Nautical-Fellow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.89K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.7%

Resolved

7,189

Trades

29,545

lifetime

Volume

$489.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 10-05 00:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 96 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 71% -$1,627

Other

2% 86% -$258

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 1200 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	3	$1.9K	950	950	+0	open	—	06-04 17:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 04:40 UTC	122	$1.4K	2,891	2,591	+300	Up	+$195	06-29 04:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 11:50 UTC	199	$1.2K	1,474	1,349	+125	Down	-$36	06-27 11:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 14:00 UTC	20	$990	1,000	0	+1,000	Down	+$10	08-21 14:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 18:20 UTC	87	$866	815	680	+135	Down	+$29	06-29 18:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 07:05 UTC	45	$743	1,400	0	+1,400	Up	+$57	06-16 07:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 11:30 UTC	56	$742	1,600	0	+1,600	Down	+$58	06-16 11:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 13:30 UTC	37	$740	1,346	0	+1,346	Down	-$194	06-16 13:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 12:15 UTC	37	$734	1,400	0	+1,400	Up	+$66	06-16 12:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 13:15 UTC	63	$734	1,400	0	+1,400	Up	+$66	06-16 13:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 14:50 UTC	37	$723	1,383	0	+1,383	Up	+$77	06-16 14:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:30 UTC	25	$722	1,403	0	+1,403	Down	-$46	06-16 05:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 10:35 UTC	21	$712	1,347	0	+1,347	Down	+$88	06-16 10:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 12:40 UTC	62	$687	1,391	0	+1,391	Down	+$52	06-16 12:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 20:05 UTC	139	$630	675	647	+28	Up	+$54	06-27 20:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 00:55 UTC	47	$625	1,085	0	+1,085	Up	+$60	06-17 00:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 00:40 UTC	7	$594	600	0	+600	Down	+$6	08-19 00:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 05:15 UTC	38	$588	1,200	0	+1,200	Up	+$12	06-16 05:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 08:35 UTC	43	$583	1,227	0	+1,227	Down	+$44	06-16 08:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 03:25 UTC	31	$573	1,394	0	+1,394	Up	+$21	06-16 03:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 08:15 UTC	34	$568	1,227	0	+1,227	Up	+$32	06-16 08:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 12:20 UTC	40	$558	1,200	0	+1,200	Down	+$42	06-16 12:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 12:35 UTC	25	$556	1,000	0	+1,000	Down	+$44	06-16 12:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 22:00 UTC	22	$553	1,039	0	+1,039	Down	+$86	06-16 22:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 09:35 UTC	33	$552	1,200	0	+1,200	Down	+$48	06-16 09:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 03:20 UTC	27	$550	1,293	0	+1,293	Up	-$56	06-16 03:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 14:00 UTC	41	$546	1,000	0	+1,000	Up	+$54	06-16 14:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 08:30 UTC	23	$546	1,200	0	+1,200	Up	+$54	06-16 08:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 12:30 UTC	12	$545	1,000	0	+1,000	Up	+$55	06-16 12:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 01:00 UTC	2	$544	550	0	+550	Down	+$6	08-23 01:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-05 00:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x6588d9…
10-05 00:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xf6060b…
10-05 00:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	0	28¢	$0	0x5eaece…
10-05 00:17:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x050a70…
10-05 00:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x14bf36…
10-05 00:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xbdd19a…
10-05 00:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x39def2…
10-05 00:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x0eb981…
10-05 00:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0xfb2f90…
10-05 00:03:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x66a99a…
10-04 09:03:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xb587fa…
10-04 08:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x3d0325…
10-04 08:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x61fcca…
10-04 08:52:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 08:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xc2a3c4…
10-04 08:50:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 08:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xfeac9d…
10-04 08:49:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x78d0a1…
10-04 08:46:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xa12a30…
10-04 08:46:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xcf9981…
10-04 08:46:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xb262ee…
10-04 08:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xf0cdac…
10-04 08:30:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x27bfeb…
10-04 08:26:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x8680a9…
10-04 08:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xa61c5d…
10-04 08:26:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xad51a9…
10-04 08:20:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 08:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x760ccf…
10-04 08:19:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x93b2b2…
10-04 08:17:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x8dbc67…
10-04 08:16:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xca37db…
10-04 08:16:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x3cd254…
10-04 08:08:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xd17c1b…
10-04 08:08:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x5a90e0…
10-04 08:06:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x0e89ab…
10-04 08:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x886b1f…
10-04 08:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xa715bf…
10-04 08:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x45a15f…
10-04 07:56:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x2b31e9…
10-04 07:51:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xc31c83…
10-04 07:46:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x1b1d25…
10-04 07:45:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x50f07d…
10-04 07:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x95dd61…
10-04 07:45:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x9a2440…
10-04 07:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xd9b83d…
10-04 07:35:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xf69b45…
10-04 07:35:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x9b0a13…
10-04 07:30:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xf7686f…
10-04 07:30:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x88b7a3…
10-04 07:30:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xbf5ea2…
10-04 07:30:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x0ed1af…
10-04 07:30:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xb700d0…
10-04 07:22:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xac561d…
10-04 07:17:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xf19b20…
10-04 07:16:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xce465b…
10-04 07:16:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x256556…
10-04 07:16:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x8c7473…
10-04 07:16:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x5293d4…
10-04 07:16:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$3	0xc88f71…
10-04 07:16:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	82¢	$2	0x03f28e…
10-04 07:15:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x9817f3…
10-04 07:15:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x63ae30…
10-04 07:12:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 07:10 UTC	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xffedf6…
10-04 07:10:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 07:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xc6d7a8…
10-04 07:10:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 07:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x647706…
10-04 07:10:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x9190ca…
10-04 07:08:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x66e1ed…
10-04 07:03:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xa62f2b…
10-04 07:03:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xe9d73e…
10-04 07:02:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x94fea4…
10-04 07:00:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x7725e0…
10-04 06:45:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xd3f06b…
10-04 06:42:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 06:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x21a8f2…
10-04 06:30:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x52265a…
10-04 06:22:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x9fc6ea…
10-04 06:18:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xacf5e9…
10-04 06:11:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 06:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x323b17…
10-04 06:10:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 06:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xf19ed9…
10-04 06:10:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 06:10 UTC	Down	BUY	0	22¢	$0	0xd2e349…
10-04 06:10:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 06:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xabd170…
10-04 06:06:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xebb30a…
10-04 06:06:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 06:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xc190db…
10-04 05:53:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x77c538…
10-04 05:50:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 05:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x3e7c5e…
10-04 05:45:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x4b3260…
10-04 05:41:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 05:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x686df3…
10-04 05:30:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xa66a88…
10-04 05:30:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x4edd72…
10-04 05:20:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 05:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x1fa6a1…
10-04 05:02:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x7afeee…
10-04 04:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xa58142…
10-04 04:53:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xebedb6…
10-04 04:53:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x02c8a4…
10-04 04:49:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x30d336…
10-04 04:40:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 04:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x9b29a9…
10-04 04:38:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x4ff24e…
10-04 04:37:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0x054c60…
10-04 04:35:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x612efb…
10-04 04:35:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x083c05…
10-04 04:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	64¢	$3	0x7609e3…
10-04 04:26:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x308e49…
10-04 04:25:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x932def…
10-04 04:12:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 04:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x7cc321…