Thankful-Gallon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

27.2%

Resolved

Trades

2,201

lifetime

Volume

$8.85K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-01

last 07-03 00:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

54% 75% $-8

Crypto

23% — —

Politics

18% 0% $-1

Tech

3% — —

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 272 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No		+6	$5	100¢	$6	+$1	06-12 14:51
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes		-0	$-0	50¢	$-0	$-0	06-06 14:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	75	$416	548	576	-28	open	—	03-24 14:28
will iran strike israel on march 10	65	$336	252	258	-5	open	—	03-11 20:55
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	25	$326	508	512	-5	open	—	05-07 02:06
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	51	$282	293	297	-4	open	—	03-19 03:25
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 400 419	64	$203	1,092	1,303	-211	open	—	03-13 13:17
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 25?	16	$201	467	450	+16	open	—	04-24 15:45
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	30	$196	182	182	+0	Yes	$-1	03-11 13:28
highest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 22c	41	$186	12,215	11,798	+417	open	—	04-23 21:28
bitboy convicted	37	$185	340	340	+0	open	—	03-21 15:46
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	24	$179	2,421	2,421	+0	open	—	03-11 12:51
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	51	$172	641	727	-86	open	—	03-13 10:09
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	60	$151	188	194	-6	open	—	03-24 05:45
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 360 379	38	$132	134	134	+0	open	—	03-13 10:46
ucl lev ars 2026 03 11 ars	28	$124	108	86	+22	open	—	03-11 18:01
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	27	$120	493	493	+0	open	—	03-27 17:19
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	9	$99	67	67	+0	open	—	06-08 15:10
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	52	$93	1,000	960	+40	open	—	03-22 14:02
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	38	$91	130	130	+0	open	—	03-23 16:23
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	7	$89	65	63	+1	open	—	04-18 02:52
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 340 359	17	$82	180	194	-14	open	—	03-13 11:16
ethereum above 2100 on march 14	44	$81	170	97	+73	open	—	03-14 09:49
kraken ipo by march 31 2026	26	$77	1,448	1,448	+0	open	—	03-17 03:26
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	6	$75	55	52	+3	open	—	03-19 10:13
highest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 21c	29	$72	14,867	0	+14,867	open	—	04-23 21:36
bitcoin above 72k on march 16	40	$72	95	81	+15	open	—	03-15 11:14
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 420 439	86	$71	524	524	+0	open	—	03-11 19:39
microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	39	$69	3,494	3,494	+0	open	—	03-23 09:33
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	17	$66	81	89	-8	open	—	03-13 13:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	5	$65	44	38	+6	open	—	06-12 14:51
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	20	$62	133	133	+0	open	—	03-11 20:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 00:03:40	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	BUY	39	65¢	$25	0x023468…
06-30 21:23:43	over 15m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	SELL	16	41¢	$6	0xbd4f9b…
06-30 05:26:41	over 15m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	BUY	16	80¢	$12	0x0e48ae…
06-29 01:08:05	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15	No	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x1ccfaa…
06-28 19:22:47	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x530f59…
06-23 22:58:02	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	36	74¢	$27	0x99e53b…
06-23 22:57:47	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xf70418…
06-23 22:57:41	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	8	84¢	$7	0xd98114…
06-23 22:57:32	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0x771816…
06-23 22:57:04	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	SELL	15	87¢	$13	0x74548f…
06-23 22:56:37	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	SELL	34	88¢	$30	0x86cab0…
06-23 22:56:16	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	35	88¢	$31	0xd0a3e8…
06-22 00:41:28	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x07cf00…
06-21 19:27:32	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x9bff00…
06-21 00:18:32	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xc499fa…
06-19 00:38:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0xea2364…
06-15 11:33:19	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	SELL	7	45¢	$3	0x82ceff…
06-15 11:33:18	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	No	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0xf870a5…
06-15 10:17:54	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xdd63a2…
06-15 00:23:24	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x032ca4…
06-14 13:47:30	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x845a46…
06-14 09:05:49	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x72b6c2…
06-14 06:39:12	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x5c9a4a…
06-13 16:38:55	will wti reach 100 in june 2026 823 791 134	No	SELL	0	87¢	$0	0x2b3f65…
06-13 16:38:40	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	No	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0x90dab2…
06-13 16:38:30	will wti crude oil wti hit high 105 in june	No	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0xf74b93…
06-13 16:38:16	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0xd925d2…
06-13 16:38:06	will wti reach 110 in june 2026 658 257 353	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x5fa367…
06-13 14:36:15	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	SELL	15	48¢	$7	0x488e4e…
06-13 12:24:28	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	SELL	15	88¢	$13	0x3668ed…
06-13 11:28:25	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x156564…
06-13 00:16:30	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	BUY	15	85¢	$12	0xdb4f03…
06-12 16:50:52	will wti crude oil wti hit high 105 in june	No	SELL	31	87¢	$27	0xbc4d1e…
06-12 14:51:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x316f2d…
06-12 13:40:01	will wti reach 100 in june 2026 823 791 134	No	SELL	8	81¢	$6	0x9c0b87…
06-12 13:37:18	will wti reach 110 in june 2026 658 257 353	No	SELL	31	93¢	$29	0x7887a0…
06-11 17:33:03	will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	No	SELL	0	59¢	$0	0x8feca4…
06-11 17:33:03	will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	No	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x582598…
06-10 02:24:33	will wti crude oil wti hit high 105 in june	No	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0xadef85…
06-09 20:01:58	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x054f2a…
06-09 15:13:18	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xf606bf…
06-09 09:26:55	will wti reach 100 in june 2026 823 791 134	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x0a3c93…
06-09 09:08:46	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x86c67d…
06-09 06:00:07	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	No	SELL	12	78¢	$9	0x06cf19…
06-09 05:41:55	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	No	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x031210…
06-09 05:23:19	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	No	SELL	1	78¢	$0	0xfe6479…
06-08 21:39:22	will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x737635…
06-08 19:02:27	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x3b1f80…
06-08 15:18:10	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x2ba523…
06-08 15:10:00	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	12	80¢	$10	0x17a462…
06-08 15:03:54	will wti reach 110 in june 2026 658 257 353	No	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0xe683d0…
06-08 07:20:49	us iran nuclear deal by july 31	No	SELL	38	64¢	$25	0x44356a…
06-08 05:08:52	will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	No	SELL	36	71¢	$25	0x143026…
06-08 04:08:18	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x40f72b…
06-08 02:58:46	us iran nuclear deal by july 31	No	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0xbfe8b1…
06-08 02:57:22	will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	No	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0xacb7fd…
06-08 01:46:27	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 7 2026	No	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x4a36dd…
06-07 20:40:43	will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	No	SELL	7	66¢	$5	0xabc68d…
06-07 19:39:22	will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xec4ebe…
06-07 19:37:46	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x66af08…
06-07 06:30:03	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	SELL	39	62¢	$24	0x4f76d4…
06-07 05:29:34	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x4a3275…
06-06 23:19:31	xrp above 1pt2 on june 12 2026	No	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0x1d0fb1…
06-06 22:17:22	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 15	No	SELL	19	66¢	$12	0x91ba3c…
06-06 16:36:01	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	No	SELL	30	81¢	$25	0x6c8128…
06-06 15:34:45	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	No	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0xb94ab3…
06-06 14:25:30	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0xa6674d…
06-06 14:25:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	66¢	$0	0xd66007…
06-06 14:24:48	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0xc4aebd…
06-06 14:24:18	will ethereum dip to 1400 june 1 7 2026	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x3c184b…
06-06 14:24:03	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0xa36e70…
06-06 14:23:49	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0x5d9874…
06-06 14:23:30	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	0	65¢	$0	0x18d1b2…
06-06 14:23:16	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0x8a143b…
06-06 14:04:43	xrp above 1pt2 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x9e477e…
06-06 13:42:12	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x06c74f…
06-06 10:54:33	will ethereum dip to 1400 june 1 7 2026	No	SELL	16	90¢	$15	0xe6ed6c…
06-06 10:31:28	will ethereum dip to 1400 june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0x3a2132…
06-06 09:54:06	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	SELL	19	85¢	$16	0xedbf66…
06-06 07:09:39	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	17	73¢	$12	0x69ca4b…
06-06 06:09:28	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	17	74¢	$12	0x36080e…
06-06 05:05:09	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	17	73¢	$12	0xb166d0…
06-06 04:18:00	ethereum above 1800 on june 8 2026	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xa80511…
06-06 04:05:00	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	17	74¢	$12	0xe506e2…
06-05 22:03:34	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 15	No	BUY	19	66¢	$12	0x6003bf…
06-05 11:13:00	ethereum above 1800 on june 5 2026	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x639575…
06-05 09:53:36	will bitcoin dip to 60k on june 5	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x3a9e4c…
06-05 07:12:31	will solana dip to 50 june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0xb82da4…
06-05 06:52:57	will spy dip to 740 by june 1 2026	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x0fd113…
06-05 05:52:43	will spy dip to 745 by june 1 2026	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x9a009d…
06-05 03:52:16	ethereum above 1800 on june 5 2026	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xc1303a…
06-05 03:52:16	will bitcoin dip to 58k june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x3faca5…
06-05 02:39:07	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xc14567…
06-05 02:38:16	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0x6ac60c…
06-05 02:09:18	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	21	71¢	$15	0xedd048…
06-05 01:33:33	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0x63676d…
06-05 00:54:13	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0x6c22c5…
06-05 00:38:30	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	SELL	19	78¢	$15	0x35219e…
06-05 00:38:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	6	66¢	$4	0xdefc82…
06-05 00:38:22	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	SELL	12	68¢	$8	0x317f41…