Noisy-Floodplain — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$90

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.9%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

9,511 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$949

$58.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-15

last 11-01 19:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 226 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 48% +$3,838

Other

4% 46% +$153

Politics

0% 0% -$1

Sports

0% 50% -$17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 137 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-14 16:45 UTC	546	$1.4K	1,607	1,307	+300	Up	-$33	03-14 16:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	31	$1.2K	2,260	0	+2,260	Up	+$1,100	09-15 11:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	33	$922	2,250	0	+2,250	Up	-$922	09-15 11:57
SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-14 20:00 UTC	31	$843	1,534	0	+1,534	Up	+$691	10-14 23:57
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-24 20:00 UTC	14	$832	1,531	0	+1,531	Up	+$699	09-24 23:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	34	$831	1,530	0	+1,530	Up	+$699	09-08 23:59
SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-21 04:00 UTC	22	$735	1,050	0	+1,050	Up	+$315	09-21 07:52
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-15 20:00 UTC	24	$704	1,000	0	+1,000	Down	+$296	08-15 23:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 11:45 UTC	35	$691	1,500	0	+1,500	Down	-$691	08-29 11:54
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-29 08:00 UTC	34	$662	1,510	0	+1,510	Down	+$848	08-29 11:56
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:55 UTC	31	$555	1,534	0	+1,534	Up	-$555	10-14 23:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 23:55 UTC	14	$517	1,531	0	+1,531	Up	-$517	09-24 23:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	32	$453	1,500	0	+1,500	Up	-$453	09-08 23:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-15 05:45 UTC	31	$341	980	0	+980	Up	+$639	08-15 05:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	17	$330	645	0	+645	Up	+$315	11-01 15:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 05:55 UTC	25	$320	980	0	+980	Up	-$320	08-15 05:58
XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-26 04:00 UTC	11	$301	343	0	+343	Down	+$42	08-26 07:59
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 08:00 UTC	12	$267	450	0	+450	Down	+$183	08-25 11:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 01:00 UTC	9	$265	450	0	+450	Down	-$265	10-04 01:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 22:05 UTC	2	$263	217	217	+0	Up	+$63	07-10 22:06
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-08 08:00 UTC	11	$241	450	0	+450	Up	+$209	08-08 11:59
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 07:45 UTC	22	$229	1,050	0	+1,050	Up	-$229	09-21 07:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	13	$228	650	0	+650	Up	-$228	11-01 15:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	16	$223	492	0	+492	Down	+$269	09-05 06:58
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 05:10 UTC	35	$215	452	0	+452	Down	-$215	04-03 05:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	21	$215	492	0	+492	Down	-$215	09-05 06:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 20:40 UTC	16	$192	302	0	+302	Down	-$192	04-04 20:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 23:55 UTC	13	$188	260	0	+260	Down	+$62	09-30 23:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	14	$181	250	0	+250	Down	+$69	04-29 00:14
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 18:55 UTC	59	$176	180	111	+69	Up	-$7	02-20 19:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 19:58:45	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x7eb7fc…
11-01 16:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x72aac7…
11-01 16:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0xafeea0…
11-01 16:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x57e81d…
11-01 16:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x1d2551…
11-01 15:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	47	90¢	$42	0x1c90ce…
11-01 15:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	47	5¢	$2	0x08b0b6…
11-01 15:42:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0xba5b3e…
11-01 15:42:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0x771935…
11-01 15:42:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	40	73¢	$29	0x83147d…
11-01 15:42:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	40	16¢	$6	0x26f77a…
11-01 15:42:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	30	15¢	$4	0x3bebc6…
11-01 15:42:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x33603e…
11-01 15:42:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	30	68¢	$20	0x08ea21…
11-01 15:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x6ac223…
11-01 15:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x476a21…
11-01 15:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x1de65a…
11-01 15:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	148	28¢	$41	0xcc5d74…
11-01 15:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	145	62¢	$89	0xb6b525…
11-01 15:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	52	29¢	$15	0x9fa59a…
11-01 15:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	52	53¢	$28	0x4da771…
11-01 15:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	200	35¢	$70	0xe4d49a…
11-01 15:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	200	41¢	$83	0x599495…
11-01 15:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0x0d1abf…
11-01 15:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	56¢	$0	0x70cbe5…
11-01 15:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x703305…
11-01 15:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x6b2e85…
11-01 15:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x68c6e3…
11-01 15:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	48	39¢	$19	0x564e7f…
11-01 15:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x48bfff…
11-01 15:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x1494e7…
11-01 15:26:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	50	39¢	$20	0x902c5f…
11-01 15:26:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0x75d823…
11-01 15:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xd0925e…
11-01 15:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xbedc9b…
11-01 15:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	40	44¢	$18	0xd13188…
11-01 15:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0x4643ec…
11-01 15:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	40	47¢	$19	0x519da2…
11-01 15:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	40	40¢	$16	0x0b53ba…
11-01 15:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0xa53314…
11-01 15:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	65¢	$20	0x7ade08…
11-01 15:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x89b85f…
11-01 15:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x890bd8…
11-01 15:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xd47f56…
11-01 15:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	0	67¢	$0	0xb1c707…
11-01 15:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	35¢	$2	0x94c9f4…
11-01 15:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x2d3259…
11-01 13:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x9a548e…
11-01 13:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x31b5fa…
11-01 13:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0x016167…
11-01 13:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x456dc6…
11-01 13:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x3cb3c8…
10-31 16:59:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x34e3b6…
10-31 16:59:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x129438…
10-31 15:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x61c387…
10-31 15:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x5eae25…
10-31 15:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	43¢	$2	0x2cead5…
10-31 15:27:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xae9125…
10-31 15:27:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x6194ec…
10-31 15:27:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x4c1746…
10-31 15:27:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x9a01ec…
10-31 10:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xa210ea…
10-31 10:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x6a2977…
10-30 22:58:43	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x10e62c…
10-30 22:58:43	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x0c3fc8…
10-30 22:58:28	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x2258d5…
10-29 19:57:43	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0x977c41…
10-29 19:57:42	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	91¢	$16	0x73b5e9…
10-29 19:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x0a223a…
10-29 19:57:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x21ced2…
10-29 16:42:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x8e13f3…
10-29 16:42:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0x7c77a4…
10-29 16:42:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0x4807d4…
10-29 16:42:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x5e34eb…
10-29 16:42:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0x21feb7…
10-29 16:42:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x407ba7…
10-29 00:57:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x73f65b…
10-29 00:57:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xb1c1b6…
10-29 00:57:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xade641…
10-29 00:57:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0xacab58…
10-27 22:28:15	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xf8d3e2…
10-27 15:41:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x364bd5…
10-27 15:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0xbb6bc5…
10-27 15:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x344a09…
10-27 02:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	26¢	$2	0xc124bd…
10-27 02:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x1db2a0…
10-27 02:13:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xdb49a8…
10-25 18:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0xfb371b…
10-25 18:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0x8900a9…
10-25 18:58:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0xb41dda…
10-25 18:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	59¢	$30	0x564c08…
10-25 18:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	33	51¢	$17	0x01636c…
10-25 18:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xd545c8…
10-25 18:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x980196…
10-25 18:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x9250f5…
10-25 18:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0x42fd27…
10-25 18:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x249443…
10-25 18:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x045bed…
10-25 18:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	33	40¢	$13	0x95b1a6…
10-25 18:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	33	47¢	$15	0x3962cd…