(anonymous) 0xfb1b4e…67a11d
whale hot 14W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$3.71K
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
70.1%
Resolved
86
Trades
481
lifetime
Volume
$181.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$377
Open exposure
$21.6K
22 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 17:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 43 days
Categories
Other
61% 63% +$8,691
Tech
39% 61% -$5,004
Politics
0% 100% +$21
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +4,864 $3,012 98¢ $4.8K +$1,767 10-18 02:59
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +9,467 $4,928 28¢ $2.6K -$2,325 10-05 16:46
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +3,943 $1,625 58¢ $2.3K +$681 10-28 17:33
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +3,155 $2,208 71¢ $2.2K +$32 10-28 17:43
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? Yes +2,321 $1,764 92¢ $2.1K +$383 10-20 19:43
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +2,494 $1,235 70¢ $1.7K +$498 09-30 20:53
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +1,706 $1,240 99¢ $1.7K +$452 10-19 15:53
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026? No +1,012 $806 99¢ $998 +$192 09-29 16:16
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? No +1,000 $929 99¢ $992 +$62 09-12 10:27
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,510 $666 18¢ $464 -$201 09-10 15:26
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? No +1,566 $501 26¢ $415 -$86 09-29 17:39
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? No +388 $80 95¢ $370 +$290 10-13 02:48
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +1,031 $433 30¢ $314 -$119 10-13 19:08
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? No +220 $40 97¢ $214 +$175 09-24 02:24
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +161 $136 62¢ $100 -$35 09-10 17:19
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? Yes +1,829 $1,298 5¢ $88 -$1,210 10-13 14:44
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +403 $88 21¢ $84 -$4 09-12 12:59
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? Yes +400 $78 8¢ $30 -$48 10-13 15:45
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? Yes +146 $74 18¢ $27 -$47 10-28 00:48
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026? No +2,049 $395 1¢ $25 -$370 10-09 20:14
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? Yes +215 $52 3¢ $5 -$46 10-03 17:40
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +1,814 $48 0¢ $3 -$45 10-13 19:27