Annual-Thong — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$21

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

77.6%

Resolved

338

Trades

2,961

lifetime

Volume

$8.18K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-30 23:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 78% $-21

Politics

4% — —

Other

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

54 active days in 12wk • peak 379 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes		+6	$1	16¢	$1	$-0	06-17 16:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	3	$41	21	21	+0	open	—	02-25 19:01
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	3	$31	100	40	+60	open	—	02-19 11:57
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	3	$30	1,231	0	+1,231	open	—	03-17 11:32
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?	3	$24	24	24	+0	open	—	02-28 06:14
maduro out by january 31 2026 318	1	$23	0	43	-43	open	—	01-03 09:21
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$23	59	59	+0	open	—	02-19 07:09
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	2	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	03-27 07:19
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	06-06 12:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	4	$21	18	18	+0	open	—	05-01 22:20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	2	$21	15	15	+0	open	—	04-06 12:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	4	$21	23	22	+0	open	—	05-02 02:03
Iran leadership change by March 13?	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	03-10 14:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	04-15 08:09
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	3	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-18 12:22
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	1	$20	32	0	+32	open	—	02-28 09:37
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	1	$20	26	0	+26	open	—	03-23 21:01
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	2	$20	23	0	+23	open	—	02-23 05:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	11	$20	19	19	+0	open	—	05-01 19:07
btc updown 5m 1775504700	2	$18	18	0	+18	open	—	04-06 19:49
will usd reach 1pt7m iranian rials by february 28	6	$16	222	222	+0	open	—	03-01 06:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	6	$16	26	20	+7	open	—	05-02 09:30
eth updown 5m 1776075900	2	$15	9	9	+0	open	—	04-13 10:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	6	$15	23	23	+0	open	—	05-02 06:51
btc updown 5m 1776068100	2	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	04-13 08:17
eth updown 5m 1776176100	2	$13	20	0	+20	open	—	04-14 14:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	6	$13	0	25	-25	open	—	05-20 06:18
eth updown 5m 1776080700	2	$12	9	9	+0	open	—	04-13 11:49
eth updown 5m 1776170100	3	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	04-14 12:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	3	$11	0	20	-20	open	—	05-31 12:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	2	$11	0	20	-20	open	—	05-31 13:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 21:02:20	btc updown 15m 1782939600	Down	SELL	10	43¢	$4	0x74cc5f…
07-01 21:01:37	btc updown 15m 1782939600	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x4f4397…
07-01 19:49:10	btc updown 15m 1782935100	Up	SELL	12	29¢	$4	0x6c2075…
07-01 19:48:41	btc updown 15m 1782935100	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x4c1b92…
06-30 23:53:23	btc updown 15m 1782863100	Down	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0xa17b88…
06-30 23:52:32	btc updown 15m 1782863100	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xa1939a…
06-25 14:55:47	btc updown 5m 1782399300	Down	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xec9c00…
06-25 14:55:47	btc updown 5m 1782399300	Down	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0xae44e2…
06-25 14:55:46	btc updown 5m 1782399300	Up	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x8b7294…
06-25 14:41:53	btc updown 5m 1782398400	Up	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0xf0d7d2…
06-25 14:41:11	btc updown 5m 1782398400	Down	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x6c87b1…
06-25 14:31:37	btc updown 5m 1782397800	Up	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x850a77…
06-25 14:31:29	btc updown 5m 1782397800	Down	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0xef6070…
06-25 14:27:14	btc updown 5m 1782397500	Down	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x43aa76…
06-25 14:26:31	btc updown 5m 1782397500	Up	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x5b6e84…
06-25 14:11:32	btc updown 5m 1782396600	Down	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x86168f…
06-25 14:11:20	btc updown 5m 1782396600	Up	SELL	2	61¢	$2	0xb9ef3f…
06-25 14:11:20	btc updown 5m 1782396600	Up	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0xa5506d…
06-25 13:46:53	btc updown 5m 1782395100	Up	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x8c9038…
06-25 13:46:08	btc updown 5m 1782395100	Down	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x9b773d…
06-25 13:36:16	btc updown 5m 1782394500	Down	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xd12453…
06-25 13:36:10	btc updown 5m 1782394500	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$2	0xc3e9e6…
06-25 13:31:11	btc updown 5m 1782394200	Up	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x3397c5…
06-25 13:31:01	btc updown 5m 1782394200	Down	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0xd14f5a…
06-25 13:25:56	btc updown 5m 1782393900	Up	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xe3d95c…
06-25 13:25:35	btc updown 5m 1782393900	Down	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0x52b8a8…
06-25 13:22:07	btc updown 5m 1782393600	Up	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x6e3abc…
06-25 13:21:25	btc updown 5m 1782393600	Down	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x80a328…
06-25 13:15:49	btc updown 5m 1782393300	Up	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xc83aeb…
06-25 13:15:41	btc updown 5m 1782393300	Down	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x0be665…
06-25 12:56:23	btc updown 5m 1782392100	Up	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xd1e44e…
06-25 12:55:41	btc updown 5m 1782392100	Down	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x8dddda…
06-25 12:12:58	btc updown 5m 1782389400	Up	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0xebbb4a…
06-25 12:12:14	btc updown 5m 1782389400	Down	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x3d8103…
06-25 12:01:58	btc updown 5m 1782388800	Up	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x82efe3…
06-25 12:01:14	btc updown 5m 1782388800	Down	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x36afdf…
06-25 11:57:01	btc updown 5m 1782388500	Down	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x6453bc…
06-25 11:56:16	btc updown 5m 1782388500	Up	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0x84533b…
06-25 11:56:16	btc updown 5m 1782388500	Up	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x4b237d…
06-25 10:52:08	btc updown 5m 1782384600	Down	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0xeca5df…
06-25 10:51:25	btc updown 5m 1782384600	Up	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x6cac8c…
06-25 10:46:46	btc updown 5m 1782384300	Up	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xc19e32…
06-25 10:46:02	btc updown 5m 1782384300	Down	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0xa3c245…
06-25 10:37:59	btc updown 5m 1782383700	Up	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x89aaf6…
06-25 10:37:53	btc updown 5m 1782383700	Down	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0xbf396f…
06-25 10:20:35	btc updown 5m 1782382800	Up	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x0066fb…
06-25 10:20:34	btc updown 5m 1782382800	Down	SELL	4	71¢	$3	0xaf4aac…
06-25 10:20:34	btc updown 5m 1782382800	Down	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0x4d721c…
06-25 10:16:46	btc updown 5m 1782382500	Down	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x38cc00…
06-25 10:16:04	btc updown 5m 1782382500	Up	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x968370…
06-25 10:11:35	btc updown 5m 1782382200	Up	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x70b4dd…
06-25 10:10:53	btc updown 5m 1782382200	Down	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x1da006…
06-25 10:08:31	btc updown 5m 1782381900	Up	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xd85e84…
06-25 10:07:49	btc updown 5m 1782381900	Down	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x29e822…
06-25 09:56:28	btc updown 5m 1782381300	Up	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xebfe3a…
06-25 09:55:47	btc updown 5m 1782381300	Down	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0xa0d2e8…
06-25 09:55:47	btc updown 5m 1782381300	Down	SELL	4	66¢	$3	0x893506…
06-25 09:51:35	btc updown 5m 1782381000	Down	SELL	1	37¢	$0	0x39794e…
06-25 09:51:34	btc updown 5m 1782381000	Down	SELL	4	37¢	$1	0x216f25…
06-25 09:51:19	btc updown 5m 1782381000	Up	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x27bef2…
06-25 09:42:44	btc updown 5m 1782380400	Down	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x07a9b9…
06-25 09:42:02	btc updown 5m 1782380400	Up	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0xc92785…
06-25 09:35:53	btc updown 5m 1782380100	Up	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x2c89c0…
06-25 09:35:47	btc updown 5m 1782380100	Down	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x7465ad…
06-25 09:30:35	btc updown 5m 1782379800	Down	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xc541c0…
06-25 09:30:35	btc updown 5m 1782379800	Up	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x52d9c6…
06-25 09:27:25	btc updown 5m 1782379500	Down	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x7a185d…
06-25 09:27:10	btc updown 5m 1782379500	Up	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0xf82274…
06-25 09:21:35	btc updown 5m 1782379200	Up	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xbeda44…
06-25 09:21:32	btc updown 5m 1782379200	Down	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0xcc0738…
06-25 09:17:26	btc updown 5m 1782378900	Down	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xd31335…
06-25 09:16:44	btc updown 5m 1782378900	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xd72b8f…
06-25 09:07:46	btc updown 5m 1782378300	Down	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x9b84a4…
06-25 09:07:34	btc updown 5m 1782378300	Up	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xe5be6a…
06-25 09:01:08	btc updown 5m 1782378000	Down	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x21d9de…
06-25 09:00:52	btc updown 5m 1782378000	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x8191a0…
06-25 08:56:14	btc updown 5m 1782377700	Up	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xd7c67d…
06-25 08:56:11	btc updown 5m 1782377700	Down	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0xe164d6…
06-25 08:42:16	btc updown 5m 1782376800	Up	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x1ee0e7…
06-25 08:41:49	btc updown 5m 1782376800	Down	SELL	4	61¢	$3	0xa38f1d…
06-25 08:41:49	btc updown 5m 1782376800	Down	SELL	1	61¢	$0	0x39b7d9…
06-25 08:37:53	btc updown 5m 1782376500	Up	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xb3990a…
06-25 08:37:25	btc updown 5m 1782376500	Down	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x2be768…
06-25 08:31:01	btc updown 5m 1782376200	Up	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x0acef0…
06-25 08:30:46	btc updown 5m 1782376200	Down	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0x0c7e79…
06-25 08:30:44	btc updown 5m 1782376200	Down	SELL	2	65¢	$2	0xe1e512…
06-25 07:20:44	btc updown 5m 1782372000	Up	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xda5ea1…
06-25 07:20:35	btc updown 5m 1782372000	Down	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x2c83e4…
06-25 07:18:13	btc updown 5m 1782371700	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xf052e0…
06-25 07:17:55	btc updown 5m 1782371700	Down	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0xeac7e8…
06-25 07:17:55	btc updown 5m 1782371700	Down	SELL	4	5¢	$0	0x070b8c…
06-18 21:08:44	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0xe00f4b…
06-17 16:58:08	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x7406ca…
06-13 07:51:09	btc updown 5m 1781337000	Down	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0xdb6e6d…
06-13 07:50:39	btc updown 5m 1781337000	Up	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x1aa531…
06-13 07:46:06	btc updown 5m 1781336700	Down	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x53f5a0…
06-13 07:46:03	btc updown 5m 1781336700	Down	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0xa451bd…
06-13 07:45:33	btc updown 5m 1781336700	Up	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0xc629d0…
06-12 12:35:34	btc updown 5m 1781267700	Down	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xa8d213…
06-12 12:06:45	btc updown 5m 1781265900	Down	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0xbe0b22…