Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$6

Unrealized P&L

-$17

Hit rate

17.8%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

341

5,451 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$2.63K

$18.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$31

12 positions

First seen

2026-03-14

last 11-07 14:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 42% +$1,951

Other

15% 32% +$857

Politics

2% 0% -$1

Tech

1% 0% -$1

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 459 trades/day

Open positions (12) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the median home value in the US be between $403,000 and $407,000 on December 31?	No	+20	$15	62¢	$12	-$3	11-02 21:24
Will Dog Alone win Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	+10	$6	84¢	$9	+$2	11-02 20:47
Will the median home value in the US be between $403,000 and $407,000 on December 31?	Yes	+20	$10	38¢	$8	-$2	11-02 21:17
Will Dog Alone win Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	+10	$8	16¢	$2	-$6	11-02 21:24
Will valyn play for Team Envy in 2027?	Yes	+20	$3	3¢	$1	-$2	11-06 15:11
265-269 votes for Hakeem Jeffries to be Speaker on first ballot?	Yes	+12	$0	0¢	$0	$0	11-05 18:21
Will m0NESY play for Natus Vincere in 2027?	Yes	+18	$0	0¢	$0	$0	11-05 01:37
Will "Thriller - Michael Jackson" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 14?	Yes	+0	$0	71¢	$0	+$0	11-06 23:15
Will PSOE win the most seats in Barcelona in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	+0	$0	6¢	$0	$0	11-05 14:35
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in November?	Yes	+0	$5	11¢	$0	-$5	10-31 23:40
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 16, 2026?	Yes	+0	$0	4¢	$0	$0	11-06 00:04
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 2 and November 8, 2026?	Yes	+0	$0	2¢	$0	$0	11-04 22:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Bank of Japan make no change to the uncollateralized overnight call rate at the January meeting?	7	$221	216	216	+0	open	—	10-31 16:42
Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.7%?	5	$138	126	126	+0	open	—	11-01 01:19
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?	9	$136	176	176	+0	open	—	11-02 17:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	30	$128	137	0	+137	Down	+$9	09-07 03:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	26	$114	120	0	+120	Down	+$6	09-07 16:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 22:00 UTC	21	$98	100	0	+100	Up	+$2	08-22 22:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 00:50 UTC	20	$98	100	0	+100	Up	+$2	08-23 00:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 10:15 UTC	21	$93	100	0	+100	Down	-$43	08-22 10:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 01:05 UTC	19	$93	95	0	+95	Up	+$2	08-23 01:09
Will Katie Miller be the next White House Press Secretary?	2	$93	50	50	+0	open	—	11-06 19:50
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Zacatecas Congress election?	2	$90	60	60	+0	open	—	10-31 22:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 04:20 UTC	19	$85	95	0	+95	Up	+$10	08-23 04:24
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate by 25 bps at the February meeting?	4	$84	84	84	+0	open	—	11-04 18:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 09:10 UTC	20	$83	90	0	+90	Down	+$7	09-04 09:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	20	$83	90	0	+90	Up	-$23	09-07 14:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 00:05 UTC	20	$80	90	0	+90	Down	+$10	08-23 00:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	17	$79	85	0	+85	Down	-$69	09-05 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	15	$71	75	0	+75	Down	+$4	09-05 08:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	15	$66	70	0	+70	Up	+$4	09-04 00:14
Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the March meeting?	2	$65	85	85	+0	open	—	10-31 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	14	$65	68	0	+68	Up	+$3	09-07 11:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	15	$64	70	0	+70	Down	-$4	09-07 16:00
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in November?	3	$64	65	65	+0	open	—	10-31 23:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	13	$63	65	0	+65	Up	+$2	09-05 11:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 02:15 UTC	15	$63	70	0	+70	Down	+$7	08-23 02:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	14	$63	67	0	+67	Up	+$4	09-04 22:14
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	3	$63	34	34	+0	No	-$1	11-04 00:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	14	$62	64	0	+64	Down	+$2	09-07 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	13	$61	65	0	+65	Down	+$4	09-05 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	15	$60	65	0	+65	Down	+$5	09-04 03:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 17:16:36	Will Carter Verhaeghe record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?	No	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0x674e5e…
11-07 17:14:55	Will Carter Verhaeghe record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x68b98b…
11-07 17:13:48	Will a player from the ACC win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x7c26da…
11-07 17:13:43	Will a player from the ACC win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x90d67f…
11-07 14:33:34	Will Anthropic IPO by November 17, 2026?	No	SELL	29	96¢	$28	0x0132c1…
11-07 14:33:31	Will Anthropic IPO by November 17, 2026?	No	BUY	29	96¢	$28	0x42ef5d…
11-07 10:48:22	Will Éric Zemmour win the fourth-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xf814f4…
11-07 10:48:18	Will Éric Zemmour win the fourth-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xbab589…
11-07 09:58:30	Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green?	Yes	SELL	48	12¢	$6	0xb64ba6…
11-07 09:58:28	Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green?	Yes	BUY	48	12¢	$6	0x81bd0d…
11-07 09:53:07	Will SpaceXAI be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x32b90d…
11-07 09:53:04	Will SpaceXAI be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x466f60…
11-07 08:20:37	Will TSG Hoffenheim qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xddc78b…
11-07 06:43:54	Will Scharo win the GMGN GGC Season 1 Grand Final?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x50eb6f…
11-07 06:43:52	Will Scharo win the GMGN GGC Season 1 Grand Final?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xedebc6…
11-07 04:09:13	Will Como reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x55ac07…
11-07 04:09:12	Will Como reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xa1375c…
11-07 04:09:06	Will Ilhan Omar be the next to hold Klobuchar's Senate seat by March 31?	No	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0xfe9c50…
11-07 04:09:03	Will Ilhan Omar be the next to hold Klobuchar's Senate seat by March 31?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x601a5b…
11-07 01:54:28	Will "Wildwood" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xbeed29…
11-07 01:54:22	Will "Wildwood" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x497d58…
11-07 01:49:58	Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x018e4f…
11-07 01:49:54	Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?	Yes	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0xbf48a8…
11-07 01:49:54	Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x28efa9…
11-07 01:42:19	Will PPI YoY be 6.6% in October?	Yes	SELL	3	12¢	$0	0xe3769d…
11-07 01:42:18	Will PPI YoY be 6.6% in October?	Yes	BUY	3	12¢	$0	0x874ef5…
11-07 00:27:24	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $148 in November?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x8ebaef…
11-07 00:27:18	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $148 in November?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x585951…
11-07 00:08:31	Will General Mills Q2 organic net sales growth be between -4.5% and -3%?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0xdc46c0…
11-07 00:08:25	Will General Mills Q2 organic net sales growth be between -4.5% and -3%?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x0d34ff…
11-06 23:15:27	Will "Thriller - Michael Jackson" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 14?	Yes	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0x581510…
11-06 23:15:25	Will "Thriller - Michael Jackson" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 14?	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0xa20607…
11-06 22:51:04	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C or below on November 8?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x09c04e…
11-06 22:51:03	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C or below on November 8?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xf79811…
11-06 20:38:30	Will The Birthday Gift win Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xef63fe…
11-06 19:50:19	Will Katie Miller be the next White House Press Secretary?	No	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0xe8df69…
11-06 19:50:13	Will Katie Miller be the next White House Press Secretary?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xfb0856…
11-06 19:47:34	Will tkzin play for LOUD in 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x5ffbd0…
11-06 19:47:31	Will tkzin play for LOUD in 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x2493b3…
11-06 17:55:21	Will UK annual inflation be between 3.1% and 3.3% in October?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xb53677…
11-06 17:55:16	Will UK annual inflation be between 3.1% and 3.3% in October?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x3932bb…
11-06 17:12:49	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 29°C on November 7?	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0xc65599…
11-06 17:12:48	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 29°C on November 7?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xb2d17a…
11-06 16:37:52	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.825T by November 30?	No	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0xb726b2…
11-06 16:37:46	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.825T by November 30?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x1efca2…
11-06 15:36:12	Will Iran win Group C at the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x3e4118…
11-06 15:36:10	Will Iran win Group C at the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x2a5dbd…
11-06 15:11:30	Will valyn play for Team Envy in 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x6fe3ce…
11-06 13:45:39	Will "Taken: Natalee Holloway: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Yes	SELL	16	92¢	$15	0x66b198…
11-06 13:45:37	Will "Taken: Natalee Holloway: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x7d208b…
11-06 13:42:33	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on November 7?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x41bf4b…
11-06 13:42:31	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xf58d0d…
11-06 13:41:39	Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in efficiency (EFF) per game in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	16	36¢	$6	0x602447…
11-06 13:41:36	Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in efficiency (EFF) per game in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0xd6db29…
11-06 12:20:24	Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of November 2?	Yes	SELL	18	2¢	$0	0xf7d4e8…
11-06 12:20:21	Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of November 2?	Yes	BUY	18	2¢	$0	0xdf01d7…
11-06 11:41:15	Will the Ornn A100 Index be less than $0.50 on December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0x68f143…
11-06 11:41:12	Will the Ornn A100 Index be less than $0.50 on December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xcb01b8…
11-06 11:20:12	Will The MongolZ Win the IEM Beijing 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x4f883f…
11-06 11:20:10	Will The MongolZ Win the IEM Beijing 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x0fbef7…
11-06 11:05:36	Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0x20ea82…
11-06 11:05:30	Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	14	15¢	$2	0xb9fae6…
11-06 11:05:28	Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x090ac1…
11-06 10:59:25	Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 90 by November 30?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0xfecd13…
11-06 10:59:24	Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 90 by November 30?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0xe80f97…
11-06 10:48:42	Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $2.30T and $2.60T at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xfbab0e…
11-06 10:48:30	Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $2.30T and $2.60T at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x189d75…
11-06 10:36:15	Will Collin Gillespie lead the NBA in steals per game in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	7	7¢	$0	0x0ed2fa…
11-06 10:36:12	Will Collin Gillespie lead the NBA in steals per game in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	7	7¢	$0	0xe96215…
11-06 09:39:31	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #2 US song this week?	No	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0xb6b098…
11-06 09:39:30	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #2 US song this week?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x46684e…
11-06 08:54:34	Will Eduardo Nakayama win the 2028 Paraguay presidential election?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0xbd68c0…
11-06 08:54:31	Will Eduardo Nakayama win the 2028 Paraguay presidential election?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x7e2ab4…
11-06 08:52:46	Will Tyreek Hill sign with the Buffalo Bills in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x3f4a93…
11-06 07:48:03	Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Chihuahua Congress election?	No	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x79caf5…
11-06 07:48:01	Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Chihuahua Congress election?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xd630ff…
11-06 07:41:48	Will General Mills Q2 organic net sales growth be above 1.5%?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xe694e0…
11-06 07:41:46	Will General Mills Q2 organic net sales growth be above 1.5%?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xa2bd04…
11-06 07:41:40	Will General Mills Q2 organic net sales growth be between -4.5% and -3%?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x81939e…
11-06 07:41:34	Will General Mills Q2 organic net sales growth be between -4.5% and -3%?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x2096c3…
11-06 07:29:45	Will Pabel Muñoz win the next Quito mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x6fd188…
11-06 07:29:42	Will Pabel Muñoz win the next Quito mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xd6969c…
11-06 07:10:30	Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 14?	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x44ab14…
11-06 07:10:28	Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 14?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xe64d1b…
11-06 07:02:31	Will Arnoldo Wiens win the 2028 Paraguay presidential election?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x82cab4…
11-06 07:02:25	Will Arnoldo Wiens win the 2028 Paraguay presidential election?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x602559…
11-06 04:15:25	Will there be no next Claude Opus model (5.6+) release by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x4ac037…
11-06 04:15:19	Will there be no next Claude Opus model (5.6+) release by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xecb616…
11-06 02:12:31	Will Boaster play for Gentle Mates in 2027?	No	SELL	19	3¢	$1	0xeeaba4…
11-06 02:12:30	Will Boaster play for Gentle Mates in 2027?	No	BUY	19	3¢	$1	0x6beec9…
11-06 02:10:31	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x12829b…
11-06 02:10:25	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xbe90d9…
11-06 00:35:27	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $6.50 and $7.00 on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0xb38069…
11-06 00:35:24	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $6.50 and $7.00 on December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x56cb09…
11-06 00:04:33	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x6cfa78…
11-06 00:04:31	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xdf28d9…
11-05 22:37:51	Will Trump's approval rating hit 37% by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x891aa9…
11-05 22:37:45	Will Trump's approval rating hit 37% by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x30d48a…
11-05 22:37:18	Will UK annual inflation be at least 4.3% in October?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xb14436…
11-05 22:37:16	Will UK annual inflation be at least 4.3% in October?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x36be11…