Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

81.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$70

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-16

last 10-23 14:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Other

71% 92% +$5

Politics

22% 62% -$2

Sports

7% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Plague pandemic in 2026?	No	+5	$5	98¢	$5	+$0	10-08 04:25
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	+3	$2	98¢	$3	+$0	10-23 14:43
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	-2	$0	6¢	$-0	+$0	07-16 18:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$20	12	12	+0	No	+$3	04-25 08:28
Plague pandemic in 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	10-08 04:25
will canada win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	1	$5	9	0	+9	No	-$5	02-16 06:26
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	3	$5	3	3	+0	Yes	+$1	04-17 07:28
will the peoples party pple win between 120 and 134 seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	2	$4	8	8	+0	Yes	+$2	02-25 12:13
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	2	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	10-23 14:43
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	2	$2	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	05-03 11:24
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	02-25 12:22
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	03-09 07:16
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	-$2	02-16 16:41
Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	05-24 13:49
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	$0	03-19 14:09
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$1	1	1	+0	Yes	-$1	02-28 21:51
Will the Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	10-23 14:40
Will the Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG) be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	10-23 14:38
Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	10-23 07:43
Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	10-23 07:43
italy nordio reform referendum passes	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	+$1	03-19 12:03
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	03-02 18:49
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	05-17 12:14
ai data center in space by december 31 2027	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	07-16 18:46
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	02-20 06:19
will the sbc initiative be approved in switzerlands 8 march 2026 popular vote	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	02-24 06:40
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	-$1	02-24 06:37
will the individual taxation referendum be approved in switzerlands 8 march 2026 popular vote	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	02-24 06:40
ai data center in space by december 31 2026	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	07-16 18:45
trump out as president by march 31	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	02-20 09:15
will the safeguarding swiss neutrality neutrality initiative initiative be approved in switzerlands september 27 2026 popular vote 20260713144919277	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	08-21 05:52
will the for safe food through strengthening sustainable domestic production increasing plant based foods and ensuring clean drinking water food initiative initiative be approved in switzerlands september 27 2026 popular vote copy 20260713144919278	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	08-21 05:52
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	1	$0	0	2	-2	open	—	07-16 18:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 14:43:33	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0x6f65a5…
10-23 14:40:14	Will the Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x5d2236…
10-23 14:38:03	Will the Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG) be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x97efd1…
10-23 07:43:35	Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x2fa9f8…
10-23 07:43:15	Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x777a84…
10-08 04:25:08	Plague pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x1c7780…
09-04 12:32:36	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x2dffee…
08-21 05:52:18	will the for safe food through strengthening sustainable domestic production increasing plant based foods and ensuring clean drinking water food initiative initiative be approved in switzerlands september 27 2026 popular vote copy 20260713144919278	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa17da8…
08-21 05:52:15	will the safeguarding swiss neutrality neutrality initiative initiative be approved in switzerlands september 27 2026 popular vote 20260713144919277	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x484e80…
07-16 18:48:28	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0xca9629…
07-16 18:46:02	ai data center in space by december 31 2027	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x2207cd…
07-16 18:45:55	ai data center in space by december 31 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x9d93af…
05-24 13:49:34	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x60a338…
05-17 12:14:47	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xb9f481…
05-17 12:14:29	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x716db8…
05-03 11:24:38	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0xd8c498…
04-25 08:28:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	12	98¢	$11	0x7dcdfa…
04-18 21:28:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	10	77¢	$7	0xa6da09…
04-17 07:28:40	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xb161c4…
04-11 06:48:51	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x93eca5…
04-08 06:44:27	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x08e088…
04-08 06:43:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x807ddb…
03-19 14:09:43	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	1	40¢	$1	0xe803a2…
03-19 12:03:13	italy nordio reform referendum passes	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xe4e0a0…
03-09 11:24:43	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xbf5d23…
03-09 07:16:21	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe095e9…
03-02 18:49:55	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x675cf3…
02-28 21:51:45	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xef2f54…
02-25 12:22:02	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x87e291…
02-25 12:13:32	will the peoples party pple win between 120 and 134 seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	Yes	SELL	8	35¢	$3	0x390663…
02-24 06:40:54	will the individual taxation referendum be approved in switzerlands 8 march 2026 popular vote	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x054c64…
02-24 06:40:46	will the sbc initiative be approved in switzerlands 8 march 2026 popular vote	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x4f2366…
02-24 06:37:16	israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x2ec207…
02-20 09:20:22	will the peoples party pple win between 120 and 134 seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xe38527…
02-20 09:15:34	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x2640dc…
02-20 06:23:16	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x83a05b…
02-20 06:19:18	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xe1e8d2…
02-16 16:48:13	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x145cbd…
02-16 16:46:39	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xbdf9fc…
02-16 16:43:13	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x910137…
02-16 16:41:23	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xa05704…
02-16 06:26:07	will canada win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xa8b1af…