Favorable-Upstairs — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.6%

Resolved

738

Trades

764

lifetime

Volume

$3.79K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 10-25 09:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 150 days

Categories

Other

81% 97% -$2

Sports

14% 99% +$1

Crypto

2% 100% +$0

Tech

2% 85% +$0

Politics

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:02
wta muchova gauff 2026 07 09 match total 22pt5	2	$10	5	5	+0	Over	+$0	07-09 15:28
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	08-12 23:04
will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score between 1490 and 1500	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-08 04:48
Valorant: Asterisk vs No Salary Peek (BO3) - VCL South Asia: Regular Season	2	$10	5	5	+0	Asterisk	+$0	05-27 17:27
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-29 23:30
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win MSI 2026?	2	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-10 10:42
Will knight Win MSI Finals MVP	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	07-12 14:02
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$10	5	5	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-24 17:27
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-23 15:36
chris moneymaker 20260707142702023	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:32
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-09-14?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	09-16 10:16
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-12 22:39
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:31
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-01 23:08
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-23 15:36
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	2	$10	5	5	+0	Mali	+$0	06-04 04:48
will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score between 1500 and 1510	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-08 04:48
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$10	5	5	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:48
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:14
Will PSV vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk end in a draw?	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	09-10 18:37
Exact Score: Algeria 3 - 2 Austria?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	06-28 04:08
Will Endrick be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	05-18 22:39
FC Machida Zelvia vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 4.5	1	$5	5	0	+5	Under	+$0	05-13 12:01
lol hle1 t1 2026 06 12 game2 kill over 29pt5	1	$5	5	0	+5	Under	+$0	06-12 10:42
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 Senegal?	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	06-23 02:09
Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	1	$5	5	0	+5	Taylor Fritz	+$0	10-23 16:52
Will Figure's F.03 robots run between 8 and 50 hours without failure?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-16 04:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 09:31:00	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe90357…
10-24 13:22:15	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x81904d…
10-23 16:52:30	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x611eeb…
10-23 06:10:03	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7d3d45…
10-22 20:41:06	Lyon Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Brandon Nakashima	Brandon Nakashima	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdb29dc…
10-20 18:47:45	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xedc02d…
10-20 18:40:29	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1e5b81…
10-18 03:35:39	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc1f361…
10-15 19:37:40	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2b7ac2…
10-14 20:56:46	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x659a56…
10-14 13:12:36	wta krueger tararud 2026 10 14	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x276c7c…
10-14 11:41:26	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5fc5ab…
10-13 20:58:52	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1c00f9…
10-13 14:15:22	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2f61e4…
10-12 16:35:41	Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald	Lorenzo Carboni	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc02308…
10-12 09:01:36	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x89c80d…
10-11 20:16:09	Bengals vs. Dolphins	Bengals	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x79e936…
10-09 02:09:57	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2963e7…
10-07 10:16:24	Samsun: Elena Pridankina vs Anna Blinkova	Anna Blinkova	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1c9aef…
10-06 20:46:23	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc6c0d2…
10-06 16:07:30	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7c87c8…
10-04 23:23:10	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x611d84…
10-04 20:17:38	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3d8b60…
10-03 14:50:29	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3309a2…
10-03 02:53:00	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3b30bc…
10-02 14:12:30	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc55058…
10-01 20:46:23	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1ebcdd…
10-01 14:40:24	China Open: Alexander Bublik vs Jakub Mensik	Jakub Mensik	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb6afe1…
10-01 14:11:53	atp giustin donald 2026 10 01	Matthew William Donald	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa77ead…
10-01 12:05:47	atp grieksp rublev 2026 09 29	Andrey Rublev	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe2f2c3…
10-01 06:03:14	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6fc476…
10-01 05:13:27	mlb chc sd 2026 09 30	San Diego Padres	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x28c2b4…
09-30 23:54:53	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf80092…
09-30 01:58:18	Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs	Canadiens	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb45008…
09-29 13:58:51	atp cretu rocha 2026 09 28	Henrique Rocha	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfcec33…
09-29 13:15:59	atp medvede rublev 2026 09 29	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xba06ed…
09-29 06:34:50	wta ribera you 2026 09 28	Marina Bassols Ribera	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x12488a…
09-28 20:58:44	atp zink krueger 2026 09 28	Mitchell Krueger	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xef7e14…
09-28 10:07:54	atp vallejo daniel 2026 09 28	Adolfo Vallejo	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x971a46…
09-27 20:20:11	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x50dd76…
09-27 13:30:41	atp harri hurkacz 2026 09 27	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x567453…
09-27 12:29:14	atp safiull bu 2026 09 27	Roman Safiullin	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x83b527…
09-26 19:53:23	Texas vs. Tennessee	Texas	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdb5a1a…
09-26 16:18:09	cs2 hero sng2 2026 09 26	Heroic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x751244…
09-26 12:18:23	wta fernand chwalin 2026 09 26	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x01cef7…
09-25 10:12:38	atp marozsa daniel 2026 09 25	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5e8760…
09-24 20:45:11	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbf6f6f…
09-23 22:37:43	mlb min sf 2026 09 23	Minnesota Twins	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd0109f…
09-21 19:09:01	will msft dip to 495 by september 21 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x06fa89…
09-21 18:44:33	wta naito aksu 2026 09 21	Ayla Aksu	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x24b705…
09-21 13:01:32	Solana Up or Down - September 21, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x874ee8…
09-20 22:25:40	Browns vs. Buccaneers	Browns	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf3c058…
09-20 21:08:25	Will CD Leganés vs. Granada CF end in a draw?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd86a16…
09-20 02:59:39	will ethereum dip to 2600 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5e1a03…
09-20 02:19:00	Merrimack vs. Tarleton State	Tarleton State	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xaf11fb…
09-20 01:32:42	East Carolina vs. Old Dominion	East Carolina	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbe83a3…
09-20 01:26:40	Florida State vs. Alabama	Alabama	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5d914a…
09-19 01:39:46	Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x97ab86…
09-18 20:00:52	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 18?	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x94e8d3…
09-18 19:32:19	Will AC Oulu win on 2026-09-18?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7dcf24…
09-17 17:27:43	lol ckz esb 2026 09 19 game1	CITA Kaizen	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3d9e1c…
09-17 16:02:36	Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on September 17?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9ce185…
09-17 14:00:57	bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x531abe…
09-17 00:30:40	Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 Winner	Bounty Hunters Esports	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5658db…
09-16 10:16:52	Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-09-14?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x313b12…
09-15 18:32:06	crint ind afg 2026 09 15	India	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7e833b…
09-15 13:02:21	Counter-Strike: Brute vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage	Brute	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd17404…
09-14 17:03:22	Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-09-14?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x43a6c2…
09-14 04:36:52	atp peliwo ziegann 2026 09 13	Filip Peliwo	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa4c180…
09-13 14:56:15	atp zhukov loof 2026 09 13	Thijmen Loof	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf66f4f…
09-13 09:00:21	Will the lowest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on September 12?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x352d4c…
09-12 22:33:25	Kansas City Royals vs. Boston Red Sox	Boston Red Sox	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1f63c9…
09-12 18:22:04	Will Everton FC win on 2026-09-12?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1d92bd…
09-12 03:18:54	US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton	Ben Shelton	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa1ebce…
09-11 20:37:40	Counter-Strike: Phantom Academy vs KAMUI (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage	Phantom Academy	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfbd864…
09-11 02:58:31	Phan Thiet 3: Philip Sekulic vs Koki Matsuda	Philip Sekulic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2ad672…
09-10 20:29:00	Counter-Strike: mellren vs MORROW (BO3) - European Pro League Series 9 Play-In Play-In	mellren	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0d75a6…
09-10 18:48:19	LoL: Zena Esports vs Aeterna Esports - Game 1 Winner	Aeterna Esports	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x57142a…
09-10 18:37:37	Will PSV vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x135f04…
09-10 17:31:48	Sher-E-Punjab T20: Fazilka Falcons vs Bathinda Royals	Fazilka Falcons	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4c5857…
09-10 01:18:22	Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8899b9…
09-09 22:45:54	US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Alexander Blockx	Karen Khachanov	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x84e7ee…
09-09 18:51:12	Apple Announces Foldable iPhone at “Surprise and Shine” Event?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd6cf98…
09-09 18:30:55	Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcd9b59…
09-09 00:16:55	Barranquilla: Cadence Brace vs Sara Sorribes Tormo	Sara Sorribes Tormo	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd652e8…
09-08 23:11:33	atp tiafoe michels 2026 09 08	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4cf9b9…
09-08 20:57:12	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-08?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6acd81…
09-08 14:42:57	Antalya 4: Federica Urgesi vs Miriam Bulgaru	Miriam Bulgaru	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x04d2cb…
09-08 12:12:39	Genoa: Valerio Aboian vs Juan Martin	Valerio Aboian	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x402093…
09-08 06:06:07	M25 Sapporo: Kazushi Idogaki vs Seiya Nakanishi	Seiya Nakanishi	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3b7a08…
09-08 05:01:57	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Athletics	Athletics	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb90a58…
09-07 21:25:33	wta osaka rybakin 2026 09 07	Elena Rybakina	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe5b88e…
09-07 19:01:55	Seville: Petr Brunclik vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcbb9ee…
09-07 17:57:58	US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Qinwen Zheng	Qinwen Zheng	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3ed9d3…
09-07 12:47:37	Tulln: Maxim Mrva vs Marvin Moeller	Marvin Moeller	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x51adfc…
09-04 15:11:42	cs2 fokus aim1 2026 09 04	FOKUS	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa3257a…
09-03 10:13:09	itf jadou popovi 2026 09 03	Stevan Popovic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcb37c0…
09-02 18:34:21	Will AEK vs. OFI end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x65cb22…
09-02 18:29:39	Will OFI win on 2026-09-02?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x06e05a…
09-02 11:11:04	itf paque strakho 2026 09 02	Valeriya Strakhova	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd5e052…