Realized P&L
-$2.32K
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
72.9%
Resolved
288
Trades
1,101
lifetime
Volume
$52.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$48
Open exposure
$10
2 positions
First seen
2026-02-17
last 07-24 14:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 74 days
Categories
Other
60%
37%
-$1,286
Politics
33%
25%
-$1,025
Crypto
5%
46%
+$19
Sports
1%
12%
-$17
Pop-Culture
0%
25%
$0
Tech
0%
33%
-$5
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-24).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | -10 | -$9 | 98¢ | $-10 | $0 | 05-20 23:58 | |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes | -10 | -$1 | 2¢ | $-0 | +$0 | 05-20 23:58 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | 29 | $9.5K | 16,220 | 16,220 | +0 | No | +$387 | 04-20 21:52 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | 21 | $3.9K | 2,349 | 2,349 | +0 | Yes | +$779 | 04-05 07:53 |
| will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365 | 6 | $3.8K | 3,723 | 3,723 | +0 | No | -$2,203 | 04-21 21:36 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | 10 | $3.3K | 1,990 | 1,990 | +0 | Yes | +$667 | 03-08 21:16 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16? | 17 | $1.5K | 1,317 | 1,317 | +0 | Yes | +$258 | 05-16 15:33 |
| Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 4.5 | 13 | $1.5K | 983 | 983 | +0 | Under | +$49 | 05-18 19:08 |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 18? | 5 | $1.4K | 900 | 900 | +0 | No | +$3 | 05-18 11:41 |
| us strikes iran by february 24 2026 | 40 | $1.2K | 37,551 | 37,551 | +0 | No | -$39 | 02-24 23:50 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27? | 8 | $1.1K | 685 | 685 | +0 | No | +$25 | 05-21 17:19 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | 19 | $988 | 650 | 650 | +0 | Yes | +$0 | 05-23 13:48 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14? | 11 | $985 | 641 | 641 | +0 | Yes | +$49 | 05-14 20:57 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14? | 32 | $959 | 1,301 | 1,301 | +0 | Up | +$0 | 05-14 13:07 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | 9 | $889 | 1,420 | 1,420 | +0 | No | -$23 | 05-10 21:15 |
| Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? | 39 | $799 | 5,641 | 557 | +5,084 | Yes | -$9 | 05-12 13:46 |
| us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563 | 13 | $798 | 29,542 | 29,542 | +0 | No | +$8 | 02-23 22:38 |
| AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score | 2 | $687 | 422 | 422 | +0 | Yes | +$156 | 05-19 21:24 |
| Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score | 4 | $615 | 526 | 526 | +0 | Yes | +$68 | 05-15 19:46 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 15? | 3 | $532 | 280 | 280 | +0 | Down | +$6 | 05-15 15:02 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | 6 | $525 | 271 | 271 | +0 | Atlanta Braves | -$1 | 05-10 22:06 |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 19? | 2 | $511 | 1,549 | 100 | +1,449 | No | -$449 | 05-19 09:00 |
| FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to Score | 7 | $500 | 981 | 0 | +981 | No | -$500 | 05-23 18:39 |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on May 14? | 2 | $498 | 288 | 288 | +0 | Yes | -$3 | 05-14 18:01 |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 8? | 6 | $462 | 271 | 271 | +0 | Yes | +$2 | 05-08 19:05 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 10:15 UTC | 2 | $440 | 227 | 227 | +0 | Up | +$9 | 02-24 10:20 |
| SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score | 11 | $436 | 1,049 | 82 | +967 | No | -$361 | 05-20 19:45 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21? | 2 | $422 | 247 | 247 | +0 | Yes | +$56 | 05-13 19:56 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 08:25 UTC | 2 | $417 | 218 | 218 | +0 | Down | +$14 | 02-24 08:30 |
| ucl int2 bog1 2026 02 24 btts | 6 | $403 | 309 | 309 | +0 | Yes | +$32 | 02-24 21:34 |
| ucl gal liv1 2026 03 10 btts | 1 | $400 | 618 | 0 | +618 | No | -$400 | 03-09 23:28 |
| us strikes iran by february 22 2026 | 14 | $383 | 21,111 | 21,111 | +0 | No | +$3 | 02-22 23:46 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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