Realized P&L
-$387
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
73.1%
Resolved
244
Trades
567
lifetime
Volume
$36.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$65
Open exposure
$136
4 positions
First seen
2026-01-27
last 10-12 11:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 67 days
Categories
Other
92% 66% -$294
Crypto
3% 86% +$41
Sports
3% 43% -$166
Politics
1% 100% +$29
Tech
1% 82% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +175 $106 58¢ $102 -$4 10-12 11:11
Trump out as President before 2027? No -20 -$19 97¢ $-19 -$1 08-25 07:33
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +10 $8 98¢ $10 +$2 06-02 07:59
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +4 $4 94¢ $4 +$0 06-02 15:46