Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$18.2K

Unrealized P&L

-$12.7K

Hit rate

58.1%

Resolved

Trades

273

lifetime

Volume

$171.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$629

Open exposure

$5.02K

7 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 11-04 16:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Other

45% 27% -$7,896

Sports

36% 67% +$26,113

Politics

20% 0% -$45

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	+41,540	$15,499	10¢	$3.9K	-$11,552	11-04 16:43
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+5,000	$650	12¢	$575	-$75	09-06 16:22
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	+10,634	$1,082	3¢	$287	-$795	08-05 15:39
us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260922	Yes	+250	$180	45¢	$113	-$68	09-25 03:21
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?	Yes	+549	$93	8¢	$47	-$47	09-22 14:07
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+1,257	$138	4¢	$46	-$92	09-06 10:47
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	+3,081	$74	0¢	$9	-$65	07-20 08:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	4	$32.6K	57,538	57,538	+0	open	—	07-25 05:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	14	$31.4K	75,378	33,838	+41,540	open	—	11-04 16:43
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$24.6K	334,478	634,478	-300,000	No	+$15,908	07-07 14:55
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	2	$24.4K	20,400	20,400	+0	Spain	-$102	07-14 12:13
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	67	$19.8K	49,924	49,924	+0	Yes	+$1,468	07-14 12:14
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	30	$8.4K	0	50,000	-50,000	No	+$8,400	06-27 05:50
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	12	$7.3K	12,662	12,662	+0	No	-$1,950	10-03 00:23
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$4.6K	100,000	100,000	+0	No	+$2,200	07-05 03:55
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?	1	$2.2K	2,732	0	+2,732	No	+$574	09-24 16:20
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$2.0K	100,000	30,580	+69,420	No	-$758	07-10 02:45
dota2 pari aur1 2026 04 24 game2	21	$1.8K	3,109	951	+2,158	Aurora	-$494	04-24 15:20
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	2	$1.1K	10,634	0	+10,634	open	—	08-05 15:39
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$1.1K	2,000	0	+2,000	No	-$1,060	08-05 16:21
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$1.0K	100,000	0	+100,000	No	-$1,000	07-07 15:02
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	1	$1000	3,333	0	+3,333	No	-$1,000	07-05 13:13
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	1	$1000	2,454	0	+2,454	Spain	-$1,000	07-19 10:51
dota2 bb4 ts8 2026 04 23 game1	2	$759	1,888	0	+1,888	BetBoom Team	-$759	04-23 16:21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	1	$650	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	09-06 16:22
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$516	16,129	16,129	+0	No	+$129	06-15 16:29
epl liv mac 2026 02 08 liv	3	$450	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$450	02-08 16:20
dota2 xtreme ts8 2026 04 22	2	$426	1,434	0	+1,434	Team Spirit	-$426	04-22 15:39
dota2 bb4 ts8 2026 04 23 game2	11	$377	1,060	0	+1,060	BetBoom Team	-$377	04-23 17:51
Fed rate hike in 2026?	4	$370	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	-$370	08-05 17:39
will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by december 31 20260722053445711	2	$356	2,373	0	+2,373	Yes	-$356	07-23 18:25
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$300	100,000	0	+100,000	No	-$300	06-29 17:44
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-30?	1	$260	500	0	+500	Yes	+$240	08-28 09:07
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	2	$234	300	300	+0	Yes	-$102	06-29 18:00
dota2 liquid flc 2026 04 23	14	$220	729	0	+729	Team Liquid	-$220	04-23 15:34
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-08-29?	1	$210	500	0	+500	No	-$210	08-28 09:06
will databricks valuation hit high 180b by december 31	1	$200	349	0	+349	Yes	+$149	07-10 17:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 16:43:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	189	12¢	$23	0xd7ef4e…
11-04 16:43:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	40,553	12¢	$4,866	0x1bf3fd…
10-03 00:23:57	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12,662	21¢	$2,659	0xd546c9…
09-25 03:21:12	us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260922	Yes	BUY	250	72¢	$180	0x572a00…
09-24 17:27:44	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,453	36¢	$523	0xb0d68f…
09-24 17:14:44	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	36¢	$360	0x293a9c…
09-24 17:14:21	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	36¢	$720	0xeb2900…
09-24 17:09:45	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	410	36¢	$148	0xea8e4a…
09-24 17:02:54	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	36¢	$5	0xedbd22…
09-24 17:02:15	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)	Yes	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x1dc412…
09-24 16:50:08	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	36¢	$0	0xb734fc…
09-24 16:47:11	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	86	36¢	$31	0x0abcc6…
09-24 16:46:41	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	36¢	$14	0x917e96…
09-24 16:46:41	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	405	36¢	$146	0x328c98…
09-24 16:46:21	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,020	37¢	$1,857	0x67fbef…
09-24 16:46:11	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,237	36¢	$805	0x0df02b…
09-24 16:32:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	250	21¢	$52	0x4f5e1e…
09-24 16:27:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	21¢	$0	0x6bc495…
09-24 16:22:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	0	21¢	$0	0x9a7148…
09-24 16:22:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	0	21¢	$0	0x7d5101…
09-24 16:22:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	0	21¢	$0	0xdd7f1a…
09-24 16:21:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	0	21¢	$0	0xcf0ea6…
09-24 16:20:05	Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?	No	BUY	2,732	79¢	$2,158	0xb22478…
09-24 16:18:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	545	21¢	$114	0x07d67e…
09-22 14:07:37	Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?	Yes	BUY	549	17¢	$93	0x38e405…
09-08 21:21:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	33,838	24¢	$7,957	0xaabf8e…
09-06 16:22:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,000	13¢	$650	0xbd031c…
09-06 10:48:03	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-06?	Yes	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0xbce2d3…
09-06 10:47:09	Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	1,257	11¢	$138	0x4c0176…
08-28 09:07:12	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-30?	Yes	BUY	500	52¢	$260	0xe1f6b2…
08-28 09:06:43	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-08-29?	Yes	BUY	500	42¢	$210	0x209dec…
08-23 14:19:15	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23?	Yes	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x56c471…
08-22 14:45:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2,000	30¢	$600	0x008593…
08-12 14:39:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	47¢	$470	0xaecb59…
08-06 16:47:39	will gleans valuation hit high 7pt5b by december 31 20260701011238542	Yes	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0x038db0…
08-05 17:39:18	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	499	37¢	$185	0xfc407c…
08-05 16:34:57	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0xfbc1a5…
08-05 16:21:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,000	53¢	$1,060	0xdf3190…
08-05 16:14:44	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0x92ea15…
08-05 16:13:05	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	399	37¢	$148	0x47c0bb…
08-05 15:52:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	62¢	$620	0x1e0225…
08-05 15:39:26	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10,000	10¢	$1,000	0xa15a11…
07-28 15:22:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	29,838	56¢	$16,709	0x5f41b8…
07-25 05:26:16	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	57,538	29¢	$16,686	0xb05fe0…
07-23 18:25:39	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by december 31 20260722053445711	No	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0xae214d…
07-22 14:51:40	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by december 31 20260722053445711	No	BUY	2,362	15¢	$354	0x264880…
07-22 14:51:34	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710	No	BUY	85	21¢	$18	0xd99af2…
07-20 13:05:13	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	634	13¢	$82	0xba72e3…
07-20 09:28:19	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	502	24¢	$120	0x3eae98…
07-20 08:24:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	7,036	25¢	$1,759	0x725b39…
07-20 08:15:46	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	183	2¢	$4	0x6a3654…
07-20 08:15:12	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	401	2¢	$10	0x2c0eab…
07-20 08:14:31	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$24	0xfc0bcc…
07-20 08:13:57	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	303	2¢	$7	0x9d4878…
07-20 08:13:27	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	2¢	$1	0x236a7d…
07-20 08:13:18	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$24	0x40a21d…
07-20 08:02:46	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	2¢	$1	0xa0588a…
07-20 07:33:43	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	115	2¢	$3	0x9324b8…
07-19 17:41:36	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	526	4¢	$20	0xe226da…
07-19 10:51:43	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	2,454	41¢	$1,000	0xa7a1eb…
07-18 17:20:57	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	200	33¢	$66	0x162aac…
07-18 11:52:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50,000	28¢	$14,000	0x96664a…
07-14 14:56:16	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	348	4¢	$14	0x7cbd6d…
07-14 13:22:20	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	104	4¢	$4	0x14a8f7…
07-14 12:57:44	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x78cc10…
07-14 12:30:22	will databricks valuation hit high 200b by december 31	Yes	BUY	148	26¢	$38	0x91fd8c…
07-14 12:14:40	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	49,924	21¢	$10,634	0x27ca08…
07-14 12:13:47	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	SELL	20,400	60¢	$12,138	0x6e7581…
07-12 05:59:26	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	313	20¢	$62	0x3af49f…
07-12 05:59:04	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	58	20¢	$12	0x13ef16…
07-12 05:58:47	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	8	20¢	$1	0xe11a66…
07-12 05:57:28	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	8	20¢	$1	0x8f3c82…
07-12 05:55:19	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	704	20¢	$140	0x3fff7c…
07-12 05:49:23	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,058	20¢	$410	0xd3de1d…
07-12 05:49:13	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	158	20¢	$31	0xf33d07…
07-12 05:49:08	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3,709	20¢	$738	0xf26aab…
07-12 05:46:59	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x9c2c00…
07-12 05:46:52	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	16	20¢	$3	0x0aa326…
07-12 05:45:07	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xa6a1a5…
07-12 05:45:07	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	602	20¢	$120	0x21062d…
07-12 05:44:44	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,220	20¢	$243	0x66a203…
07-12 05:44:02	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	21	20¢	$4	0xeb4df4…
07-12 05:43:19	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x70e9a4…
07-12 05:42:23	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	303	20¢	$60	0x1fbe7e…
07-12 05:41:37	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	29	20¢	$6	0xe67355…
07-12 05:41:25	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,050	20¢	$209	0x88c856…
07-12 05:41:08	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xaee618…
07-12 05:40:50	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	31	20¢	$6	0x675d2e…
07-12 05:39:49	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	41	20¢	$8	0x9c309b…
07-12 05:39:40	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	354	20¢	$70	0x624345…
07-12 05:39:32	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0x84fbb2…
07-12 05:39:32	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	352	20¢	$70	0x208022…
07-12 05:39:17	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x8d7fc1…
07-12 04:13:04	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0xad1d5f…
07-12 04:13:04	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0x0e7f92…
07-12 04:12:46	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xab85fb…
07-12 04:12:46	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x15e10d…
07-12 04:12:38	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,135	20¢	$226	0xca8925…
07-12 04:12:29	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	31	20¢	$6	0x8ddec4…
07-12 04:10:50	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	246	20¢	$49	0xe4ed5c…