Enormous-Nutmeg — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$380

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

37.3%

Resolved

123

Trades

303

lifetime

Volume

$1.04K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-11

last 09-02 14:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Other

51% 31% -$131

Politics

30% 31% -$180

Crypto

18% 25% -$72

Sports

1% 33% +$1

Tech

0% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes		-61	-$5	3¢	$-2	+$3	07-27 06:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	27	$124	358	0	+358	Yes	-$124	02-28 16:03
will the january 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt3	7	$100	83	83	+0	Yes	+$66	02-11 14:58
another us government shutdown by february 14	11	$51	928	25	+903	No	-$15	02-14 07:43
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	7	$48	149	109	+40	No	+$24	01-27 12:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 02:05 UTC	3	$34	26	25	+0	Down	+$16	02-27 02:11
will the february 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt2	8	$30	132	0	+132	No	-$30	03-03 14:41
will monthly inflation increase by 0pt3 in january 418	8	$29	110	0	+110	No	-$29	02-12 03:36
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	11	$23	39	0	+39	Yes	-$23	02-28 16:25
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	6	$19	41	34	+7	Yes	+$1	02-28 06:29
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	4	$17	80	0	+80	Yes	-$17	02-28 15:32
will annual inflation increase by 2pt6 in february 798 981 162 343	4	$17	468	0	+468	No	-$17	03-05 14:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 01:40 UTC	1	$16	28	0	+28	Down	-$16	02-27 01:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 14:00 UTC	3	$16	110	10	+100	Down	+$4	02-13 14:06
will the january 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt2	1	$15	69	0	+69	No	-$15	01-11 15:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 00:30 UTC	2	$15	72	0	+72	Down	-$15	02-27 00:32
will the sp 500 index lose at least 4 on any day in q1	7	$14	61	27	+33	No	-$4	02-12 13:32
will monthly inflation increase by 0pt1 or less in january 157	3	$14	8	8	+0	No	+$2	02-13 13:37
will monthly inflation increase by 0pt8 or more in march 692	1	$13	15	0	+15	Yes	+$2	03-26 15:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 02:00 UTC	2	$12	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	02-27 02:07
Will annual inflation be 4.1% in May?	2	$12	372	104	+268	No	+$2	06-06 07:33
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$11	7	7	+0	Yes	+$1	01-25 06:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 02:10 UTC	1	$11	42	0	+42	Down	-$11	02-27 02:11
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	2	$11	41	0	+41	Yes	-$11	02-28 15:32
will monthly inflation increase by 0pt4 or more in february	2	$11	91	0	+91	No	-$11	03-03 14:36
karoline leavitt out by march 31	7	$11	128	0	+128	No	-$11	02-28 07:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 02:15 UTC	1	$10	48	0	+48	Up	-$10	02-27 02:18
Will the May 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?	1	$10	43	0	+43	No	-$10	05-20 12:55
Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?	1	$10	32	0	+32	Yes	+$22	04-12 12:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 14:15 UTC	6	$10	155	0	+155	Down	+$3	02-27 14:19
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	3	$10	39	39	+0	Yes	+$2	02-27 11:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-02 14:15:55	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in August?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xe037ec…
09-02 14:12:37	Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.0%?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x53da4c…
09-02 14:10:33	Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?	Yes	BUY	21	38¢	$8	0x3ee602…
07-27 08:47:09	Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x96867a…
07-27 06:53:46	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	45	5¢	$2	0xfc350b…
07-14 00:36:20	Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x4b1cb4…
07-14 00:30:13	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.9% in June?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x1fabd9…
07-14 00:27:37	Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?	Yes	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x15babb…
06-21 15:12:58	Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x07b523…
06-14 03:24:27	Will Michael Jackson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Yes	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0x52c5d7…
06-14 03:24:16	Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0xf3b2c1…
06-14 03:10:22	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Spurs	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe95ae8…
06-14 03:09:27	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Spurs	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x2efdec…
06-14 02:39:49	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Spurs	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xfcf1cd…
06-12 15:55:31	Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x6be85b…
06-12 15:55:19	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x4c5b8e…
06-12 03:46:34	Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x4d4e4a…
06-12 03:44:28	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xe8a7af…
06-06 07:38:58	Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x409379…
06-06 07:38:51	Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x3ec0ce…
06-06 07:38:16	Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xfe89b5…
06-06 07:33:16	Will annual inflation be 4.1% in May?	Yes	SELL	104	7¢	$7	0x73e0ff…
05-27 12:02:44	Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x1874d0…
05-27 12:00:43	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	16	15¢	$2	0xabc953…
05-27 11:59:56	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in May?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xa7f5a1…
05-27 11:59:25	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.7% in May?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xfda1af…
05-26 02:56:42	Will annual inflation be 4.0% in May?	Yes	SELL	274	1¢	$2	0x2ebe10…
05-20 12:57:51	Will annual inflation be 4.1% in May?	Yes	BUY	372	1¢	$5	0x04d90a…
05-20 12:57:09	Will annual inflation be 4.0% in May?	Yes	BUY	582	1¢	$5	0x3a57df…
05-20 12:55:33	Will the May 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?	Yes	BUY	32	16¢	$5	0x4fc797…
05-20 12:55:20	Will the May 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x81279d…
05-20 12:55:06	Will the May 2026 unemployment rate be 4.0%?	Yes	BUY	137	4¢	$5	0x206ae7…
05-04 07:37:50	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.7% in April?	Yes	BUY	28	14¢	$4	0xf19252…
05-04 06:55:08	Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	243	2¢	$5	0x4a1707…
04-16 07:32:14	Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in April?	Yes	BUY	14	32¢	$5	0x50124c…
04-16 07:31:16	Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?	Yes	BUY	35	20¢	$7	0x9a5716…
04-12 12:25:51	Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xc1569b…
03-26 15:18:13	will the march 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt4	Yes	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0xaaccdb…
03-26 15:16:09	will monthly inflation increase by 0pt8 or more in march 692	Yes	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0x6a7c50…
03-05 14:08:01	will annual inflation increase by 2pt6 in february 798 981 162 343	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0xe89b5d…
03-04 03:00:53	will annual inflation increase by 2pt6 in february 798 981 162 343	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0xb45633…
03-04 02:58:29	will annual inflation increase by 2pt6 in february 798 981 162 343	Yes	BUY	192	2¢	$4	0xd3bce1…
03-03 14:45:57	will annual inflation increase by 2pt6 in february 798 981 162 343	Yes	BUY	204	5¢	$10	0x634614…
03-03 14:45:23	will the march 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt3	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x3cb4cb…
03-03 14:41:41	will the us add between 25k and 50k jobs in february	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x552e48…
03-03 14:41:13	will the february 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt2	Yes	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0x023b33…
03-03 14:40:45	will the february 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt2	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xdeb820…
03-03 14:37:47	will the us add between 25k and 50k jobs in february	Yes	BUY	27	22¢	$6	0x514cbf…
03-03 14:36:43	will monthly inflation increase by 0pt4 or more in february	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x96c469…
03-03 14:36:27	will monthly inflation increase by 0pt4 or more in february	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x2d276d…
03-03 14:35:27	will the february 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt2	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x8cfe18…
03-03 14:33:51	will the february 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt2	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x9dcf93…
02-28 16:25:03	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	13	51¢	$7	0x08d11d…
02-28 16:24:55	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xfe220d…
02-28 16:24:43	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x687171…
02-28 16:03:49	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x7ec1e4…
02-28 16:02:07	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x53720d…
02-28 15:47:29	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x899cd4…
02-28 15:47:17	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xf08a98…
02-28 15:47:05	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x69b07b…
02-28 15:46:35	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xa4b98b…
02-28 15:46:21	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x2076be…
02-28 15:46:03	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x5e502b…
02-28 15:45:37	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x082f56…
02-28 15:45:19	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xb3c408…
02-28 15:44:59	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xb4202a…
02-28 15:44:19	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x540059…
02-28 15:34:39	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xbeb72f…
02-28 15:33:05	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x246c59…
02-28 15:32:49	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x075cef…
02-28 15:32:23	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	25	24¢	$6	0x6fb9e9…
02-28 15:28:55	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	19	31¢	$6	0xfa352f…
02-28 15:28:07	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	19	31¢	$6	0x3c5546…
02-28 15:27:13	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xf6f8e2…
02-28 15:25:25	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	19	31¢	$6	0x45696d…
02-28 15:08:35	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x6fc612…
02-28 15:08:03	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xfbc102…
02-28 15:07:53	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x96f06c…
02-28 15:07:29	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x80745c…
02-28 15:07:15	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x0e47dd…
02-28 15:06:23	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	26	23¢	$6	0x6aef43…
02-28 15:05:55	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x1edddd…
02-28 15:05:43	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x1272d3…
02-28 15:05:01	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xf273bd…
02-28 15:04:45	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x40d903…
02-28 15:04:09	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0xea8daf…
02-28 15:03:51	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x867949…
02-28 15:03:07	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0x7fab9b…
02-28 15:00:37	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	72	39¢	$28	0x42e416…
02-28 15:00:13	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xa38ff3…
02-28 15:00:03	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xdc08d9…
02-28 14:59:45	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x5f25b7…
02-28 14:59:37	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	17	36¢	$6	0x26e07c…
02-28 14:58:47	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x217328…
02-28 14:58:27	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xd8ae82…
02-28 14:58:19	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0xe3a8a1…
02-28 10:05:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xb41774…
02-28 10:04:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x27c2c2…
02-28 09:22:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xab02de…
02-28 07:37:07	will the us add between 50k and 75k jobs in february	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x72d130…