Insignificant-Hatred — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$615

Unrealized P&L

+$44

Hit rate

60.0%

Resolved

Trades

848

lifetime

Volume

$43.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$51

Open exposure

$761

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-30 13:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 62% $-615

Other

7% — —

Tech

2% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 248 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No		+1,175	$715	64¢	$758	+$43	06-25 14:53
5kt meteor strike in 2026?	No		-4	$-4	66¢	$-3	+$1	06-25 12:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down on april 3 2026	5	$1.5K	1,728	100	+1,628	open	—	04-03 15:59
bitcoin up or down on june 6 2026	3	$1.3K	1,000	1,474	-474	open	—	06-06 01:55
bitcoin up or down on april 10 2026	20	$1.2K	1,400	400	+1,000	open	—	04-10 15:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11AM ET	7	$1.2K	806	606	+200	Up	$-38	05-06 15:58
bitcoin up or down on february 17	21	$1000	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	02-16 22:28
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?	6	$950	1,600	0	+1,600	Up	$-150	05-06 13:40
bitcoin up or down on january 28	1	$950	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	01-28 14:25
bitcoin up or down on march 20 2026	1	$950	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	03-20 15:40
will silver si hit high 120 by end of february 431 947 594 173 652 316	5	$901	500	500	+0	open	—	01-30 01:58
Seeker FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$888	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	01-15 02:18
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 29?	11	$836	900	400	+500	open	—	04-29 15:52
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	8	$810	500	500	-0	open	—	04-24 03:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12PM ET	1	$784	800	0	+800	open	—	04-29 16:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8AM ET	3	$782	804	0	+804	open	—	05-03 12:54
bitcoin up or down on february 21	9	$765	1,500	500	+1,000	open	—	02-21 02:23
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	25	$715	1,175	0	+1,175	open	—	06-25 14:53
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 18-24?	6	$647	925	0	+925	open	—	05-23 00:55
bitcoin up or down on march 11	4	$630	1,000	2	+998	open	—	03-10 22:47
bitcoin up or down on february 10	23	$623	1,400	0	+1,400	open	—	02-10 01:53
bitcoin up or down on february 14	8	$580	1,400	0	+1,400	open	—	02-13 23:44
bitcoin up or down on february 7	9	$580	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	02-06 23:34
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 30?	10	$564	640	440	+200	open	—	04-30 12:27
bitcoin up or down on february 19	4	$550	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	02-19 00:07
bitcoin up or down on february 6	12	$524	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	02-06 11:48
bitcoin up or down on april 11 2026	4	$520	800	800	+0	open	—	04-11 14:59
bitcoin up or down on march 18 2026	4	$517	508	508	+0	open	—	03-18 10:53
bitcoin up or down on april 16 2026	18	$500	800	0	+800	open	—	04-15 22:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9PM ET	1	$485	500	0	+500	Up	+$15	05-06 01:38
will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	7	$482	400	200	+200	open	—	06-30 13:22
bitcoin up or down on april 15 2026	10	$458	801	0	+801	open	—	04-14 21:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 13:22:05	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x38f972…
06-30 03:40:55	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x285b5a…
06-29 12:05:05	btc updown 5m 1782734700	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xdc667e…
06-29 12:05:05	btc updown 5m 1782734700	Down	BUY	4	40¢	$1	0xba8354…
06-29 12:05:05	btc updown 5m 1782734700	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xa375c8…
06-29 06:18:19	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	SELL	200	84¢	$168	0xcbaca1…
06-29 03:06:46	bitcoin up or down on june 29 2026	Down	SELL	100	44¢	$44	0x37e568…
06-29 01:32:56	bitcoin up or down on june 29 2026	Down	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0x0a332c…
06-28 10:50:43	bitcoin up or down on june 28 2026	Down	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x7da2c4…
06-25 14:53:34	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x7e81f6…
06-25 12:59:13	5kt meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	12	75¢	$9	0x6abf0b…
06-24 23:07:04	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	BUY	94	69¢	$65	0x3a4e73…
06-24 21:17:20	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xa5db9d…
06-24 21:06:29	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	BUY	96	69¢	$67	0x8e8f72…
06-24 20:41:41	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x4aacc3…
06-24 20:05:08	will an artwork sell for 150 million by december 31	No	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x0a6d56…
06-24 13:17:01	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xa15c1b…
06-24 09:41:38	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	31	59¢	$18	0x7019e4…
06-22 17:52:34	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	52	59¢	$31	0x156a51…
06-22 16:16:07	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0x65b798…
06-20 22:59:55	will an artwork sell for 150 million by december 31	No	BUY	11	59¢	$6	0x74051a…
06-20 03:36:02	will an artwork sell for 150 million by december 31	No	BUY	89	59¢	$53	0x93ec58…
06-19 05:15:37	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	131	59¢	$78	0x7b73c6…
06-18 19:57:49	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xca1f4c…
06-17 19:05:40	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	153	59¢	$90	0xb9b35c…
06-17 11:41:31	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	59¢	$3	0xcb7a2a…
06-16 14:14:16	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x725782…
06-16 08:28:49	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0xcf2307…
06-15 11:03:04	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 15 20260613193829177	No	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0x6e6d3d…
06-15 10:17:46	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 15 20260613193829177	No	BUY	91	89¢	$81	0xa534c2…
06-15 10:03:33	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 15 20260613193829177	No	BUY	18	89¢	$16	0x8ddc90…
06-15 09:57:00	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 15 20260613193829177	No	BUY	74	89¢	$66	0x5f780e…
06-15 03:11:58	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 15 20260613193829177	No	BUY	300	85¢	$255	0xeb5dda…
06-15 02:01:48	will bitcoin reach 66k june 8 14 2026	No	BUY	74	87¢	$64	0x98ab39…
06-14 06:04:28	5kt meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	8	69¢	$5	0xddaa8d…
06-12 09:16:22	btc updown 5m 1781255700	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x44b239…
06-12 09:15:45	btc updown 5m 1781255700	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xaa9493…
06-12 09:15:45	btc updown 5m 1781255700	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x0cef80…
06-12 09:15:45	btc updown 5m 1781255700	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x08f490…
06-12 09:13:48	btc updown 5m 1781255400	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x8c41d2…
06-12 09:11:12	btc updown 5m 1781255400	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xade841…
06-12 09:11:12	btc updown 5m 1781255400	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x699873…
06-12 09:10:24	btc updown 5m 1781255400	Up	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x0e5b07…
06-12 09:10:22	btc updown 5m 1781255400	Up	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0xe8d65b…
06-12 09:04:07	btc updown 5m 1781254800	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x192a74…
06-12 09:01:19	btc updown 5m 1781254800	Down	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0x909cff…
06-12 09:01:19	btc updown 5m 1781254800	Down	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x490281…
06-12 09:00:13	btc updown 5m 1781254800	Up	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xe9ef61…
06-12 08:55:36	btc updown 5m 1781254500	Down	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xc4f00b…
06-12 08:46:51	btc updown 5m 1781253900	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x8eb35a…
06-12 08:46:49	btc updown 5m 1781253900	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x3189cc…
06-12 08:45:34	btc updown 5m 1781253900	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x541216…
06-12 08:45:34	btc updown 5m 1781253900	Up	BUY	17	40¢	$7	0x34ce86…
06-12 08:30:01	btc updown 5m 1781253000	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xa8dbf2…
06-12 08:30:01	btc updown 5m 1781253000	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x99c907…
06-12 08:24:46	btc updown 5m 1781252700	Up	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x9fa681…
06-12 08:24:46	btc updown 5m 1781252700	Up	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x9edaf4…
06-11 08:38:48	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	53	61¢	$32	0xc899b7…
06-10 11:27:51	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x09d6d3…
06-10 05:30:49	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xda80ed…
06-10 00:38:48	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xd0971d…
06-08 03:47:34	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	28	63¢	$18	0xca2c65…
06-07 02:52:19	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x3d262d…
06-07 02:47:25	will tim cook say ai or artificial intelligence during the apple wwdc 2026 event on june 8th	Yes	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0xdb0ecc…
06-06 14:20:42	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x1bba60…
06-06 11:29:43	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	33	63¢	$21	0xb1159e…
06-06 11:17:51	ethereum up or down on june 6 2026	Down	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0xcc97f7…
06-06 10:26:19	ethereum up or down on june 6 2026	Down	BUY	99	70¢	$69	0x1ce89c…
06-06 08:46:57	ethereum up or down on june 6 2026	Up	BUY	200	64¢	$128	0xe938ae…
06-06 02:10:46	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	47	63¢	$30	0x6e562b…
06-06 01:55:15	bitcoin up or down on june 6 2026	Up	SELL	474	76¢	$360	0x4f78c6…
06-06 00:31:13	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0x855b0f…
06-05 23:49:46	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0xaa832b…
06-05 20:10:28	btc updown 5m 1780690200	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x799358…
06-05 20:10:28	btc updown 5m 1780690200	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x6dbe5b…
06-05 20:10:27	btc updown 5m 1780690200	Up	BUY	11	40¢	$4	0x1b5241…
06-05 20:06:42	btc updown 5m 1780689900	Down	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x8bdd72…
06-05 20:06:42	btc updown 5m 1780689900	Down	BUY	9	40¢	$4	0x000bf4…
06-05 20:06:40	btc updown 5m 1780689900	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xe7ddb5…
06-05 20:06:40	btc updown 5m 1780689900	Down	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0xc354c0…
06-05 20:06:40	btc updown 5m 1780689900	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x722f9f…
06-05 20:05:06	btc updown 5m 1780689900	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xd8a301…
06-05 20:05:06	btc updown 5m 1780689900	Up	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0xb4a793…
06-05 20:05:06	btc updown 5m 1780689900	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x879dad…
06-05 20:05:06	btc updown 5m 1780689900	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x1e56b3…
06-05 19:38:06	bitcoin up or down on june 6 2026	Up	SELL	1,000	40¢	$400	0x189f60…
06-05 16:10:12	bitcoin up or down on june 6 2026	Up	BUY	1,000	49¢	$490	0x7e9a48…
06-05 14:23:07	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x1b9fba…
06-05 13:59:10	will bitcoin dip to 60k june 1 7 2026	No	SELL	190	14¢	$26	0x07daff…
06-05 13:59:06	will bitcoin dip to 60k june 1 7 2026	No	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x0410ee…
06-05 12:54:49	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	148	63¢	$93	0x7aa93e…
06-05 10:59:54	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	33	63¢	$21	0x038087…
06-05 02:27:48	will bitcoin dip to 60k june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xf15441…
06-05 02:27:48	will bitcoin dip to 60k june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	190	68¢	$130	0x628dc1…
06-02 06:56:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 June 1-7?	No	BUY	485	1¢	$5	0xe5cc12…
06-02 06:56:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 June 1-7?	No	BUY	380	1¢	$4	0x8ecfb0…
06-02 06:56:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 June 1-7?	No	BUY	24	1¢	$0	0x8c2fa8…
06-02 06:56:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 June 1-7?	No	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x699c60…
06-02 06:56:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 June 1-7?	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x4e4ebb…
06-02 06:56:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 June 1-7?	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2f5710…