Insistent-Hydrolyse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

20.2%

Resolved

Trades

885

lifetime

Volume

$65.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$73

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 08-02 02:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

39% 14% $-16

Politics

36% — —

Sports

14% 0% —

Tech

9% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 57 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5	8	$2.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	05-18 02:48
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	20	$1.8K	1,698	1,893	-195	open	—	06-15 02:05
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins	17	$1.7K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	05-15 07:06
Geneva Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Casper Ruud	3	$1.5K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-18 07:57
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	21	$1.2K	1,420	1,420	+0	open	—	06-08 10:09
Geneva Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Thiago Agustin Tirante	2	$1.2K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-18 07:01
Internationaux de Strasbourg, Qualification: Yulia Putintseva vs Oleksandra Oliynykova	5	$1.2K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-17 04:00
Zagreb: Jan Choinski vs Arthur Fery	4	$1.1K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-17 04:39
San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5	23	$1.1K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-30 12:40
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	13	$1.1K	990	990	+0	open	—	06-14 03:06
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	10	$1.1K	800	1,000	-200	open	—	07-30 00:18
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	13	$1.1K	1,400	1,400	+0	open	—	06-12 13:14
Pisa SC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5	2	$1.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-17 02:38
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 211.5	3	$1.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Over	+$0	05-09 13:37
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	25	$1.0K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	08-02 02:09
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals	2	$1.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-20 07:35
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	28	$995	1,000	950	+50	open	—	06-19 04:45
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	10	$969	900	900	+0	open	—	07-28 04:48
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	11	$955	1,004	803	+201	open	—	08-02 01:30
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	8	$950	800	800	+0	open	—	06-22 02:43
New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5	2	$920	1,000	1,000	+0	Under	+$0	05-09 13:26
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays	2	$920	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-15 07:03
Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)	2	$910	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-17 02:22
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	14	$897	1,028	828	+200	open	—	06-13 13:46
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5	2	$880	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-17 03:01
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	4	$824	800	800	+0	open	—	06-07 12:27
starmer out by june 26 2026 959 792 935	10	$784	600	600	+0	open	—	06-22 05:15
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Daria Kasatkina vs Liudmila Samsonova	2	$778	833	833	+0	open	—	05-18 01:45
Istanbul: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Yannick Alexandrescou	10	$767	482	482	+0	open	—	05-18 00:58
will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	4	$704	400	400	+0	open	—	06-09 13:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-02 02:10:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	3	50¢	$2	0x79c6f4…
08-02 02:09:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	9	50¢	$4	0xf70cea…
08-02 02:09:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0xcd7e0c…
08-02 02:09:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0x362848…
08-02 02:09:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	17	50¢	$8	0x0c91c2…
08-02 02:09:41	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	200	35¢	$69	0x35c0ff…
08-02 02:07:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0xd57f6a…
08-02 02:07:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0x554186…
08-02 02:07:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	7	50¢	$3	0xb25bab…
08-02 02:07:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	7	50¢	$4	0xccbf17…
08-02 02:07:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x1b1d3e…
08-02 02:07:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	24	38¢	$9	0xa4a0d1…
08-02 02:07:14	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0xb6bb8e…
08-02 02:07:14	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	19	38¢	$7	0x739266…
08-02 02:07:14	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	115	38¢	$44	0x2dae03…
08-02 02:07:14	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	30	38¢	$12	0x0b5fa4…
08-02 02:06:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xa947d1…
08-02 01:54:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	SELL	72	32¢	$23	0xc4cf26…
08-02 01:43:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	SELL	17	32¢	$5	0x7e653a…
08-02 01:43:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	SELL	109	32¢	$35	0x968bf9…
08-02 01:32:23	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	SELL	2	32¢	$0	0x546518…
08-02 01:30:53	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	17	54¢	$9	0x3beabe…
08-02 01:09:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	200	32¢	$64	0x79cce4…
08-02 00:48:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	SELL	202	37¢	$75	0x002c50…
08-02 00:43:23	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	29	36¢	$10	0xfeb7e6…
08-02 00:36:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x674073…
08-02 00:35:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	16	54¢	$9	0x7493b5…
08-02 00:32:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	SELL	13	38¢	$5	0xca9bd4…
08-02 00:30:05	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	SELL	9	38¢	$3	0x033c75…
08-02 00:05:56	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	200	54¢	$108	0x9e4632…
08-01 03:00:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0x328eeb…
08-01 01:08:47	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	200	49¢	$98	0xb68798…
08-01 01:08:44	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	200	49¢	$98	0x79cc23…
08-01 01:04:11	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0xfcc7e5…
08-01 00:59:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	200	37¢	$74	0x334afb…
07-31 07:45:56	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	170	23¢	$39	0x38cacd…
07-31 06:47:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	9	24¢	$2	0xf9a480…
07-31 06:47:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	21	24¢	$5	0x6b6b4b…
07-31 05:36:02	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	200	36¢	$72	0xa9621f…
07-31 04:36:38	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	200	36¢	$72	0x713216…
07-31 04:36:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	200	24¢	$48	0x30e44f…
07-30 02:21:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	200	20¢	$40	0xe29d19…
07-30 00:18:23	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	200	42¢	$85	0x19d90b…
07-28 06:20:28	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	50	7¢	$4	0x99a906…
07-28 06:20:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	200	24¢	$48	0xd8c0d7…
07-28 05:48:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x0f4ddb…
07-28 04:48:43	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	200	29¢	$58	0x5d8fe5…
07-28 04:48:40	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	200	29¢	$58	0x7de7cd…
07-28 00:51:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xfab34b…
07-27 10:58:16	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	151	67¢	$101	0xef5a75…
07-27 10:19:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	12	67¢	$8	0x5d7562…
07-27 09:52:58	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	22	67¢	$15	0xe46dce…
07-27 09:41:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	15	67¢	$10	0x1f99e3…
07-27 08:23:43	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	200	66¢	$132	0x42b0b4…
07-27 08:23:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	129	56¢	$72	0x8a0a1a…
07-27 08:20:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	21	57¢	$12	0x5adc74…
07-27 08:19:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	21	57¢	$12	0x9e7c14…
07-27 08:14:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	15	57¢	$9	0xa623cf…
07-27 08:08:43	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	200	68¢	$136	0xa4a864…
07-27 07:56:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	14	57¢	$8	0x30bb9f…
07-27 07:51:13	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	200	62¢	$124	0xd7d318…
07-27 07:04:28	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	200	62¢	$124	0x251ad1…
07-27 06:43:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	57¢	$114	0x8ba3f8…
07-27 05:48:19	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	56	41¢	$23	0x250bae…
07-27 05:48:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	56	41¢	$23	0xaa72de…
07-27 05:32:58	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	200	67¢	$134	0x2223c8…
07-27 05:13:25	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	SELL	172	86¢	$148	0x708bd0…
07-27 04:49:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0x552be8…
07-27 04:49:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0x5aaafe…
07-27 04:48:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0xc77097…
07-27 04:46:28	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	SELL	11	86¢	$10	0x09d238…
07-27 04:46:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x781dc7…
07-27 04:44:22	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0xce6757…
07-27 04:38:55	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	BUY	200	86¢	$172	0x39e366…
07-26 13:00:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	200	60¢	$120	0x2c8a0d…
07-26 11:23:06	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	200	66¢	$132	0xe7b534…
07-26 03:16:58	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	200	39¢	$78	0xdca706…
07-26 01:49:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	200	60¢	$120	0xff080a…
07-26 01:43:36	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	160	50¢	$80	0x358940…
07-26 01:42:58	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	40	50¢	$20	0x07b1ca…
07-26 01:35:16	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xc9922c…
07-26 00:39:10	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	200	40¢	$80	0xc179b1…
07-26 00:21:16	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	200	66¢	$132	0x221b31…
07-26 00:16:27	will there be a super el nino this winter 202627 20260721221614682	No	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xb37ea2…
07-25 07:33:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	200	57¢	$114	0xa990d1…
07-25 07:33:22	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 29	No	SELL	50	23¢	$12	0xfadd70…
07-25 07:33:16	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 28	No	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0x71923f…
07-25 07:19:52	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	200	59¢	$118	0x3cc38a…
07-25 06:13:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	187	57¢	$107	0xbd8aa4…
07-25 06:12:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 29	No	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0xa6dda4…
07-25 06:03:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 28	No	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0x6e3a01…
07-25 05:57:22	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	187	57¢	$107	0x6128c8…
07-25 05:25:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 30	No	SELL	50	31¢	$15	0xe05a19…
07-25 05:24:28	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 30	No	BUY	25	31¢	$8	0x95de24…
07-25 05:24:28	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 30	No	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x51fc68…
07-25 05:24:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 30	No	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0xe8766b…
07-25 05:09:46	will spirit qualify to lan blast bounty 2026 season 2 20260716204827661	Yes	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0x649bcb…
07-25 05:00:31	will spirit qualify to lan blast bounty 2026 season 2 20260716204827661	Yes	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x508cea…
07-25 04:50:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 28	No	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0x383dca…
07-25 04:50:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 28	No	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x1aec96…