(anonymous) 0xfb1b4e…67a11d
whale hot 14W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
+$2.41K
Unrealized P&L
-$506
Hit rate
86.9%
Resolved (30d)
23
Trades (30d)
66
481 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$34.4K
$181.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$377
Open exposure
$21.1K
22 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 17:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 43 days
Categories
Other
61% 63% +$8,691
Tech
39% 61% -$5,004
Politics
0% 100% +$21
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +4,864 $3,012 97¢ $4.7K +$1,711 10-18 02:59
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +9,467 $4,928 26¢ $2.5K -$2,420 10-05 16:46
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +3,155 $2,208 68¢ $2.1K -$79 10-28 17:43
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? Yes +2,321 $1,764 92¢ $2.1K +$360 10-20 19:43
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +3,943 $1,625 53¢ $2.1K +$464 10-28 17:33
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +1,706 $1,240 99¢ $1.7K +$452 10-19 15:53
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +2,494 $1,235 67¢ $1.7K +$436 09-30 20:53
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026? No +1,012 $806 99¢ $1.0K +$196 09-29 16:16
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? No +1,000 $929 99¢ $992 +$62 09-12 10:27
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,510 $666 20¢ $502 -$164 09-10 15:26
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? No +1,566 $501 26¢ $407 -$94 09-29 17:39
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? No +388 $80 95¢ $368 +$288 10-13 02:48
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +1,031 $433 33¢ $340 -$93 10-13 19:08
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? No +220 $40 96¢ $212 +$173 09-24 02:24
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? Yes +1,829 $1,298 5¢ $96 -$1,202 10-13 14:44
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +403 $88 21¢ $85 -$3 09-12 12:59
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +161 $136 52¢ $84 -$51 09-10 17:19
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026? No +2,049 $395 2¢ $43 -$352 10-09 20:14
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? Yes +146 $74 22¢ $31 -$42 10-28 00:48
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? Yes +400 $78 4¢ $18 -$60 10-13 15:45
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? Yes +215 $52 4¢ $8 -$44 10-03 17:40
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +1,814 $48 0¢ $3 -$45 10-13 19:27