Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

—

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

—

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

57 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$118 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-07-30

last 09-23 17:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Other

73% 60% +$4

Politics

23% 62% +$7

Tech

4% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No		+5	$2	96¢	$5	+$2	08-03 06:07
US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes		+5	$2	15¢	$1	-$1	08-12 21:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	2	$4	9	+9	No	-$1	09-17 04:56
will rklb dip to 62 by august 31 2026	2	$4	9	+9	Yes	-$1	09-01 03:51
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-08 06:17
will msft dip to 510 in august 2026	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	08-29 14:49
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	09-09 09:18
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	09-09 17:19
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $112.50 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	09-07 20:38
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-03 22:16
Will Chewy say "Headwind" during earnings call?	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$2	09-08 18:16
will trump say stock market during remarks in new york 20260811183234690	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-12 04:45
spy closes above 765 on august 4 2026	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	08-04 14:19
will ewy dip to 174 by august 17 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-18 11:53
spy up or down on september 10 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Down	-$2	09-10 04:52
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	open	—	08-03 06:07
will warsh say scenario during september press conference 20260909	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	09-16 07:13
israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	1	$2	9	+9	No	-$2	08-02 21:07
spy up or down on august 14 2026	1	$2	5	+5	Down	+$2	08-14 01:29
will trump say hottest during remarks in new york 20260811183234691	1	$2	9	+9	Yes	-$2	08-13 14:35
will nflx dip to 77 50 by august 17 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-17 01:34
next mythos class model released by september 7 2026	1	$2	7	+7	Yes	-$2	08-30 11:36
will xagusd dip to 66 by august 31 2026 from september 3	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	09-03 23:27
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	1	$2	9	+9	No	-$2	08-11 20:44
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-17 19:47
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	1	$2	8	+8	Yes	+$6	08-02 01:14
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	1	$2	4	+4	cancelled	$0	08-01 00:15
will xauusd reach 4700 in august 2026	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	08-23 05:09
spy up or down on august 20 2026	1	$2	6	+6	Down	+$4	08-20 06:06
will trump say barack hussein obama during remarks in new york 20260811183234695	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	+$3	08-14 17:43
will wti reach 95 in august 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-21 03:38
will trump say legacy during his rally with darline graham	1	$2	7	+7	No	+$5	08-21 16:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-23 17:47:29	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x5d944e…
09-17 04:56:12	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xc550c1…
09-17 04:54:58	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	Yes	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x104fa5…
09-16 07:13:25	will warsh say scenario during september press conference 20260909	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x20c208…
09-10 04:52:42	spy up or down on september 10 2026	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xe1470d…
09-09 17:19:09	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0xed5669…
09-09 09:18:49	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xbe57f8…
09-08 18:16:51	Will Chewy say "Headwind" during earnings call?	No	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x6c1c35…
09-08 06:17:55	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xdc4504…
09-07 20:38:55	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $112.50 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x7143fb…
09-03 23:27:24	will xagusd dip to 66 by august 31 2026 from september 3	No	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x20eaa6…
09-01 03:51:43	will rklb dip to 62 by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x824500…
09-01 03:51:40	will rklb dip to 62 by august 31 2026	No	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x9d0edd…
09-01 03:51:40	Will Andy Burnham say "Starmer" during the next PMQ?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x807c03…
08-31 19:51:31	will xagusd reach 68 by august 31 2026	No	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xab16d9…
08-31 19:51:21	Will Andy Burnham say "Nuclear" during the next PMQ?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x5811fa…
08-30 11:36:07	next mythos class model released by september 7 2026	No	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xc664ce…
08-29 22:53:15	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 4 2026	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xd3ea39…
08-29 14:49:15	will msft dip to 510 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x3c9746…
08-28 22:31:54	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by august 31 2026	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x76d15c…
08-24 01:53:10	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xe8b657…
08-23 05:09:01	will xauusd reach 4700 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0x4a9e98…
08-22 17:39:43	will warsh say good day during jackson hole speech on august 28	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xe1b130…
08-22 04:46:46	bbwi quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 26 2026 0pt24	No	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0xb566be…
08-21 16:00:15	will trump say legacy during his rally with darline graham	No	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x73095b…
08-21 03:38:22	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x2c8d31…
08-20 19:33:22	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xe40815…
08-20 06:06:13	spy up or down on august 20 2026	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x2b4aa7…
08-19 18:09:54	spy closes above 770 on august 19 2026	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x50280b…
08-19 08:30:07	spy closes above 765 on august 19 2026	Yes	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x0bb615…
08-18 11:53:21	will ewy dip to 174 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xbdfe4d…
08-18 03:48:10	will xagusd dip to 64 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xc18b6d…
08-17 19:47:04	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x508960…
08-17 11:10:51	will ewy dip to 179 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0x971276…
08-17 01:34:55	will nflx dip to 77 50 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x2531ba…
08-14 17:43:10	will trump say barack hussein obama during remarks in new york 20260811183234695	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xab324f…
08-14 01:29:24	spy up or down on august 14 2026	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x5eb4d1…
08-13 14:35:19	will trump say hottest during remarks in new york 20260811183234691	No	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0x4b5d2b…
08-13 06:29:37	spy up or down on august 13 2026	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xa3c88f…
08-12 21:08:21	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xcb6f44…
08-12 12:59:36	will abnb dip to 176 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x1e8ec6…
08-12 04:45:25	will trump say stock market during remarks in new york 20260811183234690	Yes	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xe425da…
08-11 20:44:19	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0x48d553…
08-11 11:58:31	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x2c8b86…
08-04 14:19:57	spy closes above 765 on august 4 2026	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x131bb6…
08-04 06:16:57	googl up or down on august 4 2026	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x0f7122…
08-03 22:16:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x7f4a22…
08-03 14:16:08	will ng dip to 2 70 by august 3 2026	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x4cf203…
08-03 06:07:30	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xd02110…
08-02 21:07:26	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x52d75f…
08-02 01:14:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xadbaae…
08-01 16:56:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xc2f801…
08-01 16:01:42	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x598fd9…
08-01 00:15:06	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x33a57a…
07-31 16:14:53	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x98252d…
07-31 07:25:50	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xb1b2d6…
07-30 21:28:14	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x5ee79f…