Annual-Thong — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$21

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.6%

Resolved

338

Trades

2,826

lifetime

Volume

$7.89K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-09 13:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 78% $-21

Politics

4% — —

Other

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 379 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	3	$41	21	21	+0	open	—	02-25 19:01
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	3	$31	100	40	+60	open	—	02-19 11:57
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	3	$30	1,231	0	+1,231	open	—	03-17 11:32
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?	3	$24	24	24	+0	open	—	02-28 06:14
maduro out by january 31 2026 318	1	$23	0	43	-43	open	—	01-03 09:21
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$23	59	59	+0	open	—	02-19 07:09
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	2	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	03-27 07:19
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	06-06 12:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	4	$21	18	18	+0	open	—	05-01 22:20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	2	$21	15	15	+0	open	—	04-06 12:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	4	$21	23	22	+0	open	—	05-02 02:03
Iran leadership change by March 13?	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	03-10 14:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	04-15 08:09
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	3	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-18 12:22
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	1	$20	26	0	+26	open	—	03-23 21:01
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	1	$20	32	0	+32	open	—	02-28 09:37
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	2	$20	23	0	+23	open	—	02-23 05:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	11	$20	19	19	+0	open	—	05-01 19:07
btc updown 5m 1775504700	2	$18	18	0	+18	open	—	04-06 19:49
will usd reach 1pt7m iranian rials by february 28	6	$16	222	222	+0	open	—	03-01 06:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	6	$16	26	20	+7	open	—	05-02 09:30
eth updown 5m 1776075900	2	$15	9	9	+0	open	—	04-13 10:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	6	$15	23	23	+0	open	—	05-02 06:51
btc updown 5m 1776068100	2	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	04-13 08:17
eth updown 5m 1776176100	2	$13	20	0	+20	open	—	04-14 14:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	6	$13	0	25	-25	open	—	05-20 06:18
eth updown 5m 1776080700	2	$12	9	9	+0	open	—	04-13 11:49
eth updown 5m 1776170100	3	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	04-14 12:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	3	$11	0	20	-20	open	—	05-31 12:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	2	$11	0	20	-20	open	—	05-31 13:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 13:23:04	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 9am et	Down	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x4a4c18…
06-09 13:21:39	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 9am et	Up	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x50420e…
06-09 11:38:09	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 7am et	Down	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x0cfafb…
06-09 11:37:43	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 7am et	Up	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x50da35…
06-09 11:30:10	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 7am et	Up	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x6503bb…
06-09 11:29:27	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 7am et	Down	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0xbcec82…
06-09 07:07:09	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 3am et	Down	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x28470e…
06-09 07:07:07	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 3am et	Down	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0xb93812…
06-09 07:01:22	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 3am et	Up	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x92c04a…
06-08 20:40:04	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 4pm et	Up	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0x316d54…
06-08 20:40:04	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 4pm et	Up	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x1c735e…
06-08 20:15:42	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 4pm et	Down	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0xb6475a…
06-08 20:08:51	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 4pm et	Down	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x5ca5bd…
06-08 20:05:43	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 4pm et	Up	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x20bed8…
06-08 19:23:25	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 3pm et	Down	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x2797ad…
06-08 19:22:09	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 3pm et	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xcd1417…
06-08 18:32:25	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 2pm et	Down	SELL	3	53¢	$2	0xefda6b…
06-08 18:32:24	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 2pm et	Down	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xef3283…
06-08 18:19:24	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 2pm et	Up	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x31f3ed…
06-08 18:16:16	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 2pm et	Down	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x6c631c…
06-08 18:13:37	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 2pm et	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x5dc606…
06-07 07:58:55	btc updown 5m 1780818900	Down	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xc39314…
06-07 07:57:01	btc updown 5m 1780818900	Up	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x9f3aed…
06-06 13:14:42	btc updown 5m 1780751700	Down	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0xc99794…
06-06 13:14:42	btc updown 5m 1780751700	Down	SELL	1	51¢	$1	0x612f9a…
06-06 12:37:12	btc updown 5m 1780749300	Down	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x79e7d7…
06-06 12:33:18	btc updown 5m 1780749300	Up	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x1d60d7…
06-06 12:30:16	btc updown 5m 1780749000	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xd5d11c…
06-06 12:30:06	btc updown 5m 1780749000	Up	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x76f709…
06-06 12:23:42	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0x2cf197…
06-05 16:06:40	btc updown 5m 1780675500	Down	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0x453533…
06-05 16:05:33	btc updown 5m 1780675500	Up	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0xa49976…
06-05 16:00:57	btc updown 5m 1780675200	Down	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0xdc0832…
06-05 16:00:42	btc updown 5m 1780675200	Up	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x79e295…
06-05 15:58:52	btc updown 5m 1780674900	Up	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x07fe80…
06-05 15:57:42	btc updown 5m 1780674900	Down	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x81c8e5…
06-05 14:53:45	btc updown 5m 1780671000	Down	SELL	3	14¢	$0	0x2ea026…
06-05 14:53:43	btc updown 5m 1780671000	Down	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0xa69109…
06-05 14:48:24	btc updown 5m 1780670700	Up	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0xd48dfd…
06-05 14:47:57	btc updown 5m 1780670700	Down	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0xe10858…
06-05 14:43:00	btc updown 5m 1780670400	Up	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x55a4be…
06-05 14:42:37	btc updown 5m 1780670400	Down	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x9eed78…
06-02 22:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xb5e0a7…
06-02 22:50:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0xc1d0b5…
06-02 22:50:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0x40b1de…
06-02 22:41:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0xea594e…
06-02 22:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x0eb65f…
06-02 22:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0xaaf026…
06-02 22:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x06db0d…
06-02 22:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xb829ce…
06-02 22:30:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xb90023…
06-02 22:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x109526…
06-02 22:28:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0xe5fb93…
06-02 22:28:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xd93855…
06-02 22:28:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0xad829e…
06-02 22:22:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xf5fbaa…
06-02 22:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x5b1a88…
06-02 22:17:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xcf3d97…
06-02 22:13:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x3469a4…
06-02 22:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x661f33…
06-02 22:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x82d820…
06-02 22:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x206140…
06-02 22:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x8accb0…
06-02 22:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x3ae9d5…
06-02 21:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x750076…
06-02 21:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xc53eca…
06-02 21:52:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x5c3cd2…
06-02 21:52:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	0	15¢	$0	0x566f91…
06-02 21:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x30a206…
06-02 21:48:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xf9e587…
06-02 21:48:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0xc8f8c4…
06-02 21:48:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xb186af…
06-02 21:42:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0x613ff6…
06-02 21:42:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	15¢	$1	0x3208c9…
06-02 21:41:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$0	0x81baeb…
06-02 21:41:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	4	90¢	$4	0x38965d…
06-02 21:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x7a4b6c…
06-02 21:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x3de8cf…
06-02 21:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x4280e0…
06-02 21:21:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xa0d78e…
06-02 21:11:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x2a9fa9…
06-02 21:01:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x678ea7…
06-02 21:01:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xd968c4…
06-02 20:51:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0xd8b6db…
06-02 20:51:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	0	15¢	$0	0x7ae4d3…
06-02 20:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x4ca957…
06-02 20:48:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0xfb22a3…
06-02 20:47:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x3a185b…
06-02 20:37:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xe3d4d5…
06-02 20:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x66555b…
06-02 20:31:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x006052…
06-02 20:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x609698…
06-02 20:28:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	15¢	$1	0x2181c2…
06-02 20:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0x15129a…
06-02 20:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xecdb56…
06-02 20:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x028d04…
06-02 20:22:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xeba2a4…
06-02 20:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	4	90¢	$4	0xa0bd4a…
06-02 20:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x10af8a…
06-02 20:13:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xe2f46d…