Blond-Drain — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$34

Unrealized P&L

+$81

Hit rate

41.0%

Resolved

Trades

222

lifetime

Volume

$6.47K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

$369

10 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 11-08 06:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Other

100% 33% -$43

Politics

0% — —

Crypto

0% 100% +$10

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	+540	$96	30¢	$159	+$64	11-07 13:28
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	+459	$102	33¢	$153	+$51	11-08 06:20
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	-50	-$19	68¢	$-34	-$15	06-24 06:58
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	+412	$13	2¢	$7	-$6	11-08 03:39
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	+45	$4	13¢	$6	+$2	11-08 06:20
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	-30	-$5	17¢	$-5	+$0	11-06 07:24
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	+126	$5	2¢	$3	-$2	09-16 07:43
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	+1,346	$10	0¢	$1	-$9	11-07 13:29
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+30	$2	2¢	$1	-$1	07-21 16:12
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	+119	$3	0¢	$0	-$3	11-07 13:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	6	$498	298	298	+0	Yes	+$92	10-13 15:08
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	3	$428	622	222	+400	No	-$7	07-17 01:28
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	12	$388	365	365	+0	No	+$14	09-17 09:00
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	4	$382	250	250	+0	Yes	+$93	05-08 09:05
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	3	$337	272	272	+0	Yes	+$206	07-21 16:02
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	5	$332	470	470	+0	Yes	-$52	09-17 06:08
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	2	$282	510	0	+510	No	-$282	10-14 00:21
elon musk of tweets march 2 march 4 0 39	9	$261	271	271	+0	Yes	+$99	03-04 15:53
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	2	$256	341	332	+9	No	-$83	04-29 02:15
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	5	$217	456	456	+0	No	-$26	07-19 02:44
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	2	$200	142	142	+0	Yes	-$18	11-06 09:36
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 580plus	12	$191	12,000	0	+12,000	No	-$191	01-09 16:54
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	6	$187	644	0	+644	No	-$187	05-17 02:39
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	3	$172	183	183	+0	No	-$3	11-06 12:57
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	4	$155	568	568	+0	No	-$36	10-13 03:03
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	3	$153	490	190	+300	No	-$58	07-19 02:45
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 480 499	2	$144	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$144	01-08 02:30
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	3	$143	500	500	+0	No	-$71	09-17 04:04
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	5	$115	590	50	+540	open	—	11-07 13:28
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	2	$102	459	0	+459	open	—	11-08 06:20
elon musk 48h tweets january 5 january 7 140plus	7	$100	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$900	01-07 16:18
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 300 319	1	$89	195	0	+195	Yes	+$106	04-16 10:57
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	2	$89	165	0	+165	Yes	+$76	04-29 02:16
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	2	$88	58	58	+0	Yes	+$24	06-26 14:24
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 500 519	5	$85	13,394	0	+13,394	No	-$85	01-09 08:22
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	4	$71	150	150	+0	Yes	+$27	05-18 03:44
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	16	$71	876	0	+876	No	-$71	07-24 07:17
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	2	$71	500	500	+0	No	+$5	09-17 08:45
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 280 299	1	$65	198	0	+198	No	-$65	02-09 15:51
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	3	$63	205	205	+0	open	—	11-08 06:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 06:20:43	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	9¢	$4	0x10a8f7…
11-08 06:20:16	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	109	27¢	$30	0xd42ef5…
11-08 06:18:22	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	205	18¢	$37	0x72460c…
11-08 03:39:04	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	4¢	$1	0x4d5dab…
11-08 03:38:39	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	374	3¢	$12	0xd86aa2…
11-08 03:38:10	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	133	11¢	$14	0xc27f4f…
11-07 13:29:27	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	346	1¢	$3	0x0cc332…
11-07 13:29:03	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	119	2¢	$3	0x0fd291…
11-07 13:28:45	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$7	0x2f1482…
11-07 13:28:16	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	19¢	$10	0x44569a…
11-07 13:18:13	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	83	6¢	$5	0x9afda4…
11-07 07:36:52	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	66	19¢	$13	0x9f269c…
11-07 07:36:09	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	350	21¢	$72	0x7cbde2…
11-07 02:27:39	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	7¢	$2	0x7e192f…
11-07 02:27:24	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	10¢	$8	0xcbb7f6…
11-07 02:26:37	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	105	13¢	$13	0x7744af…
11-07 02:11:46	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xbf95e9…
11-07 01:50:27	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	6¢	$4	0xd12857…
11-07 01:49:37	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0xdfdc48…
11-06 22:10:09	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	79	18¢	$14	0x5b35ae…
11-06 21:27:22	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xd2f246…
11-06 21:27:13	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	435	18¢	$76	0x0b3542…
11-06 12:57:07	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	183	46¢	$84	0xfa0425…
11-06 09:48:25	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x37c024…
11-06 09:44:48	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	174	47¢	$82	0xcf9cff…
11-06 09:36:28	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	SELL	142	64¢	$91	0xfda694…
11-06 08:38:46	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	142	77¢	$109	0xaadb87…
11-06 07:24:34	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	30	17¢	$5	0x25aba0…
10-14 00:22:22	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	70¢	$6	0xd87747…
10-14 00:21:28	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	55¢	$17	0xb30a48…
10-14 00:21:04	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	480	55¢	$265	0x16fd69…
10-13 15:08:05	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	71	99¢	$70	0x113389…
10-13 15:02:58	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	113	99¢	$112	0xb4ce3b…
10-13 15:01:05	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x58a85e…
10-13 15:00:25	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	102	99¢	$101	0xf52aaa…
10-13 03:44:38	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x19403d…
10-13 03:05:24	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	291	68¢	$198	0xa011fe…
10-13 03:03:44	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	568	10¢	$59	0x2d0183…
10-13 02:00:27	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xe071fb…
10-13 01:58:39	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0xedbbe1…
10-13 01:57:59	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0xd6b409…
10-13 01:56:53	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	21¢	$3	0x8a04d3…
10-13 01:56:38	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	20¢	$13	0xd56985…
10-13 01:47:05	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	520	17¢	$88	0x4c419a…
10-13 01:47:05	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	18¢	$7	0x4694c4…
09-17 09:00:58	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	293	55¢	$161	0xb6bed2…
09-17 08:53:27	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	55¢	$5	0x5fd9ca…
09-17 08:48:31	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	55¢	$5	0x87d2b0…
09-17 08:48:28	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	55¢	$5	0x6939f0…
09-17 08:48:24	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0xa996e2…
09-17 08:48:24	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x1e43d0…
09-17 08:48:07	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	55¢	$6	0x30994e…
09-17 08:47:01	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x07e987…
09-17 08:45:54	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	8¢	$38	0x4ebcae…
09-17 08:45:34	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0x607769…
09-17 08:44:42	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x01672b…
09-17 08:42:37	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	55¢	$10	0x6bf79c…
09-17 07:59:51	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	7¢	$33	0x24a787…
09-17 06:43:21	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	365	51¢	$187	0x63f050…
09-17 06:08:15	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	470	30¢	$140	0x3eb5e4…
09-17 04:39:46	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x26bd94…
09-17 04:04:01	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	7¢	$36	0x34f47f…
09-16 15:08:57	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xee6d7c…
09-16 15:08:02	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x307dc6…
09-16 08:14:31	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	208	22¢	$46	0xf3bf09…
09-16 07:49:04	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	293	21¢	$61	0xc904b0…
09-16 07:47:07	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	430	41¢	$176	0x9e8f8b…
09-16 07:43:16	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	126	4¢	$5	0x75537b…
07-24 07:17:12	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	278	5¢	$13	0x26add2…
07-24 03:29:52	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x30477e…
07-24 03:28:34	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x1e4a96…
07-24 03:27:37	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0xb8efba…
07-24 03:25:39	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0xff2316…
07-24 03:23:37	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0x256717…
07-24 03:21:39	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xcbc7c2…
07-24 03:20:01	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0xdf6a08…
07-24 03:19:37	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0x13f57e…
07-24 03:18:48	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	10¢	$2	0x9058fa…
07-24 03:17:39	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xd8b85b…
07-24 03:15:39	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x398947…
07-24 03:13:37	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xe4b081…
07-24 03:11:37	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xd0630b…
07-24 03:09:39	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	10¢	$6	0x50bcef…
07-24 03:09:37	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	376	10¢	$37	0x1a3348…
07-21 16:12:19	Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x3acc3e…
07-21 16:02:24	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	272	100¢	$272	0x56d3f0…
07-19 02:45:31	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	66	24¢	$16	0x117615…
07-19 02:45:00	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	78	30¢	$23	0x1e075e…
07-19 02:44:27	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	201	21¢	$42	0xbbbe2d…
07-19 02:23:28	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	206	24¢	$49	0x406ad6…
07-19 02:23:07	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	255	21¢	$54	0x8a873c…
07-18 03:32:30	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0xadf0fd…
07-18 03:32:03	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	162	27¢	$44	0xb9f244…
07-18 03:26:40	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	190	25¢	$48	0xc4a2c7…
07-18 03:26:13	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	285	26¢	$75	0xcbdf45…
07-17 03:14:28	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	6¢	$5	0xb38d36…
07-17 03:12:30	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x943732…
07-17 03:08:30	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x26b468…
07-17 01:47:01	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	412	20¢	$82	0x0234f3…
07-17 01:41:07	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	110	6¢	$7	0x3f7961…