Noisy-Floodplain — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

42.2%

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

9,650 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$43

$60.4K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-15

last 11-14 10:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 237 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 48% +$4,722

Other

4% 46% +$152

Politics

0% 0% -$1

Sports

0% 50% -$17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

76 active days in 12wk • peak 90 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-14 16:45 UTC	546	$1.4K	1,607	1,307	+300	Up	-$33	03-14 16:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	31	$1.2K	2,260	0	+2,260	Up	+$1,100	09-15 11:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	33	$922	2,250	0	+2,250	Up	-$922	09-15 11:57
SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-14 20:00 UTC	31	$843	1,534	0	+1,534	Up	+$691	10-14 23:57
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-24 20:00 UTC	14	$832	1,531	0	+1,531	Up	+$699	09-24 23:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	34	$831	1,530	0	+1,530	Up	+$699	09-08 23:59
SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-21 04:00 UTC	22	$735	1,050	0	+1,050	Up	+$315	09-21 07:52
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-15 20:00 UTC	24	$704	1,000	0	+1,000	Down	+$296	08-15 23:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 11:45 UTC	35	$691	1,500	0	+1,500	Down	-$691	08-29 11:54
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-29 08:00 UTC	34	$662	1,510	0	+1,510	Down	+$848	08-29 11:56
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:55 UTC	31	$555	1,534	0	+1,534	Up	-$555	10-14 23:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 23:55 UTC	14	$517	1,531	0	+1,531	Up	-$517	09-24 23:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	32	$453	1,500	0	+1,500	Up	-$453	09-08 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	15	$361	650	0	+650	Up	+$289	11-06 20:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-15 05:45 UTC	31	$341	980	0	+980	Up	+$639	08-15 05:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	17	$330	645	0	+645	Up	+$315	11-01 15:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	8	$326	450	0	+450	Down	+$124	11-06 23:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 05:55 UTC	25	$320	980	0	+980	Up	-$320	08-15 05:58
XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-26 04:00 UTC	11	$301	343	0	+343	Down	+$42	08-26 07:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	13	$270	850	0	+850	Down	+$580	11-06 20:58
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 08:00 UTC	12	$267	450	0	+450	Down	+$183	08-25 11:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 01:00 UTC	9	$265	450	0	+450	Down	-$265	10-04 01:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 22:05 UTC	2	$263	217	217	+0	Up	+$63	07-10 22:06
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-08 08:00 UTC	11	$241	450	0	+450	Up	+$209	08-08 11:59
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 07:45 UTC	22	$229	1,050	0	+1,050	Up	-$229	09-21 07:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	13	$228	650	0	+650	Up	-$228	11-01 15:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	16	$223	492	0	+492	Down	+$269	09-05 06:58
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 05:10 UTC	35	$215	452	0	+452	Down	-$215	04-03 05:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	21	$215	492	0	+492	Down	-$215	09-05 06:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 20:40 UTC	16	$192	302	0	+302	Down	-$192	04-04 20:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 10:58:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x69affa…
11-14 10:58:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x311fd2…
11-14 10:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0xe59fa3…
11-14 10:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xa9faa0…
11-14 10:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x7f8129…
11-14 10:29:19	Solana Up or Down - November 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6a1672…
11-14 10:29:10	Solana Up or Down - November 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xe8c31d…
11-14 10:29:10	Solana Up or Down - November 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x582ab0…
11-14 04:58:25	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x34e88d…
11-13 23:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xe46b6a…
11-13 23:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf04bed…
11-13 19:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xca1d42…
11-13 19:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xd54bfd…
11-13 05:56:09	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	9¢	$1	0x71f549…
11-13 05:56:07	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	90¢	$12	0x8cf8bc…
11-13 02:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x6ab3f0…
11-13 02:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xc63755…
11-12 22:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xb2cdc4…
11-12 22:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x7e8102…
11-12 22:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x77ef3e…
11-12 22:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x5115f9…
11-12 21:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xfb11e2…
11-12 21:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xea66a0…
11-12 01:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	59¢	$18	0x3cb305…
11-12 01:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xca1913…
11-12 01:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x4eb5c1…
11-12 01:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x92f971…
11-12 01:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x2ec094…
11-12 01:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$3	0x5fda7f…
11-12 01:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xafe0c7…
11-11 20:47:55	Solana Up or Down - November 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x35c3d4…
11-11 20:47:19	Solana Up or Down - November 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xdcbba1…
11-11 14:28:36	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x257e10…
11-11 14:27:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x15dbeb…
11-11 09:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xc672a9…
11-11 08:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	30	27¢	$8	0x0d0182…
11-11 08:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xbda79f…
11-11 08:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x78b5f4…
11-11 08:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	43¢	$2	0x41ba95…
11-11 08:13:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xd04036…
11-11 08:13:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	43¢	$0	0xc46612…
11-11 08:12:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xbc5f42…
11-10 23:59:37	Solana Up or Down - November 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x561fda…
11-10 11:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xf34f97…
11-09 08:13:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x39f987…
11-09 07:58:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x35c8e9…
11-07 19:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$0	0xc13d91…
11-07 19:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	75¢	$7	0x05e7f9…
11-07 13:26:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xd27e82…
11-07 13:26:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x73512f…
11-07 10:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0xef90a8…
11-07 10:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xb9a9d0…
11-06 23:14:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	200	78¢	$156	0xa457f7…
11-06 23:14:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0x3dc32e…
11-06 23:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0xf011ad…
11-06 23:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xed3764…
11-06 23:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0xcc50fd…
11-06 23:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0xb5789e…
11-06 23:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0xe0562f…
11-06 23:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0xa8ab5c…
11-06 23:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	40	84¢	$34	0xa5e803…
11-06 23:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0x716bf8…
11-06 23:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	27¢	$8	0xa812be…
11-06 23:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	25	62¢	$16	0x80802c…
11-06 23:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x2576c4…
11-06 23:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xf257b6…
11-06 23:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xf020a2…
11-06 23:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xca8621…
11-06 23:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x5a1b9b…
11-06 22:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x0d2292…
11-06 22:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x01df6c…
11-06 20:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	200	20¢	$39	0xc20cd9…
11-06 20:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	60	61¢	$37	0xfeadd9…
11-06 20:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	60	31¢	$19	0xb566de…
11-06 20:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	140	56¢	$78	0x7db24c…
11-06 20:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	140	30¢	$42	0x524162…
11-06 20:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	200	29¢	$58	0xd40d33…
11-06 20:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	200	62¢	$124	0xb924f3…
11-06 20:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x4bb85d…
11-06 20:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x875055…
11-06 20:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	55¢	$27	0x7e44e7…
11-06 20:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x4f6e71…
11-06 20:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	46	40¢	$18	0x922333…
11-06 20:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	46	55¢	$25	0x3edad5…
11-06 20:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xe44c88…
11-06 20:57:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xd1bba6…
11-06 20:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x43b9f0…
11-06 20:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	40	48¢	$19	0xba3c9a…
11-06 20:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	43¢	$0	0xa1a470…
11-06 20:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	29	43¢	$12	0x87c193…
11-06 20:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	40	48¢	$19	0x813e58…
11-06 20:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0x865bc5…
11-06 20:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	42¢	$13	0x78dff6…
11-06 20:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0x416ae1…
11-06 20:57:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0xd92bfa…
11-06 20:57:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0xce52c2…
11-06 20:57:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x31ca6c…
11-06 20:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x89adb2…
11-06 20:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x2fbc9b…
11-06 17:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x0d5914…