Trivial-Cargo — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$184

lifetime

Avg / trade

$37

Open exposure

$99

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 05-13 10:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

84% 100% +$3

Other

16% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	No	+71	$70	98¢	$70	+$0	05-10 17:00
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	+29	$28	96¢	$28	+$0	05-13 10:58
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	+27	$2	4¢	$1	$-1	05-11 02:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 10:58:12	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	29	96¢	$28	0x724bdc…
05-11 02:09:16	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	27	6¢	$2	0x3ceb36…
05-10 21:31:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	86	1¢	$1	0xddae7d…
05-10 17:00:44	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	71	98¢	$70	0xd253e2…
05-08 12:29:41	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	87	97¢	$84	0x397ccf…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	1	$84	87	0	+87	No	+$3	05-08 12:29
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	1	$70	71	0	+71	open	—	05-10 17:00
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	1	$28	29	0	+29	open	—	05-13 10:58
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	1	$2	27	0	+27	open	—	05-11 02:09
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	1	$1	0	86	-86	No	+$1	05-10 21:31