(anonymous) 0xfb1b4e…67a11d
whale 14W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
-$480
Unrealized P&L
-$1.02K
Hit rate
17.9%
Resolved (7d)
3
Trades (7d)
4
481 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$2.81K
$181.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$377
Open exposure
$20.6K
22 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 17:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 43 days
Categories
Other
61% 63% +$8,691
Tech
39% 61% -$5,004
Politics
0% 100% +$21
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +4,864 $3,012 98¢ $4.8K +$1,767 10-18 02:59
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +3,155 $2,208 72¢ $2.3K +$47 10-28 17:43
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? Yes +2,321 $1,764 93¢ $2.2K +$395 10-20 19:43
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +9,467 $4,928 22¢ $2.0K -$2,893 10-05 16:46
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +3,943 $1,625 52¢ $2.0K +$405 10-28 17:33
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +1,706 $1,240 100¢ $1.7K +$460 10-19 15:53
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +2,494 $1,235 61¢ $1.5K +$286 09-30 20:53
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026? No +1,012 $806 98¢ $995 +$190 09-29 16:16
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? No +1,000 $929 99¢ $990 +$61 09-12 10:27
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,510 $666 17¢ $427 -$239 09-10 15:26
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +1,031 $433 39¢ $402 -$31 10-13 19:08
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? No +388 $80 93¢ $361 +$281 10-13 02:48
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? No +1,566 $501 20¢ $321 -$180 09-29 17:39
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? No +220 $40 98¢ $216 +$176 09-24 02:24
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? Yes +1,829 $1,298 7¢ $131 -$1,167 10-13 14:44
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +403 $88 23¢ $94 +$6 09-12 12:59
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +161 $136 56¢ $91 -$45 09-10 17:19
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? Yes +400 $78 9¢ $36 -$42 10-13 15:45
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? Yes +146 $74 22¢ $31 -$42 10-28 00:48
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026? No +2,049 $395 2¢ $31 -$364 10-09 20:14
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +1,814 $48 0¢ $5 -$44 10-13 19:27
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? Yes +215 $52 2¢ $4 -$48 10-03 17:40