Unfit-Component — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$38

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$7.18K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$232

Open exposure

$25

1 position

First seen

2026-04-19

last 07-22 09:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

98% 100% +$38

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Yoon out of custody before 2027?	Yes		+240	$27	10¢	$25	$-2	06-15 07:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Russia enter Svitle by May 31?	2	$1.0K	545	545	+0	open	—	05-26 10:47
Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?	3	$994	540	540	+0	open	—	05-25 08:32
Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	2	$916	465	465	+0	open	—	05-10 08:58
Spread: Nice (-2.5)	1	$559	580	0	+580	open	—	05-26 10:55
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs 25 cents (BO3) - Circuit X Base Recife Group A	1	$552	600	0	+600	open	—	05-27 08:09
Spread: Aalesunds FK (-1.5)	1	$539	560	0	+560	open	—	05-25 08:43
Spread: UnionTouargaSports (-1.5)	1	$496	545	0	+545	open	—	05-23 05:33
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by May 31?	1	$481	0	540	-540	open	—	05-27 08:02
Spread: Villarreal CF (-2.5)	1	$456	485	0	+485	RCD Mallorca	+$29	05-10 09:04
Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5)	1	$446	455	0	+455	Sevilla FC	+$9	05-09 08:38
fl1 str ren 2026 04 19 spread home 2pt5	1	$400	425	0	+425	open	—	04-19 05:33
ukraine election called by august 31 2026	4	$129	860	860	+0	open	—	07-06 06:34
will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952740	4	$119	850	850	+0	open	—	07-06 09:08
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by June 30?	4	$46	465	465	+0	open	—	06-16 07:33
Yoon out of custody before 2027?	2	$27	240	0	+240	open	—	06-15 07:01
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	2	$2	30	30	+0	open	—	07-22 09:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 09:53:54	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0x050082…
07-22 09:38:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x36248c…
07-06 09:08:35	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952740	Yes	SELL	415	7¢	$29	0x195b66…
07-06 09:08:22	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952740	Yes	SELL	435	7¢	$30	0x9073e9…
07-06 07:17:14	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952740	Yes	BUY	435	7¢	$30	0x2232a3…
07-06 07:16:59	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952740	Yes	BUY	415	7¢	$29	0xb8e329…
07-06 06:34:47	ukraine election called by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	440	8¢	$33	0x6ef035…
07-06 06:33:52	ukraine election called by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	420	8¢	$32	0x306660…
07-06 05:50:13	ukraine election called by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	440	8¢	$33	0x1e9022…
07-06 05:49:53	ukraine election called by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	420	8¢	$32	0x10ac65…
06-16 07:33:30	Will Russia enter Dobropillia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	230	5¢	$12	0xda6215…
06-16 07:32:43	Will Russia enter Dobropillia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	235	5¢	$12	0x7f5663…
06-16 05:58:13	Will Russia enter Dobropillia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	235	5¢	$12	0x2903eb…
06-16 05:57:34	Will Russia enter Dobropillia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	230	5¢	$12	0x022549…
06-15 07:01:46	Yoon out of custody before 2027?	Yes	BUY	13	12¢	$2	0x0fe692…
06-15 07:01:06	Yoon out of custody before 2027?	Yes	BUY	227	11¢	$25	0x54b1c6…
05-27 08:09:07	Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs 25 cents (BO3) - Circuit X Base Recife Group A	BESTIA	BUY	600	92¢	$552	0x0cf5e6…
05-27 08:02:26	Will Russia enter Shevchenko by May 31?	No	SELL	540	89¢	$481	0x3aebc2…
05-26 10:55:51	Spread: Nice (-2.5)	Saint-Etienne	BUY	580	96¢	$559	0x3a42b3…
05-26 10:47:13	Will Russia enter Svitle by May 31?	No	SELL	545	93¢	$507	0x619828…
05-26 06:18:06	Will Russia enter Svitle by May 31?	No	BUY	545	94¢	$514	0xc2002b…
05-25 08:43:11	Spread: Aalesunds FK (-1.5)	Tromsø IL	BUY	560	96¢	$539	0x86a2fd…
05-25 08:32:45	Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?	No	SELL	45	94¢	$42	0xc4366c…
05-25 08:30:35	Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?	No	SELL	495	92¢	$455	0xb043a7…
05-25 06:22:10	Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?	No	BUY	540	92¢	$497	0x022d96…
05-23 05:33:13	Spread: UnionTouargaSports (-1.5)	US Yacoub El Mansour	BUY	545	91¢	$496	0x3ad8b1…
05-10 09:04:31	Spread: Villarreal CF (-2.5)	RCD Mallorca	BUY	485	94¢	$456	0xfb752b…
05-10 08:58:48	Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	465	98¢	$458	0x889c10…
05-10 06:08:58	Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	465	98¢	$458	0xcbf376…
05-09 08:38:17	Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5)	Sevilla FC	BUY	455	98¢	$446	0xe2f636…
04-19 05:33:46	fl1 str ren 2026 04 19 spread home 2pt5	Stade Rennais FC 1901	BUY	425	94¢	$400	0xfd510a…