Insignificant-Hatred — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$615

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

60.0%

Resolved

Trades

788

lifetime

Volume

$41.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$53

Open exposure

$431

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-10 00:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 62% $-615

Other

7% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 248 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No		+702	$434	62¢	$431	$-2	06-10 00:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down on april 3 2026	5	$1.5K	1,728	100	+1,628	open	—	04-03 15:59
bitcoin up or down on june 6 2026	3	$1.3K	1,000	1,474	-474	open	—	06-06 01:55
bitcoin up or down on april 10 2026	20	$1.2K	1,400	400	+1,000	open	—	04-10 15:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11AM ET	7	$1.2K	806	606	+200	Up	$-38	05-06 15:58
bitcoin up or down on february 17	21	$1000	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	02-16 22:28
bitcoin up or down on january 28	1	$950	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	01-28 14:25
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?	6	$950	1,600	0	+1,600	Up	$-150	05-06 13:40
bitcoin up or down on march 20 2026	1	$950	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	03-20 15:40
will silver si hit high 120 by end of february 431 947 594 173 652 316	5	$901	500	500	+0	open	—	01-30 01:58
Seeker FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$888	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	01-15 02:18
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 29?	11	$836	900	400	+500	open	—	04-29 15:52
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	8	$810	500	500	-0	open	—	04-24 03:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12PM ET	1	$784	800	0	+800	open	—	04-29 16:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8AM ET	3	$782	804	0	+804	open	—	05-03 12:54
bitcoin up or down on february 21	9	$765	1,500	500	+1,000	open	—	02-21 02:23
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 18-24?	6	$647	925	0	+925	open	—	05-23 00:55
bitcoin up or down on march 11	4	$630	1,000	2	+998	open	—	03-10 22:47
bitcoin up or down on february 10	23	$623	1,400	0	+1,400	open	—	02-10 01:53
bitcoin up or down on february 14	8	$580	1,400	0	+1,400	open	—	02-13 23:44
bitcoin up or down on february 7	9	$580	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	02-06 23:34
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 30?	10	$564	640	440	+200	open	—	04-30 12:27
bitcoin up or down on february 19	4	$550	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	02-19 00:07
bitcoin up or down on february 6	12	$524	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	02-06 11:48
bitcoin up or down on april 11 2026	4	$520	800	800	+0	open	—	04-11 14:59
bitcoin up or down on march 18 2026	4	$517	508	508	+0	open	—	03-18 10:53
bitcoin up or down on april 16 2026	18	$500	800	0	+800	open	—	04-15 22:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9PM ET	1	$485	500	0	+500	Up	+$15	05-06 01:38
bitcoin up or down on april 15 2026	10	$458	801	0	+801	open	—	04-14 21:52
bitcoin up or down on february 16	5	$456	500	500	-0	open	—	02-15 22:59
bitcoin up or down on february 5	4	$454	700	0	+700	open	—	02-05 01:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 00:38:48	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xd0971d…
06-08 03:47:34	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	28	63¢	$18	0xca2c65…
06-07 02:52:19	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x3d262d…
06-07 02:47:25	will tim cook say ai or artificial intelligence during the apple wwdc 2026 event on june 8th	Yes	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0xdb0ecc…
06-06 14:20:42	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x1bba60…
06-06 11:29:43	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	33	63¢	$21	0xb1159e…
06-06 11:17:51	ethereum up or down on june 6 2026	Down	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0xcc97f7…
06-06 10:26:19	ethereum up or down on june 6 2026	Down	BUY	99	70¢	$69	0x1ce89c…
06-06 08:46:57	ethereum up or down on june 6 2026	Up	BUY	200	64¢	$128	0xe938ae…
06-06 02:10:46	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	47	63¢	$30	0x6e562b…
06-06 01:55:15	bitcoin up or down on june 6 2026	Up	SELL	474	76¢	$360	0x4f78c6…
06-06 00:31:13	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0x855b0f…
06-05 23:49:46	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0xaa832b…
06-05 20:10:28	btc updown 5m 1780690200	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x799358…
06-05 20:10:28	btc updown 5m 1780690200	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x6dbe5b…
06-05 20:10:27	btc updown 5m 1780690200	Up	BUY	11	40¢	$4	0x1b5241…
06-05 20:06:42	btc updown 5m 1780689900	Down	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x8bdd72…
06-05 20:06:42	btc updown 5m 1780689900	Down	BUY	9	40¢	$4	0x000bf4…
06-05 20:06:40	btc updown 5m 1780689900	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xe7ddb5…
06-05 20:06:40	btc updown 5m 1780689900	Down	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0xc354c0…
06-05 20:06:40	btc updown 5m 1780689900	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x722f9f…
06-05 20:05:06	btc updown 5m 1780689900	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xd8a301…
06-05 20:05:06	btc updown 5m 1780689900	Up	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0xb4a793…
06-05 20:05:06	btc updown 5m 1780689900	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x879dad…
06-05 20:05:06	btc updown 5m 1780689900	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x1e56b3…
06-05 19:38:06	bitcoin up or down on june 6 2026	Up	SELL	1,000	40¢	$400	0x189f60…
06-05 16:10:12	bitcoin up or down on june 6 2026	Up	BUY	1,000	49¢	$490	0x7e9a48…
06-05 14:23:07	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x1b9fba…
06-05 13:59:10	will bitcoin dip to 60k june 1 7 2026	No	SELL	190	14¢	$26	0x07daff…
06-05 13:59:06	will bitcoin dip to 60k june 1 7 2026	No	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x0410ee…
06-05 12:54:49	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	148	63¢	$93	0x7aa93e…
06-05 10:59:54	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	33	63¢	$21	0x038087…
06-05 02:27:48	will bitcoin dip to 60k june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xf15441…
06-05 02:27:48	will bitcoin dip to 60k june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	190	68¢	$130	0x628dc1…
06-02 06:56:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 June 1-7?	No	BUY	485	1¢	$5	0xe5cc12…
06-02 06:56:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 June 1-7?	No	BUY	380	1¢	$4	0x8ecfb0…
06-02 06:56:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 June 1-7?	No	BUY	24	1¢	$0	0x8c2fa8…
06-02 06:56:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 June 1-7?	No	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x699c60…
06-02 06:56:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 June 1-7?	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x4e4ebb…
06-02 06:56:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 June 1-7?	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2f5710…
06-02 06:56:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 June 1-7?	No	BUY	42	1¢	$0	0x2e7b34…
06-02 06:56:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 June 1-7?	No	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x25fa15…
06-02 06:47:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 June 1-7?	No	BUY	500	8¢	$40	0xd1971b…
05-30 12:33:26	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	59¢	$118	0xfda7f0…
05-29 08:56:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	No	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x49a4e7…
05-28 03:35:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	No	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0x0d354b…
05-28 03:18:03	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 on May 27?	No	SELL	200	40¢	$79	0x53d5e4…
05-28 03:11:55	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	200	88¢	$175	0x4c66a1…
05-27 13:30:44	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	No	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0xda9e6f…
05-27 13:29:37	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	No	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x0c6b24…
05-27 13:29:04	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	No	BUY	12	55¢	$6	0x055577…
05-27 13:13:31	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	No	BUY	200	60¢	$120	0xa0b01f…
05-25 14:27:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x84b771…
05-25 01:41:14	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	No	BUY	108	61¢	$66	0x59f956…
05-23 00:55:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	498	63¢	$315	0x65da86…
05-23 00:54:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	127	64¢	$81	0x194573…
05-23 00:13:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	200	80¢	$160	0xa25e3d…
05-22 22:51:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0x3cc357…
05-21 12:12:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x81c990…
05-21 12:11:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xc872a8…
05-21 12:11:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x2e0ae4…
05-21 12:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0x6d3ef0…
05-21 10:35:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0xfc3c6f…
05-21 10:26:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	191	88¢	$168	0xdadd64…
05-21 10:26:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x1f4f70…
05-21 10:25:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xa4409b…
05-21 10:25:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0xddb762…
05-21 10:25:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x2d909c…
05-21 10:25:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	99	49¢	$49	0x927d4b…
05-21 10:25:18	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	No	BUY	151	64¢	$96	0x518051…
05-21 10:08:40	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	No	BUY	41	64¢	$26	0x2c24d1…
05-21 08:42:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x463758…
05-21 08:42:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x303a10…
05-21 08:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xc533ab…
05-21 08:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x742b3f…
05-21 08:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x3b57a6…
05-21 08:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x4b8e08…
05-21 08:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	10	15¢	$1	0x551e04…
05-21 08:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0xf350c0…
05-21 08:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xf06f9f…
05-21 08:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x9fbb2f…
05-21 08:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	40¢	$4	0x4fce57…
05-21 08:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0xc8f73e…
05-21 08:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x8f1d9d…
05-21 08:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x799743…
05-21 08:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x938d17…
05-21 07:55:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xee16f2…
05-21 07:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xdcb735…
05-21 07:46:34	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xce4023…
05-21 07:36:50	Will Hyperliquid reach $58 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x0d9d24…
05-21 05:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0x43c619…
05-17 03:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 17?	Up	SELL	100	38¢	$38	0x5d70d1…
05-17 00:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 17?	Up	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0xb69812…
05-16 09:11:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x2b3397…
05-16 09:02:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x929572…
05-16 08:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x32d04c…
05-16 08:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x66f903…
05-16 08:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0xf3d244…
05-16 08:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xe3dcd9…
05-07 08:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x2f0d61…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	103	$136.0K	3,278	06-06 15:39
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	76	$61.0K	395	06-06 14:36
(anonymous) 0xba01…8535	76	$51.9K	2,189	06-06 15:48
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	73	$475.5K	41,379	06-05 20:13
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	70	$127.8K	6,153	06-05 20:13
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	70	$20.3K	3,295	06-05 20:13
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	66	$12.7K	779	06-05 20:13
(anonymous) 0xeee9…7ecb	63	$1.37M	23,198	06-06 15:53