Aged-Lamp — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

103

lifetime

Volume

$823

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-29 06:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

46% 100% +$0

Crypto

29% 100% +$1

Tech

10% — —

Sports

9% — —

Politics

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$74	75	+75	open	—	06-26 04:25
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	1	$74	74	+74	open	—	06-04 23:31
Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?	1	$67	67	+67	Yes	+$0	05-05 18:59
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$44	46	+46	open	—	05-22 02:47
Nexus FDV above $20M one day after launch?	1	$44	44	+44	open	—	05-20 19:33
Will Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$44	46	+46	open	—	05-16 08:54
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	1	$44	44	+44	open	—	05-15 04:37
Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$43	44	+44	open	—	05-14 19:58
Will Greece advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$42	43	+43	Yes	+$0	05-10 05:56
Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$28	29	+29	No	+$1	04-14 03:03
will ng dip to 2 80 in june 2026	1	$18	18	+18	open	—	06-28 10:40
Will Silver (SI) settle over $70 on the final trading day of June 2026?	1	$11	11	+11	open	—	06-29 05:05
will gold gc hit high 4400 by end of june copy 20260609185905943	1	$9	9	+9	open	—	06-29 05:16
si hit 150 high jan 2026	1	$9	9	+9	open	—	01-06 07:28
nvda above 130 on january 30 2026	2	$8	8	+8	open	—	01-15 04:28
pltr above 206 on january 30 2026	1	$7	7	+7	open	—	01-24 09:35
will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	1	$7	7	+7	open	—	02-20 12:13
will dogecoin dip to 0pt05 in march 2026	1	$7	7	+7	open	—	03-31 02:45
will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	1	$7	7	+7	open	—	01-07 18:43
will xauusd reach 4600 in june 2026	1	$7	7	+7	open	—	06-29 05:23
nflx above 120 on february 27 2026	2	$7	7	+7	open	—	02-23 08:23
meta above 540 on january 30 2026	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	01-09 13:18
gc settle above 5100 jan 2026	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	01-09 05:31
will gold gc hit high 6400 by end of february 581 221 834 595 555	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	02-20 17:10
will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	02-21 01:47
will hyperliquid dip to 24 in march	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	03-24 14:12
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (LOW) in June?	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	06-29 06:01
will tesla be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	02-21 03:13
will saudi aramco be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	01-19 06:10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	05-09 22:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 06:01:40	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (LOW) in June?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x37efbc…
06-29 05:23:35	will xauusd reach 4600 in june 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x7c6fd7…
06-29 05:16:35	will gold gc hit high 4400 by end of june copy 20260609185905943	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb26066…
06-29 05:05:59	Will Silver (SI) settle over $70 on the final trading day of June 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x8275d9…
06-28 10:40:14	will ng dip to 2 80 in june 2026	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xc5f4e9…
06-26 04:25:08	Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x71bde6…
06-04 23:31:04	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	BUY	74	99¢	$74	0x3635b6…
05-22 02:47:34	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	46	97¢	$44	0x8a5f30…
05-20 19:33:10	Nexus FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0xaada09…
05-20 07:31:44	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in May?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xb9773a…
05-16 08:54:39	Will Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	95¢	$44	0xfc7ed1…
05-15 04:37:18	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x5f8879…
05-14 19:58:02	Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	44	97¢	$43	0xb8009e…
05-10 05:56:19	Will Greece advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	43	99¢	$42	0x841e61…
05-09 22:03:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xdc9e39…
05-09 06:02:58	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x239b94…
05-06 10:04:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x11eb4f…
05-05 18:59:34	Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0x8e4fa4…
04-23 09:11:02	Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe0df0a…
04-21 10:52:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	3	85¢	$2	0x789cf4…
04-20 19:16:44	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x63fa7a…
04-20 10:55:12	will the bank of russia increase the key rate after the april meeting	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x728e4d…
04-19 07:02:38	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6f1b00…
04-18 22:24:08	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $1.80 in April?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x201877…
04-17 07:02:02	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x9c8821…
04-17 03:57:48	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x84eda6…
04-17 02:43:18	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x99647c…
04-16 22:42:30	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $150 end of April?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x0d6ff2…
04-16 21:36:26	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $220 end of April?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x7bba6e…
04-16 13:09:12	Will XRP dip to $0.40 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x8ae29c…
04-15 12:05:14	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xfcfedb…
04-14 03:03:35	Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	29	98¢	$28	0x3ecaa1…
04-13 18:22:21	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8c9a00…
04-13 18:17:51	Will Amazon have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x403549…
04-13 15:34:57	Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xa5f599…
04-13 12:53:39	Will BNB reach $1,000 in April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe12fee…
04-12 21:55:03	Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x78d370…
04-12 05:23:01	Will Alibaba have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x484f0e…
04-11 09:13:49	Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xaaca29…
04-11 07:55:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x36406b…
04-11 05:23:45	Will XRP reach $2.80 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0xfa1de3…
04-11 03:03:27	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xfe7c7e…
04-10 11:50:09	Will BNB dip to $300 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0xbc6a06…
04-08 17:01:25	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $310 end of April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x9f9bad…
04-06 20:00:21	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x92fbd7…
04-06 13:16:27	Will BNB dip to $100 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xf01134…
03-31 02:45:31	will dogecoin dip to 0pt05 in march 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x561129…
03-28 16:54:31	will openai have the third best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3c1890…
03-27 22:17:09	googl above 370 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x7db647…
03-27 17:33:09	meta above 600 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd6e507…
03-27 03:56:47	will bnb reach 800 in march	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x662e20…
03-26 19:08:17	will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6e8269…
03-26 16:35:59	googl above 260 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0x4780ef…
03-26 12:49:35	will chainlink reach 16 in march	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0x684432…
03-24 22:13:29	will saudi aramco be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x4e6c53…
03-24 19:50:21	will dogecoin reach 0pt15 in march 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x495044…
03-24 14:12:09	will hyperliquid dip to 24 in march	No	BUY	6	99¢	$5	0x8d993d…
03-23 03:20:47	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x698dd0…
03-23 00:59:15	will xrp reach 2pt2 in march 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xd4c2b5…
03-22 16:27:35	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x35de27…
03-21 23:00:41	will chainlink reach 18 in march	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x065794…
03-12 08:35:01	amzn above 250 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xde18d6…
03-12 07:29:45	amzn above 260 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xfe4ec3…
03-10 22:05:01	amzn above 150 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf3c823…
03-10 04:46:37	will the ecb announce a 50 bps decrease at the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x99b703…
03-09 14:49:09	will solana reach 160 in march 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xb554dd…
03-09 03:00:31	will dogecoin reach 0pt2 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf509d7…
03-08 14:26:25	will mistral have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 494	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x56ed98…
03-08 03:30:53	will the bank of brazil increase the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x698841…
03-07 17:39:21	nflx above 180 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xc8412d…
03-06 06:52:29	will chainlink dip to 4 in march	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x73e803…
03-06 01:46:37	nflx above 20 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3cff37…
03-06 00:53:57	will the bank of brazil increase the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3b873e…
03-04 18:16:51	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xdc34df…
03-04 13:03:27	will saudi aramco be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xadbfe6…
02-24 10:31:06	will ethereum reach 4400 in february 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2ff0fe…
02-24 09:40:08	nvda above 240 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xbcbac3…
02-23 19:15:38	will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xaa48e4…
02-23 18:06:44	will silver si hit high 180 by end of february 127 147	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1a988e…
02-23 13:45:04	amzn above 260 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd7baf9…
02-23 08:23:54	nflx above 120 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x3e5f6f…
02-23 03:46:18	will microsoft be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xbf9565…
02-21 03:13:06	will tesla be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x26b252…
02-21 02:08:46	will nvidia be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x0c9d9e…
02-21 01:47:10	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x486d89…
02-20 20:12:10	nflx above 120 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x5b06a0…
02-20 17:10:00	will gold gc hit high 6400 by end of february 581 221 834 595 555	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x63cc34…
02-20 12:13:00	will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x99ecdf…
02-09 12:19:11	will microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xbb00a5…
01-24 09:35:08	pltr above 206 on january 30 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x58209f…
01-23 07:38:50	nvda above 140 on january 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe1d01b…
01-21 14:38:54	si hit 55 low jan 2026 373 679 385	No	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0xb8eb38…
01-20 05:17:00	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x155653…
01-19 06:10:26	will saudi aramco be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xac86dc…
01-16 11:48:02	will hyperliquid dip to 8 in january	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8b490a…
01-15 04:28:26	nvda above 130 on january 30 2026	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xbcc0bd…
01-13 08:27:45	aapl above 320 on january 30 2026	No	BUY	4	99¢	$3	0xe3f757…
01-13 04:37:13	nvda above 130 on january 30 2026	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x379f45…
01-11 10:25:34	will ethereum reach 4400 in january 2026	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x575925…
01-09 13:18:04	meta above 540 on january 30 2026	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x23be81…