Tattered-Bidder — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

125

lifetime

Volume

$10.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$85

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-14

last 06-13 00:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

66% — —

Other

22% 100% +$1

Sports

11% 100% +$1

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+92	$6	6¢	$6	$-0	06-13 01:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$1.2K	667	667	+0	No	+$1	04-16 15:12
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	3	$1.2K	592	592	+0	open	—	04-16 00:34
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$1.1K	558	558	+0	Yes	+$1	04-15 03:59
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	10	$997	1,046	1,046	+0	open	—	04-26 15:25
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	6	$465	263	263	+0	open	—	05-26 11:44
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	6	$431	219	219	+0	open	—	06-06 21:57
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	4	$355	194	194	+0	open	—	04-23 20:21
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	3	$354	198	198	+0	open	—	04-23 01:16
Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?	4	$353	203	203	+0	open	—	04-21 16:38
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	2	$320	252	252	+0	open	—	06-12 10:13
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	5	$299	223	223	+0	open	—	06-08 18:01
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	8	$297	182	182	+0	open	—	06-12 17:20
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	2	$291	164	164	+0	open	—	04-27 00:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	3	$272	197	197	+0	open	—	06-07 19:51
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	2	$272	138	138	+0	open	—	06-05 01:47
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	2	$271	174	174	+0	open	—	06-06 02:34
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	2	$271	188	188	+0	open	—	06-06 16:13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	2	$244	244	244	+0	open	—	06-06 11:13
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	3	$244	127	127	+0	open	—	05-28 02:33
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	5	$240	184	147	+37	open	—	05-28 20:29
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	5	$226	128	128	+0	open	—	05-25 09:31
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	4	$206	108	108	+0	open	—	05-24 21:48
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	2	$150	357	357	+0	open	—	06-09 12:20
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$138	602	602	+0	open	—	04-24 19:19
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	9	$130	555	555	+0	open	—	05-27 21:49
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	3	$126	150	150	+0	open	—	06-09 02:59
will tamilaga vettri kazhagam tvk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	5	$112	495	495	+0	open	—	04-25 09:48
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	8	$46	1,966	1,966	+0	open	—	04-17 01:18
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	3	$23	227	135	+92	open	—	06-13 01:58
Iran leadership change by June 30?	2	$21	285	285	+0	open	—	06-04 16:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 01:58:40	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x5ea04e…
06-13 01:58:40	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	122	6¢	$8	0x21b598…
06-13 00:21:10	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	227	6¢	$14	0xdf568f…
06-12 17:20:36	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	SELL	51	87¢	$44	0xed87c6…
06-12 17:20:36	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	SELL	68	87¢	$59	0x9c531f…
06-12 17:20:36	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	SELL	13	87¢	$11	0x7ae701…
06-12 17:20:36	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	SELL	35	87¢	$31	0x2d7a3d…
06-12 15:05:03	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	95	89¢	$85	0xee76a0…
06-12 15:05:03	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	72	89¢	$64	0x3b72f7…
06-12 10:13:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	252	65¢	$164	0x8841fb…
06-12 09:03:57	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	252	62¢	$156	0x1b3a32…
06-09 19:47:54	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	15	9¢	$1	0x177a2e…
06-09 17:32:46	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	15	11¢	$2	0x57dc04…
06-09 12:20:16	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	357	22¢	$79	0x88eeb6…
06-09 09:38:48	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	357	20¢	$71	0x32a638…
06-09 02:59:49	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	SELL	150	42¢	$63	0xda8de8…
06-09 00:38:52	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	BUY	46	42¢	$19	0xe65485…
06-09 00:38:52	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	BUY	104	42¢	$44	0xc6f485…
06-08 18:01:34	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	67¢	$5	0x988c73…
06-08 18:01:33	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	SELL	29	67¢	$20	0xfd52ca…
06-08 18:01:33	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	SELL	174	67¢	$117	0xd5b0c1…
06-08 18:01:33	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	SELL	12	67¢	$8	0x1e678a…
06-08 16:52:04	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	BUY	223	67¢	$149	0x229a1c…
06-07 19:51:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	197	69¢	$136	0xbbad87…
06-07 17:08:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	124	69¢	$86	0xebdecc…
06-07 17:08:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	73	69¢	$50	0x630310…
06-06 21:57:00	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	103	98¢	$101	0xc2bc76…
06-06 19:51:48	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	81	98¢	$80	0xcb7121…
06-06 19:51:48	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x76b302…
06-06 16:13:16	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	188	72¢	$135	0x172cf3…
06-06 14:08:04	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	188	72¢	$135	0xd61df8…
06-06 11:13:52	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	244	50¢	$122	0x0577f4…
06-06 09:22:25	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	244	50¢	$122	0x389289…
06-06 02:34:03	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	174	78¢	$136	0x4e2e38…
06-06 01:13:58	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	BUY	174	78¢	$136	0x031d5e…
06-05 20:58:46	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	116	98¢	$114	0xf24605…
06-05 19:43:16	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xd705c1…
06-05 19:43:16	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0x86750a…
06-05 14:56:21	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	SELL	36	2¢	$1	0x0d9828…
06-05 14:56:01	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	SELL	105	2¢	$3	0x627845…
06-05 12:52:33	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	141	2¢	$3	0x642e4d…
06-05 01:47:25	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	138	98¢	$136	0x5a3792…
06-04 19:33:18	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	138	98¢	$136	0x444de6…
06-04 16:39:51	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	SELL	285	4¢	$11	0x80d350…
06-04 14:05:52	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	BUY	285	3¢	$10	0x0a1af5…
05-30 07:17:22	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0x9f02f7…
05-30 07:17:22	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	255	1¢	$2	0x5fe880…
05-30 04:51:51	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	309	1¢	$3	0x3971be…
05-29 19:51:32	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	299	2¢	$6	0x0b4f42…
05-29 17:44:31	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	299	2¢	$6	0xe7fdca…
05-28 20:29:24	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	45	74¢	$33	0xaeb10c…
05-28 20:29:24	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	54	74¢	$40	0x6fad48…
05-28 20:29:24	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	48	74¢	$35	0x65d3b1…
05-28 16:39:48	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	129	71¢	$92	0x909f71…
05-28 16:39:48	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	55	71¢	$39	0x8a21bc…
05-28 02:33:29	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	36	96¢	$35	0xe5c62e…
05-28 02:33:29	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	91	96¢	$87	0xdc5e17…
05-27 23:15:54	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	127	96¢	$122	0x4ae09e…
05-27 21:49:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	85	8¢	$7	0xf4f45f…
05-27 21:49:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	27	8¢	$2	0x6567da…
05-27 21:49:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	37	8¢	$3	0x16ef93…
05-27 21:49:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	55	8¢	$5	0x042de8…
05-27 18:09:46	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	204	12¢	$25	0x60e67c…
05-26 11:44:02	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	39	89¢	$35	0x2a6b32…
05-26 09:35:18	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	117	89¢	$104	0x17c5e5…
05-26 06:53:17	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	156	89¢	$139	0x7216d9…
05-25 22:27:39	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	166	17¢	$28	0xd4482d…
05-25 22:27:39	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	104	17¢	$17	0xaeed09…
05-25 22:27:39	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	81	17¢	$14	0x370e45…
05-25 20:20:09	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	351	8¢	$30	0x9e1e56…
05-25 09:31:22	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	111	88¢	$98	0x902097…
05-25 09:31:22	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	17	88¢	$15	0x5a015c…
05-25 05:53:56	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	60	88¢	$53	0xd32675…
05-25 05:53:56	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xb94875…
05-25 05:53:56	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x5a90cf…
05-25 01:35:31	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	107	88¢	$94	0x4d1276…
05-25 00:00:23	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	87	87¢	$76	0xc675bc…
05-25 00:00:23	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x14248c…
05-24 21:48:36	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	23	96¢	$22	0xbf2504…
05-24 21:48:36	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	85	96¢	$82	0x2563ab…
05-24 18:17:02	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	95	95¢	$90	0xd24022…
05-24 18:17:02	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0x046e6d…
04-27 00:04:28	Will France win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	164	89¢	$145	0xc7da89…
04-26 20:36:10	Will France win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	164	89¢	$145	0xeeb66c…
04-26 15:25:32	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	No	SELL	58	52¢	$30	0x7f6fdd…
04-26 15:25:32	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	No	SELL	175	52¢	$90	0x4e9f03…
04-26 15:25:32	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	No	SELL	87	52¢	$45	0x1b8c01…
04-26 09:30:42	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	No	BUY	202	57¢	$115	0x8ce15d…
04-26 09:30:42	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	No	BUY	118	57¢	$67	0x4dc6d9…
04-25 09:48:16	will tamilaga vettri kazhagam tvk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	Yes	SELL	133	10¢	$14	0xf2c5eb…
04-25 09:48:16	will tamilaga vettri kazhagam tvk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	Yes	SELL	139	10¢	$14	0xb36aa0…
04-25 09:48:16	will tamilaga vettri kazhagam tvk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	Yes	SELL	131	10¢	$14	0x924203…
04-25 09:48:16	will tamilaga vettri kazhagam tvk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	Yes	SELL	92	10¢	$10	0x20c214…
04-25 04:15:42	will tamilaga vettri kazhagam tvk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	Yes	BUY	495	12¢	$61	0x1fc58b…
04-25 02:34:12	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	211	42¢	$89	0xedaef5…
04-25 02:34:12	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	267	42¢	$113	0x7cf543…
04-24 22:24:40	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	478	43¢	$206	0x90be4c…
04-24 19:19:38	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	602	13¢	$77	0xd47455…
04-24 16:00:06	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	602	10¢	$61	0xd56292…
04-24 09:19:54	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	248	50¢	$123	0x742850…