Second-Hand-Mark — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$340

Unrealized P&L

+$18

Hit rate

73.4%

Resolved

131

Trades

592

lifetime

Volume

$64.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$110

Open exposure

$50

1 position

First seen

2026-04-07

last 07-10 09:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

73% 50% $-340

Other

20% — —

Politics

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 150 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	Yes		-323	$-68	16¢	$-50	+$18	07-10 09:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	2	$2.1K	1,157	1,151	+6	open	—	04-28 10:48
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	5	$2.1K	5,652	5,430	+223	open	—	04-24 16:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	4	$1.7K	2,477	0	+2,477	open	—	04-29 19:02
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	2	$1.6K	989	989	+0	open	—	04-28 00:06
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on April 29?	1	$1.5K	2,027	0	+2,027	open	—	04-29 17:20
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	2	$1.5K	1,117	1,081	+36	open	—	04-24 16:03
Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale?	3	$1.4K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-30 08:34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	2	$1.3K	733	728	+5	open	—	04-29 04:48
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	2	$1.3K	800	800	+0	open	—	04-28 00:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	7	$1.2K	1,188	1,188	+0	open	—	04-29 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	3	$1.1K	926	926	+0	open	—	04-29 19:58
James Comey arrested by May 15?	2	$1.1K	648	648	+0	open	—	04-29 13:06
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	2	$1.1K	616	616	+0	open	—	04-29 17:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	1	$1000	1,922	0	+1,922	open	—	04-29 19:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	2	$901	661	660	+0	open	—	04-29 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	2	$900	1,542	0	+1,542	open	—	04-29 19:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$825	4,691	247	+4,444	open	—	04-22 13:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	2	$661	588	588	+0	open	—	04-29 17:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	3	$613	753	753	+0	open	—	04-29 17:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	3	$593	400	316	+84	Up	+$13	05-05 02:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$586	395	395	+0	open	—	04-29 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	3	$562	424	424	+0	open	—	04-29 18:18
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	1	$560	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	04-24 10:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	2	$546	404	404	+0	open	—	04-29 18:21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	1	$500	717	0	+717	open	—	04-28 07:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	2	$500	877	0	+877	open	—	04-29 19:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	3	$500	1,476	0	+1,476	open	—	04-29 20:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	2	$500	809	0	+809	open	—	04-29 17:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	1	$500	768	0	+768	open	—	04-29 16:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	2	$500	1,109	0	+1,109	open	—	04-29 19:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-10 09:35:55	Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	323	21¢	$68	0x20619a…
05-07 02:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0x483883…
05-07 02:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x53d73f…
05-07 02:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	43	24¢	$10	0x340683…
05-07 02:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0xb8c432…
05-07 02:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x7b40b4…
05-07 02:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	32	32¢	$10	0xe3abf2…
05-07 02:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x5f6a6d…
05-07 02:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	140	4¢	$6	0x078ed4…
05-07 02:29:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	36	63¢	$23	0xd652ec…
05-07 02:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0xf57285…
05-07 02:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0xd9436b…
05-07 02:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	17	22¢	$4	0x26b725…
05-07 02:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x2b7746…
05-07 02:23:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x4a6bea…
05-07 02:17:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x7012fb…
05-07 02:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	24	45¢	$11	0x2ce397…
05-07 02:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	25	98¢	$24	0x566983…
05-07 02:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xa1235e…
05-07 02:11:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	27	71¢	$19	0xcf2fc0…
05-07 02:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xb059c0…
05-07 02:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x9b916a…
05-07 02:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x5c824f…
05-07 02:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	21	47¢	$10	0x198eea…
05-07 02:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	21	45¢	$10	0x7e76d7…
05-07 02:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	46	84¢	$39	0x346f60…
05-07 02:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0x446448…
05-07 01:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x490def…
05-07 01:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x2705e6…
05-07 01:47:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	47	64¢	$30	0x732412…
05-07 01:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xad3caf…
05-07 01:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x07a236…
05-07 01:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x9feed5…
05-07 01:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	SELL	22	28¢	$6	0xb1b2b3…
05-07 01:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	22	39¢	$9	0xcd8737…
05-07 01:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xce1942…
05-07 01:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xaca0bb…
05-06 14:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	30	28¢	$8	0x2f6bf7…
05-06 14:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0x391323…
05-06 14:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	36	27¢	$10	0x930dea…
05-06 13:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x9f8367…
05-06 13:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	31	65¢	$20	0xf061cb…
05-06 13:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	31	41¢	$13	0x7fd365…
05-06 13:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	70	84¢	$59	0xae3cf4…
05-06 13:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0x4ba98f…
05-06 13:45:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x7653ec…
05-06 13:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xb6b797…
05-06 13:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x027b19…
05-06 13:33:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	37	27¢	$10	0xb54a4d…
05-06 13:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xfe7e00…
05-06 11:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	32	32¢	$10	0x32faa3…
05-06 11:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xf875d1…
05-06 10:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xe48e3a…
05-06 10:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x2ff858…
05-06 10:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	27	74¢	$20	0xb9da79…
05-06 10:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x183f6d…
05-06 10:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	33	52¢	$17	0x57be0e…
05-06 10:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xeb4fc9…
05-06 10:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	48	69¢	$33	0x08e302…
05-06 10:21:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x7bc1bf…
05-06 10:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x03517e…
05-06 10:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x54235e…
05-06 08:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	71	58¢	$41	0x502b90…
05-06 08:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xddf91b…
05-06 08:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xcca4dd…
05-06 08:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	38	84¢	$32	0xd13366…
05-06 08:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xb058aa…
05-06 07:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	31	71¢	$22	0x12397b…
05-06 07:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x84d54d…
05-06 07:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x1096ff…
05-06 07:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x90050f…
05-06 07:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xba76e1…
05-06 07:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xdf760c…
05-06 07:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	32	28¢	$9	0x098bbc…
05-06 07:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x1452a4…
05-06 07:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	30	83¢	$25	0xa5826f…
05-06 07:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xecaee2…
05-06 07:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x66dafc…
05-06 07:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	38	57¢	$22	0x74cde5…
05-06 07:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x9d7dc5…
05-06 06:27:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	27	77¢	$21	0x10eea4…
05-06 06:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x8600b0…
05-06 04:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	91	30¢	$27	0x6f334c…
05-06 04:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x6aa53a…
05-06 04:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	56	46¢	$26	0xa30d94…
05-06 04:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x250e03…
05-05 11:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	157	71¢	$112	0x0f9537…
05-05 11:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	69	73¢	$50	0x73a12d…
05-05 11:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	81	84¢	$69	0x1441d7…
05-05 11:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	81	61¢	$50	0xcf8de6…
05-05 11:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	81	62¢	$50	0xd05d5f…
05-05 10:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	38	79¢	$30	0x80d73c…
05-05 10:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0x589c95…
05-05 10:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	119	85¢	$102	0x168040…
05-05 10:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x6e5c37…
05-05 10:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	83	69¢	$57	0xbf2d07…
05-05 10:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0xe67b6c…
05-05 10:01:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	SELL	64	90¢	$58	0x49244c…
05-05 10:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0xac1ecb…
05-05 09:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	68	89¢	$60	0x29c7dd…