Spicy-Quince — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$239

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

41.4%

Resolved

Trades

1,581

lifetime

Volume

$23.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

$102

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-08 15:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

81% 42% $-247

Pop-Culture

16% — —

Politics

3% — —

Tech

0% 100% +$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 129 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor?	Yes		-113	$-99	90¢	$-102	$-3	06-08 15:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tisza win at least 130 seats	13	$2.1K	1,570	1,570	+0	open	—	04-13 10:47
will metas q1 headcount be above 77000	22	$1.2K	752	783	-31	open	—	04-29 22:28
will the bank of new zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the february decision	20	$1.1K	561	561	+0	open	—	02-17 20:28
Will Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?	15	$1.1K	1,802	610	+1,192	open	—	05-10 16:13
no change in swiss national bank policy rate after march meeting	8	$650	421	314	+108	open	—	03-16 12:24
will the ecb announce no change at the february 2026 meeting	3	$598	308	300	+8	open	—	02-02 14:43
will the bank of new zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the april decision	12	$523	290	290	+0	open	—	03-25 23:16
Will Drake feature Lil Yachty on ICEMAN?	7	$522	678	0	+678	open	—	05-14 23:20
Markwayne Mullin confirmed as DHS Secretary by March 31, 2026?	6	$475	280	280	+0	open	—	03-25 14:12
Will Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	3	$471	400	260	+140	open	—	05-16 13:17
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$468	517	65	+452	open	—	04-20 15:00
Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	6	$461	323	190	+133	open	—	04-15 08:02
no change in bank of englands interest rates after march 2026 meeting 453	16	$448	331	169	+162	open	—	03-18 20:40
Will Drake feature Sexyy Red on ICEMAN?	17	$425	734	397	+337	open	—	05-12 21:48
will the ecb announce no change at the march 2026 meeting	3	$423	222	222	+0	open	—	02-17 20:28
will japan make the 2026 world baseball classic final	31	$406	1,025	0	+1,025	open	—	03-14 20:14
will annual inflation increase by 2pt6 in march 241	94	$373	2,056	216	+1,841	open	—	03-27 00:07
no change in bank of japans interest rates after march 2026 meeting	9	$344	229	122	+107	open	—	03-19 01:49
will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	19	$343	494	354	+140	open	—	03-31 10:25
will monthly inflation increase by 0pt3 in february 312	11	$308	420	133	+287	open	—	03-11 15:33
will the bank of canada announce no change at the march meeting	13	$285	150	150	+0	open	—	03-18 14:03
will the bank of new zealand increase the official cash rate after the april decision	7	$284	154	154	+0	open	—	02-19 20:29
Will Drake feature Young Thug on ICEMAN?	2	$277	474	0	+474	open	—	05-14 20:45
will the reserve bank of australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the march meeting	15	$276	342	84	+258	open	—	03-17 03:21
will the reserve bank of australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the february meeting	2	$239	664	0	+664	open	—	02-03 02:25
will annual inflation increase by 2pt5 in february 439 553 591 573	19	$228	274	138	+136	open	—	03-11 10:18
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?	11	$224	134	134	+0	open	—	03-25 23:18
will annual inflation increase by 3pt4 in march	6	$221	373	194	+179	open	—	04-08 23:37
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?	5	$221	200	200	+0	open	—	02-10 09:34
will the december 2025 unemployment rate be 4pt4	1	$217	272	0	+272	open	—	01-05 09:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 15:55:27	Will SpaceX acquire Cursor?	Yes	SELL	113	87¢	$99	0xfec193…
05-16 13:17:23	Will Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	260	70¢	$182	0x5e7790…
05-16 11:44:45	Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0xbb8851…
05-16 11:33:56	Will Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0x72e09a…
05-16 11:17:50	Will Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	200	74¢	$148	0xd873da…
05-15 16:01:45	Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	200	33¢	$66	0x46a4f2…
05-15 14:46:44	Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	23	33¢	$8	0x78f924…
05-15 14:37:08	Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x7f24b3…
05-15 14:23:54	Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	117	33¢	$39	0x95ec29…
05-15 14:15:23	Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x1a7445…
05-15 14:07:20	Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0x14ad98…
05-15 13:56:16	Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x173479…
05-15 13:43:11	Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	105	53¢	$56	0xd6bbd7…
05-14 23:20:08	Will Drake feature Lil Yachty on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	31	68¢	$21	0x6e6764…
05-14 23:18:58	Will Drake feature Lil Yachty on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0xe783a6…
05-14 20:58:58	Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0xbd1991…
05-14 20:47:55	Will Drake feature EsDeeKid on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	149	50¢	$74	0xcd973a…
05-14 20:45:45	Will Drake feature Young Thug on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0xf3adf4…
05-14 15:37:03	Will Drake feature Yeat on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	66	32¢	$21	0x0540ad…
05-14 13:29:46	Will Drake feature EsDeeKid on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xd957f7…
05-14 13:19:08	Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x3de6e3…
05-14 13:17:47	Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	137	72¢	$99	0xfb0c4b…
05-14 12:06:20	Will Drake feature EsDeeKid on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	162	50¢	$81	0xe06da9…
05-14 11:27:20	Will Drake feature Playboi Carti on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	54	11¢	$6	0x28690a…
05-12 23:09:43	Will Drake feature Central Cee on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	16	14¢	$2	0x09406a…
05-12 21:55:24	Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xbf5aa5…
05-12 21:48:59	Will Drake feature Sexyy Red on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	93	49¢	$46	0x46012e…
05-12 21:40:56	Will Drake feature Sexyy Red on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0xa15d8f…
05-12 21:12:02	Will Drake feature Central Cee on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0xd56443…
05-12 17:26:01	Will Drake feature Sexyy Red on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	43	28¢	$12	0xbfc18b…
05-12 15:25:16	Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	24	24¢	$6	0xe5276a…
05-12 15:22:00	Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	102	70¢	$71	0xa0bfc7…
05-12 15:20:40	Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	45	76¢	$34	0x07ca05…
05-12 15:20:01	Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	61	76¢	$46	0x32059e…
05-12 14:54:56	Will Drake feature Lil Wayne on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	219	48¢	$105	0x27380c…
05-12 13:31:10	Will Drake feature Sexyy Red on ICEMAN?	No	SELL	130	65¢	$84	0x5e461d…
05-12 12:57:04	Will Drake feature Sexyy Red on ICEMAN?	No	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0x561632…
05-12 12:55:14	Will Drake feature Sexyy Red on ICEMAN?	No	SELL	210	62¢	$130	0x0a9d4a…
05-12 12:39:50	Will Drake feature Sexyy Red on ICEMAN?	No	SELL	15	68¢	$10	0xc026b2…
05-12 12:13:04	Will Drake feature Sexyy Red on ICEMAN?	No	SELL	7	73¢	$5	0xc61e6a…
05-12 10:15:21	Will Drake feature Sexyy Red on ICEMAN?	No	SELL	16	67¢	$11	0x1d6c4d…
05-11 14:41:32	Will Drake feature Sexyy Red on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	51	7¢	$3	0x8c069d…
05-11 11:34:34	Will Drake feature Sexyy Red on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x7171a8…
05-11 00:28:49	Will Drake feature Sexyy Red on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	45	14¢	$6	0xff3724…
05-11 00:11:35	Will Drake feature J. Cole on ICEMAN?	No	SELL	39	94¢	$37	0xa08e35…
05-10 17:03:26	Will Drake feature 21 Savage on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	30	28¢	$8	0xdee8fc…
05-10 16:13:04	Will Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	150	23¢	$34	0x8a92a9…
05-10 13:54:49	Will Drake feature Yeat on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0xb2be40…
05-10 10:32:05	Will Drake feature Ty Dolla $ign on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0xddaa65…
05-10 10:21:23	Will Drake feature Sexyy Red on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	55	15¢	$8	0x57cf82…
05-10 10:14:28	Will Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	44	25¢	$11	0xc17b56…
05-10 00:02:54	Will Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x133023…
05-10 00:02:01	Will Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	187	26¢	$49	0xebbb15…
05-10 00:00:51	Will Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	58	24¢	$14	0xe5f95a…
05-09 22:12:14	Will Drake feature Central Cee on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	103	10¢	$10	0x845224…
05-09 22:11:32	Will Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	114	26¢	$30	0x84f19a…
05-09 22:00:12	Will Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	244	26¢	$63	0x154e88…
05-09 19:05:06	Will Drake feature Sexyy Red on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0xa0a855…
05-09 18:39:58	Will Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0x1aa3d2…
05-09 15:26:21	Will Drake feature EsDeeKid on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	13	66¢	$9	0x06338d…
05-09 13:46:54	Will Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	133	31¢	$41	0x222db1…
05-09 13:44:43	Will Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	158	30¢	$48	0xd3e37e…
05-09 13:42:45	Will Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?	Yes	SELL	610	70¢	$427	0xe95375…
05-09 13:08:52	Will Drake feature Central Cee on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	200	13¢	$26	0x61f9db…
05-09 10:16:00	Will Drake feature Lil Yachty on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	94	80¢	$75	0xec721b…
05-09 10:14:53	Will Drake feature Pimmie on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	64	65¢	$42	0xddf8b2…
05-09 10:12:05	Will Drake feature PARTYNEXTDOOR on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	46	34¢	$15	0x2b81f8…
05-09 10:10:50	Will Drake feature Sexyy Red on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	79	20¢	$16	0xdb630a…
05-08 15:43:03	Will Drake feature Central Cee on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	3	15¢	$0	0x958de7…
05-08 13:01:59	Will Drake feature SZA on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0x47b702…
05-08 12:11:49	Will Drake feature Yeat on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	41	30¢	$12	0x1ace66…
05-08 10:49:16	Will Drake feature Central Cee on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	23	16¢	$4	0xe55f78…
05-08 10:16:19	Will Drake feature Sexyy Red on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0xa94a2c…
05-08 08:36:55	Will Drake feature SZA on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	67	84¢	$56	0xf168f7…
05-08 08:34:12	Will Drake feature Lil Baby on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	38	41¢	$16	0xb3391d…
05-08 08:31:52	Will Drake feature Lil Baby on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	30	39¢	$12	0xa25b83…
05-07 16:47:53	Will Drake feature Central Cee on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	78	13¢	$10	0x12ee42…
05-07 16:13:46	Will Drake feature Central Cee on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xf24cd5…
05-07 14:22:26	Will Drake feature Central Cee on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x339c8e…
05-07 11:37:21	Will Drake feature 21 Savage on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0x589324…
05-07 09:28:15	Will Drake feature Central Cee on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	35	10¢	$4	0x309fe4…
05-07 06:14:11	Will Drake feature Central Cee on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x2471f5…
05-06 22:57:19	Will Drake feature Lil Yachty on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	250	80¢	$199	0xb601ac…
05-06 22:46:42	Will Drake feature 21 Savage on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	22	30¢	$7	0x0cb295…
05-05 22:56:38	Will Drake feature Sexyy Red on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	61	20¢	$12	0xc0daeb…
05-05 22:55:20	Will Drake feature Central Cee on ICEMAN?	No	SELL	55	17¢	$9	0x1c2c26…
05-05 10:13:16	Will Drake feature Metro Boomin on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	33	5¢	$2	0xc48d95…
05-05 10:09:38	Will Drake feature Lil Yachty on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	128	78¢	$99	0x1e267d…
05-04 22:03:08	Will Drake feature Young Thug on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	455	60¢	$273	0xdef41d…
05-04 22:01:16	Will Drake feature Lil Yachty on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	127	75¢	$95	0x065076…
05-04 13:46:26	Will Drake feature Morgan Wallen on ICEMAN?	No	SELL	86	68¢	$59	0xc64850…
05-02 18:20:28	Will Drake feature Morgan Wallen on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	44	66¢	$29	0x106a27…
05-02 18:19:02	Will Drake feature Morgan Wallen on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	30	66¢	$19	0xd3e39b…
05-02 14:15:38	Will Drake feature Ty Dolla $ign on ICEMAN?	No	SELL	29	81¢	$24	0x96ac8b…
05-02 14:13:46	Will Drake feature Morgan Wallen on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	10	66¢	$6	0x90015e…
05-02 14:09:24	Will Drake feature Central Cee on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	55	20¢	$11	0x1d7645…
05-01 00:00:30	Apple Q2 iPhone revenue above $58B?	No	BUY	18	59¢	$11	0xf137c5…
04-30 23:56:16	Will Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	168	51¢	$86	0x2b3260…
04-30 23:45:30	Will Drake feature Lil Wayne on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	21	43¢	$9	0xba8249…
04-30 23:36:54	Will Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	369	51¢	$188	0xb5d66b…