Insistent-Hydrolyse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

20.2%

Resolved

Trades

691

lifetime

Volume

$55.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$80

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 07-07 09:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

42% 14% $-16

Politics

30% — —

Sports

17% 0% —

Tech

10% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 57 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5	8	$2.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	05-18 02:48
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	20	$1.8K	1,698	1,893	-195	open	—	06-15 02:05
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins	17	$1.7K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	05-15 07:06
Geneva Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Casper Ruud	3	$1.5K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-18 07:57
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	21	$1.2K	1,420	1,420	+0	open	—	06-08 10:09
Geneva Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Thiago Agustin Tirante	2	$1.2K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-18 07:01
Internationaux de Strasbourg, Qualification: Yulia Putintseva vs Oleksandra Oliynykova	5	$1.2K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-17 04:00
Zagreb: Jan Choinski vs Arthur Fery	4	$1.1K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-17 04:39
San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5	23	$1.1K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-30 12:40
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	13	$1.1K	990	990	+0	open	—	06-14 03:06
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	13	$1.1K	1,400	1,400	+0	open	—	06-12 13:14
Pisa SC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5	2	$1.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-17 02:38
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 211.5	3	$1.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Over	+$0	05-09 13:37
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals	2	$1.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-20 07:35
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	28	$995	1,000	950	+50	open	—	06-19 04:45
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	8	$950	800	800	+0	open	—	06-22 02:43
New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5	2	$920	1,000	1,000	+0	Under	+$0	05-09 13:26
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays	2	$920	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-15 07:03
Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)	2	$910	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-17 02:22
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	14	$897	1,028	828	+200	open	—	06-13 13:46
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5	2	$880	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-17 03:01
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	4	$824	800	800	+0	open	—	06-07 12:27
starmer out by june 26 2026 959 792 935	10	$784	600	600	+0	open	—	06-22 05:15
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Daria Kasatkina vs Liudmila Samsonova	2	$778	833	833	+0	open	—	05-18 01:45
Istanbul: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Yannick Alexandrescou	10	$767	482	482	+0	open	—	05-18 00:58
will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	4	$704	400	400	+0	open	—	06-09 13:10
will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	6	$690	600	600	+0	open	—	07-04 07:45
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	12	$672	606	606	+0	open	—	06-13 04:17
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	9	$663	787	787	+0	open	—	05-17 01:51
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	9	$646	600	599	+1	open	—	06-14 01:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-07 09:44:50	will graham platner drop out by july 9	No	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0x660c0e…
07-07 09:35:34	will graham platner drop out by july 9	No	SELL	44	21¢	$9	0xfacf0b…
07-07 07:48:56	will graham platner drop out by july 9	No	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0x41ea3b…
07-07 07:29:37	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	200	53¢	$106	0xb17401…
07-07 07:17:31	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	200	54¢	$108	0x1e841c…
07-07 06:57:37	will graham platner drop out by july 10 281 658 971	No	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0x1dde46…
07-07 06:57:31	will graham platner drop out by july 10 281 658 971	No	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x136b3f…
07-05 04:17:05	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	92	65¢	$60	0x3a8b97…
07-05 04:11:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	22	64¢	$14	0x56a58a…
07-05 04:11:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	114	64¢	$73	0xe005f8…
07-05 02:29:34	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	SELL	1	46¢	$0	0xc5cc51…
07-05 02:29:29	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	1	46¢	$0	0x53497a…
07-05 01:27:23	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	No	BUY	200	44¢	$88	0x463e7a…
07-04 07:45:43	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	Yes	SELL	200	14¢	$28	0xc36c3c…
07-04 07:09:20	us government removes public access to another anthropic ai model in 2026 20260703203121674	No	SELL	90	67¢	$60	0x0c87ac…
07-04 07:09:13	us government removes public access to another anthropic ai model in 2026 20260703203121674	No	SELL	100	67¢	$67	0x42341e…
07-04 07:07:53	us government removes public access to another anthropic ai model in 2026 20260703203121674	No	SELL	10	67¢	$7	0x26b2eb…
07-04 07:06:01	us government removes public access to another anthropic ai model in 2026 20260703203121674	Yes	BUY	200	38¢	$76	0xdb6390…
07-04 06:28:16	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	Yes	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0x2ebeeb…
07-04 05:33:56	us government removes public access to another anthropic ai model in 2026 20260703203121674	No	BUY	200	67¢	$134	0x588733…
07-04 04:44:41	will argentina reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149745	Yes	SELL	29	59¢	$17	0x9e3e25…
07-04 04:40:43	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	200	47¢	$95	0xb17743…
07-04 04:40:28	will argentina reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149745	Yes	SELL	16	60¢	$9	0x37a541…
07-04 04:10:01	will argentina reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149745	Yes	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0xffc788…
07-04 04:08:50	will argentina reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149745	Yes	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xa39225…
07-04 04:04:23	will argentina reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149745	Yes	SELL	145	60¢	$87	0x1d5e6c…
07-04 04:04:11	will argentina reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149745	Yes	BUY	180	60¢	$108	0xb39152…
07-04 04:04:11	will argentina reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149745	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x04f6b7…
07-03 02:49:05	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	1	22¢	$0	0xddf3b0…
07-03 02:48:32	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	188	22¢	$41	0xadc80d…
07-03 02:45:02	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	11	22¢	$2	0x0072df…
07-03 02:44:58	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	200	22¢	$44	0x7e362e…
07-03 02:35:37	michael saylor federally charged by december 31 2026 20260625210239195	No	SELL	200	86¢	$172	0xa3b27a…
07-03 02:35:28	michael saylor federally charged by december 31 2026 20260625210239195	No	BUY	200	86¢	$172	0x26f258…
07-03 02:28:47	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	200	55¢	$110	0x1b9e50…
07-02 04:22:49	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	200	77¢	$154	0x653140…
07-02 03:45:40	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0x514a55…
07-02 00:32:20	gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	Yes	SELL	53	5¢	$3	0x370321…
07-02 00:30:53	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	SELL	62	57¢	$35	0x5e909f…
07-02 00:26:44	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	BUY	62	57¢	$35	0x2a09e7…
07-02 00:21:40	gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	Yes	SELL	59	5¢	$3	0x6a64ca…
07-02 00:03:47	gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	Yes	SELL	88	5¢	$4	0x5cccb7…
07-01 23:58:53	gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x7b4a60…
07-01 11:02:52	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	200	87¢	$174	0x7a7e34…
07-01 10:56:02	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	200	87¢	$174	0x25a2ff…
07-01 07:56:11	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	SELL	200	61¢	$123	0xc8bf78…
07-01 07:44:10	gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	Yes	SELL	144	11¢	$16	0x4bb079…
07-01 07:42:56	gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	Yes	SELL	56	11¢	$6	0xcce565…
07-01 07:16:02	gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	200	11¢	$22	0x7e0d04…
07-01 04:56:34	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	200	76¢	$152	0xa931ca…
07-01 03:02:55	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	200	79¢	$158	0x77ffce…
07-01 02:19:10	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	SELL	200	64¢	$128	0xb62aa5…
07-01 02:12:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	BUY	200	67¢	$134	0x1965ff…
07-01 00:16:28	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	64	15¢	$10	0x2621f3…
07-01 00:15:01	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	136	15¢	$20	0xa1542e…
06-30 23:15:38	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	200	17¢	$34	0x48cd2f…
06-29 11:31:47	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	200	18¢	$36	0x99a68a…
06-29 10:22:50	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	BUY	200	72¢	$144	0x7093b1…
06-29 08:14:07	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	200	18¢	$36	0x0be654…
06-28 10:11:05	iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	Yes	SELL	55	10¢	$6	0x74cb12…
06-28 10:02:26	iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	Yes	SELL	50	11¢	$6	0x8569ef…
06-28 10:01:52	iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	Yes	SELL	50	11¢	$6	0x95ce3e…
06-28 10:00:38	iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	Yes	SELL	45	11¢	$5	0xd79a54…
06-28 10:00:34	iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	Yes	BUY	200	11¢	$22	0x54903e…
06-27 01:28:35	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	No	SELL	23	42¢	$10	0xe48c15…
06-27 00:24:49	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	No	BUY	23	52¢	$12	0xf2940b…
06-27 00:15:56	will the next claude sonnet model be released by july 31 2026 20260624195228149 733 235 667 821	Yes	SELL	100	86¢	$86	0x5171d0…
06-27 00:11:31	will the next claude sonnet model be released by july 31 2026 20260624195228149 733 235 667 821	Yes	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0xd8155a…
06-26 23:40:14	will the next claude sonnet model be released by july 31 2026 20260624195228149 733 235 667 821	Yes	SELL	100	84¢	$84	0x7b3c62…
06-26 23:26:07	will the next claude sonnet model be released by july 31 2026 20260624195228149 733 235 667 821	Yes	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0x8942e6…
06-26 22:54:40	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	Yes	SELL	47	29¢	$14	0x62b131…
06-26 13:42:00	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	Yes	SELL	153	30¢	$46	0x842c7b…
06-26 06:43:55	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	Yes	BUY	200	42¢	$84	0x69984e…
06-25 00:52:31	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	SELL	200	44¢	$88	0xd373a1…
06-25 00:52:25	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	BUY	200	44¢	$88	0x68f5e6…
06-22 07:22:22	starmer out by june 24 2026	No	SELL	44	9¢	$4	0x806e50…
06-22 06:30:53	starmer out by june 24 2026	No	SELL	87	16¢	$14	0x9ba81a…
06-22 06:30:50	starmer out by june 24 2026	No	BUY	131	16¢	$21	0x50bd0a…
06-22 05:15:28	starmer out by june 26 2026 959 792 935	Yes	SELL	15	83¢	$12	0x206587…
06-22 05:15:13	starmer out by june 26 2026 959 792 935	Yes	SELL	8	83¢	$7	0x6cf061…
06-22 05:14:50	starmer out by june 26 2026 959 792 935	Yes	SELL	100	83¢	$83	0xbc48c7…
06-22 05:14:22	starmer out by june 26 2026 959 792 935	Yes	SELL	77	83¢	$64	0xc462b4…
06-22 05:14:14	starmer out by june 26 2026 959 792 935	Yes	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0x9becac…
06-22 02:43:14	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	87¢	$174	0xe7ef05…
06-22 02:43:05	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	87¢	$174	0x86d241…
06-22 01:36:29	starmer out by june 26 2026 959 792 935	Yes	SELL	200	87¢	$175	0x8353ba…
06-22 01:36:20	starmer out by june 26 2026 959 792 935	Yes	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0xc865fb…
06-21 07:00:14	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	200	14¢	$28	0x5eca49…
06-21 07:00:10	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	14¢	$28	0x2bfb2f…
06-21 04:44:11	starmer out by june 26 2026 959 792 935	No	SELL	7	23¢	$2	0xd05cd4…
06-21 04:38:46	starmer out by june 26 2026 959 792 935	No	SELL	193	25¢	$48	0x66d043…
06-21 04:38:41	starmer out by june 26 2026 959 792 935	No	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0xe2646e…
06-21 03:09:19	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	84¢	$168	0xe365ef…
06-21 03:09:16	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	84¢	$168	0x7ead21…
06-20 13:19:25	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	200	52¢	$104	0xdd3e7e…
06-20 13:01:32	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	53¢	$106	0x08ca45…
06-20 01:36:13	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	SELL	200	16¢	$32	0xaf56a1…
06-20 00:46:19	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0x813009…
06-19 07:03:49	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	No	SELL	132	73¢	$96	0x8f8ac3…
06-19 07:00:16	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	No	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0xb66743…