Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

54.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$127

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-07-27

last 10-28 20:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 43 days

Categories

Other

75% 53% -$5

Politics

21% 54% -$3

Tech

4% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes		+1	$1	99¢	$1	+$0	10-22 12:10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No		+1	$1	54¢	$1	$0	10-28 20:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump say job 20 times during michigan remarks 20260725221549593	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	07-27 14:20
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-19 06:11
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$2	09-10 08:24
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $75 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	10	+10	No	-$2	09-23 02:30
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 11	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	09-02 14:51
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $190 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	7	+7	No	+$5	09-21 06:04
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-08 15:19
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	08-07 12:29
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	1	$2	9	+9	Yes	-$2	08-04 04:23
will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	1	$2	7	+7	No	+$5	08-03 11:35
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	09-17 04:57
spy up or down on september 3 2026	1	$2	5	+5	Up	-$2	09-03 01:47
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	09-16 00:12
wti up or down on september 9 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Up	+$1	09-09 11:53
will spy dip to 770 by august 17 2026	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	08-17 05:32
spy up or down on september 18 2026	1	$2	4	+4	Down	+$2	09-18 03:28
will warsh say gas during september press conference 20260909	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	09-16 08:13
wynn quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 04 2026 1	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	08-03 03:35
israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	08-01 23:30
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $171 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-07 11:38
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	08-02 19:09
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	08-08 08:43
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-20 21:56
will abnb dip to 144 by august 3 2026	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	08-03 20:22
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	1	$2	10	+10	No	-$2	08-13 14:27
spy up or down on august 13 2026	1	$2	6	+6	Up	-$2	08-13 06:20
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-17 15:42
spy closes above 775 on august 17 2026	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	08-16 21:31
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$1	08-02 10:16
will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-17 23:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 20:01:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x185f31…
10-28 11:49:35	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x493175…
10-27 11:41:12	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 27?	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x2d8db0…
10-27 03:36:12	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x2345e0…
10-22 20:33:33	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x567169…
10-22 12:10:29	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xb43527…
10-17 23:30:42	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x174aec…
10-17 14:00:57	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x716dc5…
10-16 04:39:27	spx up or down on october 16 2026	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x415d1f…
10-14 17:59:13	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 16 2026	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x6d73a2…
10-14 09:52:31	spy up or down on october 14 2026	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x28dba9…
10-14 01:38:41	will meta reach 770 by october 12 2026 from october 13	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x0e93ae…
10-11 15:52:31	Will Unity Bancorp (UNTY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xbac6c8…
10-10 19:50:37	Will Prologis (PLD) Q3 core FFO per diluted share be above $1.70?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x764947…
10-09 20:15:56	Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q3 investment banking fees be above $3.35B?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xab635e…
10-09 11:53:00	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x127aeb…
10-09 03:50:47	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9?	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x5a8cb9…
10-08 19:48:44	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xde23ba…
10-08 05:52:20	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 8?	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x0baa46…
10-07 09:50:17	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 7?	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x474052…
10-07 01:48:21	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xab8fff…
10-06 17:46:20	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,050 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xa2ccc9…
10-06 09:07:31	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xa610ef…
10-06 01:07:22	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x8c503b…
10-05 16:35:17	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $720 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x04d5e5…
10-05 08:07:05	spx up or down on october 5 2026	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc15a58…
10-04 23:47:14	will mu dip to 1050 by october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xdf5e1c…
10-02 16:05:30	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 2?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x58b606…
10-02 07:38:15	will wti dip to 90 by september 28 2026 from october 1	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xc0ac38…
10-01 12:26:12	spx up or down on october 1 2026	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xafe602…
10-01 12:21:30	spx up or down on october 1 2026	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x16e301…
10-01 04:11:15	trump names ai czar by october 4 2026 20260928	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xf8210e…
09-30 19:52:06	will xauusd reach 4200 by september 28 2026 from september 30	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x8ecac1…
09-30 06:59:02	spy up or down on september 30 2026	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xf7ae5a…
09-29 22:55:44	will msft reach 525 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xee5618…
09-29 14:36:30	will msft dip to 495 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x512a40…
09-29 06:00:09	will tsla reach 367 50 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x494a13…
09-28 22:00:05	trump renames ai by september 30	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x6eeb81…
09-28 13:54:44	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in September?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x8cf6b6…
09-28 05:34:50	will coin reach 200 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x5f979f…
09-27 21:34:38	will xagusd dip to 62 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x8de106…
09-27 21:04:38	trump renames ai by september 30	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x3f8df7…
09-27 06:23:20	will msft dip to 510 in september 2026 from september 25	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x06cacb…
09-26 22:16:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x563a2f…
09-26 10:48:38	will wti reach 95 in september 2026 from september 25	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe3774e…
09-26 02:11:59	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x4b5775…
09-23 02:30:22	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $75 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x20d5b1…
09-21 06:04:56	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $190 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x1e7687…
09-20 21:56:56	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x07c247…
09-19 06:11:43	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xbaa27b…
09-18 03:28:58	spy up or down on september 18 2026	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x347de1…
09-17 04:57:45	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	Yes	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x96e835…
09-16 08:13:10	will warsh say gas during september press conference 20260909	No	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x263fef…
09-16 00:12:37	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0xe94891…
09-10 08:24:28	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	No	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x0252be…
09-09 11:53:15	wti up or down on september 9 2026	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xd0d7fa…
09-08 15:19:39	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x905e0b…
09-07 11:38:33	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $171 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x0d98fe…
09-03 01:47:18	spy up or down on september 3 2026	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x6ac5a3…
09-02 14:51:39	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 11	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x98c8b0…
08-17 23:43:06	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xc2dcea…
08-17 15:42:43	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x266327…
08-17 05:32:55	will spy dip to 770 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x9b3310…
08-16 21:31:19	spy closes above 775 on august 17 2026	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xc35151…
08-13 14:27:22	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x2152ca…
08-13 06:20:21	spy up or down on august 13 2026	Down	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x588220…
08-08 08:43:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xb16ad2…
08-07 12:29:01	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x01e0b8…
08-04 04:23:11	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0x93eae8…
08-03 20:22:27	will abnb dip to 144 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xa58319…
08-03 11:35:39	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	No	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x2a67ba…
08-03 03:35:26	wynn quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 04 2026 1	No	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x29b6c6…
08-02 19:09:53	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xf9d699…
08-02 10:16:02	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0xf46d66…
08-01 23:30:53	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xba2a32…
08-01 14:17:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	BUY	2	67¢	$2	0xbb6c49…
08-01 03:15:08	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xfe3717…
07-31 19:13:24	another pandemic before gta vi	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x650ca4…
07-31 11:11:45	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xeb6493…
07-30 21:47:47	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xa1fa35…
07-30 02:58:30	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x1c6e42…
07-29 15:35:47	will warsh say inflation 20 times during july press conference 20260720204109028	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xaa602f…
07-28 21:26:53	will warsh say independence during july press conference 20260720204109033	No	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xa8cd4b…
07-27 21:31:30	will abnb reach 150 by july 27 2026	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xa52d97…
07-27 14:20:16	will trump say job 20 times during michigan remarks 20260725221549593	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x21b3ee…