(anonymous) 0xfbfd2d…64a282 Create alert
3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$69
Unrealized P&L
-$8
Hit rate
37.8%
Resolved
67
Trades
170
lifetime
Volume
$3.50K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$21
Open exposure
$2.39K
23 positions
First seen
2026-03-17
last 11-11 05:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Other
50% 16% -$39
Politics
27% 9% -$20
Tech
10% — —
Sports
10% 60% -$5
Crypto
3% 56% -$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027? No +600 $408 66¢ $399 -$9 11-10 07:33
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? Yes +567 $389 66¢ $371 -$18 11-09 22:01
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No +450 $324 78¢ $349 +$25 11-09 19:40
GPT-7 released by June 30, 2027? Yes +504 $257 50¢ $250 -$8 11-11 05:50
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? Yes +850 $230 22¢ $191 -$38 11-10 17:30
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027? Yes +457 $137 34¢ $153 +$16 11-10 09:13
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? No +400 $120 34¢ $138 +$18 11-09 19:41
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +150 $118 79¢ $118 $0 11-09 12:41
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? No +117 $86 84¢ $98 +$12 11-07 13:48
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +100 $69 95¢ $95 +$26 11-05 10:11
AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027? No +100 $75 78¢ $78 +$2 11-05 20:04
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +150 $30 21¢ $32 +$2 11-07 16:41
AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027? Yes +100 $24 22¢ $22 -$2 11-05 17:15
Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate at the February meeting? No +30 $16 68¢ $21 +$4 11-06 22:11
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? Yes +117 $30 16¢ $19 -$11 11-10 01:02
Ossoff's Democratic nomination odds dip to 12% by December 31? No +20 $15 93¢ $19 +$3 11-04 12:17
Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate at the February meeting? Yes +30 $13 32¢ $10 -$4 11-06 00:24
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? Yes +15 $8 62¢ $9 +$2 11-05 01:32
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? No +15 $7 38¢ $6 -$2 11-04 23:09
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +100 $30 5¢ $5 -$25 11-05 15:07
GPT-7 released by June 30, 2027? No +4 $2 50¢ $2 +$0 11-11 05:50
Ossoff's Democratic nomination odds dip to 12% by December 31? Yes +20 $4 7¢ $1 -$3 11-04 11:58
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -9 $0 1¢ $-0 +$0 11-02 08:24