Annual-Thong — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$21

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

77.6%

Resolved

338

Trades

3,242

lifetime

Volume

$9.48K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-16 04:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 78% $-21

Politics

4% — —

Other

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 379 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes		+6	$1	26¢	$1	+$1	06-17 16:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1784060100	19	$79	82	82	+0	open	—	07-14 20:27
btc updown 15m 1784056500	12	$61	57	57	+0	open	—	07-14 19:28
btc updown 15m 1784054700	10	$47	38	38	+0	open	—	07-14 18:57
btc updown 15m 1784050200	10	$46	56	56	+0	open	—	07-14 17:42
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	3	$41	21	21	+0	open	—	02-25 19:01
btc updown 15m 1784046600	8	$40	35	35	+0	open	—	07-14 16:39
bitcoin up or down july 14 2026 12pm et	10	$40	39	39	+0	open	—	07-14 16:36
btc updown 15m 1784047500	8	$40	35	34	+0	open	—	07-14 16:53
btc updown 15m 1784045700	8	$38	30	30	+0	open	—	07-14 16:22
btc updown 15m 1784053800	6	$32	26	26	+0	open	—	07-14 18:35
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	3	$31	100	40	+60	open	—	02-19 11:57
btc updown 15m 1784161800	6	$31	26	23	+3	open	—	07-16 00:40
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	3	$30	1,231	0	+1,231	open	—	03-17 11:32
btc updown 15m 1784059200	6	$30	30	30	+0	open	—	07-14 20:06
btc updown 15m 1784048400	6	$29	25	25	+0	open	—	07-14 17:07
btc updown 15m 1784058300	6	$29	19	19	+0	open	—	07-14 19:53
btc updown 15m 1784057400	6	$28	29	28	+0	open	—	07-14 19:39
btc updown 15m 1784055600	6	$28	27	27	+0	open	—	07-14 19:08
btc updown 15m 1784061900	6	$28	22	22	+0	open	—	07-14 20:54
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?	3	$24	24	24	+0	open	—	02-28 06:14
maduro out by january 31 2026 318	1	$23	0	43	-43	open	—	01-03 09:21
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$23	59	59	+0	open	—	02-19 07:09
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	2	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	03-27 07:19
btc updown 15m 1784061000	9	$22	15	15	+0	open	—	07-14 20:43
btc updown 15m 1784166300	5	$21	13	13	+0	open	—	07-16 01:49
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	06-06 12:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	4	$21	18	18	+0	open	—	05-01 22:20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	2	$21	15	15	+0	open	—	04-06 12:13
btc updown 15m 1784162700	4	$21	14	14	+0	open	—	07-16 00:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	4	$21	23	22	+0	open	—	05-02 02:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-16 04:27:50	btc updown 15m 1784175300	Up	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x9219b6…
07-16 04:26:55	btc updown 15m 1784175300	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x3532c3…
07-16 04:20:19	btc updown 15m 1784175300	Down	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0x88831f…
07-16 04:18:55	btc updown 15m 1784175300	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x081d9f…
07-16 04:01:49	btc updown 15m 1784174400	Up	SELL	8	64¢	$5	0xb95fc1…
07-16 04:00:46	btc updown 15m 1784174400	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xa675d3…
07-16 03:43:44	btc updown 15m 1784172600	Down	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0x3fd442…
07-16 03:43:38	btc updown 15m 1784172600	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x6815b9…
07-16 03:32:37	btc updown 15m 1784172600	Up	SELL	8	54¢	$4	0x50e7a0…
07-16 03:31:31	btc updown 15m 1784172600	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x49eff9…
07-16 03:19:07	btc updown 15m 1784171700	Down	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0x39ec07…
07-16 03:17:41	btc updown 15m 1784171700	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x4c87a2…
07-16 03:06:02	btc updown 15m 1784170800	Down	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0xdbea1b…
07-16 03:04:49	btc updown 15m 1784170800	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x182ade…
07-16 02:47:22	btc updown 15m 1784169900	Up	SELL	8	68¢	$5	0x1af4bc…
07-16 02:45:56	btc updown 15m 1784169900	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x031387…
07-16 02:37:37	btc updown 15m 1784169000	Down	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0x3f7983…
07-16 02:37:37	btc updown 15m 1784169000	Down	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x0d466f…
07-16 02:37:26	btc updown 15m 1784169000	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x526da4…
07-16 02:26:41	btc updown 15m 1784168100	Up	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0x837200…
07-16 02:26:07	btc updown 15m 1784168100	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x6fa83e…
07-16 02:15:40	btc updown 15m 1784168100	Up	SELL	9	45¢	$4	0xd2e141…
07-16 02:15:16	btc updown 15m 1784168100	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x6f1e11…
07-16 02:00:38	btc updown 15m 1784167200	Down	SELL	8	49¢	$4	0xedfbf9…
07-16 02:00:13	btc updown 15m 1784167200	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x7dbd9a…
07-16 01:49:11	btc updown 15m 1784166300	Up	SELL	6	92¢	$5	0x97ac74…
07-16 01:47:46	btc updown 15m 1784166300	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x75b360…
07-16 01:47:02	btc updown 15m 1784166300	Up	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0xf0e227…
07-16 01:47:01	btc updown 15m 1784166300	Up	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xae3d2c…
07-16 01:46:19	btc updown 15m 1784166300	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x591943…
07-16 01:28:37	btc updown 15m 1784164500	Down	SELL	6	66¢	$4	0x0dca48…
07-16 01:28:20	btc updown 15m 1784164500	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xea7a0b…
07-16 01:17:55	btc updown 15m 1784164500	Down	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0xe92ff7…
07-16 01:17:55	btc updown 15m 1784164500	Down	SELL	7	86¢	$6	0x20b59d…
07-16 01:17:22	btc updown 15m 1784164500	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xb8f673…
07-16 01:06:11	btc updown 15m 1784163600	Up	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0x7282c4…
07-16 01:05:38	btc updown 15m 1784163600	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x52c27a…
07-16 01:05:20	btc updown 15m 1784163600	Up	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0xd80aee…
07-16 01:05:20	btc updown 15m 1784163600	Up	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0x56cfd8…
07-16 01:04:04	btc updown 15m 1784163600	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x289ec5…
07-16 00:51:04	btc updown 15m 1784162700	Up	SELL	6	78¢	$5	0x455fda…
07-16 00:50:46	btc updown 15m 1784162700	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x8c644a…
07-16 00:49:56	btc updown 15m 1784162700	Up	SELL	7	82¢	$6	0x11a255…
07-16 00:49:19	btc updown 15m 1784162700	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xc8ea52…
07-16 00:40:56	btc updown 15m 1784161800	Down	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x204cb4…
07-16 00:39:32	btc updown 15m 1784161800	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x80573f…
07-16 00:39:31	btc updown 15m 1784161800	Down	SELL	7	82¢	$5	0x35f8fa…
07-16 00:38:04	btc updown 15m 1784161800	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x38904c…
07-16 00:33:23	btc updown 15m 1784161800	Down	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0xfd9fac…
07-16 00:32:16	btc updown 15m 1784161800	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x754ead…
07-16 00:19:29	btc updown 15m 1784160900	Down	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0x184452…
07-16 00:18:22	btc updown 15m 1784160900	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x57086b…
07-16 00:17:50	btc updown 15m 1784160900	Down	SELL	7	73¢	$5	0x65214e…
07-16 00:16:23	btc updown 15m 1784160900	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x4f44b9…
07-16 00:03:20	btc updown 15m 1784160000	Up	SELL	7	89¢	$6	0x90f011…
07-16 00:02:10	btc updown 15m 1784160000	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xa44e18…
07-15 23:46:50	btc updown 15m 1784159100	Up	SELL	9	48¢	$4	0x2a7eab…
07-15 23:45:40	btc updown 15m 1784159100	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x702d0f…
07-15 23:31:22	btc updown 15m 1784158200	Up	SELL	9	52¢	$5	0x6eeabd…
07-15 23:30:16	btc updown 15m 1784158200	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x94c857…
07-15 23:18:49	btc updown 15m 1784157300	Up	SELL	11	31¢	$3	0x069365…
07-15 23:17:47	btc updown 15m 1784157300	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x7e2319…
07-15 22:58:44	btc updown 15m 1784155500	Up	SELL	12	23¢	$3	0x729925…
07-15 22:58:31	btc updown 15m 1784155500	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xf8d654…
07-15 22:47:22	btc updown 15m 1784155500	Up	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0x665137…
07-15 22:45:56	btc updown 15m 1784155500	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x2fca43…
07-15 22:33:16	btc updown 15m 1784154600	Up	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0x25f655…
07-15 22:31:52	btc updown 15m 1784154600	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x54a654…
07-15 22:18:31	btc updown 15m 1784153700	Down	SELL	8	45¢	$3	0x9532d5…
07-15 22:18:07	btc updown 15m 1784153700	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xe24566…
07-15 22:13:32	btc updown 15m 1784152800	Down	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0xd96d28…
07-15 22:13:32	btc updown 15m 1784152800	Down	SELL	8	72¢	$5	0x6ea2d1…
07-15 22:12:34	btc updown 15m 1784152800	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x610503…
07-15 22:02:11	btc updown 15m 1784152800	Down	SELL	7	26¢	$2	0x4be2ac…
07-15 22:01:23	btc updown 15m 1784152800	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x875b2d…
07-15 21:46:23	btc updown 15m 1784151900	Up	SELL	8	53¢	$4	0xf7c0c2…
07-15 21:45:46	btc updown 15m 1784151900	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xce2089…
07-15 21:31:50	btc updown 15m 1784151000	Up	SELL	9	54¢	$5	0x3eb6b0…
07-15 21:31:46	btc updown 15m 1784151000	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xf3b37b…
07-15 21:18:14	btc updown 15m 1784150100	Up	SELL	8	55¢	$5	0x45feba…
07-15 21:17:23	btc updown 15m 1784150100	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x427f67…
07-15 21:05:05	btc updown 15m 1784149200	Up	SELL	6	34¢	$2	0x18b147…
07-15 21:03:58	btc updown 15m 1784149200	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xe5944c…
07-15 21:01:19	btc updown 15m 1784149200	Up	SELL	9	71¢	$6	0xda31a0…
07-15 21:00:47	btc updown 15m 1784149200	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x0a4395…
07-15 20:47:32	btc updown 15m 1784148300	Down	SELL	7	54¢	$4	0xb8dedc…
07-15 20:46:05	btc updown 15m 1784148300	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x0f65b9…
07-15 20:31:23	btc updown 15m 1784147400	Down	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0xf748d7…
07-15 20:31:14	btc updown 15m 1784147400	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa182a8…
07-15 20:17:29	btc updown 15m 1784146500	Up	SELL	6	74¢	$5	0xea1a34…
07-15 20:16:43	btc updown 15m 1784146500	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x96e1c0…
07-14 20:54:19	btc updown 15m 1784061900	Down	SELL	7	49¢	$3	0x388717…
07-14 20:54:04	btc updown 15m 1784061900	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xcb974e…
07-14 20:52:58	btc updown 15m 1784061900	Down	SELL	7	60¢	$4	0xfd5954…
07-14 20:52:02	btc updown 15m 1784061900	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xfcf004…
07-14 20:50:37	btc updown 15m 1784061900	Down	SELL	9	64¢	$6	0x3659a9…
07-14 20:49:11	btc updown 15m 1784061900	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xa099d6…
07-14 20:43:04	btc updown 15m 1784061000	Down	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0xbd38f7…
07-14 20:43:02	btc updown 15m 1784061000	Down	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xce1903…
07-14 20:43:02	btc updown 15m 1784061000	Down	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xbd7fd5…