Incomplete-Incident — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$7

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

32 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$110

$110 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 21:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 100% +$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down		+2	$1	100¢	$2	+$0	05-05 21:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3PM ET	Down		+5	$3	0¢	$0	$-3	05-05 19:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10PM ET	1	$5	6	+6	Up	+$1	05-05 02:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	05-05 14:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	1	$5	6	+6	Down	+$1	05-05 03:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-05 13:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	05-05 18:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	05-05 18:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	05-05 18:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6PM ET	1	$5	6	+6	Down	+$1	05-04 22:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	05-05 15:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-05 19:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	1	$4	5	+5	open	—	05-05 18:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	1	$4	5	+5	open	—	05-05 19:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$4	5	+5	open	—	05-05 20:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	1	$4	5	+5	open	—	05-05 14:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	1	$4	5	+5	open	—	05-05 19:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3PM ET	1	$3	5	+5	open	—	05-05 19:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9PM ET	1	$3	5	+5	Up	+$1	05-05 01:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	1	$3	4	+4	Up	+$1	05-05 03:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	1	$3	5	+5	open	—	05-05 13:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	1	$3	4	+4	open	—	05-05 17:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	1	$3	4	+4	open	—	05-05 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	1	$3	3	+3	Up	+$0	05-05 00:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	1	$3	4	+4	open	—	05-05 20:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	1	$3	3	+3	open	—	05-05 19:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	1	$2	4	+4	open	—	05-05 14:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10AM ET	1	$2	4	+4	open	—	05-05 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12AM ET	1	$2	3	+3	Up	+$1	05-05 04:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-05 18:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-05 21:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-05 12:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 21:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$1	0xb4f57e…
05-05 20:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xb5b654…
05-05 20:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xdfd0d4…
05-05 19:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$3	0x34f243…
05-05 19:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xc5bd0d…
05-05 19:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$5	0x5b2ae7…
05-05 19:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x310aa5…
05-05 19:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$1	0xc9337c…
05-05 19:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$3	0x570d55…
05-05 18:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x0ae148…
05-05 18:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$1	0x850557…
05-05 18:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$1	0x56bac3…
05-05 18:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x19ac5b…
05-05 18:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xae712c…
05-05 18:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xe3c08b…
05-05 17:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x565004…
05-05 15:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x2a87d1…
05-05 14:42:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	67¢	$2	0xab564b…
05-05 14:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x8dcb13…
05-05 14:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x49ea4b…
05-05 14:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xcbaa7d…
05-05 13:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x228995…
05-05 13:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x9a604b…
05-05 13:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x6876e2…
05-05 12:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$1	0xe1613e…
05-05 04:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xbec86e…
05-05 03:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x668dde…
05-05 03:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xd669fd…
05-05 02:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x6b0fcf…
05-05 01:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$3	0xe13221…
05-05 00:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x17366d…
05-04 22:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xced3da…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	30	$14.1K	268	05-05 21:40
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	27	$1.67K	71	05-05 21:40
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	25	$6.68K	155	05-05 21:39
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	23	$3.22K	159	05-05 20:14
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	21	$1.58K	105	05-05 20:14
Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc	20	$2.14K	103	05-05 21:39
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	20	$1.41K	154	05-05 20:14
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	20	$1.38K	100	05-05 20:14