Naughty-Chain — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$57

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.0%

Resolved

Trades

139

lifetime

Volume

$311

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-01

last 07-21 05:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Other

71% 74% -$3

Crypto

29% 50% -$54

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-21).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$55	18,333	0	+18,333	No	-$55	06-03 21:16
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	5	$19	40	0	+40	No	+$1	05-07 17:36
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on May 3?	2	$18	13	13	+0	Yes	-$2	05-02 13:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	3	$14	10	8	+2	Down	+$2	05-02 04:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	2	$11	12	0	+12	Up	-$1	05-02 03:54
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on May 3?	1	$10	11	0	+11	No	+$1	05-02 13:52
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	2	$10	20	0	+20	No	+$0	05-07 14:27
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?	1	$9	10	0	+10	Yes	+$1	07-18 02:59
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	2	$8	17	0	+17	No	+$0	05-08 10:21
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	4	$7	5	5	+0	Yes	-$1	07-21 05:14
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	2	$6	13	0	+13	No	+$0	05-06 06:44
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	2	$6	13	0	+13	No	+$1	05-04 17:13
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 2?	2	$6	4	4	+0	Yes	+$2	05-02 13:41
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	2	$5	9	9	+0	No	-$1	05-12 04:55
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C or below on May 2?	2	$5	3	3	+0	Yes	+$1	05-02 13:40
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	2	$4	10	0	+10	Yes	+$1	05-06 06:58
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 20?	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	07-20 13:58
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	07-14 07:53
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on May 3?	3	$4	25	5	+20	No	$0	05-03 07:37
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	2	$4	11	11	+0	No	$0	05-07 17:32
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	2	$3	8	8	+0	No	-$1	05-14 05:06
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	2	$3	8	8	+0	No	-$1	05-11 04:23
Will MrBeast say "Dollar" 5+ times during his next video?	2	$3	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	05-02 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	05-01 18:41
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on July 20?	2	$3	1	1	+0	No	+$0	07-21 03:45
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 20?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	07-21 03:45
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 20?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	07-21 03:45
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on July 20?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	07-21 03:46
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on July 20?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	07-21 05:15
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on July 20?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	07-21 05:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 05:15:58	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on July 20?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb89521…
07-21 05:15:43	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on July 20?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x28481e…
07-21 05:15:16	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on July 20?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x0616c3…
07-21 05:14:49	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on July 20?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x1191ec…
07-21 05:14:07	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0xd0ac08…
07-21 03:49:13	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x31698e…
07-21 03:49:04	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x2e16f2…
07-21 03:46:36	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x49f776…
07-21 03:46:07	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on July 20?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xfed91e…
07-21 03:45:51	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 20?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x279a29…
07-21 03:45:34	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 20?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7e5820…
07-21 03:45:10	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on July 20?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xad92ce…
07-20 17:23:48	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on July 20?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x77faf6…
07-20 17:20:45	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on July 20?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd02b01…
07-20 17:17:39	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on July 20?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd75ab6…
07-20 17:16:07	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on July 20?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x73ed45…
07-20 17:14:55	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on July 20?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0412fb…
07-20 17:14:39	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 20?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3dbf29…
07-20 17:12:43	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on July 20?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe3220f…
07-20 17:11:39	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on July 20?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xcdb60c…
07-20 17:11:21	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on July 20?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x436b24…
07-20 17:10:54	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 20?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xffd887…
07-20 13:59:00	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 20?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x9eeca5…
07-20 13:58:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 20?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x800ccb…
07-20 13:58:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 20?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xc615b0…
07-20 13:57:31	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 20?	No	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x817b03…
07-19 19:08:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on July 20?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc0b1bc…
07-19 19:06:28	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 20?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x146766…
07-19 19:03:15	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 20?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xae3210…
07-19 19:01:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 20?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcc7699…
07-19 19:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 20?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0ef4a1…
07-19 18:59:48	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on July 20?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa3e0e8…
07-19 18:59:28	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or below on July 20?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x304ec4…
07-19 18:58:31	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 21?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x80ed66…
07-19 18:57:22	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1aeff8…
07-19 18:55:27	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 20?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x8d0c90…
07-18 02:59:51	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0xb79753…
07-18 02:59:33	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x1225fa…
07-17 14:40:49	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 17?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x505b34…
07-17 14:40:09	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on July 17?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3f072a…
07-17 14:33:34	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa6ef77…
07-17 14:33:25	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0cf384…
07-17 08:43:34	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 17?	No	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x95f79e…
07-17 08:31:33	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xc7b230…
07-17 04:58:19	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on July 17?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x33f60f…
07-17 04:57:24	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 17?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x975435…
07-17 04:57:10	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C or below on July 17?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6df51f…
07-17 04:55:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 17?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdcaf27…
07-17 04:55:34	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 17?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc52d78…
07-17 04:55:00	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on July 17?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1b90fe…
07-17 04:54:19	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 17?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3ca77c…
07-17 04:53:42	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 17?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xaee45e…
07-17 04:53:10	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 17?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x053221…
07-17 04:52:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 17?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1b21d3…
07-14 07:53:11	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 14?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xfa247f…
07-14 07:53:11	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on July 14?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xb61264…
07-14 07:53:11	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 14?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x47bd91…
07-14 07:53:10	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on July 14?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa493d0…
07-14 07:53:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 14?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x832117…
07-14 07:53:10	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on July 13?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x4d2c20…
07-14 07:53:10	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 14?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x05d8ea…
07-14 07:53:08	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 14?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd847d8…
07-14 07:53:08	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on July 14?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa3f1f4…
07-14 07:53:08	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 13?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x75c10f…
07-14 07:53:08	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 14?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x1d33d1…
07-14 07:53:07	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xe560db…
07-14 06:00:25	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on July 14?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe97038…
07-14 05:59:53	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on July 14?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9e71fa…
07-14 05:59:31	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 14?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0b83c7…
07-14 05:59:20	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on July 14?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x57800a…
07-14 05:56:35	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 14?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xea0d19…
07-14 05:56:16	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 14?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3d2604…
07-14 05:54:55	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 14?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd3ff76…
07-14 05:54:32	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 14?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5ebb88…
07-14 05:52:47	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 14?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x054916…
07-13 18:14:47	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 13?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x556282…
07-13 18:14:31	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 89°F or below on July 13?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xac3943…
07-13 18:13:43	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 34°C on July 13?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7d40d6…
07-13 18:12:23	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on July 13?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc042cb…
07-13 18:10:46	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 13?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x055368…
07-13 18:08:31	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on July 13?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3a7997…
07-13 18:06:40	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on July 13?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x01e928…
07-13 18:03:31	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x1ab3e4…
07-13 18:03:11	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x8cd2e7…
06-03 21:16:40	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,667	0¢	$5	0x6d0f34…
06-03 21:13:37	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16,667	0¢	$50	0x30694b…
05-14 05:06:02	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	16¢	$1	0xb5724c…
05-12 04:55:46	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	24¢	$2	0xd54479…
05-11 07:35:30	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x342f34…
05-11 05:26:08	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xb6f69c…
05-11 04:23:08	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	11¢	$1	0x2dd716…
05-08 10:45:36	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x1bff9f…
05-08 10:21:28	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	9	72¢	$6	0x669532…
05-07 17:36:02	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xf4474c…
05-07 17:35:05	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x1f8007…
05-07 17:34:02	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x77938c…
05-07 17:33:46	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0xdbdadd…
05-07 17:32:04	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	15¢	$2	0x4435e8…
05-07 14:27:09	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x287ad4…
05-07 06:18:53	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x82542e…