Deep-Savings — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$80

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

34.5%

Resolved

Trades

167

lifetime

Volume

$477

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 05-15 13:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 32% $-80

Politics

11% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 113 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	4	$22	71	12	+59	Up	$-0	05-12 20:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	4	$20	17	17	+0	Down	$-0	05-13 11:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	3	$19	119	19	+100	Down	+$7	05-12 20:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	2	$17	12	12	+0	Down	+$7	05-12 21:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	4	$16	48	12	+36	Up	$-6	05-12 17:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	6	$16	148	15	+132	Up	$-10	05-12 18:24
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$16	11	11	+0	open	—	05-15 13:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	2	$13	48	0	+48	Up	$-13	05-12 18:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	3	$13	27	14	+13	Up	+$1	05-12 20:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	Down	+$1	05-12 20:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	4	$11	69	11	+59	Down	$-3	05-12 17:49
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$11	8	8	+0	open	—	05-15 13:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	05-15 13:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	4	$10	285	0	+285	Up	$-10	05-12 18:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	2	$10	16	0	+16	Up	$-1	05-12 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	3	$10	21	7	+14	Down	$-2	05-12 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	4	$9	25	0	+25	Down	$-9	05-13 12:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	3	$9	11	0	+11	Down	+$2	05-12 21:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	3	$8	19	13	+6	Down	+$0	05-12 17:38
Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$8	9	0	+9	open	—	05-13 20:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	2	$7	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	05-12 20:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	3	$7	48	15	+33	Down	$-1	05-12 18:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	4	$6	315	0	+315	Up	$-6	05-12 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	2	$6	57	0	+57	Down	$-6	05-13 11:48
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$6	7	0	+7	open	—	05-13 20:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	2	$6	61	0	+61	Down	+$5	05-12 16:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	2	$6	36	0	+36	Up	+$30	05-12 18:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	2	$6	31	0	+31	Down	$-6	05-12 17:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	2	$6	12	0	+12	Down	$-6	05-12 21:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	2	$6	11	0	+11	Up	$-3	05-12 20:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 13:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xbe83f6…
05-15 13:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0xf58854…
05-15 13:13:06	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	8	72¢	$6	0x8e253d…
05-15 13:13:01	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	11	72¢	$8	0x119b7c…
05-14 17:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x4ab070…
05-14 15:14:01	Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x249e8f…
05-14 15:12:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x60bf57…
05-14 15:08:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0xf46c8d…
05-14 15:08:21	Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x4940e3…
05-14 15:03:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x721105…
05-14 15:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xd49cc7…
05-14 14:58:49	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0x353d38…
05-14 14:58:21	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x7c5980…
05-14 14:56:52	Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x8584a2…
05-13 20:24:34	Will Trump say "IQ" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x61bd42…
05-13 20:24:16	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x2dea54…
05-13 20:10:34	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x1b0277…
05-13 20:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0x5c24c4…
05-13 20:07:56	Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	9	86¢	$8	0x43d0b7…
05-13 20:07:11	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x2ead73…
05-13 20:05:22	Will Trump say "Kamikaze" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xd84b21…
05-13 20:00:51	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xb6e8e0…
05-13 19:59:31	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xaaad3c…
05-13 19:59:11	Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xde8d76…
05-13 19:58:31	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x82d25c…
05-13 12:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xd9698e…
05-13 12:53:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x792eaa…
05-13 12:53:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x07e258…
05-13 12:52:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xa2c5a0…
05-13 12:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x29e009…
05-13 12:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	82	4¢	$3	0x5dc7c6…
05-13 12:30:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x66edaf…
05-13 12:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xea1f75…
05-13 12:27:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x139af6…
05-13 12:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xf9391f…
05-13 12:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xa44a1d…
05-13 12:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x277cad…
05-13 11:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x0862e3…
05-13 11:55:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x812c6f…
05-13 11:48:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x7b647e…
05-13 11:46:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x55f211…
05-13 11:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x89e250…
05-13 11:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xb7a507…
05-13 11:37:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x357377…
05-13 11:33:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3fb2f7…
05-13 11:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3d1eb4…
05-13 11:27:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x7f4fc6…
05-13 11:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	12	77¢	$9	0x8b9471…
05-13 11:23:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0xcf6b03…
05-13 11:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xa21d38…
05-13 11:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xbc4750…
05-13 11:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xc9f070…
05-13 11:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xad772a…
05-13 11:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xf26ea2…
05-12 21:32:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	16¢	$0	0x6d7684…
05-12 21:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x9eff7b…
05-12 21:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x7942a0…
05-12 21:27:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x7d7652…
05-12 21:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x65efe5…
05-12 21:26:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x0892aa…
05-12 21:23:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xafdbdb…
05-12 21:19:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	12	93¢	$12	0x1bb1bf…
05-12 21:18:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x47cae2…
05-12 21:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x3b9349…
05-12 21:11:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x4102e5…
05-12 21:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xce4c89…
05-12 21:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x640975…
05-12 21:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x521466…
05-12 20:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	7	54¢	$4	0x238f36…
05-12 20:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xc89608…
05-12 20:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x8073c8…
05-12 20:53:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x8c2488…
05-12 20:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	12	94¢	$11	0xa10e5c…
05-12 20:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x4e8140…
05-12 20:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xf3d984…
05-12 20:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x8df5a8…
05-12 20:44:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xb7f1fb…
05-12 20:43:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xcf1fcb…
05-12 20:42:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	7	58¢	$4	0xfc7d07…
05-12 20:40:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x74d404…
05-12 20:39:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xef6667…
05-12 20:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	7	89¢	$6	0x8b92fc…
05-12 20:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x378ca2…
05-12 20:31:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x3af9bc…
05-12 20:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xac756d…
05-12 20:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x74b47f…
05-12 20:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x048c9e…
05-12 20:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	19	69¢	$13	0xe76c33…
05-12 20:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x89803f…
05-12 20:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x4d0554…
05-12 20:17:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	14	50¢	$7	0xd3f7f8…
05-12 20:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xf762e8…
05-12 20:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x6f23dd…
05-12 20:10:56	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x1b97fb…
05-12 20:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xf1b341…
05-12 20:02:26	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x39126c…
05-12 20:02:04	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xed4d7d…
05-12 19:56:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x48a8e4…
05-12 19:36:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x038d75…
05-12 19:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x8a3cdc…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	77	$9.00K	926	05-15 13:19
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	76	$29.0K	2,374	05-15 13:19
Agile-Analogy 0x1015…bac8	76	$14.8K	2,634	05-15 13:19
Optimal-Door 0xf6d2…86e7	76	$6.88K	1,582	05-15 13:18
(anonymous) 0x5d4a…55d3	76	$3.22K	498	05-15 13:19
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	74	$34.7K	5,492	05-14 17:42
Neat-Anarchist 0x1018…23fe	74	$13.7K	1,922	05-14 17:43
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	73	$55.5K	1,965	05-15 13:21