Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$111

Unrealized P&L

+$23

Hit rate

71.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.38K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$85

Open exposure

$215

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-19

last 10-22 07:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Other

60% 29% +$50

Politics

38% 31% -$131

Crypto

1% 0% -$30

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No		-122	-$143	96¢	$-117	+$26	09-25 17:43
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No		+167	$100	58¢	$98	-$2	10-22 07:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	2	$561	243	365	-122	open	—	09-25 17:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$359	223	223	+0	No	+$62	05-22 18:25
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	1	$351	399	0	+399	No	+$48	09-25 17:46
Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	1	$200	227	0	+227	Yes	+$27	10-22 07:15
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	1	$100	111	0	+111	Yes	+$11	02-28 06:20
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	1	$100	167	0	+167	open	—	10-22 07:23
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	1	$100	204	0	+204	Yes	+$104	02-19 14:38
Israel election: will Likud lose seats?	1	$100	102	0	+102	open	—	10-22 07:24
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	2	$69	2,232	2,232	+0	No	-$31	02-19 22:44
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	2	$60	263	263	+0	No	-$40	02-22 16:09
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	1	$50	806	0	+806	No	-$50	02-19 14:32
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	1	$50	294	0	+294	No	-$50	02-19 14:33
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	1	$50	398	0	+398	No	-$50	02-19 14:32
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	1	$50	82	0	+82	Yes	+$32	03-04 19:38
bitcoin above 72k on march 13	1	$30	120	0	+120	No	-$30	03-12 00:31
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	1	$30	214	0	+214	No	-$30	02-22 16:10
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	1	$25	227	0	+227	No	-$25	02-22 16:10
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	1	$20	222	0	+222	No	-$20	02-22 16:09
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	1	$20	118	0	+118	No	-$20	03-22 00:54
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	1	$10	1,114	0	+1,114	No	-$10	03-22 00:53
will iran strike israel on march 6	1	$10	10,000	0	+10,000	No	-$10	03-12 00:43
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	1	$10	357	0	+357	No	-$10	03-22 00:53
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$10	5,000	0	+5,000	No	-$10	03-12 00:33
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$10	169	0	+169	No	-$10	03-12 00:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 07:24:59	Israel election: will Likud lose seats?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xc48104…
10-22 07:23:26	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0xd685b0…
10-22 07:15:06	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	Yes	BUY	227	88¢	$200	0x5d44bd…
09-25 17:46:23	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	399	88¢	$351	0x0132b3…
09-25 17:43:32	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	365	96¢	$352	0xa1766f…
05-22 18:55:16	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	243	86¢	$209	0x9cce51…
05-22 18:25:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	223	94¢	$211	0xf28d25…
04-26 01:09:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	223	67¢	$149	0xd1f5c0…
03-22 00:54:09	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	BUY	118	17¢	$20	0x710329…
03-22 00:53:55	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	Yes	BUY	357	3¢	$10	0x60e7a8…
03-22 00:53:39	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	Yes	BUY	1,114	1¢	$10	0xd91f49…
03-12 00:43:05	will iran strike israel on march 6	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0xa86c93…
03-12 00:38:21	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	169	6¢	$10	0x5bd65b…
03-12 00:33:37	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0xc42a07…
03-12 00:31:05	bitcoin above 72k on march 13	Yes	BUY	120	25¢	$30	0xcfc4d6…
03-04 19:38:47	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0xdea8b0…
02-28 06:20:15	US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x09768a…
02-22 16:10:20	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	214	14¢	$30	0xffeeb7…
02-22 16:10:12	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	Yes	BUY	227	11¢	$25	0x3bd370…
02-22 16:09:56	us strikes iran by february 25 2026	Yes	BUY	222	9¢	$20	0x1ab25c…
02-22 16:09:10	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	Yes	SELL	263	4¢	$10	0x4f67c8…
02-19 22:44:28	us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	Yes	SELL	2,232	1¢	$19	0x794c20…
02-19 14:38:12	US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0xe9d86d…
02-19 14:33:16	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	Yes	BUY	263	19¢	$50	0x162bca…
02-19 14:33:10	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	Yes	BUY	294	17¢	$50	0x01fc16…
02-19 14:32:44	us strikes iran by february 21 2026	Yes	BUY	398	13¢	$50	0x854914…
02-19 14:32:12	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	Yes	BUY	806	6¢	$50	0xe4ea14…
02-19 14:31:56	us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	Yes	BUY	2,232	2¢	$50	0x6631b8…