Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$383

Unrealized P&L

-$353

Hit rate

86.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$7.02K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$89

Open exposure

$447

5 positions

First seen

2026-03-06

last 09-10 18:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Politics

91% 45% -$91

Other

8% 38% -$291

Sports

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	-292	-$205	92¢	$-268	-$63	06-09 07:03
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	+1,264	$360	11¢	$133	-$227	07-23 12:15
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	+530	$90	8¢	$40	-$50	09-10 18:57
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	Yes	+70	$10	7¢	$5	-$5	09-10 18:56
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	+100	$10	3¢	$3	-$7	07-17 06:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 9 2026	8	$5.1K	5,187	99	+5,088	Yes	+$138	03-08 22:11
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	5	$360	1,264	0	+1,264	open	—	07-23 12:15
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	1	$205	0	292	-292	open	—	06-09 07:03
will iran strike israel on march 6	7	$173	5,348	348	+5,000	No	-$7	03-11 20:03
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	5	$124	211	23	+189	No	-$100	03-08 22:05
Iran leadership change by March 13?	2	$120	128	0	+128	No	+$8	03-11 20:01
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 13	2	$110	279	0	+279	No	-$110	03-12 12:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1	$100	221	0	+221	No	-$100	03-11 20:09
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 16	1	$100	204	0	+204	No	-$100	03-12 12:37
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	2	$90	530	0	+530	open	—	09-10 18:57
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?	2	$80	142	0	+142	Yes	+$62	07-20 23:07
will the us invade iran by march 31	1	$50	274	0	+274	No	-$50	03-08 22:06
iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	1	$50	116	0	+116	No	-$50	07-17 06:20
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 12 278	3	$36	21	21	+0	Yes	+$6	03-08 21:41
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	2	$26	266	0	+266	No	-$26	07-23 15:24
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 10 468	2	$26	16	16	+0	Yes	+$6	03-08 21:41
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 9 795	2	$12	8	8	+0	Yes	+$4	03-08 21:45
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$11	7	7	+0	Yes	+$1	03-08 21:41
will the us accuse iran of oslo embassy attack	2	$11	8	8	+0	No	+$1	03-08 21:15
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	03-08 21:39
will iran claim responsibility for oslo embassy attack	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	03-08 21:41
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	1	$10	70	0	+70	open	—	09-10 18:56
will khamenei tweet again on march 13 2026 858	1	$10	13	0	+13	Yes	+$3	03-11 20:17
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	1	$10	40	0	+40	No	-$10	07-23 15:44
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	1	$10	100	0	+100	open	—	07-17 06:21
will iran strike israel on march 10	1	$10	16	0	+16	Yes	+$6	03-11 20:04
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	1	$10	53	0	+53	No	-$10	03-23 08:28
will khamenei tweet again on march 15 2026 383	1	$10	14	0	+14	Yes	+$4	03-11 20:16
iran military action against a gulf state on july 24 20260708212322949	1	$10	17	0	+17	No	-$10	07-23 09:03
will khamenei tweet again on march 14 2026 875	1	$10	14	0	+14	No	-$10	03-11 20:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-10 18:57:54	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	340	15¢	$50	0x88872c…
09-10 18:56:54	Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	Yes	BUY	70	14¢	$10	0x852c85…
07-23 15:46:01	will the houthis successfully target shipping by august 31 2026 20260722224455369	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x9b8b9b…
07-23 15:44:00	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x3972c4…
07-23 15:24:36	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	BUY	185	11¢	$20	0x0dab28…
07-23 15:24:31	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	190	21¢	$40	0xceb11b…
07-23 12:15:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0x9c45af…
07-23 12:07:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0x003a72…
07-23 09:07:00	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	BUY	81	7¢	$6	0x5ef656…
07-23 09:04:04	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x732f73…
07-23 09:03:25	iran military action against a gulf state on july 25 20260708212322950	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xc7c182…
07-23 09:03:13	iran military action against a gulf state on july 24 20260708212322949	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x7f2e80…
07-23 09:01:40	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	57	18¢	$10	0x1b2ea4…
07-23 09:01:09	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0x43b50f…
07-20 23:07:19	Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0x1e19cf…
07-20 23:06:40	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xfa03d3…
07-17 06:22:15	will the houthis successfully target shipping by august 31 2026 20260708165455694	Yes	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x3f892c…
07-17 06:21:00	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x67d562…
07-17 06:20:01	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	116	43¢	$50	0x3ea09d…
07-17 06:19:16	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	227	22¢	$50	0xeb8551…
06-09 07:03:45	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	292	70¢	$205	0xc2d463…
03-23 08:31:59	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 23 2026 979	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x36ace3…
03-23 08:29:09	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xfdd2d3…
03-23 08:28:41	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xa27f66…
03-12 12:40:07	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 13	Yes	BUY	253	40¢	$100	0xdf549d…
03-12 12:37:27	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 16	Yes	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0x9edeec…
03-12 12:36:45	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 13	Yes	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x5344b2…
03-11 20:17:59	will khamenei tweet again on march 14 2026 875	Yes	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x6d3b41…
03-11 20:17:31	will khamenei tweet again on march 13 2026 858	Yes	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xf1d5b1…
03-11 20:16:33	will khamenei tweet again on march 15 2026 383	Yes	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xa5caf2…
03-11 20:11:17	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xdc30c9…
03-11 20:09:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	221	45¢	$100	0x6361dc…
03-11 20:04:15	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x79f4bd…
03-11 20:03:03	will iran strike israel on march 6	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x593120…
03-11 20:01:21	Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x41f39f…
03-09 23:39:55	Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0xf95e64…
03-08 22:11:45	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 9 2026	Yes	BUY	85	98¢	$83	0x53a6dc…
03-08 22:06:51	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	274	18¢	$50	0xc61897…
03-08 22:05:55	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 9 2026	Yes	BUY	2,951	98¢	$2,900	0x6216cc…
03-08 22:05:21	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x79b9db…
03-08 22:03:47	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 9 2026	Yes	BUY	2,052	97¢	$2,000	0x2e2cb8…
03-08 21:46:37	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	SELL	23	51¢	$12	0x5c02c9…
03-08 21:45:53	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 9 2026	Yes	SELL	99	98¢	$97	0x9dfd31…
03-08 21:45:43	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 9 795	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x0611a9…
03-08 21:43:13	will iran strike israel on march 6	Yes	SELL	133	28¢	$37	0x5ad7ee…
03-08 21:41:55	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 10 468	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x1f01bb…
03-08 21:41:47	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 12 278	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xc152fb…
03-08 21:41:37	will gas hit high 4pt50 by march 31	Yes	SELL	4	61¢	$3	0x85c97d…
03-08 21:41:29	will iran claim responsibility for oslo embassy attack	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xd47ee3…
03-08 21:41:19	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	7	91¢	$6	0xba3e8e…
03-08 21:40:37	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 9 2026	Yes	BUY	24	95¢	$23	0x055524…
03-08 21:39:03	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x416869…
03-08 21:38:37	iran confirmed not to participate in 2026 fifa world cup by march 31	No	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0xe258ba…
03-08 21:28:19	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026	Yes	SELL	33	2¢	$1	0xb53e46…
03-08 21:20:27	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 9 2026	Yes	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xfe36c9…
03-08 21:15:23	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x801e4d…
03-08 21:15:07	will the us accuse iran of oslo embassy attack	No	SELL	8	78¢	$6	0xf682d6…
03-08 20:10:25	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 9 795	Yes	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0x67210b…
03-08 20:09:59	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 12 278	Yes	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x618e30…
03-08 20:09:17	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 12 278	Yes	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x99f39d…
03-08 20:08:53	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 10 468	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x9f6ffc…
03-08 20:07:35	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xda2ce9…
03-08 20:05:37	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 9 2026	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xfdd7d1…
03-08 20:05:21	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x73814c…
03-08 19:57:37	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 9 2026	Yes	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x65245b…
03-08 11:45:05	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xb0bc35…
03-08 10:40:41	will the us accuse iran of oslo embassy attack	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x326a1f…
03-08 10:39:39	will gas hit high 4pt50 by march 31	Yes	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x6e86b4…
03-08 10:37:53	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa0ee10…
03-08 10:37:09	will iran claim responsibility for oslo embassy attack	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x1ff778…
03-08 10:36:35	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xe435eb…
03-08 10:35:25	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x81c4e4…
03-08 10:33:29	will iran strike israel on march 6	Yes	SELL	128	21¢	$27	0x5bd511…
03-08 10:33:15	will iran strike israel on march 6	Yes	SELL	87	22¢	$19	0x1ae5d1…
03-06 22:12:47	will iran strike israel on march 6	Yes	BUY	177	28¢	$50	0x50156d…
03-06 22:11:59	will iran strike israel on march 6	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x72155a…
03-06 22:08:03	iran confirmed not to participate in 2026 fifa world cup by march 31	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x964d09…
03-06 22:01:15	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x2f099e…
03-06 21:52:35	will iran strike israel on march 6	Yes	BUY	140	18¢	$25	0xa51f97…