a4289…
10-25 17:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x015156…
10-25 17:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	45¢	$14	0xfb9e2a…
10-25 17:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	37¢	$11	0x5efaac…
10-25 17:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xfb9200…
10-25 17:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x099258…
10-25 17:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xeadb41…
10-25 17:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xb3702f…
10-25 04:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x46db8b…
10-25 04:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x0f6b7b…
10-25 04:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xf0787c…
10-25 04:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xb02764…
10-25 04:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xf1ef29…
10-25 04:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x9b577f…
10-25 03:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	40	64¢	$26	0xc6e882…