Nippy-Mobility — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8.52K

Unrealized P&L

+$21

Hit rate

80.2%

Resolved

Trades

277

lifetime

Volume

$164.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$593

Open exposure

$1.16K

1 position

First seen

2026-03-01

last 09-29 21:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 43 days

Categories

Politics

71% 77% +$7,611

Other

28% 65% +$2,319

Crypto

1% 0% -$1,089

Sports

1% 0% -$320

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No		-1,429	-$1,186	82¢	$-1164	+$21	06-05 18:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	5	$13.3K	7,624	7,624	+0	No	+$1,110	03-31 11:08
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	4	$11.4K	6,285	6,285	+0	No	+$573	03-27 06:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	7	$7.8K	4,641	4,598	+43	No	+$709	04-08 01:17
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	3	$7.1K	4,235	4,235	+0	No	+$1,322	03-24 11:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	3	$5.7K	3,200	3,200	+0	No	+$640	06-30 05:06
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	2	$5.0K	3,227	3,227	+0	Yes	-$355	04-06 09:07
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	4	$4.4K	2,964	2,964	+0	Yes	+$420	04-12 19:23
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	2	$4.1K	2,556	2,556	+0	No	+$386	03-31 22:42
iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	3	$3.6K	2,352	2,352	+0	No	+$617	08-12 10:22
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	14	$3.1K	3,691	1,624	+2,067	Yes	-$1,346	04-15 15:21
iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	3	$3.0K	2,100	2,100	+0	No	+$822	08-12 10:22
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	2	$3.0K	1,724	1,724	+0	No	-$17	03-21 21:33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$2.9K	1,954	1,954	+0	No	-$58	05-06 04:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	4	$2.9K	2,158	2,158	+0	No	-$110	04-24 00:27
will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	2	$2.8K	1,959	1,959	+0	No	+$19	03-22 09:23
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	7	$2.7K	2,517	2,141	+376	Yes	+$205	03-08 19:17
israeli forces enter choukine by june 7	13	$2.6K	1,500	1,500	+0	No	+$194	06-05 08:32
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	17	$2.5K	1,574	1,574	+0	No	+$412	06-18 03:11
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	2	$2.4K	1,493	1,493	+0	No	+$433	05-06 10:27
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	3	$2.4K	1,429	1,429	+0	No	+$427	04-23 03:56
will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528 175	3	$2.4K	1,310	1,310	+0	No	+$230	07-22 07:28
military action against iran ends by april 15 2026 937	2	$2.3K	1,352	1,352	+0	Yes	+$140	04-06 04:12
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	2	$2.3K	1,499	1,498	+0	No	+$323	07-01 12:10
iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	5	$2.3K	1,300	1,300	+0	No	+$200	07-05 16:20
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	2	$2.3K	1,331	1,331	+0	No	+$277	04-12 17:36
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?	1	$2.3K	0	2,667	-2,667	No	-$412	05-01 17:22
israeli forces enter nabatieh by june 7	20	$2.2K	1,200	1,200	+0	No	+$52	06-05 08:32
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	2	$2.2K	1,200	1,200	+0	Yes	+$152	09-28 04:09
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	3	$2.2K	1,400	1,400	+0	open	—	09-29 21:23
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	2	$2.2K	1,220	1,220	+0	No	+$183	04-28 16:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-29 21:23:38	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	1,400	81¢	$1,138	0x24520f…
09-28 04:09:36	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,200	96¢	$1,151	0x9a192d…
09-28 04:09:24	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Yes	SELL	1,200	98¢	$1,172	0x7a77ac…
09-16 05:13:21	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	856	75¢	$642	0xa1079c…
09-16 04:13:16	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	544	75¢	$408	0xfa1c3f…
09-11 03:41:30	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,200	85¢	$1,020	0xb1b8aa…
09-11 03:39:52	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Yes	BUY	1,200	85¢	$1,020	0x0268ce…
08-12 10:23:10	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	SELL	791	91¢	$720	0x12710b…
08-12 10:22:43	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	SELL	2,352	90¢	$2,117	0x721b44…
08-12 10:22:19	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	2,100	91¢	$1,914	0xfa1001…
07-22 16:41:07	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	791	63¢	$500	0xfba4a5…
07-22 16:40:12	iran full airspace closure by july 27	No	BUY	1,389	72¢	$1,000	0xc3446b…
07-22 16:34:07	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	BUY	953	52¢	$500	0x2fcb60…
07-22 07:28:45	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528 175	No	SELL	1,310	99¢	$1,291	0x3db470…
07-19 16:49:13	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	1,505	76¢	$1,140	0x3dd61d…
07-09 04:29:59	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	1,398	72¢	$1,000	0x97e99a…
07-09 04:29:22	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	BUY	1,247	80¢	$1,000	0x70b7ce…
07-05 22:55:34	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	BUY	1,140	81¢	$923	0x8ef3d6…
07-05 16:33:17	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	840	52¢	$437	0xc1957d…
07-05 16:33:16	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	1,260	52¢	$655	0x0ed9ed…
07-05 16:28:14	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	BUY	170	81¢	$138	0x397d93…
07-05 16:20:38	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	SELL	1,300	95¢	$1,240	0xe313c7…
07-01 17:24:08	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x58e831…
07-01 17:23:52	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	735	80¢	$588	0xcd85ae…
07-01 17:22:44	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	248	80¢	$198	0x3f67f1…
07-01 17:17:28	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	218	80¢	$174	0x9def3c…
07-01 12:10:28	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	1,498	88¢	$1,323	0xdd36ee…
06-30 05:14:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	1,499	67¢	$1,000	0x5806ae…
06-30 05:06:55	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,002	95¢	$955	0x1239cd…
06-30 05:06:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	3,200	99¢	$3,180	0x9b03d5…
06-18 03:11:01	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	SELL	1,574	93¢	$1,467	0x1a8e7e…
06-15 05:56:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	761	71¢	$540	0xafa6b1…
06-13 18:39:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,302	42¢	$547	0x5d8d8b…
06-09 04:15:25	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,002	78¢	$781	0xee65f0…
06-09 03:33:58	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	782	100¢	$781	0xcb3db5…
06-08 03:40:06	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	782	70¢	$549	0x4e5e45…
06-07 22:18:18	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	136	96¢	$131	0x02a4ed…
06-07 22:18:10	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	SELL	425	97¢	$411	0x3aaca8…
06-07 19:29:39	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	119	59¢	$70	0x4be9f0…
06-07 19:29:04	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xdb8b0d…
06-07 19:28:01	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	425	73¢	$310	0x4474d9…
06-05 18:37:52	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1,429	83¢	$1,186	0x843cec…
06-05 08:32:45	israeli forces enter choukine by june 7	No	SELL	1,500	93¢	$1,394	0x2fde00…
06-05 08:32:43	israeli forces enter nabatieh by june 7	No	SELL	1,200	94¢	$1,132	0x511020…
06-03 04:10:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,302	77¢	$1,000	0x62dc1b…
06-02 10:28:03	Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?	No	BUY	593	80¢	$474	0xef5a70…
06-02 09:44:21	Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x6d935e…
06-02 09:41:23	Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?	No	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0x5f1e3d…
06-02 06:31:37	Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?	No	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x26e63b…
06-02 05:41:24	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	No	BUY	266	90¢	$240	0xb36a17…
06-02 03:48:52	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x31d3ee…
06-02 03:48:47	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	No	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x3d056d…
06-02 02:22:22	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	No	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x7e9b08…
06-02 01:32:10	Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?	No	BUY	459	80¢	$367	0x14ccb3…
06-02 01:24:51	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	572	67¢	$383	0x79cff6…
06-01 23:19:50	Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xae4c2a…
06-01 23:15:05	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$0	0x82bb0c…
06-01 23:15:05	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	56	67¢	$38	0x19f8f9…
06-01 23:14:37	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x62dba3…
06-01 23:14:35	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xe97c0f…
06-01 23:14:33	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0xa8d663…
06-01 22:34:18	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	26	67¢	$17	0x4bb613…
06-01 22:13:39	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x5a5319…
06-01 21:53:53	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	No	BUY	210	90¢	$189	0x99aa12…
06-01 21:21:39	Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?	No	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0x837e59…
06-01 21:19:21	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	No	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0x651242…
06-01 21:08:47	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	190	67¢	$127	0xcf7c6e…
06-01 21:08:26	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xc616c8…
06-01 21:07:22	Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x3edb55…
06-01 21:06:08	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xb41835…
06-01 21:03:34	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0x165dca…
06-01 20:58:02	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	86	67¢	$58	0x935c3c…
06-01 20:57:30	Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x24baf1…
06-01 20:57:07	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x36fc28…
06-01 20:57:02	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	No	BUY	150	90¢	$135	0x512301…
06-01 20:48:36	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x31c1cb…
06-01 20:48:35	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x171104…
06-01 20:45:22	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	No	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x4fa141…
06-01 20:42:18	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	No	BUY	117	90¢	$105	0x37f723…
06-01 20:40:44	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	0	67¢	$0	0x23437a…
06-01 20:40:44	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	0	67¢	$0	0x0e5251…
06-01 20:38:50	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	No	BUY	70	90¢	$63	0xdf96f7…
06-01 20:37:21	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	460	67¢	$308	0x66e6a2…
06-01 20:24:10	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	No	BUY	16	90¢	$14	0xc9d2b0…
06-01 20:23:58	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x1412ed…
06-01 20:23:42	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	No	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0xb33c62…
06-01 20:22:49	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x2b9021…
06-01 20:21:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	2,439	82¢	$2,000	0x2bfb27…
06-01 20:11:43	Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?	No	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x905d60…
06-01 20:07:46	Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x0004dd…
06-01 20:04:46	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	No	BUY	80	90¢	$72	0x1bcbf0…
06-01 20:03:54	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	No	BUY	75	90¢	$67	0xbf66de…
06-01 20:02:56	Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?	No	BUY	89	80¢	$71	0x328c0c…
05-24 14:18:00	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	SELL	1,545	80¢	$1,236	0x331c03…
05-24 14:17:27	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	SELL	850	88¢	$749	0x7a9193…
05-24 12:29:09	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,521	13¢	$328	0x2d9859…
05-24 05:08:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	820	96¢	$785	0xf9d07a…
05-24 05:08:04	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2,024	25¢	$500	0x3fd44c…
05-24 04:07:12	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,521	20¢	$500	0x07f9e1…
05-19 17:00:09	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	SELL	825	92¢	$759	0x6a9b20…