Mushy-South — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$87

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

8.4%

Resolved

124

Trades

126

lifetime

Volume

$128

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 10-22 07:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 54 days

Categories

Other

92% 7% -$77

Crypto

5% 0% -$6

Politics

3% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 6?	2	$4	3	3	+0	Yes	+$2	08-06 05:40
highest temperature in singapore on april 22 2026 30c	2	$2	31	0	+31	No	-$2	04-21 05:51
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 7?	1	$1	10	0	+10	No	-$1	08-06 16:13
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 17?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	08-17 10:38
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on October 8?	1	$1	4	0	+4	No	-$1	10-07 06:33
will trump say jesus this week march 8	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	-$1	03-11 16:44
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on May 11?	1	$1	20	0	+20	No	-$1	05-10 16:56
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 80°F or higher on May 30?	1	$1	40	0	+40	Yes	-$1	05-28 08:31
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 64-65°F on May 3?	1	$1	100	0	+100	No	-$1	05-01 11:03
highest temperature in madrid on april 21 2026 30c	1	$1	25	0	+25	No	-$1	04-20 14:37
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	03-16 14:28
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 9?	1	$1	4	0	+4	No	-$1	10-07 06:31
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on April 29?	1	$1	143	0	+143	No	-$1	04-29 13:17
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on May 23?	1	$1	11	0	+11	No	-$1	05-22 07:06
bitcoin above 62k on march 12	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	-$1	03-12 12:27
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on May 9?	1	$1	500	0	+500	No	-$1	05-07 09:16
Will the lowest temperature in London be 2°C or below on May 10?	1	$1	100	0	+100	No	-$1	05-09 17:07
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C or higher on September 3?	1	$1	434	0	+434	No	-$1	09-02 15:46
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on May 23?	1	$1	114	0	+114	No	-$1	05-22 07:08
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on September 4?	1	$1	110	0	+110	No	-$1	09-03 14:33
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on May 8?	1	$1	10	0	+10	No	-$1	05-07 09:17
bitcoin above 62k on march 14	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	-$1	03-14 14:14
highest temperature in warsaw on april 15 2026 13c	1	$1	34	0	+34	No	-$1	04-14 10:35
bitcoin above 58k on march 13	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	-$1	03-13 11:14
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	-$1	03-12 06:36
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on May 1?	1	$1	6	0	+6	No	-$1	04-29 12:33
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	-$1	03-12 16:55
bitcoin above 64k on march 11	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	-$1	03-11 16:46
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 23?	1	$1	8	0	+8	No	-$1	10-22 07:31
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on October 1?	1	$1	20	0	+20	No	-$1	09-30 16:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 07:33:38	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	39	3¢	$1	0xf0415e…
10-22 07:31:32	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xa9cfad…
10-22 07:31:23	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xcae312…
10-10 07:13:36	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x90e229…
10-10 07:12:10	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x1a6469…
10-10 07:11:25	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xd8ca26…
10-07 06:33:45	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x49d331…
10-07 06:33:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xb4de02…
10-07 06:31:50	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xab54b4…
10-07 06:29:50	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xf7afbc…
10-05 12:26:10	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x364330…
10-05 12:24:52	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x2800f7…
10-05 12:19:01	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 6?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0xc6342a…
09-30 16:46:57	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x46180b…
09-30 16:46:23	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xd7f12e…
09-30 16:41:59	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x0e3394…
09-30 16:40:42	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x89912e…
09-30 16:39:42	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xf17a69…
09-03 14:44:54	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0xdcb97e…
09-03 14:44:40	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x7553ab…
09-03 14:43:06	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x158b6d…
09-03 14:33:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on September 4?	Yes	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0x1a4f48…
09-03 14:33:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x55511f…
09-02 15:57:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xbe72a8…
09-02 15:52:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x74fe48…
09-02 15:46:52	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C or higher on September 3?	Yes	BUY	434	0¢	$1	0xc8ff41…
08-17 10:38:40	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x0a8600…
08-17 10:37:46	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	344	0¢	$1	0x6830c3…
08-06 16:20:50	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 38°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5f140d…
08-06 16:13:26	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x8d109f…
08-06 16:11:32	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x6ed9c3…
08-06 05:40:35	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 6?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xae210d…
08-04 13:24:51	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xc3f2a7…
08-04 13:21:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x2c065a…
08-04 13:16:35	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x70ef57…
08-04 13:15:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x4d1e02…
08-04 13:13:33	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x61fe5d…
08-04 13:08:26	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xe3ff2c…
05-28 08:31:16	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 80°F or higher on May 30?	No	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x16f66c…
05-25 12:02:41	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C or below on May 27?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x215381…
05-25 12:01:54	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xf73072…
05-25 12:00:34	Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	219	0¢	$1	0xbebcbc…
05-24 07:38:55	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C or higher on May 25?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x4a6b2f…
05-24 07:37:36	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 25?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xdf0178…
05-22 07:09:43	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xbc20b8…
05-22 07:08:10	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	114	1¢	$1	0x7cf6f8…
05-22 07:06:17	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x74359f…
05-22 07:03:43	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x43071f…
05-22 06:55:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 23?	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0xc2e3d2…
05-22 06:45:27	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x6ebe54…
05-22 06:42:51	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xaca7e6…
05-11 14:41:58	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x89640a…
05-11 14:36:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0xdc264e…
05-11 14:19:17	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x9451b9…
05-11 12:32:25	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x72dafb…
05-10 16:59:27	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	74	1¢	$1	0x2f1d3c…
05-10 16:56:09	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xc8aec3…
05-10 16:45:28	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 12?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xf331f5…
05-09 17:08:14	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 73°F or below on May 11?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x5ebb80…
05-09 17:07:25	Will the lowest temperature in London be 2°C or below on May 10?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xdc653b…
05-07 09:19:39	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xd1a52b…
05-07 09:19:09	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xf7c26b…
05-07 09:17:58	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x7e82ab…
05-07 09:17:24	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on May 8?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x161e70…
05-07 09:16:32	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on May 9?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xb3337d…
05-07 09:14:47	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 7?	No	BUY	126	1¢	$1	0xd42559…
05-03 10:02:46	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 46-47°F on May 4?	Yes	BUY	225	0¢	$1	0xcdb4ea…
05-03 10:02:10	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	57	2¢	$1	0xa7c89c…
05-03 10:01:40	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 28°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	201	0¢	$1	0xa41765…
05-03 10:01:02	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 69°F or below on May 4?	Yes	BUY	128	1¢	$1	0x8a53a6…
05-03 09:59:44	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x95d157…
05-03 09:58:50	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 4?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x05f6b5…
05-03 09:55:26	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 4?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x26f8d3…
05-02 16:09:12	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 50-51°F on May 3?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0xd77fbc…
05-01 11:05:18	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x88a979…
05-01 11:05:08	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x8c1699…
05-01 11:04:16	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x564f4d…
05-01 11:03:58	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C or higher on May 2?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xfa27e7…
05-01 11:03:32	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xc4e43a…
05-01 11:03:06	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 64-65°F on May 3?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7b5ad9…
05-01 11:02:28	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on May 3?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1831b8…
05-01 11:01:48	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x7c0f35…
04-30 05:41:54	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on May 1?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x5b9cf4…
04-29 13:17:10	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on April 29?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0xea4597…
04-29 13:14:30	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on April 29?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x9c566e…
04-29 13:08:56	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	221	0¢	$1	0x303225…
04-29 12:47:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 1?	Yes	BUY	89	1¢	$1	0x83edb9…
04-29 12:33:54	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on May 1?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x168a0d…
04-28 15:59:26	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x51061b…
04-28 15:32:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xf23958…
04-27 06:16:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	102	1¢	$1	0x35a246…
04-27 06:15:42	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x1a9f55…
04-27 06:13:32	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 28?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xf81d01…
04-26 16:59:28	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa68b85…
04-26 16:15:32	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 71°F or below on April 28?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xd4452a…
04-26 16:14:32	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on April 28?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x7b38db…
04-21 05:51:34	highest temperature in singapore on april 22 2026 30c	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0xfee096…
04-20 14:45:54	highest temperature in singapore on april 22 2026 30c	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x7d7618…
04-20 14:43:56	highest temperature in madrid on april 22 2026 30c	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0xafad91…
04-20 14:37:20	highest temperature in madrid on april 21 2026 30c	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x7a6ae9…