Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$2.51K

Unrealized P&L

+$1.20K

Hit rate

83.9%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

631

2,100 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$206.5K

$609.4K lifetime

Avg / trade

$290

Open exposure

$9.50K

5 positions

First seen

2026-07-02

last 10-30 02:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 82 days

Categories

Politics

54% 81% +$2,193

Other

41% 87% +$6,332

Sports

3% 88% -$483

Crypto

1% 100% +$68

Tech

0% 100% +$40

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 161 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	+3,887	$2,985	99¢	$3.9K	+$876	10-30 02:00
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	+3,500	$3,075	99¢	$3.5K	+$391	10-29 17:45
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	Yes	+1,500	$1,456	99¢	$1.5K	+$28	10-27 08:19
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	+700	$615	98¢	$688	+$73	10-28 15:42
Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	No	+2,552	$172	0¢	$3	-$169	10-28 09:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	51	$52.0K	28,736	24,850	+3,887	open	—	10-30 02:00
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	21	$38.4K	19,740	18,803	+937	No	+$80	10-09 08:42
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	11	$29.6K	20,000	10,000	+10,000	Yes	+$224	08-18 07:59
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	49	$16.8K	10,547	7,047	+3,500	open	—	10-29 17:45
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	10	$15.8K	8,000	8,000	+0	Yes	+$134	08-05 13:58
itf carbaja cosano 2026 08 25 match total 23pt5	25	$15.7K	8,843	8,843	+0	Over	+$1,638	08-25 17:14
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?	19	$15.7K	8,794	7,345	+1,449	No	+$231	08-27 17:02
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	95	$15.1K	7,702	7,702	+0	No	+$68	10-25 12:09
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	18	$13.8K	14,001	0	+14,001	Yes	+$179	08-12 02:02
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	34	$13.8K	7,000	7,000	+0	open	—	10-28 07:36
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?	59	$12.6K	10,545	9,245	+1,300	Yes	-$32	08-01 01:56
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	19	$12.1K	8,425	3,926	+4,500	Yes	+$155	09-20 08:48
atp wild ferrar 2026 09 08	31	$11.2K	23,805	23,805	+0	cancelled	+$10,641	09-08 11:07
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	28	$11.0K	9,590	2,000	+7,590	No	+$306	07-27 17:05
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	125	$10.8K	8,543	2,382	+6,161	No	+$102	08-18 11:12
will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	82	$10.5K	5,534	5,534	+0	No	+$177	08-11 19:36
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	4	$10.1K	10,225	0	+10,225	No	+$138	08-13 12:04
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$9.8K	5,004	5,004	+0	No	+$5	07-03 15:45
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	31	$8.8K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	-$734	10-26 15:09
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	44	$8.7K	8,487	5,569	+2,918	No	+$16	07-14 14:25
itf carbaja cosano 2026 08 25 match total 21pt5	10	$7.9K	4,500	4,500	+0	Over	+$753	08-25 16:45
will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	24	$7.3K	3,780	3,780	+0	No	+$28	08-08 13:18
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	35	$6.6K	11,151	13,551	-2,400	No	+$1,142	08-01 01:56
will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	8	$6.5K	6,525	0	+6,525	Yes	+$72	07-28 12:55
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	53	$6.4K	3,938	3,238	+700	open	—	10-28 15:42
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	17	$6.0K	4,000	2,000	+2,000	Yes	+$6	07-23 12:59
Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by October 15?	28	$5.7K	5,703	67	+5,636	No	+$75	10-16 01:06
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	13	$5.5K	5,600	0	+5,600	Yes	+$54	09-18 02:02
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	9	$5.0K	2,632	2,632	+0	No	+$66	08-28 22:29
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 370m and 380m?	2	$4.9K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	+$107	08-03 15:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 02:00:22	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	1,613	99¢	$1,601	0x4b9a22…
10-29 17:51:58	Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?	No	BUY	400	90¢	$361	0xa401e6…
10-29 17:45:01	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1,500	96¢	$1,443	0xf909db…
10-29 17:44:49	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$9	0x92bb1e…
10-29 17:44:49	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	1,500	97¢	$1,461	0x746a10…
10-29 17:44:47	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	990	97¢	$960	0x24448d…
10-29 17:37:02	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	1,583	100¢	$1,576	0xe836fa…
10-29 17:32:11	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	2,000	98¢	$1,970	0x075bb2…
10-29 16:11:05	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	294	99¢	$291	0x68b4d5…
10-29 16:11:02	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	96	99¢	$95	0x5bcf8c…
10-29 16:10:59	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x2a69bf…
10-29 13:19:26	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	3,000	100¢	$2,997	0x281e73…
10-29 10:19:31	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	97¢	$968	0x7175be…
10-29 09:30:13	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	98¢	$978	0x311081…
10-29 09:16:31	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	583	98¢	$571	0xa3c852…
10-29 07:37:44	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	417	98¢	$408	0x5fcc25…
10-28 18:21:58	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	1,500	98¢	$1,472	0x0c14fd…
10-28 16:03:47	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	558	98¢	$548	0xad0a6c…
10-28 15:42:05	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	700	98¢	$683	0xcf8412…
10-28 15:30:32	Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?	No	BUY	172	90¢	$155	0x688217…
10-28 14:00:23	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	2,196	99¢	$2,181	0x4ca9ca…
10-28 14:00:20	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	304	99¢	$302	0x3e9796…
10-28 13:56:40	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	1,500	98¢	$1,472	0xf01543…
10-28 13:16:41	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	298	100¢	$297	0x3152c1…
10-28 13:14:55	Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xc9ae36…
10-28 13:13:44	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	1,702	100¢	$1,695	0x75cf10…
10-28 13:10:29	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	2,000	98¢	$1,962	0xb0fe90…
10-28 13:03:14	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	1,761	98¢	$1,722	0xb7ccb3…
10-28 13:01:17	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	748	94¢	$706	0xc45426…
10-28 12:46:58	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	2,669	99¢	$2,648	0x2cbfc0…
10-28 12:43:56	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	929	97¢	$900	0x6da810…
10-28 12:42:38	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	3,000	99¢	$2,970	0x304ac3…
10-28 12:24:50	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	1,000	96¢	$955	0xde2694…
10-28 12:03:01	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	351	97¢	$340	0xb1aa07…
10-28 12:02:25	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	135	97¢	$130	0x9c08a1…
10-28 12:02:23	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xe6c713…
10-28 12:02:23	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0xbed33c…
10-28 12:02:23	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	2,669	99¢	$2,645	0xad7052…
10-28 12:02:23	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x71928d…
10-28 12:02:23	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x40a0a6…
10-28 12:02:23	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	74	0¢	$0	0x2350be…
10-28 12:02:23	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x100379…
10-28 12:02:23	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	189	0¢	$1	0x06d936…
10-28 10:31:50	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	1,028	95¢	$974	0x62f43e…
10-28 09:52:43	Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	No	BUY	52	3¢	$2	0x32ff3d…
10-28 09:43:55	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	461	1¢	$5	0xc66c49…
10-28 09:42:01	Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	No	BUY	262	12¢	$31	0x19d085…
10-28 09:41:40	Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	No	BUY	3	12¢	$0	0x7c5434…
10-28 09:41:37	Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	No	BUY	735	12¢	$88	0xec7a46…
10-28 09:26:41	Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	No	SELL	500	22¢	$110	0x2c7b0f…
10-28 09:06:59	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x3dcb01…
10-28 09:06:50	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	390	1¢	$4	0xccfa21…
10-28 09:06:50	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x84b52b…
10-28 09:06:49	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xcd4410…
10-28 09:05:05	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	98	1¢	$1	0x491d82…
10-28 09:04:56	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	43	1¢	$0	0xdd2c7e…
10-28 09:04:56	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	18	1¢	$0	0x83466b…
10-28 09:04:56	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0x60b100…
10-28 09:04:56	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	43	1¢	$0	0x2d241f…
10-28 09:02:41	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	225	1¢	$2	0x000425…
10-28 09:02:20	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	356	94¢	$335	0x22da80…
10-28 09:00:44	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	444	94¢	$418	0x105844…
10-28 09:00:38	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$10	0x774776…
10-28 08:57:53	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	28	93¢	$26	0xdb9cec…
10-28 08:57:40	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	592	94¢	$559	0x9a24c9…
10-28 08:57:37	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	63	94¢	$59	0x670b59…
10-28 08:57:35	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	41	93¢	$38	0x306d53…
10-28 08:54:53	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	144	94¢	$136	0xc6a83c…
10-28 08:49:16	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$4	0x5b38df…
10-28 08:48:19	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0x40b2e4…
10-28 08:48:17	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	94¢	$940	0xb3110a…
10-28 08:46:47	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	500	94¢	$472	0x5531b1…
10-28 08:26:32	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	291	93¢	$270	0x8fa9f1…
10-28 08:22:43	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x64e0b3…
10-28 08:12:50	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	17	1¢	$0	0x2215d2…
10-28 08:12:19	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xc20e9d…
10-28 08:08:35	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	88	95¢	$84	0xaa0b3f…
10-28 08:06:56	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	184	1¢	$2	0xb4c36d…
10-28 08:06:56	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	184	94¢	$173	0x669f4b…
10-28 08:06:47	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0xc543d3…
10-28 08:06:47	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	154	94¢	$144	0x2fddc7…
10-28 08:06:47	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	1,511	97¢	$1,466	0x01cc1d…
10-28 08:06:14	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	137	97¢	$133	0x4bd593…
10-28 08:06:13	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	388	94¢	$365	0x429294…
10-28 08:06:05	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	14	94¢	$13	0x82812c…
10-28 08:03:59	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0xd1382f…
10-28 08:03:49	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0x965f4a…
10-28 08:03:47	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	15	94¢	$14	0xf5617d…
10-28 08:03:47	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	27	94¢	$25	0x5eb8e2…
10-28 08:03:47	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	15	94¢	$14	0x4a4546…
10-28 08:03:47	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	30	94¢	$28	0x3bafa3…
10-28 08:03:47	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x30fa54…
10-28 08:03:46	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	2,325	95¢	$2,216	0x3fd704…
10-28 07:38:01	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	900	0¢	$4	0xf40ddd…
10-28 07:38:01	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	42	0¢	$0	0xbea1e5…
10-28 07:38:01	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	42	1¢	$0	0x91ef4a…
10-28 07:38:01	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	180	0¢	$1	0x6dbf5b…
10-28 07:38:01	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	648	0¢	$3	0x1a9f63…
10-28 07:37:47	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xf78fc0…
10-28 07:37:47	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x82bbab…