Trivial-Cargo — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

46.6%

Resolved

Trades

224

lifetime

Volume

$9.09K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$41

Open exposure

$126

1 position

First seen

2026-03-18

last 06-22 19:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

66% — —

Politics

33% 33% $-1

Crypto

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?	No		+130	$121	97¢	$126	+$5	06-22 11:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	6	$352	185	185	+0	open	—	04-11 06:32
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	8	$352	364	364	+0	open	—	04-27 23:00
will trn cm t be the next president of vietnam	6	$327	166	166	+0	open	—	03-20 15:19
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	6	$323	164	164	+0	open	—	05-07 00:09
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	5	$232	121	121	+0	open	—	04-03 03:38
will jason day win the 2026 masters tournament	8	$193	449	449	+0	open	—	04-12 15:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	4	$193	99	99	+0	open	—	05-08 21:43
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 180 199	2	$185	94	94	+0	open	—	03-31 15:10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	6	$184	306	306	+0	No	$-2	05-10 21:31
will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	4	$184	188	188	+0	open	—	03-30 12:08
will any eu country strike iran by march 31	2	$184	93	93	+0	open	—	03-28 21:28
will nicolai hojgaard win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$184	93	93	+0	open	—	04-04 08:23
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	2	$183	94	94	+0	open	—	04-15 12:35
will collin morikawa win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$183	94	94	+0	open	—	04-05 12:30
Will Iran strike Pakistan by April 30, 2026?	3	$182	93	93	+0	open	—	04-20 07:42
Will Qatar strike Iran by April 30?	2	$182	95	95	+0	open	—	04-21 22:10
Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?	2	$181	93	93	+0	open	—	04-26 18:25
will viktor hovland win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$181	92	92	+0	open	—	04-08 14:58
will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$181	95	95	+0	open	—	04-09 00:20
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$181	92	92	+0	open	—	04-22 16:56
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	2	$180	96	96	+0	open	—	04-22 08:08
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	2	$180	92	92	+0	open	—	04-27 02:53
Will Iran strike Turkey by April 30, 2026?	2	$180	91	91	+0	open	—	04-23 22:53
will kuwait strike iran by march 31	2	$179	92	92	+0	open	—	03-23 15:41
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 400 419	2	$170	89	89	+0	open	—	03-26 14:29
will gold gc hit high 5400 by end of march	2	$169	86	86	+0	open	—	03-24 21:07
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	2	$169	87	87	+0	No	+$1	05-08 14:00
will russia capture lyman by april 30 2026	3	$168	88	88	+0	open	—	04-13 14:43
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 220 239	3	$167	87	87	+0	open	—	04-02 08:13
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	3	$167	85	85	+0	open	—	03-27 20:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-22 19:27:43	will kanye west have a 1 hit in june	Yes	BUY	24	5¢	$1	0xcce2c8…
06-22 11:30:53	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	93¢	$24	0xd84791…
06-22 11:30:53	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	93¢	$24	0x681fa3…
06-22 11:30:53	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	93¢	$24	0x6165a4…
06-22 11:30:52	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	93¢	$24	0xc0089c…
06-22 11:30:52	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	93¢	$24	0x29a0c8…
05-22 01:35:39	Will Bernie say "Billionaire" 3+ times in Maine?	Yes	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x32f5a7…
05-19 05:23:58	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	35	5¢	$2	0x948bad…
05-18 22:25:41	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	Yes	BUY	27	96¢	$26	0xed66fb…
05-13 06:37:55	Will Serbia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	18	91¢	$16	0xf23d49…
05-11 19:40:31	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	123	4¢	$4	0x00340b…
05-11 18:01:44	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	101	4¢	$4	0x84da27…
05-11 18:01:42	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0xa1d620…
05-11 04:08:05	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	145	6¢	$9	0x3190e3…
05-11 02:09:16	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	69	6¢	$4	0x6981f2…
05-11 02:09:16	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	27	6¢	$2	0x3ceb36…
05-11 02:09:16	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	49	6¢	$3	0x1ef01a…
05-10 21:31:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	86	1¢	$1	0xddae7d…
05-10 19:37:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	86	3¢	$2	0x1ac0fa…
05-10 08:00:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	131	4¢	$5	0xe4cffa…
05-10 05:37:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	131	4¢	$5	0x6817c4…
05-09 14:31:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	89	96¢	$86	0x500238…
05-09 11:44:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	89	96¢	$85	0x55f68d…
05-08 21:43:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	79	98¢	$77	0x66b4bc…
05-08 18:30:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	79	98¢	$77	0xe46fe2…
05-08 14:00:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	87	98¢	$85	0xde7824…
05-08 12:29:41	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	87	97¢	$84	0x397ccf…
05-08 07:52:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x26bcc1…
05-08 05:52:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xb54434…
05-07 00:09:17	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	35	98¢	$34	0x15880c…
05-07 00:09:15	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	38	98¢	$37	0x366dd3…
05-07 00:09:15	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x1479f7…
05-06 21:07:48	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	78	99¢	$77	0x5f2d44…
05-06 18:01:13	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	86	98¢	$85	0x75f149…
05-06 16:42:25	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	86	99¢	$85	0x944925…
05-05 06:54:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	80	96¢	$77	0x9af49d…
05-05 04:25:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	80	96¢	$77	0x9dcbbf…
05-03 19:42:24	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	86	6¢	$5	0x061843…
05-03 16:43:36	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	86	6¢	$5	0xeadb34…
04-30 07:46:30	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	SELL	157	2¢	$3	0x00d937…
04-30 07:38:02	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	BUY	157	2¢	$3	0x9e42af…
04-29 11:57:58	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	80	98¢	$78	0x99c896…
04-29 10:08:44	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	80	97¢	$78	0x3a4fe6…
04-27 23:00:16	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	No	SELL	88	98¢	$86	0x75e209…
04-27 20:35:32	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	No	BUY	88	98¢	$87	0x52e657…
04-27 14:45:48	Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	63	93¢	$59	0xa5fc41…
04-27 14:45:48	Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	21	93¢	$20	0x8ab52d…
04-27 10:46:22	Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	84	99¢	$83	0x3af739…
04-27 06:11:24	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	84	98¢	$82	0xd2f44b…
04-27 03:05:56	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	67	98¢	$66	0xf43208…
04-27 03:05:56	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x36c5f4…
04-27 02:53:02	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	No	SELL	92	98¢	$90	0x582255…
04-27 00:31:46	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	No	BUY	92	98¢	$90	0x96b7c1…
04-26 18:25:38	Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	93	98¢	$91	0xb9881b…
04-26 16:34:50	Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	93	98¢	$91	0x4e7606…
04-26 05:15:20	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	Yes	SELL	122	3¢	$4	0xcfe71a…
04-26 05:15:20	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	Yes	SELL	57	3¢	$2	0x2552e7…
04-26 03:40:30	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	Yes	BUY	49	3¢	$1	0x7acfac…
04-26 03:40:30	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	Yes	BUY	130	3¢	$4	0x0a7b5d…
04-25 01:16:54	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	84	98¢	$82	0x306846…
04-24 22:21:44	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	84	98¢	$82	0x4fae2d…
04-24 17:08:58	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	83	99¢	$82	0x651110…
04-24 14:09:02	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	83	99¢	$82	0x1a895a…
04-24 01:44:14	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	194	2¢	$4	0xb1ca8a…
04-24 00:23:26	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	194	2¢	$4	0xa12579…
04-23 22:53:54	Will Iran strike Turkey by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	91	99¢	$90	0x19e9d2…
04-23 20:49:10	Will Iran strike Turkey by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0xfd5895…
04-23 12:38:32	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	No	SELL	33	96¢	$32	0xc100f7…
04-23 12:38:32	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	No	SELL	52	96¢	$50	0x27102b…
04-23 08:37:04	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	No	BUY	85	96¢	$82	0xef9c95…
04-23 02:20:56	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	Yes	SELL	191	4¢	$8	0xec1aa8…
04-23 01:00:06	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	Yes	BUY	145	4¢	$6	0x87a819…
04-23 01:00:06	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	Yes	BUY	46	4¢	$2	0x36edcf…
04-22 21:26:56	Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	84	98¢	$82	0xe36a5e…
04-22 17:15:40	Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	84	98¢	$82	0xe1160f…
04-22 16:56:52	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	92	98¢	$90	0x105450…
04-22 11:39:28	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	92	98¢	$90	0x063a68…
04-22 08:08:50	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	96	94¢	$90	0x8dedda…
04-22 05:44:04	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	96	94¢	$91	0x448c5f…
04-21 22:10:38	Will Qatar strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	95	96¢	$91	0xd740eb…
04-21 19:09:52	Will Qatar strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	95	95¢	$90	0x1d1583…
04-21 02:03:42	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	Yes	SELL	196	2¢	$5	0x338ad6…
04-21 02:03:42	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	Yes	SELL	17	2¢	$0	0x13511f…
04-21 00:52:52	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	Yes	BUY	98	2¢	$2	0xda92ec…
04-21 00:52:52	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	Yes	BUY	115	2¢	$3	0xa92d1e…
04-20 10:52:24	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	51	5¢	$2	0x254790…
04-20 09:47:36	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	5¢	$2	0xabf901…
04-20 07:42:46	Will Iran strike Pakistan by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	76	97¢	$74	0x1d7e86…
04-20 07:42:06	Will Iran strike Pakistan by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	17	98¢	$17	0x894afd…
04-20 05:21:20	Will Iran strike Pakistan by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	93	99¢	$92	0x5e3d61…
04-16 08:41:20	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	Yes	SELL	182	2¢	$5	0xa5275c…
04-16 06:48:32	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	Yes	BUY	182	3¢	$5	0xaf7000…
04-15 12:35:14	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	SELL	94	98¢	$92	0xdf6db4…
04-15 11:22:26	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	BUY	94	98¢	$92	0xfb9532…
04-13 19:30:17	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	Yes	SELL	81	2¢	$1	0xdef5ed…
04-13 19:30:17	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	Yes	SELL	102	2¢	$2	0x24018e…
04-13 18:01:07	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	Yes	BUY	145	2¢	$3	0xb4d758…
04-13 18:01:07	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	Yes	BUY	26	2¢	$1	0x619bef…
04-13 18:01:07	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x2a674e…
04-13 14:43:37	will russia capture lyman by april 30 2026	No	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0x7c2cf9…