Favorable-Upstairs — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

168

lifetime

Volume

$829

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 06-09 12:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

80% 100% +$0

Sports

15% 100% +$0

Tech

3% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-29 23:30
will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score between 1500 and 1510	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-08 04:48
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-30 04:48
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-24 17:27
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-04 04:48
will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score between 1490 and 1500	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-08 04:48
Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy - Map 2 Winner	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	06-02 22:56
FC Hermannstadt vs. FCSB: O/U 5.5	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-18 20:07
Stade Brestois 29 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 4.5	1	$5	5	0	+5	Under	+$0	05-13 19:01
Set Handicap: Cerundolo (-2.5) vs Svajda (+2.5)	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-30 13:13
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-14 20:15
Rafael Jodar vs. Pablo Carreno Busta: Total Sets O/U 3.5	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-31 15:36
Oeiras 4: Hugo Dellien vs Laslo Djere	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 13:34
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-17 23:57
Set Handicap: Vacherot (-2.5) vs Faurel (+2.5)	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-26 14:03
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-20 19:13
NK Osijek vs. NK Slaven Belupo: O/U 2.5	3	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-22 16:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	06-03 16:04
Ryukyu Golden Kings vs. Diamond Dolphins	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 13:59
AS Roma vs. SS Lazio: O/U 0.5	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-17 12:38
Set 1 Winner: Fuente vs Dellien	1	$5	5	0	+5	Dellien	+$0	05-12 14:02
ITF Gaborone: Cooper Williams vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-17 14:41
Games Total: O/U 2.5	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-23 14:22
Will Malcolm Wellmaker win by KO or TKO?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-17 03:18
Will Ederson be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-18 23:04
Hamburg European Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alex de Minaur	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-20 21:17
KBO: KT Wiz vs. Kiwoom Heroes	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-31 20:36
KBO: SSG Landers vs. KT Wiz	1	$5	5	0	+5	KT Wiz	+$0	05-13 14:18
FC Famalicão vs. FC Alverca: O/U 3.5	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-16 21:37
cs2 tdk wal2 2026 06 06 game1	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	06-06 14:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 12:20:10	itf khayndr aydemir 2026 06 09	Defne Aydemir	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x349705…
06-09 00:21:21	col1 atn cjf 2026 06 08 spread home 2pt5	CDPJuniorFC	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe22e04…
06-08 21:37:12	France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5a85dc…
06-08 12:03:42	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3048c3…
06-08 04:48:39	will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score between 1500 and 1510	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb03f95…
06-08 04:48:39	will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score between 1490 and 1500	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x093867…
06-08 04:48:18	will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score between 1500 and 1510	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x31a850…
06-08 03:04:57	will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score between 1490 and 1500	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0745db…
06-07 23:59:18	lol lll vks 2026 06 07 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xafab0d…
06-07 21:58:16	mlb mil col 2026 06 07 spread away 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd031f6…
06-07 19:14:03	atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07 set handicap away 1pt5	Cobolli	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0fa343…
06-07 18:11:13	itf souz fullana 2026 06 07	Luiza Fullana	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6015ab…
06-07 17:39:01	mlbb ts ver 2026 06 07 game1	Team Spirit	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x216c45…
06-07 00:58:55	crint can2 usa3 2026 06 06	USA	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd5d40c…
06-06 23:09:45	codmw tex riyf 2026 06 06	OpTic Texas	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe8c6a0…
06-06 14:52:49	cs2 tdk wal2 2026 06 06 game1	TDK	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x24fb16…
06-06 14:19:18	lol jdg blg 2026 06 06 game handicap home 1pt5	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x77f67d…
06-06 11:32:34	itf haavist petruze 2026 06 06	Lucie Petruzelova	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3245b7…
06-06 11:32:30	itf jovanov davies 2026 06 06	Allegra Korpanec Davies	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x21f019…
06-05 15:45:16	atp mensik zverev 2026 06 05 set handicap away 2pt5	Mensik	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd019f7…
06-05 01:24:03	fda approves arvinas vepdegestrant 06 05 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc6aeb5…
06-04 14:19:12	atp mcdonal hijikat 2026 06 03 match total 21pt5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x00ef8a…
06-04 04:48:39	crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	Mali	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x79a46e…
06-03 19:06:04	Counter-Strike: TDK vs Atreides (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage	TDK	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x65d5f2…
06-03 16:04:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x03fa36…
06-03 09:23:48	T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: China vs Oman	Oman	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0dd726…
06-03 04:48:44	T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	Mali	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9a347e…
06-02 22:56:05	Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy - Map 2 Winner	NRG Academy	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3ba570…
06-02 20:57:03	Wales vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdf48a6…
06-02 20:45:11	Wales vs. Ghana: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf061e8…
06-02 15:24:30	Foggia: Mayar Sherif vs Carlota Martinez Cirez	Mayar Sherif	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf12830…
06-01 18:35:49	Slovakia vs. Malta: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf15cdc…
06-01 17:58:51	Bulgaria vs. Montenegro: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb4b630…
06-01 14:41:31	will spy reach 750 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9b9bf6…
06-01 01:16:36	Will Luis Suárez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb59b64…
05-31 20:36:59	KBO: KT Wiz vs. Kiwoom Heroes	KT Wiz	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd73a05…
05-31 19:09:25	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2cf6e2…
05-31 19:00:09	Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6874fb…
05-31 15:36:43	Rafael Jodar vs. Pablo Carreno Busta: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xaa7eb6…
05-31 14:19:37	Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - FRAGgg Playoffs	HOTU	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8b72ea…
05-31 04:46:02	Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)	Seattle Mariners	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x032511…
05-30 19:22:09	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 7.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x78449f…
05-30 14:25:12	PAOK vs. Panathinaikos	Panathinaikos	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x773c36…
05-30 13:13:43	Set Handicap: Cerundolo (-2.5) vs Svajda (+2.5)	Svajda	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf85679…
05-30 12:02:23	Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8afbce…
05-30 04:48:26	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	August Holmgren	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x432d39…
05-29 23:30:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf8b120…
05-29 22:14:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdd712d…
05-29 21:58:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8ebdfc…
05-29 21:06:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd5e900…
05-29 21:01:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb620af…
05-29 19:20:07	Fonseca vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 38.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x06b1ea…
05-29 13:33:04	Borges vs. Rublev: Match O/U 36.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x02e8d4…
05-28 20:16:26	LoL: Once Upon A Team vs mCon esports - Game 4 Winner	mCon esports	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7b76a8…
05-28 16:52:24	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe81df8…
05-28 13:50:51	Roland Garros ATP: Mariano Navone vs Jenson Brooksby	Mariano Navone	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd73dc1…
05-28 12:33:02	Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs Cerundolo	Sinner	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb62733…
05-27 02:14:32	Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4defe7…
05-26 17:38:35	Set Handicap: Bublik (-1.5) vs Struff (+1.5)	Struff	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7a28ab…
05-26 14:03:26	Set Handicap: Vacherot (-2.5) vs Faurel (+2.5)	Faurel	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x839083…
05-26 13:17:59	Tallon Griekspoor vs. Matteo Arnaldi: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf44ee7…
05-25 19:18:26	Sandefjord Fotball vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6b1852…
05-25 08:09:07	T20 Series Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A, Women: Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A	New Zealand A	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5a2112…
05-25 04:48:26	Will 1+ world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbbb557…
05-24 22:57:05	Roland Garros ATP: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1ed9f4…
05-24 20:34:00	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Luka Pavlovic	Joao Fonseca	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x21fcc9…
05-24 19:24:10	Roland Garros ATP: Quentin Halys vs Mattia Bellucci	Quentin Halys	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd8762b…
05-24 18:17:30	Roland Garros ATP: Titouan Droguet vs Jakub Mensik	Jakub Mensik	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xae8dc3…
05-24 17:27:27	LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	The Otter Side	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb2dccb…
05-24 17:22:17	LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	The Otter Side	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcd82c3…
05-24 15:29:58	AC Sparta Praha vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9cc6c8…
05-24 15:21:42	Roland Garros ATP: Tomas Machac vs Zizou Bergs	Tomas Machac	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x382d51…
05-24 13:19:18	Set Handicap: Fokina (-2.5) vs Dzumhur (+2.5)	Dzumhur	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2256a6…
05-24 08:02:48	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Supah Hot	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x31ea02…
05-23 16:16:07	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 3 Winner	ThunderTalk Gaming	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa96b08…
05-23 14:22:18	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7af5b1…
05-23 01:24:47	Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x99d1e5…
05-22 17:36:18	Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahce	Olympiacos B.C.	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb76c76…
05-22 16:51:25	NK Osijek vs. NK Slaven Belupo: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xf87878…
05-22 16:33:34	NK Osijek vs. NK Slaven Belupo: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xa6a790…
05-22 16:11:15	NK Osijek vs. NK Slaven Belupo: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4528b7…
05-22 09:44:06	ITF Takasaki: Sohyun Park vs Rina Saigo	Rina Saigo	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x21a07f…
05-22 04:09:40	CSyD Macará vs. Club Alianza Atlético: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd5fa60…
05-21 14:24:57	Internationaux de Strasbourg (Doubles): Joint/Perez vs Eikeri/Gleason	Eikeri/Gleason	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7a4832…
05-20 23:55:49	Club Olimpia vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb74a16…
05-20 21:53:21	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0d2862…
05-20 21:22:35	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	August Holmgren	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x28ae10…
05-20 21:17:32	Hamburg European Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alex de Minaur	Alex de Minaur	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe4bd40…
05-20 19:13:55	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6dfef0…
05-20 09:47:39	First Blood in Game 1?	T1	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0c22ae…
05-20 04:04:50	Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 170.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd0dd87…
05-19 20:50:09	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x81ebe1…
05-19 17:24:32	World Championships: Latvia vs. Austria	Austria	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x40e6a5…
05-19 07:09:49	ITF Toyama: Ayumi Miyamoto vs Mutsumi Uemura	Ayumi Miyamoto	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcdb657…
05-19 04:19:03	Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xea8dbf…
05-18 23:04:29	Will Ederson be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfa4292…
05-18 22:39:36	Will Endrick be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x62e4be…
05-18 20:07:21	FC Hermannstadt vs. FCSB: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x789869…
05-18 18:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7ebfb4…
05-18 17:52:41	Set Handicap: Siniakova (-1.5) vs Bouzkova (+1.5)	Bouzkova	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdc1402…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Dark-Descendant 0xdd61…4399	118	$614	123	06-08 21:37
Deafening-Shower 0x99c4…ee2e	118	$609	122	06-09 12:20
Incredible-Timber 0xa0bc…4738	117	$1.20K	126	06-09 12:20
Webbed-Scimitar 0xe42e…09ee	117	$1.20K	125	06-09 12:20
Impure-Bear 0xbc7a…d63a	115	$5.89K	134	06-08 21:37
Tangible-Directory 0x89c5…2838	115	$1.16K	121	06-09 12:20
Runny-Parliament 0x1eda…a8e4	113	$584	118	06-09 12:20
Fearful-Girl 0xc723…c609	112	$11.6K	157	06-09 12:20