Flaky-Forehead — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$922

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.4%

Resolved

9,605

Trades

16,458

lifetime

Volume

$174.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 10-26 20:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 207 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 69% -$877

Other

0% 0% -$44

Politics

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 315 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 90k on january 8	8	$2.0K	2,325	1,901	+424	Yes	-$351	01-08 16:36
bitcoin above 92k on january 7	15	$1.3K	1,590	1,339	+251	No	-$121	01-07 14:36
bitcoin above 92k on january 13	3	$1.2K	1,196	1,097	+98	Yes	+$162	01-13 14:44
bitcoin above 90k on january 12	4	$1.2K	1,222	1,222	+0	Yes	+$30	01-12 14:41
bitcoin above 72k on march 13	4	$692	2,621	2,611	+10	No	-$46	03-13 14:03
bitcoin above 70k on march 12	7	$636	637	466	+171	Yes	+$141	03-12 15:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 08:45 UTC	2	$494	526	519	+7	Up	+$101	01-12 08:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 06:05 UTC	4	$459	375	192	+184	Up	+$65	10-17 06:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	2	$433	268	268	+0	Down	+$81	10-25 21:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 09:35 UTC	6	$419	390	283	+108	Down	-$41	10-17 09:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 18:20 UTC	5	$412	250	250	+0	Up	-$6	10-17 18:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:40 UTC	2	$403	217	217	+0	Up	+$3	10-16 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	4	$399	262	261	+0	Down	-$1	10-25 12:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 03:50 UTC	3	$396	218	218	+0	Down	+$36	10-17 03:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 19:35 UTC	3	$394	220	220	+0	Up	+$6	10-17 19:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	4	$393	411	411	+0	Up	-$7	10-13 08:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 11:50 UTC	2	$378	198	198	+0	Down	+$18	10-13 11:54
bitcoin above 74k on march 17	5	$374	304	300	+4	No	+$20	03-17 15:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 18:20 UTC	2	$372	200	200	+0	Up	+$12	10-14 18:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 02:45 UTC	3	$365	203	203	+0	Up	-$31	10-17 02:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	4	$355	200	200	+0	Up	+$15	10-18 11:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:45 UTC	3	$347	184	184	+0	Up	+$17	10-13 10:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	4	$332	187	187	+0	Up	+$12	10-20 21:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 06:55 UTC	2	$329	204	204	+0	Down	-$11	10-14 06:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	5	$328	261	250	+12	Down	-$80	10-18 19:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:45 UTC	2	$325	210	210	+0	Down	+$45	10-16 10:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	4	$320	205	205	+0	Down	+$20	10-20 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	6	$319	196	195	+0	Up	$0	10-25 14:49
bitcoin above 74k on march 18	5	$318	686	255	+431	No	-$50	03-18 12:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	4	$317	193	193	+0	Down	+$17	10-15 14:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 20:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	13	82¢	$11	0x4df7f2…
10-26 20:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	18	65¢	$11	0x811ed3…
10-26 20:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	18	34¢	$6	0x64e912…
10-26 20:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	22	25¢	$6	0xf1a0d7…
10-26 20:12:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	22	80¢	$18	0x10acd1…
10-26 20:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	22	84¢	$18	0x6266cb…
10-26 20:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	22	87¢	$19	0xe36658…
10-26 20:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x0d173e…
10-26 19:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0x626a03…
10-26 19:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	19	78¢	$14	0xb96819…
10-26 19:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x906e03…
10-26 19:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	15	86¢	$13	0xba6802…
10-26 19:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	84¢	$11	0xa5038d…
10-26 19:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xad5fa6…
10-26 19:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0xe0b249…
10-26 19:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x0461ec…
10-26 19:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0xd6e9c5…
10-26 19:23:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	13	64¢	$8	0x6fdb44…
10-26 19:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	13	57¢	$8	0x199e1b…
10-26 17:13:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0xcfa064…
10-26 16:51:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xf126a9…
10-26 16:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	8	73¢	$6	0x4136e9…
10-26 16:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x4781be…
10-26 16:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	14	48¢	$7	0x0cc431…
10-26 16:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	58¢	$8	0xfd5f56…
10-26 16:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	12	66¢	$8	0x6bd50d…
10-26 16:37:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0x7013e8…
10-26 16:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0x710f8e…
10-26 16:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0xf6dbfa…
10-26 16:23:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	15	75¢	$11	0xdb7389…
10-26 16:22:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	15	74¢	$11	0x80e965…
10-26 16:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	13	92¢	$12	0x03b032…
10-26 16:17:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0x01b2e4…
10-26 16:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	76¢	$8	0x0aa76e…
10-26 16:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0x036555…
10-26 15:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x880a46…
10-26 15:10:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 26?	Yes	SELL	8	92¢	$7	0x74ac9c…
10-26 08:40:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x8e94ca…
10-26 08:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x944c9f…
10-26 07:48:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	SELL	7	50¢	$3	0xbce0e1…
10-26 07:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x04878e…
10-26 07:33:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xa4440c…
10-26 07:32:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	SELL	14	34¢	$5	0x16e2a6…
10-26 07:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	61¢	$8	0xd3ae6b…
10-26 07:26:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	87¢	$7	0x6f1520…
10-26 05:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	SELL	9	82¢	$8	0x3b1ccc…
10-26 05:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xacc9e7…
10-26 05:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	SELL	19	29¢	$5	0x81c001…
10-26 05:51:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	19	29¢	$6	0x20a20f…
10-26 05:49:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	SELL	55	9¢	$5	0x805003…
10-26 05:47:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	55	84¢	$46	0x41dcfe…
10-26 05:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	79	61¢	$48	0x403351…
10-26 05:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	79	82¢	$65	0x929d1f…
10-25 23:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	SELL	166	36¢	$60	0x9ff75f…
10-25 23:06:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	166	58¢	$96	0x6c95e4…
10-25 23:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	230	40¢	$92	0x9c89b5…
10-25 23:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	230	76¢	$174	0xf4ff12…
10-25 22:57:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x9bbfc1…
10-25 22:53:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	SELL	191	48¢	$92	0x2c2292…
10-25 22:52:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	191	79¢	$151	0x34182c…
10-25 22:49:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	164	99¢	$163	0xfd1493…
10-25 22:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x9a1a1e…
10-25 22:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	153	89¢	$136	0x5c23ad…
10-25 22:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	210	20¢	$42	0xf96098…
10-25 22:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	210	59¢	$124	0x0e99ee…
10-25 22:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	227	72¢	$164	0x2f0e84…
10-25 21:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	164	95¢	$156	0xb501fa…
10-25 21:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	268	96¢	$257	0xbfb20b…
10-25 21:31:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	268	66¢	$176	0x34da96…
10-25 21:17:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x5a0635…
10-25 20:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x6f78cc…
10-25 20:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x13f84d…
10-25 20:33:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x1538b3…
10-25 20:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x2f4a11…
10-25 20:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xdd6b39…
10-25 19:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0x688c2f…
10-25 19:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x290a66…
10-25 19:47:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x8bbf95…
10-25 19:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x0d4359…
10-25 19:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0xbd3800…
10-25 19:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xabef30…
10-25 19:36:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x012c31…
10-25 19:28:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x181a4c…
10-25 19:28:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x151d92…
10-25 19:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xd5c641…
10-25 19:18:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0xfa4758…
10-25 19:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xb658eb…
10-25 19:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x5fa255…
10-25 19:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xddcf00…
10-25 19:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xf7c32f…
10-25 18:58:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	88	34¢	$30	0xe4b062…
10-25 18:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x31568f…
10-25 18:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x5ae1e8…
10-25 18:42:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x55495b…
10-25 18:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xeec48e…
10-25 18:33:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xf42047…
10-25 18:17:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xfc845f…
10-25 18:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xf5b7fb…
10-25 18:08:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xf8767b…
10-25 18:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	86¢	$10	0x842f44…